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Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd. (6178.T)

JPY2,353.00 +20.00 (+0.86%)
JP JPX Financial Services Banks - Regional
Address 3-1, Otemachi 2-chome 100-8791
Tokyo, JP
CEO Kazuyuki Negishi
IPO 2015-11-04
ISIN JP3752900005

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Also trades on Other OTC · JPHLF (USD) Other OTC · JPPHY (USD) Tokyo Stock Exchange · 6178.T (JPY)
Description

Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd. operates as a comprehensive service provider across Japan, primarily focusing on its extensive postal, financial, and insurance divisions. Its postal operations include traditional mail and parcel delivery services like Yu-Pack and Yu-Mail, along with international cargo transport and agency services. The company also sells a variety of products, including stamps, petroleum, and catalog merchandise, and undertakes tasks commissioned by local government entities. Within its financial segment, Japan Post Holdings offers a broad spectrum of banking services such as deposits, securities investment, remittances, credit cards, and personal loans. Its insurance arm provides both life and non-life coverage. Beyond these core services, the company is significantly involved in logistics and transportation, managing road, rail, ship, and air freight, freight forwarding, and 3PL (third-party logistics), as well as express delivery. This extends to truck cargo transportation, vehicle maintenance, and fleet management. Further diversifying its activities, Japan Post Holdings engages in real estate ownership, leasing, and development of residential and commercial properties, alongside asset management. It also provides various business support services, including management and financial consulting, telemarketing, direct mail planning and sales, and contracting for IT system design, development, and operation. Additionally, it sells post office advertising space and offers automobile liability insurance agency services. The company also maintains a hospitality and healthcare presence, operating 3 Teishin hospitals, MIELPARQUE hotels, and 35 Kanpo no Yado inns throughout Japan. Founded in Tokyo in 1871, Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd. boasts a long and established history as a foundational service institution in the country.

Market Cap & Enterprise Value
Merger & Acquisition History

No mergers or acquisitions recorded for this company.

Technical Outlook
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Signal Summary Loading…
Indicator 1D1W2W3W1M
Each column is computed on that timeframe's candles (1D = daily, 1W ≈ weekly, 1M ≈ monthly), not on the same last day. ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · — neutral. The Net row counts signals per column; hover any cell (or the indicator name) to see the exact rule behind it.
Day Score & sub-scores
Statistical fingerprint & regime detail
Conditional historical analysis
Customize analysis (advanced)
Indicative levels generated algorithmically. Not financial advice.
Risk Profile
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Price Chart
Averages
Trend
Price
Levels
Draw
JPY2,353.00 +20.00 (+0.86%)
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Volume Profile
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Liquidity & share structure
Average Volume
6M
Beta
0.22
Float Shares
1.48B
Free Float %
52.7%
Price Performance
1D5D1M3M6M YTD1Y3Y5Y10YMax
+0.45% +7.74% +12.28% +4.14% +45.25% +21.53% +59.16% +103.04% +124.94% +49.22% +19.46%
Rolling Volatility
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Drawdown
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Relative Strength
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
From To
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Annual Monthly Returns
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Daily Returns Distribution
vs.
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Revenue flow

Revenue by geography

Revenue by segment

From To

Revenue composition

From To

By product

By geography

Financial Statements

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Cash Flow Statement

Key Metrics

Financial Ratios

Employees

Financial Growth (CAGR)

Market Data

Price Targets & DCF
Current price
2,353.00
DCF (Unlevered) 53,964.57 +2,193.4%

DCF figures are point estimates: small changes in growth or discount-rate assumptions move them materially. Read them as a reference, not a precise target.

Ratings Trend (MoM) 38% Bullish
Rating 2026-05 Change
Strong Buy 1 0
Buy 2 0
Hold 5 0
Sell 0 0
Strong Sell 0 0
Quality scores
Altman Z-Score
0.39
Distress
Piotroski F-Score
4 / 9
Average
Composite Rating
B-
Overall Score
3 / 5
Medium
DCF Score
4 / 5
High
ROE Score
2 / 5
Medium
ROA Score
2 / 5
Medium
D/E Score
1 / 5
Low
P/E Score
2 / 5
Medium
P/Book Score
4 / 5
High
Operational MOAT
  • Revenue growth
    -0.1% Q1'26: -3.9% (vs Q1'25)
  • EPS growth
    +8.3% Q1'26: +17.0% (vs Q1'25)
  • FCF margin
    Q1'26: +0.0% (vs Q1'25)
  • EBIT margin
    Q1'26: +10.1% (vs Q1'25)
  • ROIC
    Q1'26: -3.8% (vs Q1'25)
  • Share dilution
    -6.6% Q1'26: -4.4% (vs Q1'25)
  • Debt / EBITDA
    Q1'26: 27.90× (vs Q1'25)
Valuation Multiples From To
Price Forecast (3Y) From To
Model
Adjust
P/E
Theoretical Return — If Invested Today

* These projections are based on analyst consensus estimates and user-defined valuation multiples. This table is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

DCF Interactive Model (UFCF)
Projection years:
Market assumptions
WACC components (optional)
Ke (Cost of Equity) = Rf + β (0.19) × ERP
WACC = 15% × Ke + 85% × Kd (4.3%) × (1−t)

Modifying these values recalculates WACC automatically.

Business assumptions
Intrinsic value (base): 52,999.01 Current price: 2,353.00
Enterprise Value: Equity Value: Terminal Value: TV as % of EV:

Base values reflect the latest available data for this company and market conditions.

Consensus Estimates
Metric Mar 2015
actual
Mar 2016
actual
Mar 2017
actual
Mar 2018
actual
Mar 2019
actual
Mar 2020
actual
Mar 2021
actual
Mar 2022
actual
Mar 2023
actual
Mar 2024
actual
Mar 2025
actual
Mar 2026
6 Rev. Ana.
7 EPS Ana.
Mar 2027
6 Rev. Ana.
7 EPS Ana.
Mar 2028
6 Rev. Ana.
6 EPS Ana.
Mar 2029
1 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Mar 2030
1 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Revenue
14.05T
est: 873.92B (+1,507.9%)
14.00T
est: 14.07T (-0.5%)
13.08T
est: 13.80T (-5.2%)
12.67T
est: 13.01T (-2.6%)
12.53T
est: 12.79T (-2.1%)
11.72T
est: 12.09T (-3.0%)
11.51T
est: 11.65T (-1.2%)
11.12T
est: 10.90T (+2.0%)
11.00T
est: 10.55T (+4.2%)
11.78T
est: 11.81T (-0.2%)
11.24T
est: 11.67T (-3.7%)
11.56T
11.33T – 11.81T
-1.0% YoY
12.42T
10.98T – 15.30T
+7.4% YoY
13.64T
11.28T – 18.25T
+9.8% YoY
11.99T
11.78T – 12.20T
-12.1% YoY
12.15T
10.38T – 15.63T
+1.3% YoY
EBITDA
960.90B
est: 61.74B (+1,456.3%)
901.47B
est: 993.96B (-9.3%)
441.32B
est: 974.90B (-54.7%)
988.47B
est: 919.39B (+7.5%)
965.16B
est: 903.88B (+6.8%)
1.04T
est: 854.34B (+22.2%)
980.98B
est: 822.80B (+19.2%)
1.10T
est: 770.03B (+42.6%)
923.84B
est: 745.35B (+23.9%)
873.96B
est: 1.64T (-46.9%)
1.02T
est: 1.63T (-37.1%)
1.61T
1.58T – 1.64T
-1.0% YoY
1.73T
1.53T – 2.13T
+7.4% YoY
1.90T
1.57T – 2.54T
+9.8% YoY
1.67T
1.64T – 1.70T
-12.1% YoY
1.69T
1.45T – 2.18T
+1.3% YoY
EBIT
780.32B
est: 42.38B (+1,741.4%)
670.94B
est: 682.18B (-1.6%)
170.89B
est: 669.10B (-74.5%)
709.13B
est: 631.00B (+12.4%)
695.49B
est: 620.36B (+12.1%)
749.53B
est: 586.36B (+27.8%)
694.53B
est: 564.72B (+23.0%)
841.29B
est: 528.50B (+59.2%)
695.37B
est: 511.55B (+35.9%)
629.03B
est: 1.32T (-52.5%)
762.88B
est: 1.31T (-41.7%)
1.30T
1.27T – 1.32T
-1.0% YoY
1.39T
1.23T – 1.72T
+7.4% YoY
1.53T
1.26T – 2.05T
+9.8% YoY
1.34T
1.32T – 1.37T
-12.1% YoY
1.36T
1.16T – 1.75T
+1.3% YoY
Net Income
482.68B
est: 124.95B (+286.3%)
425.97B
est: 285.83B (+49.0%)
-28.98B
est: -29.18B (+0.7%)
460.62B
est: 343.20B (+34.2%)
479.42B
est: 340.44B (+40.8%)
483.73B
est: 353.00B (+37.0%)
418.24B
est: 314.80B (+32.9%)
501.69B
est: 398.16B (+26.0%)
431.05B
est: 362.42B (+18.9%)
268.69B
est: 351.93B (-23.7%)
370.56B
est: 363.56B (+1.9%)
374.56B
323.07B – 390.98B
+3.0% YoY
424.04B
374.73B – 524.46B
+13.2% YoY
496.90B
451.67B – 647.43B
+17.2% YoY
532.70B
396.81B – 671.58B
+7.2% YoY
503.21B
408.10B – 690.69B
-5.5% YoY
SGA
est: 593.71B (-100.0%)
est: 9.56T (-100.0%)
est: 9.37T (-100.0%)
est: 8.84T (-100.0%)
est: 8.69T (-100.0%)
est: 8.22T (-100.0%)
est: 7.91T (-100.0%)
est: 7.40T (-100.0%)
est: 7.17T (-100.0%)
— – —
— – —
— – —
— – —
— – —
EPS
107.26
est: 40.23 (+166.6%)
97.26
est: 92.02 (+5.7%)
-7.04
est: -9.40 (+25.1%)
112.97
est: 110.49 (+2.2%)
118.57
est: 109.60 (+8.2%)
119.64
est: 113.64 (+5.3%)
103.44
est: 101.35 (+2.1%)
131.93
est: 128.18 (+2.9%)
120.82
est: 114.48 (+5.5%)
80.26
est: 107.23 (-25.1%)
119.30
est: 114.39 (+4.3%)
119.85
111.39 – 134.81
+4.8% YoY
146.76
129.20 – 180.83
+22.5% YoY
193.91
155.73 – 223.23
+32.1% YoY
168.70
136.81 – 231.55
-13.0% YoY
173.50
140.71 – 238.14
+2.8% YoY
Historical Ratings (3M)
Date Rating Overall DCF ROE ROA D/E P/E P/B
2026-05-18 B- 3/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 1/5 2/5 4/5
2026-05-15 B- 3/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 1/5 2/5 4/5
2026-05-14 B- 3/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 1/5 2/5 4/5
2026-05-13 B- 3/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 1/5 2/5 4/5
2026-05-12 B- 3/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 1/5 2/5 4/5
2026-05-11 B- 3/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 1/5 2/5 4/5
2026-05-08 B- 3/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 1/5 2/5 4/5
2026-05-07 B- 3/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 1/5 2/5 4/5
2026-05-01 B 3/5 4/5 2/5 3/5 1/5 2/5 4/5
2026-04-30 B 3/5 4/5 2/5 3/5 1/5 2/5 4/5
2026-04-28 B 3/5 4/5 2/5 3/5 1/5 2/5 4/5
2026-04-27 B 3/5 4/5 2/5 3/5 1/5 2/5 4/5
2026-04-24 B 3/5 4/5 2/5 3/5 1/5 2/5 4/5
2026-04-23 B 3/5 4/5 2/5 3/5 1/5 3/5 4/5
2026-04-22 B 3/5 4/5 2/5 3/5 1/5 3/5 4/5
2026-04-21 B 3/5 4/5 2/5 3/5 1/5 3/5 4/5
2026-04-20 B 3/5 4/5 2/5 3/5 1/5 3/5 4/5
2026-04-17 B+ 3/5 4/5 2/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 4/5
2026-04-16 B+ 3/5 4/5 2/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 4/5
2026-04-15 B+ 3/5 4/5 2/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 4/5

Owner Earnings

Owner's Earnings (history) From To
Owner alignment
Owner's Earnings TTM
108.05B
OE per share TTM
30.54
Owner's Yield
1.85%
Maintenance CapEx ratio
109.22%
Maint CapEx / Avg PPE
27.5%

Ownership Overview

Ownership breakdown

Ownership breakdown not available.

At a glance
Institutional holders
Total invested
Insider transactions (90d)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)

No beneficial ownership filings recorded.

Institutional Activity (13F)

Institutional ownership trend

Institutional history not available.

Top institutional holders

Top holders not available.

Insider Activity

Insider Activity — Latest Quarter

No insider activity available.

Insider buys vs sells (history)

Insider history not available.

Recent insider transactions

No recent insider transactions.

Executive team

Top executives
EBIT / Employee
4.71M
Shares Outstanding
2.81B

Executive compensation

Executive compensation (annual)

Executive compensation not available.

CEO compensation breakdown

No CEO compensation history available.

Proxy statements

Proxy statements (DEF 14A)

No proxy statements available for this company yet.

Recent SEC filings

Recent SEC filings

No SEC filings available for this company yet.

Executive team

NameTitleCompensationGender
Akihito Nishiguchi Managing Executive Officers male
Atsushi Iizuka Group Chief Financial Officer, Group Chief Operating Officer, Senior Executive Vice President & Representative Director male
Ikeda Akira Senior Managing Executive Officer
Isamu Wakabayashi Executive Secretary
Kazuyuki Negishi Group CEO, Representative Executive Officer, President & Director male
Kenji Meguro Managing Executive Officers
Kenji Ogata Managing Executive Officers male
Makoto Sakurai Managing Executive Officers
Shinyasu Kato Representative Executive Officer & Executive Vice President male
Takahashi Yasuhiro Managing Executive Officers
Tomonori Asai Senior Managing Executive Officer
Tomonori Nishide Head of IR Office, Corporate Planning Department.
ESG Score History

No data available for this company.

Senate Trading Activity

No Senate trading activity found for this company.

House Trading Activity

No House trading activity found for this company.

Market share among peers
Peer comparison — filtered group (TTM)
Your opinion

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Dividend yield history

Dividend history

Earnings history

Earnings reports

Stock splits