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Toly Bread Co.,Ltd. (603866.SS)
CNY4.14
+0.16 (+4.02%)
CN SHH Consumer Defensive Packaged Foods
Address
Office Building 1 110000
Shenyang, SD, CN
Shenyang, SD, CN
CEO
Hong Wang
Website
tolybread.cn
IPO
2015-12-22
ISIN CNE100002524
Description
Toly Bread Co.,Ltd. engages in the production and sales of bread, pastries, moon cakes, and other products in China. The company was formerly known as Shenyang Toly Bread Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Toly Bread Co.,Ltd. in March 2017. Toly Bread Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1997 and is based in Shenyang, China.
Market Cap & Enterprise Value
Merger & Acquisition History
No mergers or acquisitions recorded for this company.
Technical Outlook
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Signal Summary
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| Indicator | 1D | 1W | 2W | 3W | 1M |
|---|
Each column is computed on that timeframe's candles (1D = daily, 1W ≈ weekly, 1M ≈ monthly), not on the same last day. ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · — neutral. The Net row counts signals per column; hover any cell (or the indicator name) to see the exact rule behind it.
Day Score & sub-scores
Statistical fingerprint & regime detail
Conditional historical analysis
Customize analysis (advanced)
Indicative levels generated algorithmically. Not financial advice.
Risk Profile
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Price Chart
CNY4.14
+0.16 (+4.02%)
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Volume Profile
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Liquidity & share structure
Average Volume
11M
Beta
0.45
Float Shares
675.49M
Free Float %
42.2%
Price Performance
| 1D | 5D | 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -1.39% | -1.78% | +0.81% | -8.29% | -9.78% | -5.32% | -9.78% | -56.35% | -76.20% | -58.47% | -17.28% |
Rolling Volatility
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Drawdown
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Relative Strength
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
From
To
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Annual Monthly Returns
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Daily Returns Distribution
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Revenue flow
Revenue by geography
Revenue by segment
From
To
Revenue composition
From
To
By product
By geography
Financial Statements
Select metrics from the tables below to build your comparison.
Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow Statement
Key Metrics
Financial Ratios
Employees
Financial Growth (CAGR)
Market Data
Price Targets & DCF
Current price
4.14
DCF (Unlevered)
0.44
-89.4%
DCF (Levered)
0.28
-93.3%
DCF figures are point estimates: small changes in growth or discount-rate assumptions move them materially. Read them as a reference, not a precise target.
Ratings Trend (MoM)
100% Bullish
| Rating | 2024-11 | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Strong Buy | 1 | 0 |
| Buy | 3 | 0 |
| Hold | 0 | 0 |
| Sell | 0 | 0 |
| Strong Sell | 0 | 0 |
Quality scores
Altman Z-Score
3.53
Safe zone
Piotroski F-Score
6 / 9
Average
MOAT Score
2 / 10
No MOAT
Composite Rating
B
Overall Score
3 / 5
Medium
DCF Score
2 / 5
Medium
ROE Score
3 / 5
Medium
ROA Score
4 / 5
High
D/E Score
2 / 5
Medium
P/E Score
2 / 5
Medium
P/Book Score
4 / 5
High
Operational MOAT
✗ Below peers
-
Revenue growth Packaged Foods: +4.4%-10.5% Q1'26: -2.6% (vs Q1'25)
-
EPS growth Packaged Foods: +14.6%-45.5% Q1'26: -38.3% (vs Q1'25)
-
FCF margin FCF growth · Packaged Foods: +15.9%+10.7% Q1'26: +3.3% (vs Q1'25)
-
EBIT margin Packaged Foods: +7.9%+9.5% ★ Q1'26: +7.2% (vs Q1'25)
-
ROIC Packaged Foods: +7.0%— Q1'26: +3.4% (vs Q1'25)
-
Share dilution Packaged Foods: +0.0%+0.0% Q1'26: -0.1% (vs Q1'25)
-
Debt / EBITDA Net debt/EBITDA · Packaged Foods: 0.19×— Q1'26: 2.12× (vs Q1'25)
Valuation Multiples
From
To
Price Forecast (3Y)
From
To
Theoretical Return — If Invested Today
* These projections are based on analyst consensus estimates and user-defined valuation multiples. This table is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Consensus Estimates
| Metric |
Dec 2015 actual |
Dec 2016 actual |
Dec 2017 actual |
Dec 2018 actual |
Dec 2019 actual |
Dec 2020 actual |
Dec 2021 actual |
Dec 2022 actual |
Dec 2023 actual |
Dec 2024 actual |
Dec 2025 actual |
Dec 2026 1 Rev. Ana. 1 EPS Ana. |
Dec 2027 1 Rev. Ana. 1 EPS Ana. |
Dec 2028 1 Rev. Ana. 1 EPS Ana. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue |
2.56B
est: 2.44B (+5.1%)
|
3.31B
est: 3.37B (-1.9%)
|
4.08B
est: 4.10B (-0.4%)
|
4.83B
est: 4.93B (-1.9%)
|
5.64B
est: 5.64B (0.0%)
|
5.96B
est: 6.00B (-0.6%)
|
6.34B
est: 6.40B (-1.0%)
|
6.69B
est: 6.78B (-1.3%)
|
6.76B
est: 6.57B (+2.8%)
|
6.09B
est: 6.23B (-2.4%)
|
5.45B
est: 5.43B (+0.4%)
|
5.65B
5.65B – 5.65B
+4.2% YoY
|
5.99B
5.99B – 5.99B
+5.9% YoY
|
6.46B
6.46B – 6.46B
+7.9% YoY
|
| EBITDA |
518.10M
est: 393.66M (+31.6%)
|
620.22M
est: 543.71M (+14.1%)
|
748.74M
est: 660.79M (+13.3%)
|
876.68M
est: 794.69M (+10.3%)
|
974.21M
est: 910.55M (+7.0%)
|
1.21B
est: 967.70M (+24.9%)
|
1.05B
est: 1.03B (+1.8%)
|
968.72M
est: 1.09B (-11.4%)
|
945.82M
est: 1.06B (-10.8%)
|
933.37M
est: 1.01B (-7.2%)
|
799.96M
est: 875.41M (-8.6%)
|
911.88M
911.88M – 911.88M
+4.2% YoY
|
966.09M
966.09M – 966.09M
+5.9% YoY
|
1.04B
1.04B – 1.04B
+7.9% YoY
|
| EBIT |
441.31M
est: 327.36M (+34.8%)
|
534.17M
est: 452.13M (+18.1%)
|
640.31M
est: 549.49M (+16.5%)
|
750.58M
est: 660.84M (+13.6%)
|
827.01M
est: 757.18M (+9.2%)
|
1.08B
est: 804.71M (+34.1%)
|
909.17M
est: 858.33M (+5.9%)
|
815.34M
est: 909.07M (-10.3%)
|
738.79M
est: 881.84M (-16.2%)
|
700.16M
est: 836.43M (-16.3%)
|
519.89M
est: 727.96M (-28.6%)
|
758.29M
758.29M – 758.29M
+4.2% YoY
|
803.36M
803.36M – 803.36M
+5.9% YoY
|
867.09M
867.09M – 867.09M
+7.9% YoY
|
| Net Income |
346.96M
est: 353.44M (-1.8%)
|
435.55M
est: 490.68M (-11.2%)
|
513.28M
est: 570.36M (-10.0%)
|
642.15M
est: 669.74M (-4.1%)
|
683.36M
est: 701.92M (-2.6%)
|
882.84M
est: 893.92M (-1.2%)
|
763.27M
est: 772.89M (-1.2%)
|
639.89M
est: 678.22M (-5.7%)
|
574.04M
est: 572.35M (+0.3%)
|
522.08M
est: 576.03M (-9.4%)
|
283.85M
est: 416.02M (-31.8%)
|
288.01M
288.01M – 288.01M
-30.8% YoY
|
352.02M
352.02M – 352.02M
+22.2% YoY
|
416.02M
416.02M – 416.02M
+18.2% YoY
|
| SGA |
408.65M
est: 246.08M (+66.1%)
|
601.55M
est: 339.87M (+77.0%)
|
821.15M
est: 413.06M (+98.8%)
|
1.07B
est: 496.76M (+116.2%)
|
1.31B
est: 569.18M (+130.6%)
|
605.92M
est: 604.91M (+0.2%)
|
652.22M
est: 645.21M (+1.1%)
|
664.60M
est: 683.36M (-2.7%)
|
677.82M
est: 662.89M (+2.3%)
|
608.74M
est: 628.76M (-3.2%)
|
604.47M
est: 547.22M (+10.5%)
|
570.01M
570.01M – 570.01M
+4.2% YoY
|
603.90M
603.90M – 603.90M
+5.9% YoY
|
651.80M
651.80M – 651.80M
+7.9% YoY
|
| EPS |
0.26
est: 0.22 (+17.7%)
|
0.29
est: 0.31 (-5.5%)
|
0.35
est: 0.36 (-1.8%)
|
0.50
est: 0.42 (+19.4%)
|
0.44
est: 0.44 (+0.3%)
|
0.57
est: 0.56 (+2.0%)
|
0.48
est: 0.48 (-0.6%)
|
0.40
est: 0.42 (-5.7%)
|
0.36
est: 0.36 (+0.6%)
|
0.33
est: 0.36 (-8.3%)
|
0.18
est: 0.26 (-30.8%)
|
0.18
0.18 – 0.18
-30.8% YoY
|
0.22
0.22 – 0.22
+22.2% YoY
|
0.26
0.26 – 0.26
+18.2% YoY
|
Historical Ratings (3M)
| Date | Rating | Overall | DCF | ROE | ROA | D/E | P/E | P/B |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | B | 3/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 4/5 |
| 2026-04-29 | B | 3/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 |
| 2026-04-28 | B | 3/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 |
| 2026-04-27 | B | 3/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 |
| 2026-04-24 | B | 3/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 |
| 2026-04-23 | B | 3/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 5/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 |
| 2026-04-22 | B | 3/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 5/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 |
| 2026-04-21 | B | 3/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 5/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 |
| 2026-04-20 | B | 3/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 5/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 |
| 2026-04-17 | B | 3/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 5/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 |
| 2026-04-16 | B | 3/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 5/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 |
Owner Earnings
Owner's Earnings (history)
From
To
Owner alignment
Owner's Earnings TTM
88.01M
OE per share TTM
0.06
Owner's Yield
1.10%
Maintenance CapEx ratio
197.89%
Maint CapEx / Avg PPE
50.3%
Ownership Overview
Ownership breakdown
Ownership breakdown not available.
At a glance
Institutional holders
—
Total invested
—
Insider transactions (90d)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
No beneficial ownership filings recorded.
Institutional Activity (13F)
Institutional ownership trend
Institutional history not available.
Top institutional holders
Top holders not available.
ETF Ownership
Top ETFs holding this stock
Held by 20 ETFs in our universe
| # | ETF | Weight | Est. AUM exposure | TER |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vanguard FTSE Asia ex Japan Shares Index ETF VAE.AX | 0.00% | 12.7K | 0.40% |
| 2 | Dimensional - Emerging Markets Core Equity 2 ETF DFEM | 0.00% | 101.4K | 0.39% |
| 3 | Dimensional - Emerging Core Equity Market ETF DFAE | 0.00% | 94.2K | 0.29% |
| 4 | Vanguard International High Dividend Yield ETF VYMI | 0.00% | 172.0K | 0.07% |
| 5 | Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets All Cap Index ETF VEE.TO | 0.00% | 21.2K | 0.26% |
| 6 | Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Shares ETF VGE.AX | 0.00% | 9.4K | 0.48% |
| 7 | Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF VWO | 0.00% | 1.05M | 0.06% |
| 8 | Vanguard All-World ex-US Shares Index ETF VEU.AX | 0.00% | 9.1K | 0.04% |
| 9 | Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US ETF VEU | 0.00% | 195.9K | 0.04% |
| 10 | Vanguard Total International Stock ETF VXUS | 0.00% | 941.6K | 0.05% |
Insider Activity
Insider Activity — Latest Quarter
No insider activity available.
Insider buys vs sells (history)
Insider history not available.
Recent insider transactions
No recent insider transactions.
Executive team
Top executives
EBIT / Employee
62.0K
Shares Outstanding
1.60B
Executive compensation
Executive compensation (annual)
Executive compensation not available.
CEO compensation breakdown
No CEO compensation history available.
Proxy statements
Proxy statements (DEF 14A)
No proxy statements available for this company yet.
Recent SEC filings
Recent SEC filings
No SEC filings available for this company yet.
Executive team
| Name | Title | Compensation | Gender |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liang Xue Wu | Executive GM & Chairman | — | male |
| Xue Qun Wu | MD & Director | — | male |
| Yin An Zhang | Board Secretary | — | male |
| Ying Sun | Financial Controller | — | female |
| Yong Yang | Manager of Human Resource Department | — | male |
ESG Score History
No data available for this company.
Senate Trading Activity
No Senate trading activity found for this company.
House Trading Activity
No House trading activity found for this company.
Market share among peers
Peer comparison — filtered group (TTM)
Your opinion
Share your view on this stock and instantly see how the community has voted over the last 6 months.
Community Opinion for 603866.SS
Short-term intention
Target Price Distribution
These are community opinions and do not constitute buy or sell advice to act on. The results shown are based on aggregated opinions and are not an investment recommendation, nor do they intend to influence any investment decision.
