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New Hope Dairy Co., Ltd. (002946.SZ)
CNY15.40
+0.70 (+4.76%)
CN SHZ Consumer Defensive Packaged Foods
Address
Building 2 610023
Chengdu, CN
Chengdu, CN
CEO
Chuan Zhu
Website
newhopedairy.cn
IPO
2019-01-25
ISIN CNE100003JJ1
Description
New Hope Dairy Co., Ltd. is a Chinese enterprise specializing in the production and distribution of various dairy items throughout the country. Its product line features liquid fresh milk, an assortment of yogurts, milk-infused drinks, and powdered milk. The company's primary operational hub is located in Chengdu, China.
Market Cap & Enterprise Value
Merger & Acquisition History
No mergers or acquisitions recorded for this company.
Technical Outlook
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Signal Summary
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| Indicator | 1D | 1W | 2W | 3W | 1M |
|---|
Each column is computed on that timeframe's candles (1D = daily, 1W ≈ weekly, 1M ≈ monthly), not on the same last day. ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · — neutral. The Net row counts signals per column; hover any cell (or the indicator name) to see the exact rule behind it.
Day Score & sub-scores
Statistical fingerprint & regime detail
Conditional historical analysis
Customize analysis (advanced)
Indicative levels generated algorithmically. Not financial advice.
Risk Profile
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Price Chart
CNY15.40
+0.70 (+4.76%)
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Volume Profile
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Liquidity & share structure
Average Volume
6M
Beta
0.42
Float Shares
173.98M
Free Float %
20.2%
Price Performance
| 1D | 5D | 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +6.48% | +8.83% | -4.88% | -1.68% | +7.89% | +1.08% | -1.73% | +18.69% | +1.96% | +138.60% | +138.60% |
Rolling Volatility
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Drawdown
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Relative Strength
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
From
To
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Annual Monthly Returns
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Daily Returns Distribution
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Revenue flow
Revenue by geography
Revenue by segment
From
To
Revenue composition
From
To
By product
By geography
Financial Statements
Select metrics from the tables below to build your comparison.
Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow Statement
Key Metrics
Financial Ratios
Employees
Financial Growth (CAGR)
Market Data
Price Targets & DCF
Current price
15.40
DCF (Unlevered)
46.05
+199.1%
DCF (Levered)
62.74
+307.4%
DCF figures are point estimates: small changes in growth or discount-rate assumptions move them materially. Read them as a reference, not a precise target.
Ratings Trend (MoM)
100% Bullish
| Rating | 2026-05 | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Strong Buy | 1 | 0 |
| Buy | 5 | 0 |
| Hold | 0 | 0 |
| Sell | 0 | 0 |
| Strong Sell | 0 | 0 |
Quality scores
Altman Z-Score
3.72
Safe zone
Piotroski F-Score
8 / 9
Strong
MOAT Score
4 / 10
Developing
Composite Rating
B+
Overall Score
3 / 5
Medium
DCF Score
3 / 5
Medium
ROE Score
5 / 5
High
ROA Score
5 / 5
High
D/E Score
3 / 5
Medium
P/E Score
2 / 5
Medium
P/Book Score
1 / 5
Low
Operational MOAT
✗ Below peers
-
Revenue growth Packaged Foods: +4.4%+5.0% ★ Q1'26: +8.3% (vs Q1'25)
-
EPS growth Packaged Foods: +14.6%+37.1% ★ Q1'26: +46.7% (vs Q1'25)
-
FCF margin FCF growth · Packaged Foods: +15.9%+8.0% ★ Q1'26: +4.5% (vs Q1'25)
-
EBIT margin Packaged Foods: +7.9%+9.0% ★ Q1'26: +8.3% (vs Q1'25)
-
ROIC Packaged Foods: +7.0%+15.2% ★ Q1'26: +17.8% (vs Q1'25)
-
Share dilution Packaged Foods: +0.0%-0.8% ★ Q1'26: -4.6% (vs Q1'25)
-
Debt / EBITDA Net debt/EBITDA · Packaged Foods: 0.19×1.65× Q1'26: 1.28× (vs Q1'25)
Valuation Multiples
From
To
Price Forecast (3Y)
From
To
Theoretical Return — If Invested Today
* These projections are based on analyst consensus estimates and user-defined valuation multiples. This table is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Consensus Estimates
| Metric |
Dec 2018 actual |
Dec 2019 actual |
Dec 2020 actual |
Dec 2021 actual |
Dec 2022 actual |
Dec 2023 actual |
Dec 2023 actual |
Dec 2024 actual |
Dec 2025 actual |
Dec 2026 6 Rev. Ana. 6 EPS Ana. |
Dec 2027 6 Rev. Ana. 1 EPS Ana. |
Dec 2028 2 Rev. Ana. 1 EPS Ana. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue |
4.97B
est: 4.92B (+1.1%)
|
5.67B
est: 5.76B (-1.4%)
|
6.75B
est: 6.68B (+1.1%)
|
9.17B
est.
|
8.97B
est: 10.04B (-10.7%)
|
10.99B
est: 11.06B (-0.7%)
|
10.01B
est: 11.06B (-9.6%)
|
10.67B
est: 11.08B (-3.7%)
|
11.20B
est: 11.10B (+0.9%)
|
12.00B
11.87B – 12.14B
+8.1% YoY
|
12.78B
12.52B – 13.08B
+6.5% YoY
|
13.63B
13.42B – 13.87B
+6.6% YoY
|
| EBITDA |
620.46M
est: 492.17M (+26.1%)
|
648.28M
est: 575.80M (+12.6%)
|
745.70M
est: 667.83M (+11.7%)
|
917.31M
est.
|
889.56M
est: 1.00B (-11.4%)
|
1.12B
est: 1.11B (+1.4%)
|
995.11M
est: 1.11B (-10.1%)
|
1.18B
est: 1.87B (-36.8%)
|
1.48B
est: 1.88B (-21.2%)
|
2.03B
2.00B – 2.05B
+8.1% YoY
|
2.16B
2.12B – 2.21B
+6.5% YoY
|
2.30B
2.27B – 2.34B
+6.6% YoY
|
| EBIT |
348.40M
est: 273.96M (+27.2%)
|
337.07M
est: 320.51M (+5.2%)
|
393.22M
est: 371.73M (+5.8%)
|
510.61M
est.
|
501.03M
est: 558.83M (-10.3%)
|
662.49M
est: 616.02M (+7.5%)
|
554.69M
est: 616.02M (-10.0%)
|
752.29M
est: 1.43B (-47.4%)
|
1.00B
est: 1.43B (-30.0%)
|
1.55B
1.53B – 1.57B
+8.1% YoY
|
1.65B
1.62B – 1.69B
+6.5% YoY
|
1.76B
1.73B – 1.79B
+6.6% YoY
|
| Net Income |
242.73M
est: 320.88M (-24.4%)
|
243.73M
est: 251.50M (-3.1%)
|
270.98M
est: 292.69M (-7.4%)
|
369.59M
est.
|
312.26M
est: 381.59M (-18.2%)
|
430.83M
est: 455.30M (-5.4%)
|
361.23M
est: 455.30M (-20.7%)
|
537.69M
est: 550.83M (-2.4%)
|
731.15M
est: 711.50M (+2.8%)
|
886.50M
839.84M – 916.19M
+24.6% YoY
|
1.03B
1.01B – 1.06B
+16.6% YoY
|
1.18B
1.15B – 1.20B
+14.0% YoY
|
| SGA |
1.29B
est: 911.64M (+41.3%)
|
1.50B
est: 1.07B (+41.0%)
|
1.22B
est: 1.24B (-1.1%)
|
1.70B
est.
|
1.65B
est: 1.86B (-11.1%)
|
2.15B
est: 2.05B (+4.8%)
|
1.74B
est: 2.05B (-15.1%)
|
2.04B
est: 1.65B (+23.6%)
|
—
est: 1.66B (-100.0%)
|
1.79B
1.77B – 1.81B
+8.1% YoY
|
1.91B
1.87B – 1.95B
+6.5% YoY
|
2.03B
2.00B – 2.07B
+6.6% YoY
|
| EPS |
0.32
est: 0.37 (-13.5%)
|
0.29
est: 0.29 (+0.0%)
|
0.32
est: 0.34 (-5.2%)
|
0.43
est.
|
0.36
est: 0.44 (-18.2%)
|
0.50
est: 0.53 (-4.8%)
|
0.42
est: 0.53 (-20.0%)
|
0.62
est: 0.64 (-3.1%)
|
0.85
est: 0.83 (+2.8%)
|
1.03
0.98 – 1.06
+24.6% YoY
|
1.20
1.18 – 1.23
+16.6% YoY
|
1.37
1.34 – 1.40
+14.0% YoY
|
Historical Ratings (3M)
| Date | Rating | Overall | DCF | ROE | ROA | D/E | P/E | P/B |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-29 | B+ | 3/5 | 3/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 |
| 2026-05-28 | B+ | 3/5 | 3/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 |
| 2026-05-27 | B+ | 3/5 | 3/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 |
| 2026-05-26 | B+ | 3/5 | 3/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 |
| 2026-05-25 | B+ | 3/5 | 3/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 |
| 2026-05-22 | B+ | 3/5 | 3/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 |
| 2026-05-21 | A- | 4/5 | 3/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 |
| 2026-05-20 | A- | 4/5 | 3/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 |
| 2026-05-19 | B+ | 3/5 | 3/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 |
| 2026-05-18 | B+ | 3/5 | 3/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 |
| 2026-05-15 | A- | 4/5 | 3/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 |
| 2026-05-14 | A- | 4/5 | 3/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 |
| 2026-05-13 | A- | 4/5 | 3/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 |
| 2026-05-12 | A- | 4/5 | 3/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 |
| 2026-05-11 | A- | 4/5 | 3/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 |
| 2026-05-08 | A- | 4/5 | 3/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 |
| 2026-05-07 | A- | 4/5 | 3/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 |
| 2026-05-06 | A- | 4/5 | 3/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 |
| 2026-04-30 | A- | 4/5 | 3/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 |
| 2026-04-29 | A- | 4/5 | 3/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 |
| 2026-04-28 | A- | 4/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 |
| 2026-04-27 | B+ | 3/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 |
| 2026-04-24 | B+ | 3/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 |
| 2026-04-23 | B+ | 3/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 |
| 2026-04-22 | B+ | 3/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 |
| 2026-04-21 | B+ | 3/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 |
| 2026-04-20 | B+ | 3/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 |
| 2026-04-17 | B+ | 3/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 |
| 2026-04-16 | B+ | 3/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 |
Owner Earnings
Owner's Earnings (history)
From
To
Owner alignment
Owner's Earnings TTM
991.08M
OE per share TTM
1.17
Owner's Yield
6.25%
Maintenance CapEx ratio
46.15%
Maint CapEx / Avg PPE
33.1%
Ownership Overview
Ownership breakdown
Ownership breakdown not available.
At a glance
Institutional holders
—
Total invested
—
Insider transactions (90d)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
No beneficial ownership filings recorded.
Institutional Activity (13F)
Institutional ownership trend
Institutional history not available.
Top institutional holders
Top holders not available.
ETF Ownership
Top ETFs holding this stock
Held by 6 ETFs in our universe
| # | ETF | Weight | Est. AUM exposure | TER |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VanEck - China New Economy ETF CNEW.AX | 0.69% | 489.5K | 0.95% |
| 2 | Dimensional Emerging Markets Sustainability Core 1 ETF DFSE | 0.00% | 25.5K | 0.44% |
| 3 | Dimensional - Emerging Markets High Profitability ETF DEHP | 0.00% | 11.8K | 0.44% |
| 4 | Dimensional - Emerging Core Equity Market ETF DFAE | 0.00% | 105.2K | 0.29% |
| 5 | Dimensional - Emerging Markets Core Equity 2 ETF DFEM | 0.00% | 94.7K | 0.39% |
| 6 | Dimensional World ex U.S. Core Equity 2 ETF DFAX | 0.00% | 88.5K | 0.28% |
Insider Activity
Insider Activity — Latest Quarter
No insider activity available.
Insider buys vs sells (history)
Insider history not available.
Recent insider transactions
No recent insider transactions.
Executive team
Top executives
EBIT / Employee
115.9K
Shares Outstanding
860.68M
Executive compensation
Executive compensation (annual)
Executive compensation not available.
CEO compensation breakdown
No CEO compensation history available.
Proxy statements
Proxy statements (DEF 14A)
No proxy statements available for this company yet.
Recent SEC filings
Recent SEC filings
No SEC filings available for this company yet.
Executive team
| Name | Title | Compensation | Gender |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chuan Zhu | President & Director | — | male |
| Shifeng Zheng | Secretary to the Board & Assistant to the President | — | male |
| Shuai Zhang | Vice President | — | male |
| Yanan Chu | CFO & Director | — | female |
ESG Score History
No data available for this company.
Senate Trading Activity
No Senate trading activity found for this company.
House Trading Activity
No House trading activity found for this company.
Market share among peers
Peer comparison — filtered group (TTM)
Your opinion
Share your view on this stock and instantly see how the community has voted over the last 6 months.
Community Opinion for 002946.SZ
Short-term intention
Target Price Distribution
These are community opinions and do not constitute buy or sell advice to act on. The results shown are based on aggregated opinions and are not an investment recommendation, nor do they intend to influence any investment decision.
