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FirstGroup plc (FGP.L)

GBp179.70 -1.20 (-0.66%)
GB LSE Industrials Railroads
Address The Point W2 1AF
Paddington, GL, GB
CEO Graham Sutherland
IPO 1995-06-16
ISIN GB0003452173

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Also trades on London Stock Exchange · FGP.L (GBp) Other OTC · FGROF (USD) Other OTC · FGROY (USD)
Description

FirstGroup plc provides public transport services in the United Kingdom. It operates through First Bus and First Rail segments. The First Bus segment offers local bus services with a fleet of approximately 5,800 buses and coaches in the United Kingdom. The First Rail segment operates a passenger rail network that provides long-distance, commuter, regional, and sleeper services through a portfolio of Great Western Railway, South Western Railway, and Avanti West Coast franchises; and hull trains and Lumos. FirstGroup plc was founded in 1986 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.

Market Cap & Enterprise Value
Merger & Acquisition History

No mergers or acquisitions recorded for this company.

Technical Outlook
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Signal Summary Loading…
Indicator 1D1W2W3W1M
Each column is computed on that timeframe's candles (1D = daily, 1W ≈ weekly, 1M ≈ monthly), not on the same last day. ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · — neutral. The Net row counts signals per column; hover any cell (or the indicator name) to see the exact rule behind it.
Day Score & sub-scores
Statistical fingerprint & regime detail
Conditional historical analysis
Customize analysis (advanced)
Indicative levels generated algorithmically. Not financial advice.
Risk Profile
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Price Chart
Averages
Trend
Price
Levels
Draw
GBp179.70 -1.20 (-0.66%)
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Volume Profile
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Liquidity & share structure
Average Volume
1M
Beta
0.71
Float Shares
487.46M
Free Float %
89.8%
Price Performance
1D5D1M3M6M YTD1Y3Y5Y10YMax
+0.42% +14.73% +14.24% +12.41% -0.37% -0.68% -13.48% +35.60% +133.13% +89.87% +70.49%
Rolling Volatility
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Drawdown
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Relative Strength
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
From To
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Annual Monthly Returns
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Daily Returns Distribution
vs.
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Revenue flow

Revenue by geography

Revenue by segment

From To

Revenue composition

From To

By product

By geography

Financial Statements

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Cash Flow Statement

Key Metrics

Financial Ratios

Employees

Financial Growth (CAGR)

Market Data

Price Targets & DCF
Current price
179.70
DCF (Unlevered) 4,026.42 +2,140.6%
DCF (Levered) 2,727.66 +1,417.9%

DCF figures are point estimates: small changes in growth or discount-rate assumptions move them materially. Read them as a reference, not a precise target.

Ratings Trend (MoM) 100% Bullish
Rating 2026-06 Change
Strong Buy 1 0
Buy 2 0
Hold 0 0
Sell 0 0
Strong Sell 0 0
Quality scores
Altman Z-Score
3.36
Safe zone
Piotroski F-Score
7 / 9
Strong
MOAT Score
2 / 10
No MOAT
Composite Rating
B+
Overall Score
3 / 5
Medium
DCF Score
1 / 5
Low
ROE Score
5 / 5
High
ROA Score
4 / 5
High
D/E Score
1 / 5
Low
P/E Score
4 / 5
High
P/Book Score
3 / 5
Medium
Operational MOAT
✗ Below peers
  • Revenue growth Railroads: +4.4%
    +2.1% Q1'26: -2.1% (vs Q1'24)
  • EPS growth Railroads: +13.1%
    +5.0% Q1'26: +133.5% (vs Q1'24)
  • FCF margin FCF growth · Railroads: +40.4%
    +7.0% Q1'26: +12.7% (vs Q1'24)
  • EBIT margin Railroads: +14.1%
    +2.9% Q1'26: +3.3% (vs Q1'24)
  • ROIC Railroads: +5.9%
    +7.2% Q1'26: +17.3% (vs Q1'24)
  • Share dilution Railroads: +0.4%
    -7.7% Q1'26: -28.8% (vs Q1'24)
  • Debt / EBITDA Net debt/EBITDA · Railroads: 1.34×
    1.65× Q1'26: 0.81× (vs Q1'24)
Valuation Multiples From To
Price Forecast (3Y) From To
Model
Adjust
P/E
Theoretical Return — If Invested Today

* These projections are based on analyst consensus estimates and user-defined valuation multiples. This table is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

DCF Interactive Model (UFCF)
Projection years:
Market assumptions
WACC components (optional)
Ke (Cost of Equity) = Rf + β (0.71) × ERP
WACC = 48% × Ke + 52% × Kd (6.0%) × (1−t)

Modifying these values recalculates WACC automatically.

Business assumptions
Intrinsic value (base): 3,815.69 Current price: 179.70
Enterprise Value: Equity Value: Terminal Value: TV as % of EV:

Base values reflect the latest available data for this company and market conditions.

Consensus Estimates
Metric Mar 1997
actual
Mar 1998
actual
Mar 1999
actual
Mar 2000
actual
Mar 2001
actual
Mar 2002
actual
Mar 2003
actual
Mar 2004
actual
Mar 2005
actual
Mar 2006
actual
Mar 2007
actual
Mar 2008
actual
Mar 2009
actual
Mar 2010
actual
Mar 2011
actual
Mar 2012
actual
Mar 2013
actual
Mar 2014
actual
Mar 2015
actual
Mar 2016
actual
Mar 2017
actual
Mar 2018
actual
Mar 2019
actual
Mar 2020
actual
Mar 2021
actual
Mar 2022
actual
Mar 2023
actual
Mar 2024
actual
Mar 2025
actual
Mar 2026
3 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Mar 2027
3 Rev. Ana.
2 EPS Ana.
Mar 2028
3 Rev. Ana.
2 EPS Ana.
Mar 2029
2 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Revenue
557.30M
est: 545.06M (+2.2%)
795.00M
est: 740.50M (+7.4%)
1.47B
est: 1.53B (-3.8%)
1.80B
est: 1.63B (+10.4%)
2.05B
est: 2.05B (+0.1%)
2.16B
est: 2.15B (+0.7%)
2.29B
est: 2.31B (-0.9%)
2.48B
est: 2.46B (+0.7%)
2.69B
est: 2.63B (+2.3%)
3.03B
est: 3.06B (-1.0%)
3.71B
est: 3.66B (+1.3%)
4.71B
est: 4.76B (-1.1%)
6.19B
est: 6.12B (+1.0%)
6.26B
est: 6.32B (-0.9%)
6.42B
est: 6.55B (-2.0%)
6.68B
est: 6.59B (+1.3%)
6.90B
est: 6.80B (+1.5%)
6.72B
est: 6.82B (-1.5%)
6.05B
est: 6.22B (-2.7%)
5.22B
est: 5.29B (-1.4%)
5.65B
est: 5.63B (+0.4%)
6.40B
est: 6.31B (+1.3%)
7.13B
est: 7.08B (+0.7%)
4.64B
est: 7.66B (-39.4%)
4.32B
est: 6.27B (-31.2%)
4.59B
est: 4.54B (+1.1%)
4.76B
est: 4.73B (+0.5%)
4.72B
est: 4.85B (-2.8%)
4.65B
est: 4.83B (-3.6%)
4.43B
4.39B – 4.47B
-8.2% YoY
4.10B
3.84B – 4.55B
-7.5% YoY
2.13B
2.06B – 2.19B
-48.1% YoY
2.20B
2.20B – 2.20B
+3.6% YoY
EBITDA
95.10M
est: 97.78M (-2.7%)
129.10M
est: 91.30M (+41.4%)
175.60M
est: 196.52M (-10.6%)
240.50M
est: 117.72M (+104.3%)
297.30M
est: 197.53M (+50.5%)
259.90M
est: 196.21M (+32.5%)
291.50M
est: 191.27M (+52.4%)
271.40M
est: 218.22M (+24.4%)
312.60M
est: 225.43M (+38.7%)
339.60M
est: 247.64M (+37.1%)
356.10M
est: 264.09M (+34.8%)
486.20M
est: 281.26M (+72.9%)
668.00M
est: 312.64M (+113.7%)
699.90M
est: 330.38M (+111.8%)
655.00M
est: 338.67M (+93.4%)
779.10M
est: 302.50M (+157.6%)
552.80M
est: 450.87M (+22.6%)
588.50M
est: 294.83M (+99.6%)
610.80M
est: 278.18M (+119.6%)
605.80M
est: 332.20M (+82.4%)
672.50M
est: 397.33M (+69.3%)
233.70M
est: 513.65M (-54.5%)
384.60M
est: 21.13M (+1,720.1%)
398.90M
est: 277.88M (+43.6%)
857.30M
est: 441.98M (+94.0%)
863.60M
est: 501.21M (+72.3%)
896.70M
est: 547.36M (+63.8%)
656.20M
est: 870.46M (-24.6%)
849.80M
est: 865.29M (-1.8%)
794.29M
786.77M – 801.53M
-8.2% YoY
734.74M
688.75M – 817.00M
-7.5% YoY
381.29M
369.80M – 392.79M
-48.1% YoY
394.91M
394.90M – 394.92M
+3.6% YoY
EBIT
67.10M
est: 17.89M (+275.1%)
92.80M
est: 82.87M (+12.0%)
128.60M
est: 186.48M (-31.0%)
171.10M
est: 129.20M (+32.4%)
203.90M
est: 203.84M (+0.0%)
164.80M
est: 137.55M (+19.8%)
192.30M
est: 177.38M (+8.4%)
186.70M
est: 191.38M (-2.4%)
208.30M
est: 176.05M (+18.3%)
219.20M
est: 202.18M (+8.4%)
213.00M
est: 235.37M (-9.5%)
277.90M
est: 264.62M (+5.0%)
379.00M
est: 344.16M (+10.1%)
367.00M
est: 379.58M (-3.3%)
310.80M
est: 384.92M (-19.3%)
439.00M
est: 310.42M (+41.4%)
136.10M
est: 462.01M (-70.5%)
216.30M
est: 207.62M (+4.2%)
247.30M
est: 214.74M (+15.2%)
247.30M
est: 210.23M (+17.6%)
285.80M
est: 261.24M (+9.4%)
-194.90M
est: 318.55M (-161.2%)
12.50M
est: -218.20M (+105.7%)
-233.00M
est: 10.67M (-2,283.5%)
172.80M
est: -140.11M (+223.3%)
123.90M
est: -158.88M (+178.0%)
166.20M
est: -173.52M (+195.8%)
63.20M
est: 246.84M (-74.4%)
226.90M
est: 245.37M (-7.5%)
225.24M
223.10M – 227.29M
-8.2% YoY
208.35M
195.31M – 231.68M
-7.5% YoY
108.12M
104.86M – 111.38M
-48.1% YoY
111.98M
111.98M – 111.99M
+3.6% YoY
Net Income
47.00M
est: 69.90M (-32.8%)
55.90M
est: 63.85M (-12.5%)
69.40M
est: 119.41M (-41.9%)
93.50M
est: 73.80M (+26.7%)
77.70M
est: 118.01M (-34.2%)
73.90M
est: 94.72M (-22.0%)
97.50M
est: 81.27M (+20.0%)
91.30M
est: 103.84M (-12.1%)
108.10M
est: 97.59M (+10.8%)
107.50M
est: 104.29M (+3.1%)
91.70M
est: 128.64M (-28.7%)
120.40M
est: 119.18M (+1.0%)
143.30M
est: 154.90M (-7.5%)
132.10M
est: 146.57M (-9.9%)
103.20M
est: 137.61M (-25.0%)
196.20M
est: 103.47M (+89.6%)
35.00M
est: 202.34M (-82.7%)
54.20M
est: 35.33M (+53.4%)
75.20M
est: 50.12M (+50.0%)
90.30M
est: 64.32M (+40.4%)
112.30M
est: 95.78M (+17.2%)
-296.00M
est: 126.14M (-334.7%)
-66.90M
est: -329.19M (+79.7%)
-327.20M
est: -72.85M (-349.2%)
78.40M
est: -300.22M (+126.1%)
636.40M
est: -340.45M (+286.9%)
87.10M
est: 78.50M (+11.0%)
-15.90M
est: 95.00M (-116.7%)
127.50M
est: 111.60M (+14.2%)
116.52M
115.59M – 117.45M
+4.4% YoY
118.31M
116.56M – 120.06M
+1.5% YoY
120.75M
116.60M – 124.90M
+2.1% YoY
145.69M
129.67M – 161.71M
+20.7% YoY
SGA
est: 154.69M (-100.0%)
est: 210.16M (-100.0%)
est: 433.94M (-100.0%)
est: 461.44M (-100.0%)
est: 582.42M (-100.0%)
est: 609.75M (-100.0%)
est: 656.31M (-100.0%)
est: 698.99M (-100.0%)
est: 747.16M (-100.0%)
est: 868.66M (-100.0%)
est: 1.04B (-100.0%)
est: 1.35B (-100.0%)
est: 1.74B (-100.0%)
est: 1.79B (-100.0%)
est: 1.86B (-100.0%)
est: 1.87B (-100.0%)
1.50M
est: 1.93B (-99.9%)
2.50M
est: 1.93B (-99.9%)
1.70M
est: 1.76B (-99.9%)
1.60M
est: 1.50B (-99.9%)
2.00M
est: 1.60B (-99.9%)
2.30M
est: 1.79B (-99.9%)
2.90M
est: 583.75M (-99.5%)
1.90B
est: 1.06B (+79.4%)
2.05B
est: 390.42M (+425.0%)
2.18B
est: 442.73M (+392.0%)
2.23B
est: 483.50M (+360.7%)
3.40M
est: 1.38B (-99.8%)
3.60M
est: 1.37B (-99.7%)
1.26B
1.24B – 1.27B
-8.2% YoY
1.16B
1.09B – 1.29B
-7.5% YoY
603.22M
585.03M – 621.40M
-48.1% YoY
624.76M
624.75M – 624.77M
+3.6% YoY
EPS
0.13
est: 0.11 (+15.8%)
0.14
est: 0.15 (-8.7%)
0.16
est: 0.19 (-15.7%)
0.19
est: 0.21 (-11.0%)
0.15
est: 0.20 (-23.6%)
0.14
est: 0.16 (-12.8%)
0.19
est: 0.19 (+2.3%)
0.18
est: 0.17 (+7.3%)
0.22
est: 0.24 (-8.3%)
0.22
est: 0.24 (-9.8%)
0.19
est: 0.28 (-31.1%)
0.23
est: 0.34 (-32.3%)
0.25
est: 0.40 (-38.0%)
0.22
est: 0.33 (-33.2%)
0.18
est: 0.35 (-47.8%)
0.33
est: 0.33 (-1.2%)
-0.03
est: 0.23 (-112.9%)
0.05
est: 0.08 (-36.6%)
0.06
est: 0.10 (-35.0%)
0.08
est: 0.10 (-22.0%)
0.09
est: 0.12 (-23.2%)
-0.25
est: 0.12 (-306.6%)
-0.06
est: 0.13 (-141.4%)
-0.27
est: 0.12 (-322.4%)
0.07
est: 0.00 (+20,965.4%)
0.60
est: 0.02 (+3,394.9%)
0.12
est: 0.08 (+51.3%)
-0.02
est: 0.15 (-115.6%)
0.21
est: 0.19 (+11.7%)
0.20
0.20 – 0.20
+7.8% YoY
0.21
0.20 – 0.21
+1.7% YoY
0.21
0.20 – 0.22
+1.9% YoY
0.25
0.23 – 0.28
+16.9% YoY
Historical Ratings (3M)
Date Rating Overall DCF ROE ROA D/E P/E P/B
2026-06-18 B+ 3/5 1/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-06-17 B+ 3/5 1/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-06-16 B+ 3/5 1/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-06-15 B+ 3/5 1/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-06-12 B+ 3/5 1/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-06-11 B+ 3/5 1/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-06-10 B+ 3/5 1/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-06-09 B+ 3/5 1/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-06-08 B+ 3/5 1/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-06-05 B+ 3/5 1/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-06-04 B+ 3/5 1/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-06-03 B+ 3/5 1/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-06-02 B+ 3/5 1/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-06-01 B+ 3/5 1/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-05-29 B+ 3/5 1/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-05-28 B+ 3/5 1/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-05-27 B+ 3/5 1/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-05-26 B+ 3/5 1/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-05-22 B+ 3/5 1/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-05-21 B+ 3/5 1/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-05-20 B+ 3/5 1/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-05-19 B+ 3/5 1/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-05-18 B+ 3/5 1/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-05-15 B+ 3/5 1/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-05-14 B+ 3/5 1/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-05-13 B+ 3/5 1/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-05-12 B+ 3/5 1/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-05-11 B+ 3/5 1/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-05-08 B+ 3/5 1/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-05-07 B+ 3/5 1/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-05-06 B+ 3/5 1/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-05-05 B+ 3/5 1/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-05-01 B+ 3/5 1/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-04-30 B+ 3/5 1/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-04-29 B+ 3/5 1/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-04-28 B+ 3/5 1/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-04-27 B+ 3/5 1/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-04-24 B+ 3/5 1/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-04-23 B+ 3/5 1/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-04-22 B+ 3/5 1/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-04-21 B+ 3/5 1/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-04-20 B+ 3/5 1/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-04-17 B+ 3/5 1/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-04-16 B+ 3/5 1/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 3/5

Owner Earnings

Owner's Earnings (history) From To
Owner alignment
Owner's Earnings TTM
1.13B
OE per share TTM
1.75
Owner's Yield
106.94%
Maintenance CapEx ratio
158.65%
Maint CapEx / Avg PPE
49.4%

Ownership Overview

Ownership breakdown

Ownership breakdown not available.

At a glance
Institutional holders
Total invested
Insider transactions (90d)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)

No beneficial ownership filings recorded.

Institutional Activity (13F)

Institutional ownership trend

Institutional history not available.

Top institutional holders

Top holders not available.

ETF Ownership

Top ETFs holding this stock Held by 98 ETFs in our universe
# ETF Weight Est. AUM exposure TER
1 Amundi Prime UK Mid & Small Cap UCITS ETF DR - GBP (D) PRUK.L 0.53% 2.26M 0.05%
2 WisdomTree Europe SmallCap Dividend UCITS ETF Acc DFEA.L 0.42% 389.6K 0.38%
3 WisdomTree Europe SmallCap Dividend UCITS ETF WTES.DE 0.42% 389.6K 0.38%
4 VanEck - FTSE Global Infrastructure (AUD Hedged) ETF IFRA.AX 0.34% 5.02M 0.20%
5 iShares Core FTSE Global Infrastructure (AUD Hedged) ETF GLIN.AX 0.34% 4.16M 0.15%
6 Xtrackers FTSE 250 UCITS ETF 1D XMCX.L 0.34% 130.8K 0.15%
7 HSBC FTSE 250 UCITS ETF HMCX.L 0.32% 218.0K 0.09%
8 Invesco FTSE 250 UCITS ETF S250.L 0.32% 114.8K 0.12%
9 iShares FTSE 250 UCITS ETF MIDD.L 0.32% 2.73M 0.40%
10 State Street SPDR MSCI Europe Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETF EUR Acc ZPRX.DE 0.31% 2.42M 0.30%

Insider Activity

Insider Activity — Latest Quarter

No insider activity available.

Insider buys vs sells (history)

Insider history not available.

Recent insider transactions

No recent insider transactions.

Executive team

Top executives
EBIT / Employee
7.7K
Shares Outstanding
543.13M

Executive compensation

Executive compensation (annual)

Executive compensation not available.

CEO compensation breakdown

No CEO compensation history available.

Proxy statements

Proxy statements (DEF 14A)

No proxy statements available for this company yet.

Recent SEC filings

Recent SEC filings

No SEC filings available for this company yet.

Executive team

NameTitleCompensationGender
Graham F. Sutherland Chief Executive Officer & Executive Director 1M male
Ryan Mangold Chief Financial Officer & Director 1M male
David John Mark Blizzard Company Secretary male
Steve Montgomery Managing Director of First Rail male
Stuart Butchers Group Head of Communications
Marianna Bowes Head of Investor Relations female
Janette Bell Managing Director of First Bus female
ESG Score History

No data available for this company.

Senate Trading Activity

No Senate trading activity found for this company.

House Trading Activity

No House trading activity found for this company.

Market share among peers
Peer comparison — filtered group (TTM)
Your opinion

Share your view on this stock and instantly see how the community has voted over the last 6 months.

These are community opinions and do not constitute buy or sell advice to act on. The results shown are based on aggregated opinions and are not an investment recommendation, nor do they intend to influence any investment decision.

Dividend yield history

Dividend history

Earnings history

Earnings reports

Stock splits