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Keisei Electric Railway Co., Ltd. (9009.T)

JPY1,233.00 -17.00 (-1.36%)
JP JPX Industrials Railroads
Address 3-3-1 Yawata 272-8510
Ichikawa, JP
CEO Kazunori Horiuchi
IPO 2000-01-04
ISIN JP3278600006

Explore sections of this company profile

Also trades on Other OTC · KELRF (USD) Tokyo Stock Exchange · 9009.T (JPY)
Description

Keisei Electric Railway Co., Ltd. engages in the provision of public railway transportation services for local communities in Japan. It operates through the Transportation, Distribution, Real Estate, Leisure and Service, and Construction segments. The Transportation segment is involved in the railway, bus, and taxi businesses. Its Distribution segment consists of stores, department stores, and other retail businesses. The Real Estate segment engages in the leasing of residential properties and an office building, as well as the sale of units in apartment buildings, a mixed-use development project, and commercial facilities. Its Leisure and Service segment develops restaurants, movies, hotels, advertising agencies, and travel agencies. The Construction segment is involved in engineering projects and construction of commercial facilities. The company also engages in the rail car maintenance, insurance agency, and driving school businesses. As of April 1, 2025, it operates 762 passenger cars and 91 stations covering 178.8 kilometers of railway. Keisei Electric Railway Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1909 and is headquartered in Ichikawa, Japan.

Market Cap & Enterprise Value
Merger & Acquisition History

No mergers or acquisitions recorded for this company.

Technical Outlook
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Signal Summary Loading…
Indicator 1D1W2W3W1M
Each column is computed on that timeframe's candles (1D = daily, 1W ≈ weekly, 1M ≈ monthly), not on the same last day. ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · — neutral. The Net row counts signals per column; hover any cell (or the indicator name) to see the exact rule behind it.
Day Score & sub-scores
Statistical fingerprint & regime detail
Conditional historical analysis
Customize analysis (advanced)
Indicative levels generated algorithmically. Not financial advice.
Risk Profile
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Price Chart
Averages
Trend
Price
Levels
Draw
JPY1,233.00 -17.00 (-1.36%)
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Volume Profile
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Liquidity & share structure
Average Volume
2M
Beta
0.18
Float Shares
340.12M
Free Float %
70.5%
Price Performance
1D5D1M3M6M YTD1Y3Y5Y10YMax
+1.14% -5.24% -10.86% -17.76% -16.93% -16.41% -32.24% -39.69% +3.64% +12.84% +515.88%
Rolling Volatility
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Drawdown
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Relative Strength
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
From To
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Annual Monthly Returns
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Daily Returns Distribution
vs.
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Revenue flow

Revenue by geography

Revenue by segment

From To

Revenue composition

From To

By product

By geography

Financial Statements

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Cash Flow Statement

Key Metrics

Financial Ratios

Employees

Financial Growth (CAGR)

Market Data

Price Targets & DCF
Current price
1,233.00
DCF (Unlevered) 3,541.50 +187.2%
Ratings Trend (MoM) 0% Bullish
Rating 2026-05 Change
Strong Buy 0 0
Buy 0 0
Hold 5 0
Sell 0 0
Strong Sell 0 0
Quality scores
Altman Z-Score
1.35
Distress
Piotroski F-Score
3 / 9
Average
MOAT Score
5 / 10
Developing
Composite Rating
A-
Overall Score
4 / 5
High
DCF Score
4 / 5
High
ROE Score
3 / 5
Medium
ROA Score
4 / 5
High
D/E Score
2 / 5
Medium
P/E Score
4 / 5
High
P/Book Score
4 / 5
High
Operational MOAT
✗ Below peers
  • Revenue growth Railroads: +4.6%
    +7.7% Q1'26: +4.6% (vs Q1'25)
  • EPS growth Railroads: +13.0%
    -18.0% Q1'26: -38.7% (vs Q1'25)
  • FCF margin Railroads: +16.1%
    +2.0% Q1'26: +0.0% (vs Q1'25)
  • EBIT margin Railroads: +13.6%
    +11.3% Q1'26: +2.9% (vs Q1'25)
  • ROIC Railroads: +5.7%
    +3.1% Q1'26: +1.1% (vs Q1'25)
  • Share dilution Railroads: +0.0%
    -2.7% Q1'26: -0.7% (vs Q1'25)
  • Debt / EBITDA Railroads: 1.01×
    4.80× Q1'26: 37.87× (vs Q1'25)
Valuation Multiples From To
Price Forecast (3Y) From To
Model
Adjust
P/E
Theoretical Return — If Invested Today

* These projections are based on analyst consensus estimates and user-defined valuation multiples. This table is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

DCF Interactive Model (UFCF)
Projection years:
Market assumptions
WACC components (optional)
Ke (Cost of Equity) = Rf + β (0.18) × ERP
WACC = 81% × Ke + 19% × Kd (4.0%) × (1−t)

Modifying these values recalculates WACC automatically.

Business assumptions
Intrinsic value (base): 3,571.31 Current price: 1,233.00
Enterprise Value: Equity Value: Terminal Value: TV as % of EV:

Base values reflect the latest available data for this company and market conditions.

Consensus Estimates
Metric Mar 2015
actual
Mar 2016
actual
Mar 2017
actual
Mar 2018
actual
Mar 2019
actual
Mar 2020
actual
Mar 2021
actual
Mar 2022
actual
Mar 2023
actual
Mar 2024
actual
Mar 2025
actual
Mar 2026
5 Rev. Ana.
5 EPS Ana.
Mar 2027
5 Rev. Ana.
4 EPS Ana.
Mar 2028
5 Rev. Ana.
5 EPS Ana.
Mar 2029
2 Rev. Ana.
2 EPS Ana.
Mar 2030
1 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Mar 2031
1 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Revenue
249.02B
est: 249.70B (-0.3%)
251.20B
est: 250.53B (+0.3%)
245.84B
est: 247.95B (-0.9%)
255.03B
est: 258.00B (-1.2%)
261.55B
est: 264.40B (-1.1%)
274.80B
est: 279.03B (-1.5%)
207.76B
est: 213.98B (-2.9%)
214.16B
est: 224.47B (-4.6%)
252.34B
est: 253.85B (-0.6%)
296.51B
est: 304.34B (-2.6%)
319.31B
est: 328.95B (-2.9%)
332.18B
328.79B – 334.69B
+1.0% YoY
342.20B
335.34B – 347.87B
+3.0% YoY
355.59B
344.08B – 372.69B
+3.9% YoY
356.82B
356.82B – 356.82B
+0.3% YoY
368.94B
359.23B – 380.98B
+3.4% YoY
375.31B
365.43B – 387.55B
+1.7% YoY
EBITDA
46.85B
est: 63.21B (-25.9%)
51.69B
est: 63.42B (-18.5%)
53.94B
est: 62.77B (-14.1%)
55.62B
est: 65.31B (-14.8%)
57.21B
est: 66.93B (-14.5%)
57.41B
est: 70.64B (-18.7%)
12.18B
est: 54.17B (-77.5%)
25.28B
est: 56.82B (-55.5%)
41.85B
est: 64.26B (-34.9%)
58.59B
est: 34.49B (+69.9%)
68.61B
est: 37.28B (+84.0%)
37.65B
37.26B – 37.93B
+1.0% YoY
38.78B
38.00B – 39.42B
+3.0% YoY
40.30B
38.99B – 42.24B
+3.9% YoY
40.44B
40.44B – 40.44B
+0.3% YoY
41.81B
40.71B – 43.18B
+3.4% YoY
42.53B
41.41B – 43.92B
+1.7% YoY
EBIT
24.31B
est: 31.86B (-23.7%)
28.23B
est: 31.97B (-11.7%)
30.05B
est: 31.64B (-5.0%)
30.09B
est: 32.92B (-8.6%)
31.61B
est: 33.74B (-6.3%)
28.32B
est: 35.60B (-20.5%)
-18.06B
est: 27.30B (-166.1%)
-5.20B
est: 28.64B (-118.2%)
10.23B
est: 32.39B (-68.4%)
25.24B
est: 74.04B (-65.9%)
36.01B
est: 80.02B (-55.0%)
80.81B
79.98B – 81.42B
+1.0% YoY
83.25B
81.58B – 84.63B
+3.0% YoY
86.50B
83.70B – 90.66B
+3.9% YoY
86.80B
86.80B – 86.80B
+0.3% YoY
89.75B
87.39B – 92.68B
+3.4% YoY
91.30B
88.90B – 94.28B
+1.7% YoY
Net Income
25.68B
est: 23.33B (+10.1%)
31.00B
est: 29.74B (+4.2%)
35.71B
est: 32.22B (+10.8%)
34.81B
est: 32.84B (+6.0%)
38.64B
est: 35.76B (+8.1%)
30.11B
est: 34.21B (-12.0%)
-30.29B
est: -21.27B (-42.4%)
-4.44B
est: 2.17B (-304.2%)
26.93B
est: 26.21B (+2.8%)
87.66B
est: 263.78B (-66.8%)
69.96B
est: 66.65B (+5.0%)
46.03B
44.85B – 47.22B
-30.9% YoY
45.37B
43.60B – 47.50B
-1.4% YoY
50.29B
44.85B – 55.10B
+10.8% YoY
50.75B
47.70B – 53.82B
+0.9% YoY
57.10B
55.14B – 59.52B
+12.5% YoY
57.82B
55.84B – 60.27B
+1.3% YoY
SGA
35.03B
est: 39.33B (-10.9%)
35.33B
est: 39.46B (-10.5%)
34.71B
est: 39.05B (-11.1%)
35.20B
est: 40.63B (-13.4%)
36.63B
est: 41.64B (-12.0%)
39.33B
est: 43.95B (-10.5%)
36.72B
est: 33.70B (+9.0%)
38.32B
est: 35.35B (+8.4%)
37.16B
est: 39.98B (-7.1%)
42.32B
est: 46.40B (-8.8%)
41.16B
est: 50.15B (-17.9%)
50.64B
50.13B – 51.03B
+1.0% YoY
52.17B
51.12B – 53.04B
+3.0% YoY
54.21B
52.46B – 56.82B
+3.9% YoY
54.40B
54.40B – 54.40B
+0.3% YoY
56.25B
54.77B – 58.08B
+3.4% YoY
57.22B
55.71B – 59.09B
+1.7% YoY
EPS
50.57
est: 47.84 (+5.7%)
61.03
est: 60.99 (+0.1%)
70.32
est: 66.07 (+6.4%)
68.55
est: 67.33 (+1.8%)
76.10
est: 73.33 (+3.8%)
59.36
est: 70.15 (-15.4%)
-59.88
est: -43.61 (-37.3%)
-8.78
est: 4.46 (-297.1%)
53.90
est: 53.74 (+0.3%)
174.86
est: 544.76 (-67.9%)
143.46
est: 137.66 (+4.2%)
96.37
93.01 – 97.91
-30.0% YoY
94.07
90.41 – 98.50
-2.4% YoY
100.78
93.00 – 114.25
+7.1% YoY
105.26
98.91 – 111.60
+4.4% YoY
118.40
114.35 – 123.42
+12.5% YoY
119.90
115.80 – 124.98
+1.3% YoY
Historical Ratings (3M)
Date Rating Overall DCF ROE ROA D/E P/E P/B
2026-05-08 A- 4/5 4/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 4/5 4/5
2026-05-07 A- 4/5 4/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 4/5 4/5
2026-05-01 A- 4/5 4/5 3/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 4/5
2026-04-30 A- 4/5 4/5 3/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 4/5
2026-04-28 A- 4/5 4/5 3/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 4/5
2026-04-27 A- 4/5 4/5 3/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 4/5
2026-04-24 A- 4/5 4/5 3/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 4/5
2026-04-23 A- 4/5 4/5 3/5 5/5 1/5 4/5 4/5
2026-04-22 A- 4/5 4/5 3/5 5/5 1/5 4/5 4/5
2026-04-21 A- 4/5 4/5 3/5 5/5 1/5 4/5 4/5
2026-04-20 A- 4/5 4/5 3/5 5/5 1/5 4/5 4/5
2026-04-17 A- 4/5 4/5 3/5 5/5 1/5 4/5 4/5
2026-04-16 A- 4/5 4/5 3/5 5/5 1/5 4/5 4/5
2026-04-15 A- 4/5 4/5 3/5 5/5 1/5 4/5 4/5
2026-04-14 A- 4/5 4/5 3/5 5/5 1/5 4/5 4/5
2026-04-13 A- 4/5 4/5 3/5 5/5 1/5 4/5 4/5
2026-04-10 A- 4/5 4/5 3/5 5/5 1/5 4/5 4/5

Owner Earnings

Owner's Earnings (history) From To
Owner alignment
Owner's Earnings TTM
88.09B
OE per share TTM
176.27
Owner's Yield
16.32%
Maintenance CapEx ratio
32.78%
Maint CapEx / Avg PPE
234.0%

Ownership Overview

Ownership breakdown

Ownership breakdown not available.

At a glance
Institutional holders
Total invested
Insider transactions (90d)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)

No beneficial ownership filings recorded.

Institutional Activity (13F)

Institutional ownership trend

Institutional history not available.

Top institutional holders

Top holders not available.

Insider Activity

Insider Activity — Latest Quarter

No insider activity available.

Insider buys vs sells (history)

Insider history not available.

Recent insider transactions

No recent insider transactions.

Executive team

Top executives
EBIT / Employee
2.65M
Shares Outstanding
482.23M

Executive compensation

Executive compensation (annual)

Executive compensation not available.

CEO compensation breakdown

No CEO compensation history available.

Proxy statements

Proxy statements (DEF 14A)

No proxy statements available for this company yet.

Recent SEC filings

Recent SEC filings

No SEC filings available for this company yet.

Executive team

NameTitleCompensationGender
Hideki Mochinaga Executive Managing Officer, Chief of Railways & Director male
Hiroyuki Yotsui Accounting Department Manager
Kunihiko Yoshikawa Managing Executive Officer, Group Strategy, General Affairs & Human Resources and Director
Makoto Enmei Executive Officer, Vice Chief of Railways, GM of Project Promotion Department & Director male
Shinichi Miyaji Executive Officer
Tadakazu Oka Managing Executive Officer, Head of Management & Director male
Takao Amano President, Chief Executive Officer & Director male
Takeshi Shimizu Managing Executive Officer, Head of Development Division & Director male
Tetsuya Honda Executive Officer
Toru Sasaki Executive Officer
ESG Score History

No data available for this company.

Senate Trading Activity

No Senate trading activity found for this company.

House Trading Activity

No House trading activity found for this company.

Market share among peers
Peer comparison — filtered group (TTM)
Your opinion

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Dividend yield history

Dividend history

Earnings history

Earnings reports

Stock splits