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Alsea, S.A.B. de C.V. (ALSEA.MX)

MXN42.42 -0.41 (-0.96%)
MX MEX Consumer Cyclical Restaurants
Address Avenida RevoluciOn N 1267 1040
Mexico City, DF, MX
CEO Christian Gurria Dubernard
Website alsea.net
IPO 2000-01-18
ISIN MXP001391012

Explore sections of this company profile

Also trades on Mexican Stock Exchange · ALSEA.MX (MXN) Other OTC · ALSSF (USD)
Description

Alsea, S.A.B. de C.V. is a significant restaurant management company operating throughout Latin America and Europe. Its diverse array of dining establishments includes fast food, cafeterias, casual dining, casual fast-food outlets, and family restaurants. These operate under a variety of well-known brands such as Domino's Pizza, Starbucks, Burger King, Chili's, PF Chang's, Italianni's, The Cheesecake Factory, Vips, Vips Smart, El Portón, Archies, Foster's Hollywood, Ginos, TGI Fridays, Ole Mole, and Corazón de Barro. By December 31, 2020, the company oversaw a total of 4,192 units, comprising 3,283 corporate-owned venues and 909 sub-franchised locations. These operations span Mexico, Spain, Argentina, Colombia, Chile, France, Portugal, Belgium, the Netherlands, Luxembourg, and Uruguay. Beyond its core hospitality business, Alsea is also involved in factoring and provides financial leasing services. The enterprise was founded in 1997 and its main office is situated in Mexico City, Mexico.

Market Cap & Enterprise Value
Merger & Acquisition History

No mergers or acquisitions recorded for this company.

Technical Outlook
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Signal Summary Loading…
Indicator 1D1W2W3W1M
Each column is computed on that timeframe's candles (1D = daily, 1W ≈ weekly, 1M ≈ monthly), not on the same last day. ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · — neutral. The Net row counts signals per column; hover any cell (or the indicator name) to see the exact rule behind it.
Day Score & sub-scores
Statistical fingerprint & regime detail
Conditional historical analysis
Customize analysis (advanced)
Indicative levels generated algorithmically. Not financial advice.
Risk Profile
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Price Chart
Averages
Trend
Price
Levels
Draw
MXN42.42 -0.41 (-0.96%)
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Volume Profile
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Liquidity & share structure
Average Volume
1M
Beta
0.28
Float Shares
501.83M
Free Float %
62.9%
Price Performance
1D5D1M3M6M YTD1Y3Y5Y10YMax
+0.06% +2.81% +3.21% -12.64% +5.78% -1.49% +9.65% +4.99% +58.84% -24.69% +1,730.00%
Rolling Volatility
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Drawdown
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Relative Strength
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
From To
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Annual Monthly Returns
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Daily Returns Distribution
vs.
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Revenue flow

Revenue by geography

Revenue by segment

From To

Revenue composition

From To

By product

By geography

Financial Statements

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Cash Flow Statement

Key Metrics

Financial Ratios

Employees

Financial Growth (CAGR)

Market Data

Price Targets & DCF
Current price
42.42
DCF (Unlevered) 3,385.38 +7,880.6%
DCF (Levered) 924.37 +2,079.1%

DCF figures are point estimates: small changes in growth or discount-rate assumptions move them materially. Read them as a reference, not a precise target.

Ratings Trend (MoM) 80% Bullish
Rating 2026-05 Change
Strong Buy 4 0
Buy 8 0
Hold 2 -1
Sell 1 0
Strong Sell 0 0
Quality scores
Altman Z-Score
1.75
Distress
Piotroski F-Score
7 / 9
Strong
MOAT Score
6 / 10
Developing
Composite Rating
B+
Overall Score
3 / 5
Medium
DCF Score
5 / 5
High
ROE Score
5 / 5
High
ROA Score
4 / 5
High
D/E Score
1 / 5
Low
P/E Score
2 / 5
Medium
P/Book Score
1 / 5
Low
Operational MOAT
✗ Below peers
  • Revenue growth Restaurants: +7.4%
    +7.2% Q1'26: +0.3% (vs Q1'25)
  • EPS growth Restaurants: +14.8%
    +192.6% Q1'26: -60.7% (vs Q1'25)
  • FCF margin FCF growth · Restaurants: +21.6%
    +5.0% Q1'26: +3.2% (vs Q1'25)
  • EBIT margin Restaurants: +6.1%
    +9.4% Q1'26: +8.2% (vs Q1'25)
  • ROIC Restaurants: +6.2%
    +7.4% Q1'26: +7.2% (vs Q1'25)
  • Share dilution Restaurants: +0.0%
    -0.8% Q1'26: -0.5% (vs Q1'25)
  • Debt / EBITDA Net debt/EBITDA · Restaurants: 0.72×
    3.65× Q1'26: 3.32× (vs Q1'25)
Valuation Multiples From To
Price Forecast (3Y) From To
Model
Adjust
P/E
Theoretical Return — If Invested Today

* These projections are based on analyst consensus estimates and user-defined valuation multiples. This table is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

DCF Interactive Model (UFCF)
Projection years:
Market assumptions
WACC components (optional)
Ke (Cost of Equity) = Rf + β (0.28) × ERP
WACC = 40% × Ke + 60% × Kd (7.2%) × (1−t)

Modifying these values recalculates WACC automatically.

Business assumptions
Intrinsic value (base): 3,385.38 Current price: 42.42
Enterprise Value: Equity Value: Terminal Value: TV as % of EV:

Base values reflect the latest available data for this company and market conditions.

Consensus Estimates
Metric Dec 2015
actual
Dec 2016
actual
Dec 2017
actual
Dec 2018
actual
Dec 2019
actual
Dec 2020
actual
Dec 2021
actual
Dec 2022
actual
Dec 2023
actual
Dec 2024
actual
Dec 2025
actual
Dec 2026
11 Rev. Ana.
11 EPS Ana.
Dec 2027
11 Rev. Ana.
10 EPS Ana.
Dec 2028
4 Rev. Ana.
5 EPS Ana.
Dec 2029
5 Rev. Ana.
4 EPS Ana.
Dec 2030
5 Rev. Ana.
4 EPS Ana.
Revenue
32.29B
est: 32.26B (+0.1%)
37.70B
est: 37.52B (+0.5%)
42.53B
est: 42.85B (-0.7%)
46.16B
est: 45.47B (+1.5%)
58.15B
est: 58.05B (+0.2%)
38.50B
est: 38.44B (+0.1%)
53.38B
est: 51.88B (+2.9%)
68.83B
est: 67.88B (+1.4%)
74.77B
est: 76.51B (-2.3%)
78.99B
est: 80.58B (-2.0%)
84.68B
est: 85.41B (-0.9%)
89.52B
87.04B – 98.18B
+4.8% YoY
95.82B
93.70B – 99.02B
+7.0% YoY
102.53B
99.98B – 109.09B
+7.0% YoY
111.88B
109.11B – 119.05B
+9.1% YoY
120.36B
117.38B – 128.07B
+7.6% YoY
EBITDA
4.18B
est: 16.82B (-75.1%)
4.93B
est: 19.56B (-74.8%)
6.15B
est: 22.34B (-72.5%)
6.58B
est: 23.71B (-72.2%)
12.89B
est: 30.27B (-57.4%)
6.34B
est: 20.04B (-68.4%)
12.69B
est: 27.05B (-53.1%)
14.08B
est: 35.39B (-60.2%)
8.26T
est: 39.89B (+20,596.0%)
8.74T
est: 42.72B (+20,349.5%)
17.65B
est: 45.27B (-61.0%)
47.45B
46.14B – 52.05B
+4.8% YoY
50.80B
49.67B – 52.49B
+7.0% YoY
54.35B
53.00B – 57.83B
+7.0% YoY
59.31B
57.84B – 63.11B
+9.1% YoY
63.81B
62.22B – 67.89B
+7.6% YoY
EBIT
2.23B
est: 1.84B (+21.3%)
2.54B
est: 2.14B (+18.5%)
3.39B
est: 2.44B (+38.9%)
3.47B
est: 2.59B (+33.6%)
4.84B
est: 3.31B (+46.2%)
-1.87B
est: 2.19B (-185.2%)
4.51B
est: 2.96B (+52.3%)
6.49B
est: 3.87B (+67.7%)
6.94B
est: 4.37B (+59.0%)
4.91B
est: 6.90B (-28.8%)
7.97B
est: 7.31B (+9.0%)
7.66B
7.45B – 8.40B
+4.8% YoY
8.20B
8.02B – 8.48B
+7.0% YoY
8.78B
8.56B – 9.34B
+7.0% YoY
9.58B
9.34B – 10.19B
+9.1% YoY
10.30B
10.05B – 10.96B
+7.6% YoY
Net Income
981.22M
est: 892.36M (+10.0%)
996.47M
est: 970.51M (+2.7%)
1.09B
est: 1.11B (-1.4%)
953.25M
est: 1.08B (-12.0%)
926.67M
est: 805.47M (+15.0%)
-3.24B
est: -3.26B (+0.7%)
734.19M
est: 256.48M (+186.3%)
1.74B
est: 1.59B (+9.5%)
2.98B
est: 2.24B (+33.2%)
767.58M
est: 1.98B (-61.2%)
2.23B
est: 2.57B (-13.3%)
3.08B
2.18B – 4.05B
+19.7% YoY
3.78B
2.84B – 4.40B
+22.6% YoY
4.51B
4.36B – 4.88B
+19.2% YoY
4.85B
4.69B – 5.25B
+7.6% YoY
5.59B
5.41B – 6.06B
+15.3% YoY
SGA
1.24B
est: 2.05B (-39.6%)
1.50B
est: 2.38B (-36.9%)
2.21B
est: 2.72B (-18.9%)
2.29B
est: 2.89B (-20.7%)
4.01B
est: 3.68B (+8.8%)
2.95B
est: 2.44B (+21.1%)
2.99B
est: 3.29B (-9.1%)
3.75B
est: 4.31B (-13.0%)
4.19B
est: 4.85B (-13.7%)
5.84B
est: 13.25B (-55.9%)
49.26B
est: 14.05B (+250.7%)
14.72B
14.31B – 16.15B
+4.8% YoY
15.76B
15.41B – 16.28B
+7.0% YoY
16.86B
16.44B – 17.94B
+7.0% YoY
18.40B
17.94B – 19.58B
+9.1% YoY
19.79B
19.30B – 21.06B
+7.6% YoY
EPS
1.17
est: 1.10 (+6.1%)
1.19
est: 1.20 (-0.8%)
1.31
est: 1.37 (-4.1%)
1.14
est: 1.34 (-14.9%)
1.11
est: 1.00 (+11.5%)
-4.65
est: -4.03 (-15.5%)
1.00
est: 0.32 (+215.5%)
2.03
est: 1.96 (+3.5%)
3.66
est: 2.77 (+32.2%)
0.95
est: 2.46 (-61.4%)
2.78
est: 3.21 (-13.3%)
3.84
2.71 – 5.04
+19.7% YoY
4.71
3.54 – 5.48
+22.6% YoY
5.61
5.43 – 6.08
+19.2% YoY
6.04
5.84 – 6.54
+7.6% YoY
6.96
6.74 – 7.54
+15.3% YoY
Historical Ratings (3M)
Date Rating Overall DCF ROE ROA D/E P/E P/B
2026-05-28 B+ 3/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 2/5 1/5
2026-05-27 B+ 3/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 2/5 1/5
2026-05-26 B+ 3/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 2/5 1/5
2026-05-25 B+ 3/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 2/5 1/5
2026-05-22 B+ 3/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 2/5 1/5
2026-05-21 B+ 3/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 2/5 1/5
2026-05-20 B+ 3/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 2/5 1/5
2026-05-19 B+ 3/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 1/5
2026-05-18 B+ 3/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 1/5
2026-05-15 B+ 3/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 1/5
2026-05-14 B+ 3/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 1/5
2026-05-13 B+ 3/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 1/5
2026-05-12 B+ 3/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 1/5
2026-05-11 B+ 3/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 1/5
2026-05-08 B+ 3/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 1/5
2026-05-07 B+ 3/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 1/5
2026-05-06 B+ 3/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 1/5
2026-05-05 B+ 3/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 1/5
2026-05-04 B+ 3/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 1/5
2026-04-30 B+ 3/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 1/5
2026-04-29 B+ 3/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 1/5
2026-04-28 B+ 3/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 1/5
2026-04-27 B+ 3/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 1/5
2026-04-24 B+ 3/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 1/5
2026-04-23 B+ 3/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 1/5
2026-04-22 B+ 3/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 1/5
2026-04-21 A- 4/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 2/5
2026-04-20 A- 4/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 2/5
2026-04-17 A- 4/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 2/5
2026-04-16 A- 4/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 2/5

Owner Earnings

Owner's Earnings (history) From To
Owner alignment
Owner's Earnings TTM
6.67B
OE per share TTM
8.31
Owner's Yield
15.72%
Maintenance CapEx ratio
802.67%
Maint CapEx / Avg PPE
52.0%

Ownership Overview

Ownership breakdown

Ownership breakdown not available.

At a glance
Institutional holders
Total invested
Insider transactions (90d)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)

No beneficial ownership filings recorded.

Institutional Activity (13F)

Institutional ownership trend

Institutional history not available.

Top institutional holders

Top holders not available.

ETF Ownership

Top ETFs holding this stock Held by 73 ETFs in our universe
# ETF Weight Est. AUM exposure TER
1 iShares MSCI Mexico ETF EWW 0.79% 14.74M 0.50%
2 Franklin FTSE Mexico ETF FLMX 0.67% 559.9K 0.19%
3 Sophus Capital Emerging Market ETF EMEM 0.56% 335.2K 0.65%
4 Franklin FTSE Latin America ETF FLLA 0.15% 166.4K 0.19%
5 FlexShares Morningstar Emerging Markets Factor Tilt Index Fund TLTE 0.14% 474.9K 0.58%
6 WisdomTree Emerging Markets SmallCap Dividend UCITS ETF DGSD.L 0.11% 49.5K 0.54%
7 WisdomTree Emerging Markets SmallCap Dividend Fund DGS 0.11% 1.97M 0.58%
8 Avantis Emerging Markets Small Cap Equity ETF AVEE 0.09% 110.5K 0.42%
9 State Street SPDR MSCI Emerging Markets Small Cap UCITS ETF EMSD.L 0.09% 520.9K 0.55%
10 iShares MSCI EM Small Cap UCITS ETF IEMS.L 0.08% 282.3K 0.74%

Insider Activity

Insider Activity — Latest Quarter

No insider activity available.

Insider buys vs sells (history)

Insider history not available.

Recent insider transactions

No recent insider transactions.

Executive team

Top executives
EBIT / Employee
99.2K
Shares Outstanding
797.80M

Executive compensation

Executive compensation (annual)

Executive compensation not available.

CEO compensation breakdown

No CEO compensation history available.

Proxy statements

Proxy statements (DEF 14A)

No proxy statements available for this company yet.

Recent SEC filings

Recent SEC filings

No SEC filings available for this company yet.

Executive team

NameTitleCompensationGender
Alberto Torrado Martinez Founder & Director male
Armando Torrado Martinez Chairman & President male
Christian Gurria Dubernard Chief Executive Officer male
Federico Rodríguez Rovira Chief Financial Officer & Director of Administration and Finance
Gerardo Lozoya Lapati Investor Relations & Corporate Affairs Director male
María del Socorro Guajardo Director of Human Resources female
Xavier Mangino Duenas Secretary male
ESG Score History

No data available for this company.

Senate Trading Activity

No Senate trading activity found for this company.

House Trading Activity

No House trading activity found for this company.

Market share among peers
Peer comparison — filtered group (TTM)
Your opinion

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Dividend yield history

Dividend history

Earnings history

Earnings reports

Stock splits