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Herfy Food Services Company (6002.SR)

SAR13.75 -0.21 (-1.50%)
SA SAU Consumer Cyclical Restaurants
Address A1 Moroug District 11632
Riyadh, Riyadh Province, SA
CEO Mohammad Lotfy Saleh Al Bargothy
Website herfy.com
IPO 2010-03-03
ISIN SA12GGPITP13

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Description

Herfy Food Services is primarily involved in establishing, managing, and franchising restaurant outlets, predominantly within Saudi Arabia. Its eateries serve prepared meals to a diverse clientele, including corporate clients. By the close of 2021, the company operated 386 HERFY-branded restaurants in the Kingdom, with 40 being company-owned and 346 under lease agreements. Beyond its restaurant operations, Herfy extends its offerings to include catering, the production and sale of various food items such as meat products, pastries, and baked goods, and the management of its own bakeries. Furthermore, it engages in real estate activities, acquiring and divesting land for development purposes, and manages the ownership, utilization, upkeep, and rental of retail spaces and refrigeration units for food storage. Established in 1981, Herfy Food Services is headquartered in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

Market Cap & Enterprise Value
Merger & Acquisition History

No mergers or acquisitions recorded for this company.

Technical Outlook
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Signal Summary Loading…
Indicator 1D1W2W3W1M
Each column is computed on that timeframe's candles (1D = daily, 1W ≈ weekly, 1M ≈ monthly), not on the same last day. ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · — neutral. The Net row counts signals per column; hover any cell (or the indicator name) to see the exact rule behind it.
Day Score & sub-scores
Statistical fingerprint & regime detail
Conditional historical analysis
Customize analysis (advanced)
Indicative levels generated algorithmically. Not financial advice.
Risk Profile
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Price Chart
Averages
Trend
Price
Levels
Draw
SAR13.75 -0.21 (-1.50%)
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Volume Profile
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Liquidity & share structure
Average Volume
184.5K
Beta
0.25
Float Shares
23.09M
Free Float %
35.7%
Price Performance
1D5D1M3M6M YTD1Y3Y5Y10YMax
+0.00% +0.00% +0.20% +9.58% -11.82% +1.35% -31.43% -57.60% -76.43% -72.28% -38.62%
Rolling Volatility
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Drawdown
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Relative Strength
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
From To
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Annual Monthly Returns
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Daily Returns Distribution
vs.
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Revenue flow

Revenue by geography

Revenue by segment

From To

Revenue composition

From To

By product

By geography

Financial Statements

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Cash Flow Statement

Key Metrics

Financial Ratios

Employees

Financial Growth (CAGR)

Market Data

Price Targets & DCF
Current price
13.75
DCF (Unlevered) 40.79 +196.7%
DCF (Levered) 49.70 +261.4%

DCF figures are point estimates: small changes in growth or discount-rate assumptions move them materially. Read them as a reference, not a precise target.

Ratings Trend (MoM) 25% Bullish
Rating 2026-05 Change
Strong Buy 1 0
Buy 0 0
Hold 1 0
Sell 2 0
Strong Sell 0 0
Quality scores
Altman Z-Score
1.69
Distress
Piotroski F-Score
5 / 9
Average
MOAT Score
3 / 10
No MOAT
Operational MOAT
✗ Below peers
  • Revenue growth Restaurants: +7.4%
    -3.8% Q1'26: -6.9% (vs Q1'25)
  • EPS growth Restaurants: +14.8%
    +33.3% Q1'26: +79.3% (vs Q1'25)
  • FCF margin FCF growth · Restaurants: +21.6%
    +7.8% Q1'26: +9.4% (vs Q1'25)
  • EBIT margin Restaurants: +6.1%
    -0.8% Q1'26: +1.2% (vs Q1'25)
  • ROIC Restaurants: +6.2%
    -0.6% Q1'26: +0.9% (vs Q1'25)
  • Share dilution Restaurants: +0.0%
    -0.2% Q1'26: +0.7% (vs Q1'25)
  • Debt / EBITDA Net debt/EBITDA · Restaurants: 0.72×
    2.83× Q1'26: 2.57× (vs Q1'25)
Valuation Multiples From To
Price Forecast (3Y) From To
Model
Adjust
P/E
Theoretical Return — If Invested Today

* These projections are based on analyst consensus estimates and user-defined valuation multiples. This table is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

DCF Interactive Model (UFCF)
Projection years:
Market assumptions
WACC components (optional)
Ke (Cost of Equity) = Rf + β (0.26) × ERP
WACC = 68% × Ke + 32% × Kd (7.1%) × (1−t)

Modifying these values recalculates WACC automatically.

Business assumptions
Intrinsic value (base): 40.79 Current price: 13.75
Enterprise Value: Equity Value: Terminal Value: TV as % of EV:

Base values reflect the latest available data for this company and market conditions.

Consensus Estimates
Metric Dec 2015
actual
Dec 2016
actual
Dec 2017
actual
Dec 2018
actual
Dec 2019
actual
Dec 2020
actual
Dec 2021
actual
Dec 2022
actual
Dec 2023
actual
Dec 2024
actual
Dec 2025
actual
Dec 2026
3 Rev. Ana.
2 EPS Ana.
Dec 2027
3 Rev. Ana.
2 EPS Ana.
Dec 2028
1 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Dec 2029
2 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Revenue
1.08B
est: 1.09B (-1.2%)
1.16B
est: 1.17B (-0.7%)
1.16B
est: 1.15B (+0.9%)
1.23B
est: 1.20B (+2.6%)
1.29B
est: 1.30B (-1.2%)
1.08B
est: 1.10B (-2.3%)
1.31B
est: 1.32B (-0.2%)
1.24B
est: 1.24B (+0.1%)
1.17B
est: 1.20B (-2.2%)
1.12B
est: 1.16B (-3.2%)
1.08B
est: 1.08B (0.0%)
1.07B
1.02B – 1.13B
-0.8% YoY
1.11B
1.06B – 1.17B
+3.5% YoY
1.15B
1.09B – 1.21B
+3.3% YoY
1.18B
1.13B – 1.24B
+3.1% YoY
EBITDA
291.92M
est: 194.63M (+50.0%)
309.06M
est: 208.03M (+48.6%)
285.94M
est: 204.98M (+39.5%)
295.23M
est: 213.57M (+38.2%)
399.32M
est: 232.87M (+71.5%)
260.39M
est: 196.68M (+32.4%)
364.37M
est: 235.17M (+54.9%)
210.12M
est: 221.95M (-5.3%)
217.74M
est: 192.06M (+13.4%)
21.41M
est: 185.93M (-88.5%)
161.41M
est: 173.26M (-6.8%)
171.93M
163.39M – 180.47M
-0.8% YoY
177.95M
169.32M – 186.58M
+3.5% YoY
183.79M
174.77M – 192.81M
+3.3% YoY
189.43M
180.14M – 198.73M
+3.1% YoY
EBIT
208.08M
est: 52.88M (+293.5%)
229.24M
est: 56.52M (+305.6%)
216.39M
est: 55.69M (+288.6%)
220.60M
est: 58.03M (+280.2%)
239.00M
est: 63.27M (+277.8%)
91.33M
est: 53.44M (+70.9%)
193.78M
est: 63.89M (+203.3%)
40.11M
est: 60.30M (-33.5%)
42.03M
est: 36.04M (+16.6%)
-66.91M
est: 34.89M (-291.8%)
-8.23M
est: 32.51M (-125.3%)
32.26M
30.66M – 33.86M
-0.8% YoY
33.39M
31.77M – 35.01M
+3.5% YoY
34.48M
32.79M – 36.18M
+3.3% YoY
35.54M
33.80M – 37.29M
+3.1% YoY
Net Income
202.68M
est: 215.48M (-5.9%)
217.50M
est: 208.94M (+4.1%)
200.04M
est: 208.92M (-4.2%)
204.17M
est: 196.37M (+4.0%)
196.09M
est: 200.83M (-2.4%)
52.84M
est: 75.84M (-30.3%)
151.79M
est: 167.52M (-9.4%)
3.55M
est: 88.72M (-96.0%)
8.39M
est: -6.58M (+227.4%)
-116.52M
est: -63.09M (-84.7%)
-77.48M
est: -27.30M (-183.8%)
-20.02M
-27.58M – -12.45M
+26.7% YoY
-5.81M
-13.76M – 2.13M
+71.0% YoY
9.68M
9.07M – 10.30M
+266.7% YoY
32.93M
30.83M – 35.03M
+240.0% YoY
SGA
49.59M
est: 147.04M (-66.3%)
53.48M
est: 157.17M (-66.0%)
62.45M
est: 154.86M (-59.7%)
54.83M
est: 161.36M (-66.0%)
76.25M
est: 175.93M (-56.7%)
73.35M
est: 148.60M (-50.6%)
116.01M
est: 177.67M (-34.7%)
166.73M
est: 167.69M (-0.6%)
165.70M
est: 186.60M (-11.2%)
273.13M
est: 180.64M (+51.2%)
184.90M
est: 168.33M (+9.8%)
167.04M
158.74M – 175.34M
-0.8% YoY
172.88M
164.50M – 181.27M
+3.5% YoY
178.56M
169.79M – 187.32M
+3.3% YoY
184.04M
175.01M – 193.08M
+3.1% YoY
EPS
3.14
est: 3.33 (-5.7%)
3.36
est: 3.23 (+4.0%)
3.09
est: 3.23 (-4.3%)
3.16
est: 3.04 (+4.1%)
3.03
est: 3.11 (-2.4%)
0.82
est: 1.17 (-30.1%)
2.35
est: 2.59 (-9.3%)
0.05
est: 1.37 (-96.0%)
0.13
est: -0.10 (+227.7%)
-1.80
est: -0.98 (-84.2%)
-1.20
est: -1.24 (+3.2%)
-0.31
-0.43 – -0.19
+75.0% YoY
-0.09
-0.21 – 0.03
+71.0% YoY
0.15
0.14 – 0.16
+266.7% YoY
0.51
0.48 – 0.54
+240.0% YoY
Historical Ratings (3M)
Date Rating Overall DCF ROE ROA D/E P/E P/B
2026-05-21 C- 1/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-20 C- 1/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-19 C- 1/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-18 C- 1/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-17 C- 1/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-14 C- 1/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-13 C- 1/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-12 C- 1/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-11 C- 1/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-10 C- 1/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-07 C 2/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-06 B- 2/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 2/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-05 B- 2/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 2/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-04 B- 2/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 2/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-03 C+ 2/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-04-30 C+ 2/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-04-29 C+ 2/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-04-28 C+ 2/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-04-27 C+ 2/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-04-26 C+ 2/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-04-23 C+ 2/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-04-22 C+ 2/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-04-21 C+ 2/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-04-20 C+ 2/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-04-19 C+ 2/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-04-16 C+ 2/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5

Owner Earnings

Owner's Earnings (history) From To
Owner alignment
Owner's Earnings TTM
79.80M
OE per share TTM
1.24
Owner's Yield
8.17%
Maintenance CapEx ratio
Maint CapEx / Avg PPE
118.0%

Ownership Overview

Ownership breakdown

Ownership breakdown not available.

At a glance
Institutional holders
Total invested
Insider transactions (90d)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)

No beneficial ownership filings recorded.

Institutional Activity (13F)

Institutional ownership trend

Institutional history not available.

Top institutional holders

Top holders not available.

ETF Ownership

Top ETFs holding this stock Held by 4 ETFs in our universe
# ETF Weight Est. AUM exposure TER
1 Dimensional - Emerging Markets Core Equity 2 ETF DFEM 0.00% 120.5K 0.39%
2 Dimensional - Emerging Markets Value ETF DFEV 0.00% 14.6K 0.46%
3 Dimensional - Emerging Core Equity Market ETF DFAE 0.00% 16.4K 0.29%
4 Dimensional - Emerging Markets ex China Core Equity ETF DEXC 0.00% 351.97 0.56%

Insider Activity

Insider Activity — Latest Quarter

No insider activity available.

Insider buys vs sells (history)

Insider history not available.

Recent insider transactions

No recent insider transactions.

Executive team

Top executives
EBIT / Employee
-1.6K
Shares Outstanding
64.68M

Executive compensation

Executive compensation (annual)

Executive compensation not available.

CEO compensation breakdown

No CEO compensation history available.

Proxy statements

Proxy statements (DEF 14A)

No proxy statements available for this company yet.

Recent SEC filings

Recent SEC filings

No SEC filings available for this company yet.

Executive team

NameTitleCompensationGender
Khalid Ahmad Hamad Alsaid Chief Operation & Production Officer and Director male
Mohammad Lotfy Saleh Al Bargothy Chief Executive Officer male
Saleh Bin Abdulrahman Saleh Al Fadel Chief Financial Officer & Administrative Officer male
Saleh Muqbel Alkhalaf Member of Audit Committee male
ESG Score History

No data available for this company.

Senate Trading Activity

No Senate trading activity found for this company.

House Trading Activity

No House trading activity found for this company.

Market share among peers
Peer comparison — filtered group (TTM)
Your opinion

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Dividend yield history

Dividend history

Earnings history

Earnings reports

Stock splits