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Guzman y Gomez Ltd. (GYG.AX)

AU ASX Consumer Cyclical Restaurants
Address 64-76 Kippax Street 2010
Surry Hills, NSW, AU
CEO Steven Marks
IPO 2024-06-20
ISIN AU0000336679

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Description

Guzman y Gomez Limited operates and manages quick service restaurants in Australia, Singapore, Japan, and the United States. Its restaurants offer Mexican-inspired food through a chain of quick service restaurants, as well as drive thru, delivery, digital channels, strip, and drive thru formats. The company also manages a franchise network of quick service restaurants. Guzman y Gomez Limited was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Surry Hills, Australia.

Market Cap & Enterprise Value
Merger & Acquisition History

No mergers or acquisitions recorded for this company.

Technical Outlook
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Signal Summary Loading…
Indicator 1D1W2W3W1M
Each column is computed on that timeframe's candles (1D = daily, 1W ≈ weekly, 1M ≈ monthly), not on the same last day. ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · — neutral. The Net row counts signals per column; hover any cell (or the indicator name) to see the exact rule behind it.
Day Score & sub-scores
Statistical fingerprint & regime detail
Conditional historical analysis
Customize analysis (advanced)
Indicative levels generated algorithmically. Not financial advice.
Risk Profile
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Price Chart
Averages
Trend
Price
Levels
Draw
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Volume Profile
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Liquidity & share structure
Average Volume
460.7K
Beta
0.91
Float Shares
57.19M
Free Float %
56.5%
Price Performance
1D5D1M3M6M YTD1Y3Y5Y10YMax
+1.39% -5.07% +7.37% +1.87% -16.77% -9.19% -35.31% -34.47% -34.47% -34.47% -34.47%
Rolling Volatility
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Drawdown
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Relative Strength
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
From To
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Annual Monthly Returns
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Daily Returns Distribution
vs.
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Revenue flow

Revenue by geography

Revenue by segment

From To

Revenue composition

From To

By product

By geography

Financial Statements

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Cash Flow Statement

Key Metrics

Financial Ratios

Employees

Financial Growth (CAGR)

Market Data

Price Targets & DCF
Current price
19.66
Ratings Trend (MoM) 60% Bullish
Rating 2026-05 Change
Strong Buy 4 +1
Buy 5 +1
Hold 4 -1
Sell 1 0
Strong Sell 1 +1
Quality scores
Altman Z-Score
4.47
Safe zone
Piotroski F-Score
6 / 9
Average
MOAT Score
4 / 10
Developing
Composite Rating
C
Overall Score
2 / 5
Medium
DCF Score
1 / 5
Low
ROE Score
3 / 5
Medium
ROA Score
3 / 5
Medium
D/E Score
1 / 5
Low
P/E Score
1 / 5
Low
P/Book Score
1 / 5
Low
Operational MOAT
✗ Below peers
  • Revenue growth Restaurants: +7.4%
    +35.8% Q4'25: +55.9% (vs Q4'23)
  • EPS growth Restaurants: +14.8%
    +187.5% Q4'25: +355.8% (vs Q4'23)
  • FCF margin FCF growth · Restaurants: +21.6%
    -0.6% Q4'25: +1.4% (vs Q4'23)
  • EBIT margin Restaurants: +6.1%
    +6.3% Q4'25: +12.1% (vs Q4'23)
  • ROIC Restaurants: +6.2%
    +4.1% Q4'25: +9.1% (vs Q4'23)
  • Share dilution Restaurants: +0.0%
    +23.5% Q4'25: +3.0% (vs Q4'23)
  • Debt / EBITDA Net debt/EBITDA · Restaurants: 0.72×
    4.80× Q4'25: 3.38× (vs Q4'23)
Valuation Multiples From To
Price Forecast (3Y) From To
Model
Adjust
P/E
Theoretical Return — If Invested Today

* These projections are based on analyst consensus estimates and user-defined valuation multiples. This table is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

DCF Interactive Model (UFCF)
Projection years:
Market assumptions
WACC components (optional)
Ke (Cost of Equity) = Rf + β (1.38) × ERP
WACC = 86% × Ke + 14% × Kd (5.7%) × (1−t)

Modifying these values recalculates WACC automatically.

Business assumptions
Current price: 18.87
Enterprise Value: Equity Value: Terminal Value: TV as % of EV:

Base values reflect the latest available data for this company and market conditions.

Consensus Estimates
Metric Jun 2024
actual
Jun 2025
actual
Jun 2026
12 Rev. Ana.
9 EPS Ana.
Jun 2027
12 Rev. Ana.
11 EPS Ana.
Jun 2028
12 Rev. Ana.
11 EPS Ana.
Jun 2029
10 Rev. Ana.
7 EPS Ana.
Jun 2030
6 Rev. Ana.
8 EPS Ana.
Revenue
342.21M
est: 344.84M (-0.8%)
464.61M
est: 450.57M (+3.1%)
546.04M
514.76M – 572.32M
+21.2% YoY
637.75M
599.02M – 662.30M
+16.8% YoY
757.56M
755.89M – 759.23M
+18.8% YoY
896.79M
843.76M – 935.30M
+18.4% YoY
1.21B
1.14B – 1.26B
+34.6% YoY
EBITDA
33.29M
est: 49.39M (-32.6%)
69.02M
est: 64.53M (+7.0%)
78.21M
73.73M – 81.97M
+21.2% YoY
91.34M
85.80M – 94.86M
+16.8% YoY
108.50M
108.26M – 108.74M
+18.8% YoY
128.45M
120.85M – 133.96M
+18.4% YoY
172.89M
162.66M – 180.31M
+34.6% YoY
EBIT
2.16M
est: 18.79M (-88.5%)
29.34M
est: 24.55M (+19.5%)
29.75M
28.04M – 31.18M
+21.2% YoY
34.74M
32.63M – 36.08M
+16.8% YoY
41.27M
41.18M – 41.36M
+18.8% YoY
48.86M
45.97M – 50.95M
+18.4% YoY
65.76M
61.87M – 68.59M
+34.6% YoY
Net Income
-13.75M
est: 3.76M (-465.4%)
14.48M
est: 14.69M (-1.5%)
26.56M
16.56M – 36.57M
+80.8% YoY
46.93M
43.06M – 54.09M
+76.7% YoY
64.79M
55.77M – 74.75M
+38.1% YoY
94.04M
86.81M – 99.29M
+45.1% YoY
118.34M
109.25M – 124.95M
+25.8% YoY
SGA
232.27M
est: 221.24M (+5.0%)
259.56M
est: 289.07M (-10.2%)
350.32M
330.25M – 367.18M
+21.2% YoY
409.16M
384.31M – 424.91M
+16.8% YoY
486.02M
484.95M – 487.09M
+18.8% YoY
575.35M
541.32M – 600.06M
+18.4% YoY
774.43M
728.63M – 807.69M
+34.6% YoY
EPS
-0.16
est: 0.04 (-549.3%)
0.14
est: 0.14 (+0.7%)
0.22
0.16 – 0.35
+57.3% YoY
0.47
0.41 – 0.51
+113.0% YoY
0.64
0.53 – 0.71
+38.1% YoY
0.89
0.82 – 0.94
+38.4% YoY
1.12
1.03 – 1.18
+25.8% YoY
Historical Ratings (3M)
Date Rating Overall DCF ROE ROA D/E P/E P/B
2026-05-29 C 2/5 1/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-28 C 2/5 1/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-27 C 2/5 1/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-26 C 2/5 1/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-25 C 2/5 1/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-22 C 2/5 1/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-21 C 2/5 1/5 3/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-20 C 2/5 1/5 3/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-19 C 2/5 1/5 3/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-18 C 2/5 1/5 3/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-15 C 2/5 1/5 3/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-14 C 2/5 1/5 3/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-13 C 2/5 1/5 3/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-12 C 2/5 1/5 3/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-11 C 2/5 1/5 3/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-08 C 2/5 1/5 3/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-07 C 2/5 1/5 3/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-06 C 2/5 1/5 3/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-05 C 2/5 1/5 3/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-04 C 2/5 1/5 3/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-01 C 2/5 1/5 3/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-04-30 C 2/5 1/5 3/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-04-29 C 2/5 1/5 2/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-04-28 C 2/5 1/5 2/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-04-27 C 2/5 1/5 2/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-04-24 C 2/5 1/5 2/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-04-23 C 2/5 1/5 2/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-04-22 C 2/5 1/5 2/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-04-21 C 2/5 1/5 2/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-04-20 C 2/5 1/5 2/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-04-17 C 2/5 1/5 2/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-04-16 C 2/5 1/5 2/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 1/5

Owner Earnings

Owner's Earnings (history) From To
Owner alignment
Owner's Earnings TTM
159.34M
OE per share TTM
1.51
Owner's Yield
7.97%
Maintenance CapEx ratio
276.57%
Maint CapEx / Avg PPE
55.9%

Ownership Overview

Ownership breakdown

Ownership breakdown not available.

At a glance
Institutional holders
Total invested
Insider transactions (90d)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)

No beneficial ownership filings recorded.

Institutional Activity (13F)

Institutional ownership trend

Institutional history not available.

Top institutional holders

Top holders not available.

ETF Ownership

Top ETFs holding this stock Held by 45 ETFs in our universe
# ETF Weight Est. AUM exposure TER
1 iShares S&P/ASX Small Ordinaries ETF ISO.AX 0.39% 344.0K 0.55%
2 Vanguard MSCI Australian Small Companies Index ETF VSO.AX 0.22% 1.74M 0.30%
3 BetaShares - Australian Ex-20 Portfolio Diversifier ETF EX20.AX 0.13% 580.4K 0.25%
4 BetaShares - Australia 200 ETF A200.AX 0.05% 3.22M 0.04%
5 State Street SPDR S&P International Small Cap ETF GWX 0.04% 374.7K 0.40%
6 Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF VAS.AX 0.04% 7.13M 0.07%
7 Avantis International Small Cap Equity ETF AVDS 0.03% 111.0K 0.30%
8 Schwab International Small-Cap Equity ETF SCHC 0.03% 1.62M 0.06%
9 iShares Currency Hedged MSCI EAFE Small-Cap ETF HSCZ 0.02% 53.1K 0.83%
10 iShares MSCI EAFE Small-Cap ETF SCZ 0.02% 3.20M 0.40%

Insider Activity

Insider Activity — Latest Quarter

No insider activity available.

Insider buys vs sells (history)

Insider history not available.

Recent insider transactions

No recent insider transactions.

Executive team

Top executives
EBIT / Employee
2.3K
Shares Outstanding
101.23M

Executive compensation

Executive compensation (annual)

Executive compensation not available.

CEO compensation breakdown

No CEO compensation history available.

Proxy statements

Proxy statements (DEF 14A)

No proxy statements available for this company yet.

Recent SEC filings

Recent SEC filings

No SEC filings available for this company yet.

Executive team

NameTitleCompensationGender
Steven Marks Founder, Co-CEO & Director 1M male
Hilton Brett Co-CEO & Executive Director 1M male
Erik du Plessis Chief Financial Officer 685.4K male
George Mandilis Chief Development Officer male
Helaina Raad Head of Investor Relations & Strategy
Alison Peake Head of Corporate & Internal Communications
John Morrison Chief Operating Officer male
Lara Thom Global Chief Marketing Officer female
Rebecca Nikqi Chief People Officer female
Bryce Maybury Chief Technology Officer male
ESG Score History

No data available for this company.

Senate Trading Activity

No Senate trading activity found for this company.

House Trading Activity

No House trading activity found for this company.

Market share among peers
Peer comparison — filtered group (TTM)
Your opinion

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Dividend yield history

Dividend history

Earnings history

Earnings reports

Stock splits