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Greggs plc (GRG.L)

GBp1,571.00 +13.00 (+0.83%)
GB LSE Consumer Cyclical Restaurants
Address Greggs House NE12 8BU
Newcastle upon Tyne, GB
CEO Roisin Currie
IPO 1988-07-01
ISIN GB00B63QSB39

Explore sections of this company profile

Also trades on London Stock Exchange · GRG.L (GBp) Other OTC · GGGSF (USD) Other OTC · GGGSY (USD)
Description

Greggs Plc is a bakery retailer in the United Kingdom. The firm owns and operates a supply chain, from production through to distribution to point of sale. It operates through the Retail Company Managed Shops and Business to Business segments. The Retail Company Managed Shops segment sells a consistent range of fresh bakery goods, sandwiches, and drinks in its own shops or via delivery. The Business to Business segment is involved in the products to franchise and wholesale partners for sale in their own outlets as well as charging a license fee to franchise partners. The company was founded by John Gregg in 1930 and is headquartered in Newcastle-upon-Tyne, the United Kingdom.

Market Cap & Enterprise Value
Merger & Acquisition History

No mergers or acquisitions recorded for this company.

Technical Outlook
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Signal Summary Loading…
Indicator 1D1W2W3W1M
Each column is computed on that timeframe's candles (1D = daily, 1W ≈ weekly, 1M ≈ monthly), not on the same last day. ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · — neutral. The Net row counts signals per column; hover any cell (or the indicator name) to see the exact rule behind it.
Day Score & sub-scores
Statistical fingerprint & regime detail
Conditional historical analysis
Customize analysis (advanced)
Indicative levels generated algorithmically. Not financial advice.
Risk Profile
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Price Chart
Averages
Trend
Price
Levels
Draw
GBp1,571.00 +13.00 (+0.83%)
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Volume Profile
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Liquidity & share structure
Average Volume
360.7K
Beta
1.14
Float Shares
100.24M
Free Float %
98.4%
Price Performance
1D5D1M3M6M YTD1Y3Y5Y10YMax
-0.75% -0.58% +13.12% +8.33% +10.00% +2.14% -16.86% -35.68% -33.28% +52.26% +1,320.53%
Rolling Volatility
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Drawdown
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Relative Strength
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
From To
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Annual Monthly Returns
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Daily Returns Distribution
vs.
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Revenue flow

Revenue by geography

Revenue by segment

From To

Revenue composition

From To

By product

By geography

Financial Statements

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Cash Flow Statement

Key Metrics

Financial Ratios

Employees

Financial Growth (CAGR)

Market Data

Price Targets & DCF
Current price
1,571.00
DCF (Unlevered) 2,746.76 +74.8%
DCF (Levered) 3,042.58 +93.7%

DCF figures are point estimates: small changes in growth or discount-rate assumptions move them materially. Read them as a reference, not a precise target.

Ratings Trend (MoM) 44% Bullish
Rating 2026-05 Change
Strong Buy 3 0
Buy 4 0
Hold 5 0
Sell 2 0
Strong Sell 2 0
Quality scores
Altman Z-Score
5.34
Safe zone
Piotroski F-Score
5 / 9
Average
MOAT Score
5 / 10
Developing
Composite Rating
A-
Overall Score
4 / 5
High
DCF Score
4 / 5
High
ROE Score
5 / 5
High
ROA Score
5 / 5
High
D/E Score
2 / 5
Medium
P/E Score
3 / 5
Medium
P/Book Score
2 / 5
Medium
Operational MOAT
✗ Below peers
  • Revenue growth Restaurants: +7.4%
    +6.8% Q4'25: +16.4% (vs Q4'23)
  • EPS growth Restaurants: +14.8%
    -20.7% Q4'25: -7.5% (vs Q4'23)
  • FCF margin FCF growth · Restaurants: +21.6%
    +7.0% Q4'25: +10.0% (vs Q4'23)
  • EBIT margin Restaurants: +6.1%
    +8.5% Q4'25: +10.1% (vs Q4'23)
  • ROIC Restaurants: +6.2%
    +13.0% Q4'25: +32.1% (vs Q4'23)
  • Share dilution Restaurants: +0.0%
    -0.1% Q4'25: +0.2% (vs Q4'23)
  • Debt / EBITDA Net debt/EBITDA · Restaurants: 0.72×
    1.38× Q4'25: 0.61× (vs Q4'23)
Valuation Multiples From To
Price Forecast (3Y) From To
Model
Adjust
P/E
Theoretical Return — If Invested Today

* These projections are based on analyst consensus estimates and user-defined valuation multiples. This table is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

DCF Interactive Model (UFCF)
Projection years:
Market assumptions
WACC components (optional)
Ke (Cost of Equity) = Rf + β (1.13) × ERP
WACC = 79% × Ke + 21% × Kd (4.1%) × (1−t)

Modifying these values recalculates WACC automatically.

Business assumptions
Intrinsic value (base): 2,746.76 Current price: 1,571.00
Enterprise Value: Equity Value: Terminal Value: TV as % of EV:

Base values reflect the latest available data for this company and market conditions.

Consensus Estimates
Metric Dec 2001
actual
Dec 2002
actual
Dec 2003
actual
Dec 2004
actual
Dec 2005
actual
Dec 2006
actual
Dec 2007
actual
Dec 2008
actual
Dec 2009
actual
Dec 2010
actual
Dec 2011
actual
Dec 2012
actual
Dec 2013
actual
Dec 2014
actual
Dec 2015
actual
Dec 2016
actual
Dec 2017
actual
Dec 2018
actual
Dec 2019
actual
Dec 2020
actual
Dec 2021
actual
Dec 2022
actual
Dec 2023
actual
Dec 2024
actual
Dec 2025
actual
Dec 2026
16 Rev. Ana.
14 EPS Ana.
Dec 2027
16 Rev. Ana.
14 EPS Ana.
Dec 2028
10 Rev. Ana.
6 EPS Ana.
Dec 2029
5 Rev. Ana.
4 EPS Ana.
Dec 2030
5 Rev. Ana.
2 EPS Ana.
Revenue
377.56M
est: 380.83M (-0.9%)
422.60M
est: 420.77M (+0.4%)
456.98M
est: 461.88M (-1.1%)
504.19M
est: 502.20M (+0.4%)
533.44M
est: 545.02M (-2.1%)
550.85M
est: 556.11M (-0.9%)
586.30M
est: 594.93M (-1.5%)
628.20M
est: 636.62M (-1.3%)
658.19M
est: 666.68M (-1.3%)
662.33M
est: 679.72M (-2.6%)
701.09M
est: 707.29M (-0.9%)
734.50M
est: 744.62M (-1.4%)
762.38M
est: 768.82M (-0.8%)
806.10M
est: 811.93M (-0.7%)
835.75M
est: 840.07M (-0.5%)
894.20M
est: 894.25M (0.0%)
960.01M
est: 960.37M (0.0%)
1.03B
est: 1.03B (+0.1%)
1.17B
est: 1.17B (0.0%)
811.30M
est: 811.00M (+0.0%)
1.23B
est: 1.23B (0.0%)
1.51B
est: 1.51B (0.0%)
1.81B
est: 1.93B (-6.1%)
2.01B
est: 2.01B (+0.0%)
2.15B
est: 2.15B (+0.0%)
2.30B
2.27B – 2.31B
+6.7% YoY
2.45B
2.39B – 2.51B
+6.6% YoY
2.62B
2.62B – 2.62B
+7.1% YoY
2.78B
2.73B – 2.82B
+6.1% YoY
3.04B
2.98B – 3.09B
+9.5% YoY
EBITDA
47.61M
est: 45.93M (+3.7%)
53.51M
est: 53.81M (-0.6%)
58.22M
est: 60.15M (-3.2%)
68.75M
est: 66.00M (+4.2%)
72.25M
est: 71.84M (+0.6%)
64.19M
est: 76.61M (-16.2%)
75.69M
est: 70.29M (+7.7%)
75.48M
est: 82.29M (-8.3%)
76.10M
est: 79.99M (-4.9%)
81.63M
est: 81.41M (+0.3%)
91.35M
est: 84.88M (+7.6%)
85.23M
est: 96.22M (-11.4%)
74.54M
est: 89.10M (-16.3%)
95.55M
est: 70.33M (+35.9%)
112.49M
est: 74.65M (+50.7%)
120.70M
est: 79.02M (+52.7%)
125.42M
est: 129.69M (-3.3%)
142.50M
est: 135.23M (+5.4%)
225.40M
est: 157.21M (+43.4%)
106.40M
est: 143.66M (-25.9%)
260.40M
est: 196.80M (+32.3%)
271.30M
est: 218.95M (+23.9%)
323.60M
est: 349.58M (-7.4%)
357.50M
est: 367.60M (-2.7%)
344.30M
est: 390.38M (-11.8%)
416.58M
411.47M – 419.60M
+6.7% YoY
443.92M
432.87M – 455.00M
+6.6% YoY
475.24M
475.23M – 475.25M
+7.1% YoY
504.09M
494.62M – 512.34M
+6.1% YoY
551.91M
541.54M – 560.95M
+9.5% YoY
EBIT
32.95M
est: 29.27M (+12.6%)
36.70M
est: 34.91M (+5.1%)
40.48M
est: 38.75M (+4.5%)
46.14M
est: 42.62M (+8.2%)
50.21M
est: 46.39M (+8.2%)
40.30M
est: 47.98M (-16.0%)
47.84M
est: 41.40M (+15.6%)
44.16M
est: 53.40M (-17.3%)
49.57M
est: 50.88M (-2.6%)
53.24M
est: 51.78M (+2.8%)
50.77M
est: 53.99M (-6.0%)
52.79M
est: 63.59M (-17.0%)
41.31M
est: 55.03M (-24.9%)
58.09M
est: 35.27M (+64.7%)
72.81M
est: 37.44M (+94.5%)
75.29M
est: 39.63M (+90.0%)
72.56M
est: 80.69M (-10.1%)
89.60M
est: 77.81M (+15.2%)
114.90M
est: 93.65M (+22.7%)
-6.40M
est: 77.54M (-108.3%)
153.10M
est: 106.22M (+44.1%)
155.80M
est: 118.17M (+31.8%)
198.60M
est: 204.38M (-2.8%)
217.80M
est: 214.91M (+1.3%)
183.70M
est: 228.23M (-19.5%)
243.55M
240.56M – 245.31M
+6.7% YoY
259.53M
253.07M – 266.01M
+6.6% YoY
277.84M
277.84M – 277.85M
+7.1% YoY
294.71M
289.17M – 299.54M
+6.1% YoY
322.66M
316.60M – 327.95M
+9.5% YoY
Net Income
22.81M
est: 24.88M (-8.3%)
24.69M
est: 25.19M (-2.0%)
27.24M
est: 27.11M (+0.5%)
32.28M
est: 29.57M (+9.1%)
34.07M
est: 32.19M (+5.9%)
27.06M
est: 34.74M (-22.1%)
36.35M
est: 28.99M (+25.4%)
34.10M
est: 38.95M (-12.5%)
34.37M
est: 35.70M (-3.7%)
37.93M
est: 36.33M (+4.4%)
44.50M
est: 37.88M (+17.5%)
39.81M
est: 46.85M (-15.0%)
24.19M
est: 41.92M (-42.3%)
37.56M
est: 25.56M (+47.0%)
57.60M
est: 27.13M (+112.3%)
57.99M
est: 28.71M (+102.0%)
56.91M
est: 62.25M (-8.6%)
65.74M
est: 61.23M (+7.4%)
87.00M
est: 74.51M (+16.8%)
-13.00M
est: 58.76M (-122.1%)
117.50M
est: 80.50M (+46.0%)
120.30M
est: 89.56M (+34.3%)
142.50M
est: 137.30M (+3.8%)
153.40M
est: 137.55M (+11.5%)
122.20M
est: 127.01M (-3.8%)
126.65M
116.61M – 131.06M
-0.3% YoY
130.96M
123.18M – 148.39M
+3.4% YoY
142.01M
129.84M – 151.48M
+8.4% YoY
160.79M
156.86M – 164.21M
+13.2% YoY
186.52M
181.96M – 190.49M
+16.0% YoY
SGA
est: 204.65M (-100.0%)
31.07M
est: 219.32M (-85.8%)
32.97M
est: 245.77M (-86.6%)
37.05M
est: 263.67M (-85.9%)
35.76M
est: 286.99M (-87.5%)
36.23M
est: 288.20M (-87.4%)
39.03M
est: 319.98M (-87.8%)
35.51M
est: 339.96M (-89.6%)
35.78M
est: 359.85M (-90.1%)
36.05M
est: 366.22M (-90.2%)
34.90M
est: 381.85M (-90.9%)
396.01M
est: 397.43M (-0.4%)
415.15M
est: 408.35M (+1.7%)
443.22M
est: 438.27M (+1.1%)
457.83M
est: 465.18M (-1.6%)
489.71M
est: 492.37M (-0.5%)
530.35M
est: 525.52M (+0.9%)
566.30M
est: 570.01M (-0.7%)
632.70M
est: 641.53M (-1.4%)
517.90M
est: 428.88M (+20.8%)
631.40M
est: 587.53M (+7.5%)
777.00M
est: 653.65M (+18.9%)
927.10M
est: 997.33M (-7.0%)
1.05B
est: 1.05B (-0.1%)
1.14B
est: 1.11B (+2.2%)
1.19B
1.17B – 1.20B
+6.7% YoY
1.27B
1.23B – 1.30B
+6.6% YoY
1.36B
1.36B – 1.36B
+7.1% YoY
1.44B
1.41B – 1.46B
+6.1% YoY
1.57B
1.54B – 1.60B
+9.5% YoY
EPS
0.19
est: 0.19 (+1.1%)
0.21
est: 0.20 (+2.6%)
0.23
est: 0.22 (+3.2%)
0.27
est: 0.26 (+5.0%)
0.28
est: 0.28 (-1.0%)
0.24
est: 0.27 (-9.7%)
0.34
est: 0.30 (+12.6%)
0.03
est: 0.30 (-88.9%)
0.34
est: 0.33 (+4.4%)
0.38
est: 0.37 (+2.1%)
0.45
est: 0.40 (+12.7%)
0.41
est: 0.40 (+1.2%)
0.24
est: 0.32 (-25.7%)
0.37
est: 0.43 (-14.6%)
0.57
est: 0.55 (+3.8%)
0.58
est: 0.59 (-1.9%)
0.57
est: 0.63 (-9.2%)
0.65
est: 0.69 (-5.4%)
0.86
est: 0.88 (-2.3%)
-0.13
est: -0.21 (+39.4%)
1.16
est: 1.15 (+1.3%)
1.19
est: 1.18 (+0.6%)
1.41
est: 1.35 (+4.2%)
1.51
est: 1.34 (+12.3%)
1.20
est: 1.24 (-3.2%)
1.24
1.14 – 1.28
-0.3% YoY
1.29
1.20 – 1.45
+4.4% YoY
1.40
1.27 – 1.48
+8.4% YoY
1.57
1.53 – 1.60
+12.1% YoY
1.82
1.78 – 1.86
+16.0% YoY
Historical Ratings (3M)
Date Rating Overall DCF ROE ROA D/E P/E P/B
2026-05-29 A- 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 2/5
2026-05-28 A- 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 2/5
2026-05-27 A- 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 2/5
2026-05-26 A- 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 2/5
2026-05-22 A- 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 2/5
2026-05-21 A- 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 2/5
2026-05-20 A- 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 2/5
2026-05-19 A- 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 2/5
2026-05-18 A- 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 2/5
2026-05-15 A- 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 2/5
2026-05-14 A- 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 2/5
2026-05-13 A- 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 2/5
2026-05-12 A- 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 2/5
2026-05-11 A- 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 2/5
2026-05-08 A 4/5 5/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 2/5
2026-05-07 A 4/5 5/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 2/5
2026-05-06 A 4/5 5/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 2/5
2026-05-05 A- 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 2/5
2026-05-01 A- 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 1/5 4/5 2/5
2026-04-30 A- 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 1/5 4/5 2/5
2026-04-29 A- 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 1/5 3/5 2/5
2026-04-28 A- 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 1/5 3/5 2/5
2026-04-27 A- 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 1/5 3/5 2/5
2026-04-24 A- 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 1/5 3/5 2/5
2026-04-23 A- 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 1/5 3/5 2/5
2026-04-22 A- 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 1/5 3/5 2/5
2026-04-21 A- 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 1/5 3/5 2/5
2026-04-20 A- 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 1/5 3/5 2/5
2026-04-17 A- 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 1/5 3/5 2/5
2026-04-16 A- 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 1/5 3/5 2/5

Owner Earnings

Owner's Earnings (history) From To
Owner alignment
Owner's Earnings TTM
754.05M
OE per share TTM
7.35
Owner's Yield
42.97%
Maintenance CapEx ratio
20.31%
Maint CapEx / Avg PPE
52.6%

Ownership Overview

Ownership breakdown

Ownership breakdown not available.

At a glance
Institutional holders
Total invested
Insider transactions (90d)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)

No beneficial ownership filings recorded.

Institutional Activity (13F)

Institutional ownership trend

Institutional history not available.

Top institutional holders

Top holders not available.

ETF Ownership

Top ETFs holding this stock Held by 99 ETFs in our universe
# ETF Weight Est. AUM exposure TER
1 Fidelity MoneyBuilder Dividend Fund 0P0000VE06.L 0.95% 5.06M 0.67%
2 Amundi Prime UK Mid & Small Cap UCITS ETF DR - GBP (D) PRUK.L 0.84% 3.60M 0.05%
3 WisdomTree UK Quality Dividend Growth UCITS ETF - GBP UGRW.L 0.74% 80.6K 0.29%
4 WisdomTree Europe SmallCap Dividend UCITS ETF Acc DFEA.L 0.67% 612.8K 0.38%
5 WisdomTree Europe SmallCap Dividend UCITS ETF WTES.DE 0.67% 612.8K 0.38%
6 Calamos Antetokounmpo Global Sustainable Equities ETF SROI 0.63% 116.9K 0.95%
7 Vanguard FTSE 250 UCITS ETF VMIG.MI 0.56% 14.73M 0.10%
8 Vanguard FTSE 250 UCITS ETF (GBP) Distributing VMID.DE 0.56% 14.73M 0.10%
9 Xtrackers FTSE 250 UCITS ETF 1D XMCX.L 0.54% 209.0K 0.15%
10 Invesco FTSE 250 UCITS ETF S250.L 0.51% 181.2K 0.12%

Insider Activity

Insider Activity — Latest Quarter

No insider activity available.

Insider buys vs sells (history)

Insider history not available.

Recent insider transactions

No recent insider transactions.

Executive team

Top executives
EBIT / Employee
5.6K
Shares Outstanding
101.82M

Executive compensation

Executive compensation (annual)

Executive compensation not available.

CEO compensation breakdown

No CEO compensation history available.

Proxy statements

Proxy statements (DEF 14A)

No proxy statements available for this company yet.

Recent SEC filings

Recent SEC filings

No SEC filings available for this company yet.

Executive team

NameTitleCompensationGender
Roisin Currie Chief Executive Officer & Executive Director 888.5K female
Richard John Hutton Chief Financial Officer & Executive Director 581.3K male
Raymond Reynolds Property & Business Development Director 352.0K male
Emma Walton People Director & Head of People
Malcolm Copland Commercial Director
Sarah Dickson General Counsel & Company Secretary female
ESG Score History

No data available for this company.

Senate Trading Activity

No Senate trading activity found for this company.

House Trading Activity

No House trading activity found for this company.

Market share among peers
Peer comparison — filtered group (TTM)
Your opinion

Share your view on this stock and instantly see how the community has voted over the last 6 months.

These are community opinions and do not constitute buy or sell advice to act on. The results shown are based on aggregated opinions and are not an investment recommendation, nor do they intend to influence any investment decision.

Dividend yield history

Dividend history

Earnings history

Earnings reports

Stock splits