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Ava Risk Group Limited (AVA.AX)

AUD0.04 +0.00 (+0.00%)
AU ASX Industrials Security & Protection Services
Address 10 Hartnett Close 3170
Mulgrave, VIC, AU
CEO Neville Joyce
IPO 2015-05-11
ISIN AU0000010845

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Description

Operating globally, Ava Risk Group Limited delivers advanced technologies focused on managing and mitigating various risks. The company's operations are divided into two principal areas: Perimeter Security and Access Control Solutions. Within its Perimeter Security segment, Ava Risk Group engineers and markets sophisticated fiber optic systems capable of detecting and pinpointing intrusions along boundaries, identifying unauthorized tapping or tampering in data networks, and monitoring oil and gas pipelines for external interference. These versatile systems also extend their utility to health, safety, and traffic monitoring applications. Complementing this, their Access Control Solutions portfolio encompasses smart card readers, comprehensive card systems, biometric identification tools, and electronic locking and access control mechanisms. Ava Risk Group serves a broad client base, including commercial and industrial enterprises, military organizations, and government agencies. The company was established in 1994, originally operating as Future Fibre Technologies Limited before officially rebranding to Ava Risk Group Limited in May 2018, and maintains its headquarters in Mulgrave, Australia.

Market Cap & Enterprise Value
Merger & Acquisition History

No mergers or acquisitions recorded for this company.

Technical Outlook
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Signal Summary Loading…
Indicator 1D1W2W3W1M
Each column is computed on that timeframe's candles (1D = daily, 1W ≈ weekly, 1M ≈ monthly), not on the same last day. ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · — neutral. The Net row counts signals per column; hover any cell (or the indicator name) to see the exact rule behind it.
Day Score & sub-scores
Statistical fingerprint & regime detail
Conditional historical analysis
Customize analysis (advanced)
Indicative levels generated algorithmically. Not financial advice.
Risk Profile
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Price Chart
Averages
Trend
Price
Levels
Draw
AUD0.04 +0.00 (+0.00%)
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Volume Profile
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Liquidity & share structure
Average Volume
276.6K
Beta
0.38
Float Shares
287.37M
Free Float %
98.7%
Price Performance
1D5D1M3M6M YTD1Y3Y5Y10YMax
-5.45% -13.33% -21.21% -1.89% -21.21% -25.71% -49.02% -78.33% -85.56% -91.19% -93.73%
Rolling Volatility
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Drawdown
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Relative Strength
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
From To
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Annual Monthly Returns
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Daily Returns Distribution
vs.
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Revenue flow

Revenue by geography

Revenue by segment

From To

Revenue composition

From To

By product

By geography

Financial Statements

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Cash Flow Statement

Key Metrics

Financial Ratios

Employees

Financial Growth (CAGR)

Market Data

Price Targets & DCF
Current price
0.04
DCF (Levered) 0.45 +1,116.2%

DCF figures are point estimates: small changes in growth or discount-rate assumptions move them materially. Read them as a reference, not a precise target.

Ratings Trend (MoM) 100% Bullish
Rating 2026-05 Change
Strong Buy 0 0
Buy 1 0
Hold 0 0
Sell 0 0
Strong Sell 0 0
Quality scores
Altman Z-Score
1.90
Grey zone
Piotroski F-Score
4 / 9
Average
MOAT Score
1 / 10
No MOAT
Composite Rating
B-
Overall Score
3 / 5
Medium
DCF Score
5 / 5
High
ROE Score
1 / 5
Low
ROA Score
1 / 5
Low
D/E Score
3 / 5
Medium
P/E Score
1 / 5
Low
P/Book Score
4 / 5
High
Operational MOAT
✗ Below peers
  • Revenue growth Security & Protection Services: +5.0%
    +4.8% Q4'25: -0.8% (vs Q4'23)
  • EPS growth Security & Protection Services: +23.5%
    -12.6% Q4'25: +54.9% (vs Q4'23)
  • FCF margin FCF growth · Security & Protection Services: +20.2%
    -0.2% Q4'25: -10.3% (vs Q4'23)
  • EBIT margin Security & Protection Services: +8.9%
    +1.0% Q4'25: -10.6% (vs Q4'23)
  • ROIC Security & Protection Services: +6.4%
    +1.6% Q4'25: -22.5% (vs Q4'23)
  • Share dilution Security & Protection Services: +0.1%
    +10.2% Q4'25: +13.7% (vs Q4'23)
  • Debt / EBITDA Net debt/EBITDA · Security & Protection Services: -0.99×
    3.09× Q4'25: 2.25× (vs Q4'23)
Valuation Multiples From To
Price Forecast (3Y) From To
Model
Adjust
P/E
Theoretical Return — If Invested Today

* These projections are based on analyst consensus estimates and user-defined valuation multiples. This table is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

DCF Interactive Model (UFCF)
Projection years:
Market assumptions
WACC components (optional)
Ke (Cost of Equity) = Rf + β (0.38) × ERP
WACC = 84% × Ke + 16% × Kd (8.9%) × (1−t)

Modifying these values recalculates WACC automatically.

Business assumptions
Current price: 0.04
Enterprise Value: Equity Value: Terminal Value: TV as % of EV:

Base values reflect the latest available data for this company and market conditions.

Consensus Estimates
Metric Jun 2021
actual
Jun 2022
actual
Jun 2023
actual
Jun 2024
actual
Jun 2025
actual
Jun 2026
1 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Jun 2027
1 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Jun 2028
1 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Revenue
24.70M
est: 64.80M (-61.9%)
18.62M
est: 31.00M (-39.9%)
28.60M
est: 27.50M (+4.0%)
30.15M
est: 32.50M (-7.2%)
31.60M
est: 31.60M (+0.0%)
40.32M
40.32M – 40.32M
+27.6% YoY
46.15M
46.15M – 46.15M
+14.5% YoY
53.19M
53.19M – 53.19M
+15.3% YoY
EBITDA
8.57M
est: 5.37M (+59.5%)
1.36M
est: 2.57M (-47.2%)
1.42M
est: 2.28M (-37.8%)
-2.52M
est: 2.70M (-193.4%)
906.0K
est: 2.62M (-65.4%)
3.34M
3.34M – 3.34M
+27.6% YoY
3.83M
3.83M – 3.83M
+14.5% YoY
4.41M
4.41M – 4.41M
+15.3% YoY
EBIT
6.77M
est: 1.02M (+565.0%)
-331.0K
est: 487.3K (-167.9%)
-649.0K
est: 432.2K (-250.1%)
-4.97M
est: 510.8K (-1,072.7%)
306.0K
est: 496.7K (-38.4%)
633.7K
633.7K – 633.7K
+27.6% YoY
725.3K
725.3K – 725.3K
+14.5% YoY
836.1K
836.1K – 836.1K
+15.3% YoY
Net Income
13.75M
est: 5.56M (+147.3%)
33.13M
est: 2.30M (+1,337.8%)
-1.05M
est: 5.12M (-120.6%)
-5.20M
est: -1.92M (-171.7%)
-6.46M
est: -1.16M (-456.4%)
1.87M
1.87M – 1.87M
+261.1% YoY
3.47M
3.47M – 3.47M
+85.7% YoY
4.95M
4.95M – 4.95M
+42.6% YoY
SGA
12.22M
est: 21.03M (-41.9%)
2.60M
est: 10.06M (-74.1%)
3.43M
est: 8.93M (-61.5%)
13.19M
est: 10.55M (+25.1%)
13.62M
est: 10.26M (+32.8%)
13.09M
13.09M – 13.09M
+27.6% YoY
14.98M
14.98M – 14.98M
+14.5% YoY
17.26M
17.26M – 17.26M
+15.3% YoY
EPS
0.06
est: 0.02 (+198.6%)
0.01
est: 0.01 (-37.0%)
0.00
est: 0.02 (-123.2%)
-0.02
est: -0.01 (-200.0%)
-0.02
est: 0.00 (-457.5%)
0.01
0.01 – 0.01
+261.1% YoY
0.01
0.01 – 0.01
+85.7% YoY
0.02
0.02 – 0.02
+42.6% YoY
Historical Ratings (3M)
Date Rating Overall DCF ROE ROA D/E P/E P/B
2026-05-29 B- 3/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 3/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-28 B- 3/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 3/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-27 B- 3/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 3/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-26 B- 3/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 3/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-25 B- 3/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 3/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-22 B- 3/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 3/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-21 B- 3/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 3/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-20 B- 3/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 3/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-19 B- 3/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 3/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-18 B- 3/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 3/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-15 B- 3/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 3/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-14 B- 3/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 3/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-13 B- 3/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 3/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-12 B- 3/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 3/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-11 B- 3/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 3/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-08 B- 3/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 3/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-07 B- 3/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 3/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-05 B- 3/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 3/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-04 B- 3/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 3/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-01 B- 2/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 2/5 1/5 4/5
2026-04-30 B- 2/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 2/5 1/5 4/5
2026-04-29 B- 2/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 2/5 1/5 4/5
2026-04-28 B- 2/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 2/5 1/5 4/5
2026-04-27 B- 2/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 2/5 1/5 4/5
2026-04-24 B- 2/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 2/5 1/5 4/5
2026-04-23 B- 2/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 2/5 1/5 4/5
2026-04-21 B- 2/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 2/5 1/5 4/5
2026-04-20 B- 2/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 2/5 1/5 4/5
2026-04-17 B- 2/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 2/5 1/5 4/5
2026-04-16 B- 2/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 2/5 1/5 4/5

Owner Earnings

Owner's Earnings (history) From To
Owner alignment
Owner's Earnings TTM
3.23M
OE per share TTM
0.01
Owner's Yield
21.35%
Maintenance CapEx ratio
Maint CapEx / Avg PPE
4.2%

Ownership Overview

Ownership breakdown

Ownership breakdown not available.

At a glance
Institutional holders
Total invested
Insider transactions (90d)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)

No beneficial ownership filings recorded.

Institutional Activity (13F)

Institutional ownership trend

Institutional history not available.

Top institutional holders

Top holders not available.

ETF Ownership

Top ETFs holding this stock

This company is not held by any ETF in our universe.

Insider Activity

Insider Activity — Latest Quarter

No insider activity available.

Insider buys vs sells (history)

Insider history not available.

Recent insider transactions

No recent insider transactions.

Executive team

Top executives
EBIT / Employee
6.4K
Shares Outstanding
291.10M

Executive compensation

Executive compensation (annual)

Executive compensation not available.

CEO compensation breakdown

No CEO compensation history available.

Proxy statements

Proxy statements (DEF 14A)

No proxy statements available for this company yet.

Recent SEC filings

Recent SEC filings

No SEC filings available for this company yet.

Executive team

NameTitleCompensationGender
Christopher Fergus Founder & Chief Executive Officer of Services Division of Ava Global 11M male
James Alston Chief Operating Officer & Chief Financial Officer of Services Division 2M male
Neville Joyce Acting Group CEO, Group CFO & Company Secretary 364.8K male
Matthew Nye-Hingston Head of BQT Technology & Director of BQT Operations 213.2K male
Michael McGeever Non-Executive Director & Chairman of Services Division 66.2K male
Gwen Coutinho Group Human Resources & Administration Manager female
Emer Reynolds Financial Controller female
Kim Larkin Joint Company Secretary female
Andrew Hames Group Head of Extractives & Energy male
ESG Score History

No data available for this company.

Senate Trading Activity

No Senate trading activity found for this company.

House Trading Activity

No House trading activity found for this company.

Market share among peers
Peer comparison — filtered group (TTM)
Your opinion

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Dividend yield history

Dividend history

Earnings history

Earnings reports

Stock splits