Ava Risk Group Limited (AVA.AX)
Mulgrave, VIC, AU
Operating globally, Ava Risk Group Limited delivers advanced technologies focused on managing and mitigating various risks. The company's operations are divided into two principal areas: Perimeter Security and Access Control Solutions. Within its Perimeter Security segment, Ava Risk Group engineers and markets sophisticated fiber optic systems capable of detecting and pinpointing intrusions along boundaries, identifying unauthorized tapping or tampering in data networks, and monitoring oil and gas pipelines for external interference. These versatile systems also extend their utility to health, safety, and traffic monitoring applications. Complementing this, their Access Control Solutions portfolio encompasses smart card readers, comprehensive card systems, biometric identification tools, and electronic locking and access control mechanisms. Ava Risk Group serves a broad client base, including commercial and industrial enterprises, military organizations, and government agencies. The company was established in 1994, originally operating as Future Fibre Technologies Limited before officially rebranding to Ava Risk Group Limited in May 2018, and maintains its headquarters in Mulgrave, Australia.
No mergers or acquisitions recorded for this company.
| Indicator | 1D | 1W | 2W | 3W | 1M |
|---|
Day Score & sub-scores
Statistical fingerprint & regime detail
Conditional historical analysis
Customize analysis (advanced)
| 1D | 5D | 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -5.45% | -13.33% | -21.21% | -1.89% | -21.21% | -25.71% | -49.02% | -78.33% | -85.56% | -91.19% | -93.73% |
Revenue flow
Revenue by geography
Revenue by segment
Revenue composition
By product
By geography
Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow Statement
Key Metrics
Financial Ratios
Employees
Financial Growth (CAGR)
Market Data
DCF figures are point estimates: small changes in growth or discount-rate assumptions move them materially. Read them as a reference, not a precise target.
| Rating | 2026-05 | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Strong Buy | 0 | 0 |
| Buy | 1 | 0 |
| Hold | 0 | 0 |
| Sell | 0 | 0 |
| Strong Sell | 0 | 0 |
-
Revenue growth Security & Protection Services: +5.0%+4.8% Q4'25: -0.8% (vs Q4'23)
-
EPS growth Security & Protection Services: +23.5%-12.6% Q4'25: +54.9% (vs Q4'23)
-
FCF margin FCF growth · Security & Protection Services: +20.2%-0.2% Q4'25: -10.3% (vs Q4'23)
-
EBIT margin Security & Protection Services: +8.9%+1.0% Q4'25: -10.6% (vs Q4'23)
-
ROIC Security & Protection Services: +6.4%+1.6% Q4'25: -22.5% (vs Q4'23)
-
Share dilution Security & Protection Services: +0.1%+10.2% Q4'25: +13.7% (vs Q4'23)
-
Debt / EBITDA Net debt/EBITDA · Security & Protection Services: -0.99×3.09× ★ Q4'25: 2.25× (vs Q4'23)
* These projections are based on analyst consensus estimates and user-defined valuation multiples. This table is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
| Metric |
Jun 2021 actual |
Jun 2022 actual |
Jun 2023 actual |
Jun 2024 actual |
Jun 2025 actual |
Jun 2026 1 Rev. Ana. 1 EPS Ana. |
Jun 2027 1 Rev. Ana. 1 EPS Ana. |
Jun 2028 1 Rev. Ana. 1 EPS Ana. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue |
24.70M
est: 64.80M (-61.9%)
|
18.62M
est: 31.00M (-39.9%)
|
28.60M
est: 27.50M (+4.0%)
|
30.15M
est: 32.50M (-7.2%)
|
31.60M
est: 31.60M (+0.0%)
|
40.32M
40.32M – 40.32M
+27.6% YoY
|
46.15M
46.15M – 46.15M
+14.5% YoY
|
53.19M
53.19M – 53.19M
+15.3% YoY
|
| EBITDA |
8.57M
est: 5.37M (+59.5%)
|
1.36M
est: 2.57M (-47.2%)
|
1.42M
est: 2.28M (-37.8%)
|
-2.52M
est: 2.70M (-193.4%)
|
906.0K
est: 2.62M (-65.4%)
|
3.34M
3.34M – 3.34M
+27.6% YoY
|
3.83M
3.83M – 3.83M
+14.5% YoY
|
4.41M
4.41M – 4.41M
+15.3% YoY
|
| EBIT |
6.77M
est: 1.02M (+565.0%)
|
-331.0K
est: 487.3K (-167.9%)
|
-649.0K
est: 432.2K (-250.1%)
|
-4.97M
est: 510.8K (-1,072.7%)
|
306.0K
est: 496.7K (-38.4%)
|
633.7K
633.7K – 633.7K
+27.6% YoY
|
725.3K
725.3K – 725.3K
+14.5% YoY
|
836.1K
836.1K – 836.1K
+15.3% YoY
|
| Net Income |
13.75M
est: 5.56M (+147.3%)
|
33.13M
est: 2.30M (+1,337.8%)
|
-1.05M
est: 5.12M (-120.6%)
|
-5.20M
est: -1.92M (-171.7%)
|
-6.46M
est: -1.16M (-456.4%)
|
1.87M
1.87M – 1.87M
+261.1% YoY
|
3.47M
3.47M – 3.47M
+85.7% YoY
|
4.95M
4.95M – 4.95M
+42.6% YoY
|
| SGA |
12.22M
est: 21.03M (-41.9%)
|
2.60M
est: 10.06M (-74.1%)
|
3.43M
est: 8.93M (-61.5%)
|
13.19M
est: 10.55M (+25.1%)
|
13.62M
est: 10.26M (+32.8%)
|
13.09M
13.09M – 13.09M
+27.6% YoY
|
14.98M
14.98M – 14.98M
+14.5% YoY
|
17.26M
17.26M – 17.26M
+15.3% YoY
|
| EPS |
0.06
est: 0.02 (+198.6%)
|
0.01
est: 0.01 (-37.0%)
|
0.00
est: 0.02 (-123.2%)
|
-0.02
est: -0.01 (-200.0%)
|
-0.02
est: 0.00 (-457.5%)
|
0.01
0.01 – 0.01
+261.1% YoY
|
0.01
0.01 – 0.01
+85.7% YoY
|
0.02
0.02 – 0.02
+42.6% YoY
|
| Date | Rating | Overall | DCF | ROE | ROA | D/E | P/E | P/B |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-29 | B- | 3/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 1/5 | 4/5 |
| 2026-05-28 | B- | 3/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 1/5 | 4/5 |
| 2026-05-27 | B- | 3/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 1/5 | 4/5 |
| 2026-05-26 | B- | 3/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 1/5 | 4/5 |
| 2026-05-25 | B- | 3/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 1/5 | 4/5 |
| 2026-05-22 | B- | 3/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 1/5 | 4/5 |
| 2026-05-21 | B- | 3/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 1/5 | 4/5 |
| 2026-05-20 | B- | 3/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 1/5 | 4/5 |
| 2026-05-19 | B- | 3/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 1/5 | 4/5 |
| 2026-05-18 | B- | 3/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 1/5 | 4/5 |
| 2026-05-15 | B- | 3/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 1/5 | 4/5 |
| 2026-05-14 | B- | 3/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 1/5 | 4/5 |
| 2026-05-13 | B- | 3/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 1/5 | 4/5 |
| 2026-05-12 | B- | 3/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 1/5 | 4/5 |
| 2026-05-11 | B- | 3/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 1/5 | 4/5 |
| 2026-05-08 | B- | 3/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 1/5 | 4/5 |
| 2026-05-07 | B- | 3/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 1/5 | 4/5 |
| 2026-05-05 | B- | 3/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 1/5 | 4/5 |
| 2026-05-04 | B- | 3/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 1/5 | 4/5 |
| 2026-05-01 | B- | 2/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 4/5 |
| 2026-04-30 | B- | 2/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 4/5 |
| 2026-04-29 | B- | 2/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 4/5 |
| 2026-04-28 | B- | 2/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 4/5 |
| 2026-04-27 | B- | 2/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 4/5 |
| 2026-04-24 | B- | 2/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 4/5 |
| 2026-04-23 | B- | 2/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 4/5 |
| 2026-04-21 | B- | 2/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 4/5 |
| 2026-04-20 | B- | 2/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 4/5 |
| 2026-04-17 | B- | 2/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 4/5 |
| 2026-04-16 | B- | 2/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 4/5 |
Owner Earnings
Ownership Overview
Ownership breakdown not available.
No beneficial ownership filings recorded.
Institutional Activity (13F)
Institutional history not available.
Top holders not available.
ETF Ownership
This company is not held by any ETF in our universe.
Insider Activity
No insider activity available.
Insider history not available.
No recent insider transactions.
Executive team
Executive compensation
Executive compensation not available.
No CEO compensation history available.
Proxy statements
No proxy statements available for this company yet.
Recent SEC filings
No SEC filings available for this company yet.
Executive team
| Name | Title | Compensation | Gender |
|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Fergus | Founder & Chief Executive Officer of Services Division of Ava Global | 11M | male |
| James Alston | Chief Operating Officer & Chief Financial Officer of Services Division | 2M | male |
| Neville Joyce | Acting Group CEO, Group CFO & Company Secretary | 364.8K | male |
| Matthew Nye-Hingston | Head of BQT Technology & Director of BQT Operations | 213.2K | male |
| Michael McGeever | Non-Executive Director & Chairman of Services Division | 66.2K | male |
| Gwen Coutinho | Group Human Resources & Administration Manager | — | female |
| Emer Reynolds | Financial Controller | — | female |
| Kim Larkin | Joint Company Secretary | — | female |
| Andrew Hames | Group Head of Extractives & Energy | — | male |
No data available for this company.
No Senate trading activity found for this company.
No House trading activity found for this company.
Share your view on this stock and instantly see how the community has voted over the last 6 months.
Community Opinion for AVA.AX
Short-term intention
Target Price Distribution
These are community opinions and do not constitute buy or sell advice to act on. The results shown are based on aggregated opinions and are not an investment recommendation, nor do they intend to influence any investment decision.

MSCI World Index (MSC)
NASDAQ Composite (NASDAQ)
FTSE China A50 Index (FGI)
STOXX Europe 600 (SIX)
Nikkei 300 (OSA)
NIFTY 50 (NSE)
DAX Performance Index (XETRA)
FTSE 100 (FGI)
CAC 40 (EURONEXT)
