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Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. (9861.T)

JPY3,626.00 -19.00 (-0.52%)
JP JPX Consumer Cyclical Restaurants
Address Daiwa Rivergate 103-0015
Tokyo, JP
CEO Tetsuya Naruse
IPO 2001-01-04
ISIN JP3958000006

Explore sections of this company profile

Description

Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. oversees a global network of restaurants via its subsidiary entities. The firm was established in 1899 and maintains its principal corporate office in Tokyo, Japan.

Market Cap & Enterprise Value
Merger & Acquisition History

No mergers or acquisitions recorded for this company.

Technical Outlook
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Signal Summary Loading…
Indicator 1D1W2W3W1M
Each column is computed on that timeframe's candles (1D = daily, 1W ≈ weekly, 1M ≈ monthly), not on the same last day. ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · — neutral. The Net row counts signals per column; hover any cell (or the indicator name) to see the exact rule behind it.
Day Score & sub-scores
Statistical fingerprint & regime detail
Conditional historical analysis
Customize analysis (advanced)
Indicative levels generated algorithmically. Not financial advice.
Risk Profile
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Price Chart
Averages
Trend
Price
Levels
Draw
JPY3,626.00 -19.00 (-0.52%)
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Volume Profile
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Liquidity & share structure
Average Volume
370.3K
Beta
-0.20
Float Shares
63.07M
Free Float %
97.4%
Price Performance
1D5D1M3M6M YTD1Y3Y5Y10YMax
+0.47% -1.48% +0.89% +3.04% +0.66% +3.01% -0.72% +23.48% +58.79% +121.47% +57.00%
Rolling Volatility
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Drawdown
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Relative Strength
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
From To
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Annual Monthly Returns
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Daily Returns Distribution
vs.
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Revenue flow

Revenue by geography

Revenue by segment

From To

Revenue composition

From To

By product

By geography

Financial Statements

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Cash Flow Statement

Key Metrics

Financial Ratios

Employees

Financial Growth (CAGR)

Market Data

Price Targets & DCF
Current price
3,626.00
DCF (Unlevered) 5,776.76 +59.3%
DCF (Levered) 7,889.84 +117.6%

DCF figures are point estimates: small changes in growth or discount-rate assumptions move them materially. Read them as a reference, not a precise target.

Ratings Trend (MoM) 0% Bullish
Rating 2026-05 Change
Strong Buy 0 0
Buy 0 0
Hold 0 0
Sell 1 0
Strong Sell 0 0
Quality scores
Altman Z-Score
4.81
Safe zone
Piotroski F-Score
5 / 9
Average
MOAT Score
6 / 10
Developing
Composite Rating
B
Overall Score
3 / 5
Medium
DCF Score
5 / 5
High
ROE Score
3 / 5
Medium
ROA Score
4 / 5
High
D/E Score
2 / 5
Medium
P/E Score
1 / 5
Low
P/Book Score
2 / 5
Medium
Operational MOAT
✗ Below peers
  • Revenue growth Restaurants: +7.4%
    +10.1% Q2'26: +12.5% (vs Q2'25)
  • EPS growth Restaurants: +14.8%
    +22.7% Q2'26: +144.4% (vs Q2'25)
  • FCF margin FCF growth · Restaurants: +21.6%
    +2.2% Q2'26: +0.0% (vs Q2'25)
  • EBIT margin Restaurants: +6.1%
    +3.7% Q2'26: +4.3% (vs Q2'25)
  • ROIC Restaurants: +6.2%
    +6.6% Q2'26: +8.0% (vs Q2'25)
  • Share dilution Restaurants: +0.0%
    +0.0% Q2'26: +0.0% (vs Q2'25)
  • Debt / EBITDA Net debt/EBITDA · Restaurants: 0.72×
    1.79× Q2'26: 1.77× (vs Q2'25)
Valuation Multiples From To
Price Forecast (3Y) From To
Model
Adjust
P/E
Theoretical Return — If Invested Today

* These projections are based on analyst consensus estimates and user-defined valuation multiples. This table is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

DCF Interactive Model (UFCF)
Projection years:
Market assumptions
WACC components (optional)
Ke (Cost of Equity) = Rf + β (-0.20) × ERP
WACC = 88% × Ke + 12% × Kd (4.1%) × (1−t)

Modifying these values recalculates WACC automatically.

Business assumptions
Intrinsic value (base): 5,776.76 Current price: 3,626.00
Enterprise Value: Equity Value: Terminal Value: TV as % of EV:

Base values reflect the latest available data for this company and market conditions.

Consensus Estimates
Metric Feb 2015
actual
Feb 2016
actual
Feb 2017
actual
Feb 2018
actual
Feb 2019
actual
Feb 2020
actual
Feb 2021
actual
Feb 2022
actual
Feb 2023
actual
Feb 2024
actual
Feb 2025
actual
Feb 2026
2 Rev. Ana.
2 EPS Ana.
Feb 2027
2 Rev. Ana.
2 EPS Ana.
Feb 2028
2 Rev. Ana.
2 EPS Ana.
Feb 2029
1 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Revenue
180.03B
est: 177.90B (+1.2%)
185.74B
est: 186.33B (-0.3%)
188.62B
est: 188.87B (-0.1%)
198.50B
est: 195.60B (+1.5%)
202.39B
est: 202.90B (-0.3%)
216.20B
est: 214.87B (+0.6%)
170.35B
est: 170.09B (+0.2%)
153.60B
est: 153.03B (+0.4%)
168.10B
est: 168.60B (-0.3%)
187.47B
est: 186.00B (+0.8%)
204.98B
est: 204.80B (+0.1%)
225.45B
225.00B – 225.90B
+10.1% YoY
240.25B
237.00B – 243.50B
+6.6% YoY
250.30B
242.20B – 258.40B
+4.2% YoY
259.95B
253.94B – 265.96B
+3.9% YoY
EBITDA
8.85B
est: 13.34B (-33.7%)
7.31B
est: 13.97B (-47.7%)
8.11B
est: 14.16B (-42.7%)
10.60B
est: 14.67B (-27.7%)
7.15B
est: 15.21B (-53.0%)
11.95B
est: 16.11B (-25.8%)
2.10B
est: 12.75B (-83.5%)
20.38B
est: 11.47B (+77.6%)
15.76B
est: 12.64B (+24.6%)
15.09B
est: 13.95B (+8.2%)
13.84B
est: 18.27B (-24.2%)
20.11B
20.07B – 20.15B
+10.1% YoY
21.43B
21.14B – 21.72B
+6.6% YoY
22.32B
21.60B – 23.05B
+4.2% YoY
23.18B
22.65B – 23.72B
+3.9% YoY
EBIT
3.52B
est: 6.48B (-45.7%)
1.61B
est: 6.78B (-76.2%)
1.87B
est: 6.88B (-72.9%)
4.02B
est: 7.12B (-43.5%)
105.00M
est: 7.39B (-98.6%)
3.93B
est: 7.82B (-49.8%)
-5.34B
est: 6.19B (-186.2%)
13.81B
est: 5.57B (+148.0%)
9.39B
est: 6.14B (+52.9%)
8.60B
est: 6.77B (+27.0%)
6.68B
est: 10.69B (-37.5%)
11.77B
11.75B – 11.79B
+10.1% YoY
12.54B
12.37B – 12.71B
+6.6% YoY
13.07B
12.65B – 13.49B
+4.2% YoY
13.57B
13.26B – 13.89B
+3.9% YoY
Net Income
941.00M
est: 1.13B (-16.4%)
837.00M
est: 867.06M (-3.5%)
1.25B
est: 2.11B (-40.7%)
1.49B
est: 2.21B (-32.4%)
-6.00B
est: -1.65B (-263.0%)
713.00M
est: 1.46B (-51.2%)
-7.50B
est: -6.05B (-24.0%)
8.12B
est: 7.77B (+4.4%)
7.23B
est: 4.40B (+64.4%)
5.61B
est: 4.90B (+14.4%)
3.80B
est: 4.30B (-11.6%)
4.45B
4.40B – 4.50B
+3.4% YoY
5.30B
5.00B – 5.60B
+19.1% YoY
6.15B
5.60B – 6.70B
+16.0% YoY
6.70B
6.50B – 6.90B
+8.9% YoY
SGA
103.73B
est: 104.83B (-1.1%)
107.52B
est: 109.79B (-2.1%)
112.12B
est: 111.29B (+0.7%)
118.34B
est: 115.26B (+2.7%)
122.41B
est: 119.56B (+2.4%)
128.01B
est: 126.61B (+1.1%)
105.11B
est: 100.23B (+4.9%)
92.76B
est: 90.17B (+2.9%)
98.59B
est: 99.35B (-0.8%)
106.61B
est: 109.60B (-2.7%)
116.50B
est: 117.85B (-1.1%)
129.73B
129.47B – 129.99B
+10.1% YoY
138.25B
136.38B – 140.12B
+6.6% YoY
144.03B
139.37B – 148.69B
+4.2% YoY
149.58B
146.12B – 153.05B
+3.9% YoY
EPS
16.23
est: 17.40 (-6.7%)
13.09
est: 13.40 (-2.3%)
19.34
est: 32.55 (-40.6%)
23.10
est: 34.10 (-32.3%)
-92.93
est: -25.55 (-263.7%)
11.04
est: 22.60 (-51.2%)
-116.09
est: -93.53 (-24.1%)
125.52
est: 120.10 (+4.5%)
111.85
est: 68.00 (+64.5%)
86.63
est: 75.72 (+14.4%)
58.77
est: 66.46 (-11.6%)
68.75
67.99 – 69.50
+3.4% YoY
81.88
77.25 – 86.50
+19.1% YoY
95.01
86.52 – 103.50
+16.0% YoY
103.50
100.38 – 106.61
+8.9% YoY
Historical Ratings (3M)
Date Rating Overall DCF ROE ROA D/E P/E P/B
2026-05-29 B 3/5 5/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 1/5 2/5
2026-05-28 B 3/5 5/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 1/5 2/5
2026-05-27 B 3/5 5/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 1/5 2/5
2026-05-26 B 3/5 5/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 1/5 2/5
2026-05-25 B 3/5 5/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 1/5 2/5
2026-05-22 B 3/5 5/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 1/5 2/5
2026-05-21 B 3/5 5/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 1/5 2/5
2026-05-20 B 3/5 5/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 1/5 2/5
2026-05-19 B 3/5 5/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 1/5 2/5
2026-05-18 B 3/5 5/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 1/5 2/5
2026-05-15 B 3/5 5/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 1/5 2/5
2026-05-14 B 3/5 5/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 1/5 2/5
2026-05-13 B 3/5 5/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 1/5 2/5
2026-05-12 B 3/5 5/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 1/5 2/5
2026-05-11 B 3/5 5/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 1/5 2/5
2026-05-08 B+ 3/5 5/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 2/5
2026-05-07 B+ 3/5 5/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 2/5
2026-05-01 B+ 3/5 5/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 2/5
2026-04-30 B+ 3/5 5/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 2/5
2026-04-28 B+ 3/5 5/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 2/5
2026-04-27 B+ 3/5 5/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 2/5
2026-04-24 B 3/5 5/5 3/5 4/5 1/5 2/5 2/5
2026-04-23 B+ 3/5 5/5 3/5 5/5 1/5 2/5 2/5
2026-04-22 B+ 3/5 5/5 3/5 5/5 1/5 2/5 2/5
2026-04-21 B+ 3/5 5/5 3/5 5/5 1/5 2/5 2/5
2026-04-20 B+ 3/5 5/5 3/5 5/5 1/5 2/5 2/5
2026-04-17 B+ 3/5 5/5 3/5 5/5 1/5 2/5 2/5
2026-04-16 B+ 3/5 5/5 3/5 5/5 1/5 2/5 2/5

Owner Earnings

Owner's Earnings (history) From To
Owner alignment
Owner's Earnings TTM
5.46B
OE per share TTM
84.40
Owner's Yield
2.65%
Maintenance CapEx ratio
83.81%
Maint CapEx / Avg PPE
24.7%

Ownership Overview

Ownership breakdown

Ownership breakdown not available.

At a glance
Institutional holders
Total invested
Insider transactions (90d)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)

No beneficial ownership filings recorded.

Institutional Activity (13F)

Institutional ownership trend

Institutional history not available.

Top institutional holders

Top holders not available.

ETF Ownership

Top ETFs holding this stock Held by 77 ETFs in our universe
# ETF Weight Est. AUM exposure TER
1 iShares MSCI Japan Small-Cap ETF SCJ 0.10% 253.7K 0.50%
2 iShares MSCI Japan Small Cap UCITS ETF IDJP.L 0.10% 555.6K 0.58%
3 iShares International Small-Cap Equity Factor ETF ISCF 0.09% 609.6K 0.24%
4 State Street SPDR S&P International Small Cap ETF GWX 0.08% 694.5K 0.40%
5 Dimensional - International Small Cap ETF DFIS 0.07% 4.03M 0.39%
6 Avantis International Small Cap Equity ETF AVDS 0.06% 185.3K 0.30%
7 Schwab International Small-Cap Equity ETF SCHC 0.05% 2.85M 0.06%
8 Schwab Fundamental International Small Company Index ETF FNDC 0.05% 1.53M 0.39%
9 WisdomTree Japan SmallCap Dividend Fund DFJ 0.04% 154.4K 0.58%
10 iShares Currency Hedged MSCI EAFE Small-Cap ETF HSCZ 0.04% 83.2K 0.83%

Insider Activity

Insider Activity — Latest Quarter

No insider activity available.

Insider buys vs sells (history)

Insider history not available.

Recent insider transactions

No recent insider transactions.

Executive team

Top executives
EBIT / Employee
2.76M
Shares Outstanding
64.73M

Executive compensation

Executive compensation (annual)

Executive compensation not available.

CEO compensation breakdown

No CEO compensation history available.

Proxy statements

Proxy statements (DEF 14A)

No proxy statements available for this company yet.

Recent SEC filings

Recent SEC filings

No SEC filings available for this company yet.

Executive team

NameTitleCompensationGender
Akihiro Katsuta Group Product Division Manager and Director of Yoshinoya & Executive Officer
Hidetsugu Takahashi Group Development Division Chief & Exceutive Officer
Hiroaki Ishihara Executive Officer and Group Finance & Accounting Division Manager
Norihiro Ozawa Chief Financial Officer, Executive Vice President, Head of Group Planning Division & Representative Director male
Osamu Sakurai Excxeutive Officer, Director & Head of Business Promotion Division of Yoshinoya
Tetsuya Naruse Chief Executive Officer, President & Director male
Tomoko Tsuji Executive Officer female
Yukihito Maruyama Group Head of Human Resource Headquarters, CWO & Executive Officer
Yuriko Takano Group Legal Affairs & Administrative Division Manager & Exceutive Officer
ESG Score History

No data available for this company.

Senate Trading Activity

No Senate trading activity found for this company.

House Trading Activity

No House trading activity found for this company.

Market share among peers
Peer comparison — filtered group (TTM)
Your opinion

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These are community opinions and do not constitute buy or sell advice to act on. The results shown are based on aggregated opinions and are not an investment recommendation, nor do they intend to influence any investment decision.

Dividend yield history

Dividend history

Earnings history

Earnings reports

Stock splits