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Kotobukiya Co., Ltd. (7809.T)

JPY1,324.00 +3.00 (+0.23%)
JP JPX Consumer Cyclical Leisure
Address Tsuya Building 190-8542
Tachikawa, JP
CEO Kazuyuki Shimizu
IPO 2017-09-26
ISIN JP3299810006

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Description

Kotobukiya Co., Ltd. operates globally, managing the entire lifecycle of hobby-related merchandise, from conceptualization and design through production, inventory management, and distribution. Their diverse product offerings include collectible plastic figures, intricate plastic model kits, character-themed items, various books, general novelty goods, and card games. The company also actively engages in the international trade of its products, both importing and exporting. Consumers can purchase their items at dedicated retail locations in Tachikawa, Akihabara, and Nipponbashi, in addition to their online e-commerce platform. Established in 1947, Kotobukiya's main offices are situated in Tachikawa, Japan.

Market Cap & Enterprise Value
Merger & Acquisition History

No mergers or acquisitions recorded for this company.

Technical Outlook
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Signal Summary Loading…
Indicator 1D1W2W3W1M
Each column is computed on that timeframe's candles (1D = daily, 1W ≈ weekly, 1M ≈ monthly), not on the same last day. ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · — neutral. The Net row counts signals per column; hover any cell (or the indicator name) to see the exact rule behind it.
Day Score & sub-scores
Statistical fingerprint & regime detail
Conditional historical analysis
Customize analysis (advanced)
Indicative levels generated algorithmically. Not financial advice.
Risk Profile
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Price Chart
Averages
Trend
Price
Levels
Draw
JPY1,324.00 +3.00 (+0.23%)
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Volume Profile
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Liquidity & share structure
Average Volume
6.7K
Beta
0.31
Float Shares
3.73M
Free Float %
46.2%
Price Performance
1D5D1M3M6M YTD1Y3Y5Y10YMax
+0.15% +0.45% -1.77% -5.40% -16.07% -10.36% -12.43% -50.84% +79.21% +42.73% +42.73%
Rolling Volatility
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Drawdown
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Relative Strength
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
From To
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Annual Monthly Returns
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Daily Returns Distribution
vs.
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Revenue flow

Revenue by geography

Revenue by segment

From To

Revenue composition

From To

By product

By geography

Financial Statements

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Cash Flow Statement

Key Metrics

Financial Ratios

Employees

Financial Growth (CAGR)

Market Data

Price Targets & DCF
Current price
1,324.00
DCF (Unlevered) 4,594.30 +247.0%
DCF (Levered) 3,302.09 +149.4%

DCF figures are point estimates: small changes in growth or discount-rate assumptions move them materially. Read them as a reference, not a precise target.

Ratings Trend (MoM) 100% Bullish
Rating 2026-05 Change
Strong Buy 0 0
Buy 1 0
Hold 0 0
Sell 0 0
Strong Sell 0 0
Quality scores
Altman Z-Score
4.46
Safe zone
Piotroski F-Score
4 / 9
Average
MOAT Score
3 / 10
No MOAT
Composite Rating
A+
Overall Score
4 / 5
High
DCF Score
5 / 5
High
ROE Score
5 / 5
High
ROA Score
5 / 5
High
D/E Score
2 / 5
Medium
P/E Score
4 / 5
High
P/Book Score
3 / 5
Medium
Operational MOAT
✗ Below peers
  • Revenue growth Leisure: +7.6%
    +0.8% Q1'26: -12.0% (vs Q1'25)
  • EPS growth Leisure: +13.2%
    -1.1% Q1'26: -122.2% (vs Q1'25)
  • FCF margin FCF growth · Leisure: +30.4%
    +4.5% Q1'26: +0.0% (vs Q1'25)
  • EBIT margin Leisure: +11.0%
    +9.8% Q1'26: -4.1% (vs Q1'25)
  • ROIC Leisure: +6.9%
    +13.9% Q1'26: -5.6% (vs Q1'25)
  • Share dilution Leisure: +0.0%
    +0.1% Q1'26: +0.6% (vs Q1'25)
  • Debt / EBITDA Net debt/EBITDA · Leisure: -0.39×
    1.16× Q1'26: 2.91× (vs Q1'25)
Valuation Multiples From To
Price Forecast (3Y) From To
Model
Adjust
P/E
Theoretical Return — If Invested Today

* These projections are based on analyst consensus estimates and user-defined valuation multiples. This table is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

DCF Interactive Model (UFCF)
Projection years:
Market assumptions
WACC components (optional)
Ke (Cost of Equity) = Rf + β (0.30) × ERP
WACC = 77% × Ke + 23% × Kd (4.3%) × (1−t)

Modifying these values recalculates WACC automatically.

Business assumptions
Intrinsic value (base): 4,593.14 Current price: 1,324.00
Enterprise Value: Equity Value: Terminal Value: TV as % of EV:

Base values reflect the latest available data for this company and market conditions.

Consensus Estimates
Metric Jun 2018
actual
Jun 2023
actual
Jun 2024
actual
Jun 2025
actual
Jun 2026
1 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Jun 2027
1 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Jun 2028
1 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Revenue
8.81B
est: 8.32B (+5.9%)
18.10B
est: 18.00B (+0.6%)
16.38B
est: 16.00B (+2.4%)
16.50B
est: 17.40B (-5.2%)
16.90B
16.90B – 16.90B
-2.9% YoY
20.10B
20.10B – 20.10B
+18.9% YoY
21.00B
21.00B – 21.00B
+4.5% YoY
EBITDA
1.60B
est: 1.56B (+2.7%)
3.57B
est: 3.37B (+5.9%)
2.80B
est: 2.99B (-6.4%)
2.78B
est: 3.25B (-14.4%)
3.16B
3.16B – 3.16B
-2.9% YoY
3.76B
3.76B – 3.76B
+18.9% YoY
3.93B
3.93B – 3.93B
+4.5% YoY
EBIT
680.39M
est: 1.02B (-33.1%)
2.61B
est: 2.20B (+18.8%)
1.66B
est: 1.95B (-15.2%)
1.61B
est: 2.12B (-24.2%)
2.06B
2.06B – 2.06B
-2.9% YoY
2.45B
2.45B – 2.45B
+18.9% YoY
2.56B
2.56B – 2.56B
+4.5% YoY
Net Income
419.89M
est: 481.52M (-12.8%)
1.76B
est: 1.83B (-4.0%)
1.10B
est: 1.06B (+3.8%)
1.09B
est: 1.25B (-13.0%)
566.41M
566.41M – 566.41M
-54.9% YoY
1.30B
1.30B – 1.30B
+129.9% YoY
1.37B
1.37B – 1.37B
+5.3% YoY
SGA
2.30B
est: 1.87B (+23.3%)
3.51B
est: 4.04B (-13.2%)
3.41B
est: 3.56B (-4.3%)
3.62B
est: 3.87B (-6.6%)
3.76B
3.76B – 3.76B
-2.9% YoY
4.48B
4.48B – 4.48B
+18.9% YoY
4.68B
4.68B – 4.68B
+4.5% YoY
EPS
53.15
est: 59.93 (-11.3%)
222.50
est: 227.83 (-2.3%)
139.14
est: 132.30 (+5.2%)
136.72
est: 156.20 (-12.5%)
70.50
70.50 – 70.50
-54.9% YoY
162.10
162.10 – 162.10
+129.9% YoY
170.70
170.70 – 170.70
+5.3% YoY
Historical Ratings (3M)
Date Rating Overall DCF ROE ROA D/E P/E P/B
2026-05-15 A+ 4/5 5/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 4/5 3/5
2026-05-14 A+ 4/5 5/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 4/5 3/5
2026-05-13 A+ 4/5 5/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 4/5 3/5
2026-05-12 A+ 4/5 5/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 4/5 3/5
2026-05-11 A+ 4/5 5/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 4/5 3/5
2026-05-08 A+ 5/5 5/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 4/5 4/5
2026-05-07 A+ 5/5 5/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 4/5 4/5
2026-05-01 A+ 4/5 5/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 4/5 3/5
2026-04-30 A+ 4/5 5/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 4/5 3/5
2026-04-28 A+ 4/5 5/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 4/5 3/5
2026-04-27 A 4/5 5/5 4/5 5/5 2/5 4/5 3/5
2026-04-24 A 4/5 5/5 4/5 5/5 2/5 4/5 3/5
2026-04-23 A 4/5 5/5 4/5 5/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-04-22 A 4/5 5/5 4/5 5/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-04-21 A 4/5 5/5 4/5 5/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-04-20 A 4/5 5/5 4/5 5/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-04-17 A 4/5 5/5 4/5 5/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-04-16 A 4/5 5/5 4/5 5/5 1/5 4/5 3/5

Owner Earnings

Owner's Earnings (history) From To
Owner alignment
Owner's Earnings TTM
-513.08M
OE per share TTM
-64.06
Owner's Yield
-4.77%
Maintenance CapEx ratio
14.57%
Maint CapEx / Avg PPE
23.8%

Ownership Overview

Ownership breakdown

Ownership breakdown not available.

At a glance
Institutional holders
Total invested
Insider transactions (90d)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)

No beneficial ownership filings recorded.

Institutional Activity (13F)

Institutional ownership trend

Institutional history not available.

Top institutional holders

Top holders not available.

ETF Ownership

Top ETFs holding this stock Held by 1 ETFs in our universe
# ETF Weight Est. AUM exposure TER
1 Dimensional World ex U.S. Core Equity 2 ETF DFAX 0.00% 7.4K 0.28%

Insider Activity

Insider Activity — Latest Quarter

No insider activity available.

Insider buys vs sells (history)

Insider history not available.

Recent insider transactions

No recent insider transactions.

Executive team

Top executives
EBIT / Employee
8.48M
Shares Outstanding
8.08M

Executive compensation

Executive compensation (annual)

Executive compensation not available.

CEO compensation breakdown

No CEO compensation history available.

Proxy statements

Proxy statements (DEF 14A)

No proxy statements available for this company yet.

Recent SEC filings

Recent SEC filings

No SEC filings available for this company yet.

Executive team

NameTitleCompensationGender
Hiroyo Shimizu Executive Vice President & Director
Kazuyuki Shimizu Chairman & President
Takafumi Kamei GM of Corporate Planning Office & Director male
Yukihiro Muraoka MD, Head of Administration & Director male
ESG Score History

No data available for this company.

Senate Trading Activity

No Senate trading activity found for this company.

House Trading Activity

No House trading activity found for this company.

Market share among peers
Peer comparison — filtered group (TTM)
Your opinion

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Dividend yield history

Dividend history

Earnings history

Earnings reports

Stock splits