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ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (2057.HK)
HKD191.20
+1.10 (+0.58%)
CN HKSE Industrials Integrated Freight & Logistics
Address
Building One 201708
Shanghai, CN
Shanghai, CN
CEO
Meisong Lai
Website
zto.com
IPO
2020-09-29
ISIN KYG9897K1058
Also trades on
Hong Kong Stock Exchange · 2057.HK (HKD)
New York Stock Exchange · ZTO (USD)
Description
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. operates as a prominent logistics provider within the People's Republic of China, specializing in rapid parcel delivery and a variety of supplementary value-added services. The company caters to a diverse clientele, encompassing e-commerce vendors, conventional businesses, and other users requiring expedited shipping solutions. As of December 31, 2021, its operational capacity was underscored by a robust fleet of approximately 10,900 trucks. Established in 2002, its corporate headquarters are located in Shanghai, China.
Market Cap & Enterprise Value
Merger & Acquisition History
No mergers or acquisitions recorded for this company.
Technical Outlook
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Signal Summary
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| Indicator | 1D | 1W | 2W | 3W | 1M |
|---|
Each column is computed on that timeframe's candles (1D = daily, 1W ≈ weekly, 1M ≈ monthly), not on the same last day. ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · — neutral. The Net row counts signals per column; hover any cell (or the indicator name) to see the exact rule behind it.
Day Score & sub-scores
Statistical fingerprint & regime detail
Conditional historical analysis
Customize analysis (advanced)
Indicative levels generated algorithmically. Not financial advice.
Risk Profile
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Price Chart
HKD191.20
+1.10 (+0.58%)
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Volume Profile
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Liquidity & share structure
Average Volume
2M
Beta
-0.22
Float Shares
554.89M
Free Float %
70.1%
Price Performance
| 1D | 5D | 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -0.23% | -2.74% | -11.15% | -9.30% | +8.90% | +7.02% | +25.60% | -18.53% | -30.13% | -27.02% | -27.02% |
Rolling Volatility
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Drawdown
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Relative Strength
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
From
To
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Annual Monthly Returns
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Daily Returns Distribution
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Revenue flow
Revenue by geography
Revenue by segment
From
To
Revenue composition
From
To
By product
By geography
Financial Statements
Select metrics from the tables below to build your comparison.
Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow Statement
Key Metrics
Financial Ratios
Employees
Financial Growth (CAGR)
Market Data
Analyst Consensus (8 ratings, all time)
Buy
Price Targets & DCF
Current price
191.20
DCF (Unlevered)
190.01
-0.6%
DCF (Levered)
377.79
+97.6%
DCF figures are point estimates: small changes in growth or discount-rate assumptions move them materially. Read them as a reference, not a precise target.
Ratings Trend (MoM)
93% Bullish
| Rating | 2026-05 | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Strong Buy | 5 | +1 |
| Buy | 9 | -1 |
| Hold | 1 | 0 |
| Sell | 0 | 0 |
| Strong Sell | 0 | 0 |
Quality scores
Altman Z-Score
3.75
Safe zone
Piotroski F-Score
7 / 9
Strong
MOAT Score
5 / 10
Developing
Composite Rating
A
Overall Score
4 / 5
High
DCF Score
5 / 5
High
ROE Score
4 / 5
High
ROA Score
5 / 5
High
D/E Score
3 / 5
Medium
P/E Score
3 / 5
Medium
P/Book Score
3 / 5
Medium
Operational MOAT
✗ Below peers
-
Revenue growth Integrated Freight & Logistics: +6.5%+8.0% ★ Q1'26: +20.8% (vs Q1'25)
-
EPS growth Integrated Freight & Logistics: +7.1%+1.9% Q1'26: +7.8% (vs Q1'25)
-
FCF margin FCF growth · Integrated Freight & Logistics: +60.0%+14.5% Q1'26: -5.8% (vs Q1'25)
-
EBIT margin Integrated Freight & Logistics: +6.9%+19.6% ★ Q1'26: +18.2% (vs Q1'25)
-
ROIC Integrated Freight & Logistics: +6.4%+14.7% ★ Q1'26: +14.1% (vs Q1'25)
-
Share dilution Integrated Freight & Logistics: +0.1%-2.1% ★ Q1'26: -4.1% (vs Q1'25)
-
Debt / EBITDA Net debt/EBITDA · Integrated Freight & Logistics: 0.95×0.91× ★ Q1'26: 1.62× (vs Q1'25)
Valuation Multiples
From
To
Price Forecast (3Y)
From
To
Theoretical Return — If Invested Today
* These projections are based on analyst consensus estimates and user-defined valuation multiples. This table is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Consensus Estimates
| Metric |
Dec 2016 actual |
Dec 2017 actual |
Dec 2018 actual |
Dec 2019 actual |
Dec 2020 actual |
Dec 2021 actual |
Dec 2022 actual |
Dec 2023 actual |
Dec 2024 actual |
Dec 2025 actual |
Dec 2026 19 Rev. Ana. 6 EPS Ana. |
Dec 2027 21 Rev. Ana. 7 EPS Ana. |
Dec 2028 18 Rev. Ana. 5 EPS Ana. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue |
9.79B
est: 10.98B (-10.9%)
|
13.06B
est: 15.51B (-15.8%)
|
17.60B
est: 20.00B (-12.0%)
|
22.11B
est: 24.85B (-11.0%)
|
25.21B
est: 30.06B (-16.1%)
|
30.41B
est: 37.58B (-19.1%)
|
35.38B
est: 40.12B (-11.8%)
|
38.42B
est: 42.71B (-10.0%)
|
44.28B
est: 43.26B (+2.4%)
|
47.83B
est: 48.43B (-1.2%)
|
57.16B
54.12B – 63.33B
+18.0% YoY
|
62.74B
58.15B – 69.80B
+9.8% YoY
|
68.38B
64.03B – 75.92B
+9.0% YoY
|
| EBITDA |
3.09B
est: 3.34B (-7.5%)
|
4.31B
est: 4.72B (-8.7%)
|
5.19B
est: 6.09B (-14.8%)
|
8.02B
est: 7.56B (+6.0%)
|
6.59B
est: 9.15B (-27.9%)
|
8.09B
est: 11.44B (-29.3%)
|
10.41B
est: 12.21B (-14.8%)
|
13.85B
est: 13.00B (+6.6%)
|
15.04B
est: 12.47B (+20.6%)
|
12.68B
est: 13.96B (-9.2%)
|
16.47B
15.60B – 18.25B
+18.0% YoY
|
18.08B
16.76B – 20.11B
+9.8% YoY
|
19.70B
18.45B – 21.88B
+9.0% YoY
|
| EBIT |
2.83B
est: 2.54B (+11.4%)
|
3.84B
est: 3.59B (+6.9%)
|
5.34B
est: 4.63B (+15.3%)
|
6.76B
est: 5.75B (+17.5%)
|
4.75B
est: 6.96B (-31.7%)
|
5.87B
est: 8.70B (-32.6%)
|
7.74B
est: 9.29B (-16.7%)
|
10.98B
est: 9.88B (+11.1%)
|
12.01B
est: 9.82B (+22.4%)
|
9.38B
est: 10.99B (-14.6%)
|
12.97B
12.28B – 14.37B
+18.0% YoY
|
14.24B
13.20B – 15.84B
+9.8% YoY
|
15.52B
14.53B – 17.23B
+9.0% YoY
|
| Net Income |
2.05B
est: 2.93B (-30.0%)
|
3.16B
est: 4.36B (-27.5%)
|
4.38B
est: 5.43B (-19.3%)
|
5.67B
est: 5.90B (-3.9%)
|
4.31B
est: 5.85B (-26.3%)
|
4.75B
est: 5.96B (-20.2%)
|
6.81B
est: 7.76B (-12.2%)
|
8.75B
est: 10.01B (-12.6%)
|
8.82B
est: 9.72B (-9.3%)
|
8.85B
est: 9.31B (-5.0%)
|
11.31B
10.98B – 11.76B
+21.4% YoY
|
12.70B
12.06B – 13.53B
+12.3% YoY
|
14.02B
12.86B – 16.03B
+10.4% YoY
|
| SGA |
706.00M
est: 681.65M (+3.6%)
|
780.52M
est: 962.23M (-18.9%)
|
1.21B
est: 1.24B (-2.4%)
|
1.55B
est: 1.54B (+0.3%)
|
1.66B
est: 1.87B (-10.8%)
|
1.88B
est: 2.33B (-19.6%)
|
2.08B
est: 2.49B (-16.6%)
|
2.43B
est: 2.65B (-8.5%)
|
2.69B
est: 2.58B (+4.3%)
|
2.57B
est: 2.89B (-11.0%)
|
3.41B
3.23B – 3.77B
+18.0% YoY
|
3.74B
3.47B – 4.16B
+9.8% YoY
|
4.08B
3.82B – 4.53B
+9.0% YoY
|
| EPS |
2.91
est: 3.50 (-16.8%)
|
4.41
est: 5.20 (-15.1%)
|
5.83
est: 6.48 (-10.0%)
|
7.24
est: 7.04 (+2.8%)
|
5.42
est: 6.97 (-22.3%)
|
5.80
est: 7.11 (-18.4%)
|
8.41
est: 9.25 (-9.1%)
|
10.83
est: 11.94 (-9.3%)
|
10.95
est: 11.84 (-7.5%)
|
11.09
est: 11.35 (-2.3%)
|
13.78
13.37 – 14.33
+21.4% YoY
|
15.47
14.69 – 16.48
+12.3% YoY
|
17.08
15.67 – 19.53
+10.4% YoY
|
Historical Ratings (3M)
| Date | Rating | Overall | DCF | ROE | ROA | D/E | P/E | P/B |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-29 | A | 4/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| 2026-05-28 | A | 4/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| 2026-05-27 | A | 4/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| 2026-05-26 | A | 4/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| 2026-05-22 | A | 4/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| 2026-05-21 | A | 4/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| 2026-05-20 | A | 4/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| 2026-05-19 | A+ | 4/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| 2026-05-18 | A+ | 4/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| 2026-05-15 | A+ | 4/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| 2026-05-14 | A+ | 4/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| 2026-05-13 | A+ | 4/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| 2026-05-12 | A+ | 4/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| 2026-05-11 | A+ | 4/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| 2026-05-08 | A+ | 4/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| 2026-05-07 | A+ | 4/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| 2026-05-06 | A+ | 4/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| 2026-05-05 | A+ | 4/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| 2026-05-04 | A+ | 4/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| 2026-04-30 | A | 4/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 2/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| 2026-04-29 | A | 4/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 2/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| 2026-04-28 | A | 4/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 2/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| 2026-04-27 | A | 4/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 2/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| 2026-04-24 | A | 4/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 2/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| 2026-04-23 | A | 4/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 2/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| 2026-04-22 | A | 4/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 2/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| 2026-04-21 | A | 4/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 2/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| 2026-04-20 | A | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 2/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| 2026-04-17 | A | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 2/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| 2026-04-16 | A | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 2/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| 2026-04-15 | A | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 2/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 |
Owner Earnings
Owner's Earnings (history)
From
To
Owner alignment
Owner's Earnings TTM
6.92B
OE per share TTM
8.28
Owner's Yield
5.14%
Maintenance CapEx ratio
106.10%
Maint CapEx / Avg PPE
78.6%
Ownership Overview
Ownership breakdown
Ownership breakdown not available.
At a glance
Institutional holders
—
Total invested
—
Insider transactions (90d)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
No beneficial ownership filings recorded.
Institutional Activity (13F)
Institutional ownership trend
Institutional history not available.
Top institutional holders
Top holders not available.
ETF Ownership
Top ETFs holding this stock
Held by 160 ETFs in our universe
| # | ETF | Weight | Est. AUM exposure | TER |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cambria Emerging Shareholder Yield ETF EYLD | 0.94% | 7.91M | 0.65% |
| 2 | VictoryShares Emerging Markets Value Momentum ETF UEVM | 0.81% | 1.98M | 0.53% |
| 3 | VanEck - MSCI Multifactor Emerging Markets Equity ETF EMKT.AX | 0.74% | 3.79M | 0.69% |
| 4 | Kodex China H 099140.KS | 0.63% | 144.5K | 0.12% |
| 5 | WisdomTree China ex-State-Owned Enterprises Fund CXSE | 0.42% | 2.09M | 0.32% |
| 6 | Kodex China H Leverage(H) 204450.KS | 0.39% | 60.3K | 0.64% |
| 7 | Global X MSCI China ETF (HKD) 3040.HK | 0.37% | 202.0K | 0.18% |
| 8 | iShares MSCI China ETF MCHI | 0.37% | 22.08M | 0.59% |
| 9 | iShares MSCI China UCITS ETF ICHD.AS | 0.36% | 328.5K | 0.28% |
| 10 | iShares MSCI China UCITS ETF ICHN.AS | 0.36% | 9.11M | 0.28% |
Insider Activity
Insider Activity — Latest Quarter
No insider activity available.
Insider buys vs sells (history)
Insider history not available.
Recent insider transactions
No recent insider transactions.
Executive team
Top executives
EBIT / Employee
383.4K
Shares Outstanding
792.05M
Executive compensation
Executive compensation (annual)
Executive compensation not available.
CEO compensation breakdown
No CEO compensation history available.
Proxy statements
Proxy statements (DEF 14A)
No proxy statements available for this company yet.
Recent SEC filings
Recent SEC filings
No SEC filings available for this company yet.
Executive team
| Name | Title | Compensation | Gender |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hongqun Hu | Chief Operating Officer & Executive Director | — | male |
| Huiping Yan | Chief Financial Officer | — | female |
| Jianfeng Zhang | Vice President of Public Relations | — | male |
| Jianmin Guo | Advisor | — | male |
| Jilei Wang | Vice President of Infrastructure Management & Executive Director | — | male |
| Jingxi Zhu | President & Vice President of Information Technology | — | male |
| Meisong Lai | Founder, Chairman & Chief Executive Officer | — | male |
| Sophie Li | Investor Relations Director | — | female |
ESG Score History
No data available for this company.
Senate Trading Activity
No Senate trading activity found for this company.
House Trading Activity
No House trading activity found for this company.
Market share among peers
Peer comparison — filtered group (TTM)
Your opinion
Share your view on this stock and instantly see how the community has voted over the last 6 months.
Community Opinion for 2057.HK
Short-term intention
Target Price Distribution
These are community opinions and do not constitute buy or sell advice to act on. The results shown are based on aggregated opinions and are not an investment recommendation, nor do they intend to influence any investment decision.
