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China Modern Dairy Holdings Ltd. (1117.HK)

HKD1.16 +0.05 (+4.50%)
CN HKSE Consumer Defensive Agricultural Farm Products
Address Economic and Technological Devt. Zone
Maanshan, CN
CEO Yugang Sun
IPO 2010-11-26
ISIN KYG215791008

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Description

China Modern Dairy Holdings Ltd. functions as an investment holding company dedicated to the production and sale of milk throughout Mainland China. The company's operations include supplying raw milk to clients for dairy product manufacturing, alongside offering its own line of liquid milk products. Additionally, it engages in raising dairy cattle, marketing animal feeds, and producing fodder. As of December 31, 2021, the firm maintained 33 operational farms. Founded in 2005, its main office is located in Maanshan, People's Republic of China, and it operates as a subsidiary of China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited.

Market Cap & Enterprise Value
Merger & Acquisition History

No mergers or acquisitions recorded for this company.

Technical Outlook
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Signal Summary Loading…
Indicator 1D1W2W3W1M
Each column is computed on that timeframe's candles (1D = daily, 1W ≈ weekly, 1M ≈ monthly), not on the same last day. ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · — neutral. The Net row counts signals per column; hover any cell (or the indicator name) to see the exact rule behind it.
Day Score & sub-scores
Statistical fingerprint & regime detail
Conditional historical analysis
Customize analysis (advanced)
Indicative levels generated algorithmically. Not financial advice.
Risk Profile
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Price Chart
Averages
Trend
Price
Levels
Draw
HKD1.16 +0.05 (+4.50%)
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Volume Profile
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Liquidity & share structure
Average Volume
19M
Beta
0.44
Float Shares
2.46B
Free Float %
31.4%
Price Performance
1D5D1M3M6M YTD1Y3Y5Y10YMax
+0.00% -0.87% -12.98% -19.72% -14.93% -29.63% +5.56% +21.28% -41.24% -18.57% -54.40%
Rolling Volatility
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Drawdown
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Relative Strength
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
From To
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Annual Monthly Returns
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Daily Returns Distribution
vs.
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Revenue flow

Revenue by geography

Revenue by segment

From To

Revenue composition

From To

By product

By geography

Financial Statements

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Cash Flow Statement

Key Metrics

Financial Ratios

Employees

Financial Growth (CAGR)

Market Data

Price Targets & DCF
Current price
1.16
Ratings Trend (MoM) 100% Bullish
Rating 2026-05 Change
Strong Buy 4 +1
Buy 3 0
Hold 0 0
Sell 0 0
Strong Sell 0 0
Quality scores
Altman Z-Score
1.26
Distress
Piotroski F-Score
4 / 9
Average
MOAT Score
2 / 10
No MOAT
Composite Rating
C-
Overall Score
1 / 5
Low
DCF Score
1 / 5
Low
ROE Score
1 / 5
Low
ROA Score
1 / 5
Low
D/E Score
1 / 5
Low
P/E Score
1 / 5
Low
P/Book Score
3 / 5
Medium
Operational MOAT
✗ Below peers
  • Revenue growth Agricultural Farm Products: +8.2%
    -4.9% Q4'25: -4.3% (vs Q4'23)
  • EPS growth Agricultural Farm Products: +20.0%
    +22.2% Q4'25: -539.5% (vs Q4'23)
  • FCF margin FCF growth · Agricultural Farm Products: +43.8%
    +10.0% Q4'25: -4.2% (vs Q4'23)
  • EBIT margin Agricultural Farm Products: +8.1%
    +17.6% Q4'25: +18.0% (vs Q4'23)
  • ROIC Agricultural Farm Products: +6.0%
    +8.9% Q4'25: +18.9% (vs Q4'23)
  • Share dilution Agricultural Farm Products: +0.0%
    0.0% Q4'25: -1.1% (vs Q4'23)
  • Debt / EBITDA Net debt/EBITDA · Agricultural Farm Products: 0.61×
    8.04× Q4'25: 3.73× (vs Q4'23)
Valuation Multiples From To
Price Forecast (3Y) From To
Model
Adjust
P/E
Theoretical Return — If Invested Today

* These projections are based on analyst consensus estimates and user-defined valuation multiples. This table is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

DCF Interactive Model (UFCF)
Projection years:
Market assumptions
WACC components (optional)
Ke (Cost of Equity) = Rf + β (0.46) × ERP
WACC = 26% × Ke + 74% × Kd (4.1%) × (1−t)

Modifying these values recalculates WACC automatically.

Business assumptions
Current price: 1.16
Enterprise Value: Equity Value: Terminal Value: TV as % of EV:

Base values reflect the latest available data for this company and market conditions.

Consensus Estimates
Metric Dec 2014
actual
Dec 2015
actual
Dec 2016
actual
Dec 2017
actual
Dec 2018
actual
Dec 2019
actual
Dec 2020
actual
Dec 2021
actual
Dec 2022
actual
Dec 2023
actual
Dec 2024
actual
Dec 2025
actual
Dec 2026
6 Rev. Ana.
4 EPS Ana.
Dec 2027
5 Rev. Ana.
3 EPS Ana.
Dec 2028
4 Rev. Ana.
5 EPS Ana.
Revenue
5.03B
est: 4.08B (+23.2%)
4.83B
est: 5.83B (-17.2%)
4.86B
est: 5.17B (-5.9%)
4.78B
est: 5.64B (-15.1%)
4.96B
est: 5.55B (-10.6%)
5.51B
est: 5.92B (-6.8%)
6.02B
est: 7.20B (-16.4%)
7.08B
est: 8.55B (-17.3%)
12.30B
est: 12.98B (-5.3%)
13.46B
est: 12.32B (+9.2%)
13.25B
est: 13.20B (+0.4%)
12.60B
est: 13.09B (-3.7%)
14.10B
13.66B – 14.41B
+7.7% YoY
15.16B
14.13B – 15.94B
+7.5% YoY
16.26B
15.44B – 16.86B
+7.3% YoY
EBITDA
1.76B
est: 798.96M (+120.8%)
1.49B
est: 601.70M (+147.4%)
839.41M
est: 308.35M (+172.2%)
632.48M
est: -660.59M (+195.7%)
1.08B
est: -821.18M (+231.7%)
2.12B
est: -549.26M (+486.1%)
2.15B
est: 281.93M (+663.6%)
1.58B
est: 294.33M (+436.0%)
1.40B
est: 330.40M (+323.6%)
1.19B
est: 2.97B (-60.0%)
2.60B
est: 3.18B (-18.2%)
2.68B
est: 3.16B (-15.0%)
3.40B
3.29B – 3.47B
+7.7% YoY
3.66B
3.41B – 3.84B
+7.5% YoY
3.92B
3.72B – 4.07B
+7.3% YoY
EBIT
1.04B
est: 651.75M (+59.0%)
658.86M
est: 806.35M (-18.3%)
-432.48M
est: 506.99M (-185.3%)
-637.69M
est: -358.92M (-77.7%)
-170.57M
est: -584.93M (+70.8%)
1.81B
est: -102.50M (+1,867.7%)
1.89B
est: 692.28M (+173.0%)
1.28B
est: 722.74M (+77.4%)
1.00B
est: 811.30M (+23.4%)
734.51M
est: 2.60B (-71.7%)
2.22B
est: 1.85B (+19.9%)
2.22B
est: 2.76B (-19.6%)
2.98B
2.88B – 3.04B
+7.7% YoY
3.20B
2.98B – 3.36B
+7.5% YoY
3.43B
3.26B – 3.56B
+7.3% YoY
Net Income
735.32M
est: 1.35B (-45.3%)
321.30M
est: 585.79M (-45.2%)
-742.10M
est: 272.68M (-372.1%)
-975.12M
est: -630.17M (-54.7%)
-496.09M
est: -849.51M (+41.6%)
341.27M
est: -474.49M (+171.9%)
770.01M
est: 323.27M (+138.2%)
1.02B
est: 337.49M (+201.9%)
562.50M
est: 264.10M (+113.0%)
175.16M
est: -244.15M (+171.7%)
-1.42B
est: -1.05B (-35.2%)
-1.13B
est: -1.01B (-11.3%)
480.24M
452.74M – 507.73M
+147.4% YoY
1.22B
1.15B – 1.29B
+154.7% YoY
1.47B
1.28B – 2.23B
+19.9% YoY
SGA
326.47M
est: 363.59M (-10.2%)
438.03M
est: 260.08M (+68.4%)
1.06B
est: 371.82M (+185.0%)
729.09M
est: 902.43M (-19.2%)
404.71M
est: 1.07B (-62.1%)
452.23M
est: 387.08M (+16.8%)
568.60M
est: 428.37M (+32.7%)
558.16M
est: 447.22M (+24.8%)
1.10B
est: 502.02M (+119.1%)
1.23B
est: 1.10B (+12.1%)
1.21B
est: 1.18B (+2.9%)
1.19B
est: 1.17B (+2.0%)
1.26B
1.22B – 1.28B
+7.7% YoY
1.35B
1.26B – 1.42B
+7.5% YoY
1.45B
1.38B – 1.50B
+7.3% YoY
EPS
0.15
est: 0.17 (-12.7%)
0.06
est: 0.11 (-41.2%)
-0.14
est: -0.03 (-426.5%)
-0.16
est: -0.14 (-12.9%)
-0.08
est: -0.04 (-82.9%)
0.06
est: 0.05 (+12.1%)
0.12
est: 0.10 (+25.6%)
0.14
est: 0.14 (+3.0%)
0.07
est: 0.13 (-45.5%)
0.02
est: -0.03 (+171.0%)
-0.18
est: -0.13 (-33.4%)
-0.14
est: 0.07 (-300.1%)
0.06
0.06 – 0.06
-11.6% YoY
0.16
0.15 – 0.17
+154.7% YoY
0.23
0.16 – 0.28
+48.4% YoY
Historical Ratings (3M)
Date Rating Overall DCF ROE ROA D/E P/E P/B
2026-05-29 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 3/5
2026-05-28 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 3/5
2026-05-27 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 3/5
2026-05-26 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 3/5
2026-05-22 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 3/5
2026-05-21 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 3/5
2026-05-20 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 3/5
2026-05-19 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-18 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-15 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-14 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-13 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-12 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-11 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-08 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-07 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-06 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-05 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-04 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-04-30 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-04-29 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-04-28 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-04-27 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-04-24 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-04-23 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-04-22 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-04-21 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-04-20 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-04-17 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 3/5
2026-04-16 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 3/5

Owner Earnings

Owner's Earnings (history) From To
Owner alignment
Owner's Earnings TTM
-3.26B
OE per share TTM
-0.42
Owner's Yield
-36.46%
Maintenance CapEx ratio
Maint CapEx / Avg PPE
170.0%

Ownership Overview

Ownership breakdown

Ownership breakdown not available.

At a glance
Institutional holders
Total invested
Insider transactions (90d)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)

No beneficial ownership filings recorded.

Institutional Activity (13F)

Institutional ownership trend

Institutional history not available.

Top institutional holders

Top holders not available.

ETF Ownership

Top ETFs holding this stock Held by 56 ETFs in our universe
# ETF Weight Est. AUM exposure TER
1 iShares MSCI China Small-Cap ETF ECNS 0.21% 133.4K 0.59%
2 iShares MSCI Agriculture Producers ETF VEGI 0.06% 93.4K 0.39%
3 iShares MSCI AC Far East ex-Japan Small Cap UCITS ETF ISFE.L 0.03% 20.4K 0.74%
4 iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Small-Cap ETF EEMS 0.02% 85.6K 0.72%
5 iShares MSCI EM Small Cap UCITS ETF IEMS.L 0.02% 75.4K 0.74%
6 State Street SPDR S&P Emerging Markets Small Cap ETF EWX 0.02% 152.3K 0.65%
7 Avantis Emerging Markets Small Cap Equity ETF AVEE 0.02% 23.5K 0.42%
8 State Street SPDR MSCI Emerging Markets Small Cap UCITS ETF EMSD.L 0.02% 112.3K 0.55%
9 Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US Small-Cap ETF VSS 0.01% 1.26M 0.06%
10 Dimensional - Emerging Markets Core Equity 2 ETF DFEM 0.00% 394.0K 0.39%

Insider Activity

Insider Activity — Latest Quarter

No insider activity available.

Insider buys vs sells (history)

Insider history not available.

Recent insider transactions

No recent insider transactions.

Executive team

Top executives
EBIT / Employee
246.4K
Shares Outstanding
7.82B

Executive compensation

Executive compensation (annual)

Executive compensation not available.

CEO compensation breakdown

No CEO compensation history available.

Proxy statements

Proxy statements (DEF 14A)

No proxy statements available for this company yet.

Recent SEC filings

Recent SEC filings

No SEC filings available for this company yet.

Executive team

NameTitleCompensationGender
Chunlin Han Vice President & Head of the Second Operation Center 6M male
Yugang Sun Chief Executive Officer & Executive Director 6M male
Xiaohui Zhu Chief Financial Officer & Executive Director 3M male
Li Yuan Vice President and Head of Human Resources & Administration female
Lijun Ma Vice President and Head of Safety & Quality of Group male
Weizheng Song Vice President & Acting Chief Executive Officer of Modern Forage male
Xue Zhang VP & Chief Technical Engineer male
Zhigang Guo Assistant to the President & Head of the Technical Support Center male
Zunyang Zhao Vice President & Head of the First Operation Center male
Jiangong Su Assistant Vice President & Head of Finance Department male
Kwok Fat Li Company Secretary male
ESG Score History

No data available for this company.

Senate Trading Activity

No Senate trading activity found for this company.

House Trading Activity

No House trading activity found for this company.

Market share among peers
Peer comparison — filtered group (TTM)
Your opinion

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Dividend yield history

Dividend history

Earnings history

Earnings reports

Stock splits