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Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development Co., Ltd. (000429.SZ)

CNY13.96 +0.13 (+0.94%)
CN SHZ Industrials Industrial - Infrastructure Operations
Address Litong Plaza 510623
Guangzhou, CN
CEO Ming Lu
Website gpedcl.com
IPO 1998-02-20
ISIN CNE0000006Z6

Explore sections of this company profile

Also trades on Shenzhen Stock Exchange · 000429.SZ (CNY) Shenzhen Stock Exchange · 200429.SZ (HKD)
Description

Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development Co., Ltd., a subsidiary of Guangdong Communication Group Co., Ltd., specializes in the development and operation of expressways and bridges across the People's Republic of China. The company's responsibilities extend to the toll collection, management, and ongoing maintenance of key routes such as the Guangfo, Fokai, Jingzhu (Guangzhu section), and Guanghui Expressways. Diversifying its portfolio, it also invests in technology-focused industries and provides related consulting expertise. Moreover, the company offers a broad range of auxiliary services, including fueling stations, roadside assistance, vehicle maintenance and transport, and catering support. Its activities also encompass the development and investment in warehousing solutions, along with the supply of spare parts and components. By the close of 2021, the company managed 306.78 kilometers of expressways under its share-controlled umbrella and held participation in an additional 295.88 kilometers. Founded in 1993 and headquartered in Guangzhou, China, the company was initially known as Guangdong Fokai Expressway Co., Ltd. before rebranding to its current name in June of that founding year.

Market Cap & Enterprise Value
Merger & Acquisition History

No mergers or acquisitions recorded for this company.

Technical Outlook
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Signal Summary Loading…
Indicator 1D1W2W3W1M
Each column is computed on that timeframe's candles (1D = daily, 1W ≈ weekly, 1M ≈ monthly), not on the same last day. ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · — neutral. The Net row counts signals per column; hover any cell (or the indicator name) to see the exact rule behind it.
Day Score & sub-scores
Statistical fingerprint & regime detail
Conditional historical analysis
Customize analysis (advanced)
Indicative levels generated algorithmically. Not financial advice.
Risk Profile
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Price Chart
Averages
Trend
Price
Levels
Draw
CNY13.96 +0.13 (+0.94%)
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Volume Profile
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Liquidity & share structure
Average Volume
6M
Beta
-0.03
Float Shares
665.42M
Free Float %
31.8%
Price Performance
1D5D1M3M6M YTD1Y3Y5Y10YMax
+1.32% +4.31% +4.31% +7.48% +4.73% +10.95% -7.50% +56.15% +75.20% +137.21% +164.57%
Rolling Volatility
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Drawdown
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Relative Strength
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
From To
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Annual Monthly Returns
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Daily Returns Distribution
vs.
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Revenue flow

Revenue by geography

Revenue by segment

From To

Revenue composition

From To

By product

By geography

Financial Statements

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Cash Flow Statement

Key Metrics

Financial Ratios

Employees

Financial Growth (CAGR)

Market Data

Price Targets & DCF
Current price
13.96
DCF (Unlevered) 17.09 +22.4%
DCF (Levered) 47.47 +240.0%

DCF figures are point estimates: small changes in growth or discount-rate assumptions move them materially. Read them as a reference, not a precise target.

Ratings Trend (MoM) 100% Bullish
Rating 2026-05 Change
Strong Buy 1 0
Buy 2 0
Hold 0 0
Sell 0 0
Strong Sell 0 0
Quality scores
Altman Z-Score
2.24
Grey zone
Piotroski F-Score
6 / 9
Average
MOAT Score
5 / 10
Developing
Composite Rating
A-
Overall Score
4 / 5
High
DCF Score
5 / 5
High
ROE Score
4 / 5
High
ROA Score
4 / 5
High
D/E Score
1 / 5
Low
P/E Score
3 / 5
Medium
P/Book Score
3 / 5
Medium
Operational MOAT
✗ Below peers
  • ✗
    Revenue growth Industrial - Infrastructure Operations: +6.5%
    -2.2% Q1'26: +2.7% (vs Q1'25)
  • ✓
    EPS growth Industrial - Infrastructure Operations: +11.1%
    +14.7% ★ Q1'26: -29.0% (vs Q1'25)
  • ✓
    FCF margin FCF growth · Industrial - Infrastructure Operations: +42.0%
    +55.5% Q1'26: +6.5% (vs Q1'25)
  • ✓
    EBIT margin Industrial - Infrastructure Operations: +28.4%
    +59.4% ★ Q1'26: +64.0% (vs Q1'25)
  • ✗
    ROIC Industrial - Infrastructure Operations: +6.7%
    +11.6% ★ Q1'26: +11.4% (vs Q1'25)
  • ✗
    Share dilution Industrial - Infrastructure Operations: +0.0%
    +0.5% Q1'26: -1.4% (vs Q1'25)
  • ✗
    Debt / EBITDA Net debt/EBITDA · Industrial - Infrastructure Operations: 1.25×
    2.80× ★ Q1'26: 2.96× (vs Q1'25)
Valuation Multiples From To
Price Forecast (3Y) From To
Model
Adjust
P/E
Theoretical Return — If Invested Today

* These projections are based on analyst consensus estimates and user-defined valuation multiples. This table is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

DCF Interactive Model (UFCF)
Projection years:
Market assumptions
▶ WACC components (optional)
Ke (Cost of Equity) = Rf + β (-0.09) × ERP
WACC = 73% × Ke + 27% × Kd (4.1%) × (1−t)

Modifying these values recalculates WACC automatically.

Business assumptions
—
Intrinsic value (base): 17.09 Current price: 13.96
Enterprise Value: — Equity Value: — Terminal Value: — TV as % of EV: —

Base values reflect the latest available data for this company and market conditions.

Consensus Estimates
Metric Dec 2015
actual 		Dec 2016
actual 		Dec 2017
actual 		Dec 2018
actual 		Dec 2019
actual 		Dec 2020
actual 		Dec 2021
actual 		Dec 2022
actual 		Dec 2023
actual 		Dec 2024
actual 		Dec 2024
actual 		Dec 2025
actual 		Dec 2026
3 Rev. Ana.
2 EPS Ana. 		Dec 2027
3 Rev. Ana.
2 EPS Ana. 		Dec 2028
1 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Revenue
2.66B
est: 2.60B (+2.3%)
2.83B
est: 2.70B (+4.7%)
3.09B
est: 3.04B (+1.5%)
3.22B
est: 3.22B (-0.2%)
5.00B
est: 3.06B (+63.5%)
3.79B
est: 3.30B (+15.0%)
5.29B
est: 5.29B (+0.0%)
4.17B
est: 4.17B (0.0%)
4.88B
est.
4.57B
est: 4.72B (-3.2%)
4.88B
est: 4.72B (+3.3%)
4.47B
est: 4.45B (+0.5%)
4.52B
4.43B – 4.58B
+1.6% YoY
4.46B
4.43B – 4.47B
-1.4% YoY
4.61B
4.55B – 4.65B
+3.5% YoY
EBITDA
2.31B
est: 2.12B (+9.0%)
2.74B
est: 2.20B (+24.9%)
3.00B
est: 2.48B (+21.2%)
3.15B
est: 2.63B (+19.9%)
4.30B
est: 2.49B (+72.5%)
3.16B
est: 2.69B (+17.7%)
4.71B
est: 4.31B (+9.4%)
3.62B
est: 3.40B (+6.7%)
3.97B
est.
4.01B
est: 4.11B (-2.4%)
4.34B
est: 4.11B (+5.6%)
3.67B
est: 3.87B (-5.0%)
3.93B
3.85B – 3.98B
+1.6% YoY
3.88B
3.86B – 3.89B
-1.4% YoY
4.01B
3.96B – 4.05B
+3.5% YoY
EBIT
1.46B
est: 1.48B (-1.2%)
1.85B
est: 1.53B (+20.7%)
2.18B
est: 1.73B (+25.9%)
2.34B
est: 1.83B (+27.6%)
3.09B
est: 1.74B (+77.5%)
2.12B
est: 1.88B (+13.3%)
3.45B
est: 3.01B (+14.7%)
2.58B
est: 2.37B (+8.8%)
2.77B
est.
2.95B
est: 2.99B (-1.3%)
3.19B
est: 2.99B (+6.7%)
2.66B
est: 2.82B (-5.7%)
2.86B
2.80B – 2.90B
+1.6% YoY
2.82B
2.81B – 2.83B
-1.4% YoY
2.92B
2.88B – 2.95B
+3.5% YoY
Net Income
696.10M
est: 624.85M (+11.4%)
1.00B
est: 978.93M (+2.3%)
1.51B
est: 1.46B (+3.6%)
1.68B
est: 1.59B (+5.5%)
1.47B
est: 1.25B (+17.6%)
867.84M
est: 742.88M (+16.8%)
1.70B
est: 1.69B (+0.8%)
1.28B
est: 1.27B (+0.5%)
1.63B
est.
1.56B
est: 1.57B (-0.5%)
1.63B
est: 1.57B (+4.0%)
1.80B
est: 1.64B (+9.5%)
1.59B
1.56B – 1.61B
-3.3% YoY
1.53B
1.50B – 1.56B
-3.9% YoY
1.35B
1.32B – 1.36B
-11.9% YoY
SGA
192.30M
est: 117.61M (+63.5%)
188.35M
est: 122.14M (+54.2%)
180.23M
est: 137.76M (+30.8%)
182.16M
est: 146.03M (+24.7%)
219.09M
est: 138.49M (+58.2%)
206.31M
est: 149.33M (+38.2%)
225.63M
est: 239.48M (-5.8%)
192.07M
est: 188.79M (+1.7%)
220.95M
est.
203.21M
est: 204.72M (-0.7%)
189.27M
est: 204.72M (-7.5%)
199.89M
est: 192.80M (+3.7%)
195.95M
192.05M – 198.56M
+1.6% YoY
193.26M
192.15M – 193.97M
-1.4% YoY
199.97M
197.40M – 201.67M
+3.5% YoY
EPS
0.40
est: 0.30 (+33.3%)
0.52
est: 0.47 (+10.6%)
0.72
est: 0.70 (+2.9%)
0.80
est: 0.76 (+4.8%)
0.70
est: 0.60 (+16.7%)
0.42
est: 0.36 (+17.8%)
0.81
est: 0.81 (+0.0%)
0.61
est: 0.61 (+0.0%)
0.78
est.
0.75
est: 0.75 (+0.0%)
0.78
est: 0.75 (+4.0%)
0.86
est: 0.79 (+9.5%)
0.76
0.75 – 0.77
-3.3% YoY
0.73
0.71 – 0.75
-3.9% YoY
0.64
0.63 – 0.65
-11.9% YoY
Historical Ratings (3M)
Date Rating Overall DCF ROE ROA D/E P/E P/B
2026-05-12 A- 4/5 5/5 4/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-11 A- 4/5 5/5 4/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-08 A- 4/5 5/5 4/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-07 A- 4/5 5/5 4/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-06 A- 4/5 5/5 4/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 3/5
2026-04-30 A- 4/5 5/5 4/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 3/5
2026-04-29 A 4/5 5/5 4/5 5/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-04-28 A 4/5 5/5 4/5 5/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-04-27 A 4/5 5/5 4/5 5/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-04-24 A 4/5 5/5 4/5 5/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-04-23 A- 4/5 5/5 4/5 5/5 1/5 3/5 3/5
2026-04-22 A- 4/5 5/5 4/5 5/5 1/5 3/5 3/5
2026-04-21 A- 4/5 5/5 4/5 5/5 1/5 3/5 3/5
2026-04-20 A- 4/5 5/5 4/5 5/5 1/5 3/5 3/5
2026-04-17 A- 4/5 5/5 4/5 5/5 1/5 3/5 3/5
2026-04-16 A- 4/5 5/5 4/5 5/5 1/5 3/5 3/5

Owner Earnings

Owner's Earnings (history) From To
Owner alignment
Owner's Earnings TTM
796.73M
OE per share TTM
0.38
Owner's Yield
2.94%
Maintenance CapEx ratio
261.62%
Maint CapEx / Avg PPE
255.0%

Ownership Overview

Ownership breakdown

Ownership breakdown not available.

At a glance
Institutional holders
—
Total invested
—
Insider transactions (90d)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)

No beneficial ownership filings recorded.

Institutional Activity (13F)

Institutional ownership trend

Institutional history not available.

Top institutional holders

Top holders not available.

ETF Ownership

Top ETFs holding this stock Held by 24 ETFs in our universe
# ETF Weight Est. AUM exposure TER
1 Xtrackers Harvest CSI 500 China A-Shares Small Cap ETF ASHS 0.07% 26.1K 0.65%
2 Xtrackers Emerging Markets Carbon Reduction and Climate Improvers ETF EMCR 0.01% 6.6K 0.15%
3 Dimensional - Emerging Markets High Profitability ETF DEHP 0.01% 43.8K 0.44%
4 iShares Global Infrastructure UCITS ETF IDIN.L 0.01% 167.4K 0.65%
5 iShares Global Infrastructure UCITS ETF Accum USD CBUX.DE 0.01% 12.1K 0.65%
6 Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US Small-Cap ETF VSS 0.01% 874.9K 0.06%
7 Dimensional - Emerging Markets Value ETF DFEV 0.01% 121.6K 0.46%
8 Dimensional Emerging Markets Sustainability Core 1 ETF DFSE 0.01% 34.8K 0.44%
9 Dimensional - Emerging Core Equity Market ETF DFAE 0.00% 331.8K 0.29%
10 Dimensional - Emerging Markets Core Equity 2 ETF DFEM 0.00% 268.6K 0.39%

Insider Activity

Insider Activity — Latest Quarter

No insider activity available.

Insider buys vs sells (history)

Insider history not available.

Recent insider transactions

No recent insider transactions.

Executive team

Top executives
EBIT / Employee
886.8K
Shares Outstanding
2.09B

Executive compensation

Executive compensation (annual)

Executive compensation not available.

CEO compensation breakdown

No CEO compensation history available.

Proxy statements

Proxy statements (DEF 14A)

No proxy statements available for this company yet.

Recent SEC filings

Recent SEC filings

No SEC filings available for this company yet.

Executive team

NameTitleCompensationGender
Baoguo Luo Deputy General Manager — male
Hanming Yang Secretary to the Board — male
Jiang Zuo Deputy GM & Director — female
Ming Lu Chief Accountant, Chief Financial Officer & Director — male
Qijun Zhu Deputy General Manager — male
Yisan Zhou General Counsel & Legal Counsel — male
ESG Score History

No data available for this company.

Senate Trading Activity

No Senate trading activity found for this company.

House Trading Activity

No House trading activity found for this company.

Market share among peers
Peer comparison — filtered group (TTM)
Your opinion

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Dividend yield history

Dividend history

Earnings history

Earnings reports

Stock splits

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