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Transurban Group (TCL.AX)

AUD14.62 -0.12 (-0.81%)
AU ASX Industrials Industrial - Infrastructure Operations
Address Tower Five 3008
Docklands, VIC, AU
CEO Michelle Nicole Jablko B.Ec
IPO 1996-04-01
ISIN AU000000TCL6

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Description

Transurban Group specializes in the complete lifecycle of toll road infrastructure, including its development, ongoing operation, management, and upkeep. The company maintains a portfolio of 21 toll roads situated across significant urban areas. These include Sydney, Melbourne, and Brisbane in Australia, the Greater Washington region in the United States, and Montreal, North America. Its corporate headquarters are located in Melbourne, Australia.

Market Cap & Enterprise Value
Merger & Acquisition History

No mergers or acquisitions recorded for this company.

Technical Outlook
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Signal Summary Loading…
Indicator 1D1W2W3W1M
Each column is computed on that timeframe's candles (1D = daily, 1W ≈ weekly, 1M ≈ monthly), not on the same last day. ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · — neutral. The Net row counts signals per column; hover any cell (or the indicator name) to see the exact rule behind it.
Day Score & sub-scores
Statistical fingerprint & regime detail
Conditional historical analysis
Customize analysis (advanced)
Indicative levels generated algorithmically. Not financial advice.
Risk Profile
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Price Chart
Averages
Trend
Price
Levels
Draw
AUD14.62 -0.12 (-0.81%)
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Volume Profile
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Liquidity & share structure
Average Volume
6M
Beta
0.51
Float Shares
3.11B
Free Float %
99.8%
Price Performance
1D5D1M3M6M YTD1Y3Y5Y10YMax
+3.03% +3.31% +7.00% +4.46% +0.33% +5.42% +5.05% +0.94% +8.87% +27.38% +1,274.31%
Rolling Volatility
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Drawdown
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Relative Strength
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
From To
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Annual Monthly Returns
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Daily Returns Distribution
vs.
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Revenue flow

Revenue by geography

Revenue by segment

From To

Revenue composition

From To

By product

By geography

Financial Statements

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Cash Flow Statement

Key Metrics

Financial Ratios

Employees

Financial Growth (CAGR)

Market Data

Price Targets & DCF
Current price
14.62
DCF (Unlevered) 17.59 +20.3%
DCF (Levered) 5.54 -62.1%

DCF figures are point estimates: small changes in growth or discount-rate assumptions move them materially. Read them as a reference, not a precise target.

Ratings Trend (MoM) 7% Bullish
Rating 2026-05 Change
Strong Buy 0 0
Buy 1 0
Hold 13 0
Sell 0 0
Strong Sell 0 0
Quality scores
Altman Z-Score
1.28
Distress
Piotroski F-Score
6 / 9
Average
MOAT Score
3 / 10
No MOAT
Composite Rating
C+
Overall Score
2 / 5
Medium
DCF Score
3 / 5
Medium
ROE Score
3 / 5
Medium
ROA Score
3 / 5
Medium
D/E Score
1 / 5
Low
P/E Score
1 / 5
Low
P/Book Score
1 / 5
Low
Operational MOAT
✗ Below peers
  • Revenue growth Industrial - Infrastructure Operations: +6.5%
    -8.5% Q4'25: -4.5% (vs Q4'23)
  • EPS growth Industrial - Infrastructure Operations: +11.1%
    -60.9% Q4'25: +44.8% (vs Q4'23)
  • FCF margin FCF growth · Industrial - Infrastructure Operations: +42.0%
    +17.1% Q4'25: +45.2% (vs Q4'23)
  • EBIT margin Industrial - Infrastructure Operations: +28.4%
    +28.4% Q4'25: +36.1% (vs Q4'23)
  • ROIC Industrial - Infrastructure Operations: +6.7%
    +3.7% Q4'25: +10.1% (vs Q4'23)
  • Share dilution Industrial - Infrastructure Operations: +0.0%
    +0.5% Q4'25: +0.9% (vs Q4'23)
  • Debt / EBITDA Net debt/EBITDA · Industrial - Infrastructure Operations: 1.25×
    9.72× Q4'25: 4.03× (vs Q4'23)
Valuation Multiples From To
Price Forecast (3Y) From To
Model
Adjust
P/E
Theoretical Return — If Invested Today

* These projections are based on analyst consensus estimates and user-defined valuation multiples. This table is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

DCF Interactive Model (UFCF)
Projection years:
Market assumptions
WACC components (optional)
Ke (Cost of Equity) = Rf + β (0.48) × ERP
WACC = 69% × Ke + 31% × Kd (4.1%) × (1−t)

Modifying these values recalculates WACC automatically.

Business assumptions
Intrinsic value (base): 17.59 Current price: 14.62
Enterprise Value: Equity Value: Terminal Value: TV as % of EV:

Base values reflect the latest available data for this company and market conditions.

Consensus Estimates
Metric Jun 2015
actual
Jun 2016
actual
Jun 2017
actual
Jun 2018
actual
Jun 2019
actual
Jun 2020
actual
Jun 2021
actual
Jun 2022
actual
Jun 2023
actual
Jun 2024
actual
Jun 2025
actual
Jun 2026
10 Rev. Ana.
6 EPS Ana.
Jun 2027
10 Rev. Ana.
5 EPS Ana.
Jun 2028
8 Rev. Ana.
6 EPS Ana.
Jun 2029
6 Rev. Ana.
3 EPS Ana.
Jun 2030
6 Rev. Ana.
2 EPS Ana.
Revenue
1.86B
est: 1.64B (+13.5%)
2.21B
est: 1.97B (+12.1%)
2.73B
est: 2.28B (+19.6%)
3.30B
est: 2.35B (+40.4%)
4.17B
est: 2.66B (+56.5%)
3.17B
est: 2.69B (+17.8%)
2.89B
est: 3.22B (-10.5%)
3.41B
est: 2.66B (+28.0%)
4.16B
est: 3.90B (+6.5%)
4.12B
est: 3.77B (+9.2%)
3.77B
est: 3.78B (-0.4%)
4.02B
3.66B – 4.88B
+6.3% YoY
4.19B
3.39B – 4.60B
+4.3% YoY
4.32B
4.24B – 4.40B
+3.0% YoY
4.96B
4.26B – 5.73B
+14.8% YoY
5.24B
4.50B – 6.06B
+5.7% YoY
EBITDA
1.21B
est: 881.26M (+37.4%)
1.38B
est: 1.06B (+30.1%)
1.53B
est: 1.23B (+24.7%)
1.67B
est: 1.26B (+32.2%)
2.01B
est: 1.43B (+40.3%)
1.73B
est: 1.45B (+19.6%)
1.59B
est: 1.73B (-8.1%)
1.65B
est: 1.43B (+15.3%)
2.22B
est: 2.10B (+5.7%)
2.24B
est: 2.34B (-4.4%)
2.17B
est: 2.35B (-7.7%)
2.50B
2.27B – 3.03B
+6.3% YoY
2.60B
2.11B – 2.86B
+4.3% YoY
2.68B
2.63B – 2.73B
+3.0% YoY
3.08B
2.64B – 3.56B
+14.8% YoY
3.25B
2.79B – 3.76B
+5.7% YoY
EBIT
316.00M
est: 377.12M (-16.2%)
727.00M
est: 453.45M (+60.3%)
986.00M
est: 525.38M (+87.7%)
1.11B
est: 540.52M (+105.0%)
1.01B
est: 612.59M (+65.4%)
588.00M
est: 619.17M (-5.0%)
453.00M
est: 741.91M (-38.9%)
543.00M
est: 612.31M (-11.3%)
927.00M
est: 897.73M (+3.3%)
1.17B
est: 1.65B (-29.3%)
1.07B
est: 1.66B (-35.5%)
1.76B
1.60B – 2.14B
+6.3% YoY
1.84B
1.49B – 2.02B
+4.3% YoY
1.90B
1.86B – 1.93B
+3.0% YoY
2.18B
1.87B – 2.52B
+14.8% YoY
2.30B
1.98B – 2.66B
+5.7% YoY
Net Income
-182.00M
est: 283.82M (-164.1%)
99.00M
est: 249.37M (-60.3%)
239.00M
est: 358.70M (-33.4%)
485.00M
est: 659.17M (-26.4%)
171.00M
est: 403.95M (-57.7%)
-111.00M
est: 124.05M (-189.5%)
-423.00M
est: -205.79M (-105.5%)
19.00M
est: 75.48M (-74.8%)
64.00M
est: 485.33M (-86.8%)
326.00M
est: 326.00M (+0.0%)
133.00M
est: 461.91M (-71.2%)
635.99M
480.47M – 997.87M
+37.7% YoY
772.21M
681.79M – 816.94M
+21.4% YoY
657.07M
487.08M – 1.27B
-14.9% YoY
1.19B
975.34M – 1.44B
+81.7% YoY
956.03M
780.81M – 1.15B
-19.9% YoY
SGA
91.00M
est: 85.81M (+6.0%)
91.00M
est: 103.18M (-11.8%)
106.00M
est: 119.55M (-11.3%)
113.00M
est: 122.99M (-8.1%)
107.00M
est: 139.39M (-23.2%)
86.00M
est: 140.89M (-39.0%)
99.00M
est: 168.82M (-41.4%)
144.00M
est: 139.33M (+3.4%)
166.00M
est: 204.27M (-18.7%)
147.00M
est: 197.39M (-25.5%)
413.00M
est: 198.06M (+108.5%)
210.52M
191.38M – 255.59M
+6.3% YoY
219.52M
177.69M – 240.96M
+4.3% YoY
226.11M
222.00M – 230.22M
+3.0% YoY
259.65M
223.04M – 300.05M
+14.8% YoY
274.42M
235.73M – 317.12M
+5.7% YoY
EPS
-0.10
est: 0.09 (-204.3%)
0.05
est: 0.08 (-37.9%)
0.12
est: 0.12 (+3.8%)
0.23
est: 0.21 (+8.3%)
0.07
est: 0.13 (-49.1%)
-0.04
est: 0.04 (-201.1%)
-0.15
est: -0.07 (-126.2%)
0.01
est: 0.02 (-73.7%)
0.02
est: 0.15 (-86.3%)
0.11
est: 0.14 (-23.2%)
0.04
est: 0.14 (-69.5%)
0.22
0.15 – 0.32
+57.0% YoY
0.25
0.22 – 0.26
+11.1% YoY
0.27
0.16 – 0.41
+10.7% YoY
0.38
0.31 – 0.46
+41.4% YoY
0.31
0.25 – 0.37
-19.9% YoY
Historical Ratings (3M)
Date Rating Overall DCF ROE ROA D/E P/E P/B
2026-05-29 C+ 2/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-28 C+ 2/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-27 C+ 2/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-26 C+ 2/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-25 C+ 2/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-22 C+ 2/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-21 C+ 2/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-20 C+ 2/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-19 C+ 2/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-18 C+ 2/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-15 C+ 2/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-05-14 C+ 2/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-05-13 C+ 2/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-05-12 C+ 2/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-05-11 C+ 2/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-05-08 C+ 2/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-05-07 C+ 2/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-05-06 C+ 2/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-05-05 C+ 2/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-05-04 C+ 2/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-05-01 C+ 2/5 3/5 2/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-04-30 C+ 2/5 3/5 2/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-04-29 C+ 2/5 3/5 2/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-04-28 C+ 2/5 3/5 2/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-04-27 C+ 2/5 3/5 2/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-04-24 C+ 2/5 3/5 2/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-04-23 C+ 2/5 3/5 2/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-04-22 C+ 2/5 3/5 2/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-04-21 C+ 2/5 3/5 2/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-04-20 C+ 2/5 3/5 2/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-04-17 C+ 2/5 3/5 2/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-04-16 C+ 2/5 3/5 2/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-04-15 C+ 2/5 3/5 2/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 2/5

Owner Earnings

Owner's Earnings (history) From To
Owner alignment
Owner's Earnings TTM
3.42B
OE per share TTM
1.10
Owner's Yield
7.33%
Maintenance CapEx ratio
27.68%
Maint CapEx / Avg PPE
14.2%

Ownership Overview

Ownership breakdown

Ownership breakdown not available.

At a glance
Institutional holders
Total invested
Insider transactions (90d)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)

No beneficial ownership filings recorded.

Institutional Activity (13F)

Institutional ownership trend

Institutional history not available.

Top institutional holders

Top holders not available.

Insider Activity

Insider Activity — Latest Quarter

No insider activity available.

Insider buys vs sells (history)

Insider history not available.

Recent insider transactions

No recent insider transactions.

Executive team

Top executives
EBIT / Employee
261.2K
Shares Outstanding
3.12B

Executive compensation

Executive compensation (annual)

Executive compensation not available.

CEO compensation breakdown

No CEO compensation history available.

Proxy statements

Proxy statements (DEF 14A)

No proxy statements available for this company yet.

Recent SEC filings

Recent SEC filings

No SEC filings available for this company yet.

Executive team

NameTitleCompensationGender
Michelle Nicole Jablko B.Ec BECON Chief Executive Officer, MD & Director 4M female
Henry Byrne Chief Financial Officer 2M male
Simon Moorfield Group Executive of Customer & Technology 2M male
Nicole Green Group Executive of Australian Markets 2M female
David Clements Group Executive of Operations 1M male
Rosalind Coffey Group Executive of People and Culture female
James Richards Corporate Media Manager
Craig Stafford General Manager Strategy & Investor Relations male
Fiona Last Company Secretary female
Beau Memory President of North America male
Nicole Stoddart Group Executive of Delivery and Risk & Acting Group Executive of Australian Markets female
ESG Score History

No data available for this company.

Senate Trading Activity

No Senate trading activity found for this company.

House Trading Activity

No House trading activity found for this company.

Market share among peers
Peer comparison — filtered group (TTM)
Your opinion

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Dividend yield history

Dividend history

Earnings history

Earnings reports

Stock splits