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Alibaba Group Holding Limited (89988.HK)

CNY95.95 +0.15 (+0.16%)
CN HKSE Consumer Cyclical Specialty Retail
Address 969 West Wen Yi Road 311121
Hangzhou, CN
CEO Yongming Wu
IPO 2023-06-19
ISIN KYG017191142

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Also trades on Deutsche Börse · AHLA.DE (EUR) Frankfurt Stock Exchange · 2RR.F (EUR) Frankfurt Stock Exchange · AHLA.F (EUR) Hong Kong Stock Exchange · 89988.HK (CNY) Hong Kong Stock Exchange · 9988.HK (HKD) New York Stock Exchange · BABA (USD) Other OTC · BABAF (USD) Swiss Exchange · BABA.SW (CHF)
Description

Alibaba Group Holding Limited functions as a multifaceted technology and marketing infrastructure provider, empowering merchants, brands, and retailers to connect with their customer base both within the People's Republic of China and internationally. Its operations are organized into key divisions: China Commerce, International Commerce, Local Consumer Services, logistics via Cainiao, Cloud computing, Digital Media and Entertainment, and other Innovation Initiatives. The company manages a broad ecosystem of platforms, including prominent digital retail sites like Taobao and Tmall, business-to-business wholesale marketplaces such as 1688.com and Alibaba.com, and international e-commerce platforms like AliExpress, Lazada, Trendyol, and Daraz. It also ventures into new retail with Freshippo for groceries and Tmall Global for imported goods. Beyond direct commerce, Alibaba offers extensive marketing solutions, ranging from performance-based and in-feed advertising to display ads and real-time bidding exchanges like Alimama and Taobao Ad Network. Its Cainiao Network delivers comprehensive logistics services. For local consumption, platforms like Ele.me provide on-demand delivery, Koubei acts as a local services and restaurant guide, and Fliggy facilitates online travel. Alibaba Cloud provides a complete suite of cloud computing services, encompassing elastic computing, storage, networking, security, database solutions, big data analytics, and IoT capabilities, along with support for hardware, software licensing, installation, and application development. In the digital media and entertainment sector, Alibaba operates Youku, an online video platform; Quark, for information search and consumption; Alibaba Pictures; and other content platforms offering a diverse range of online videos, films, live events, news, literature, and music. Further extending its technological reach, the company also develops innovative applications such as Amap for mobile digital mapping and navigation, DingTalk for business collaboration, and the Tmall Genie smart speaker. Founded in 1999, Alibaba Group Holding Limited is headquartered in Hangzhou, People's Republic of China.

Market Cap & Enterprise Value
Merger & Acquisition History

No mergers or acquisitions recorded for this company.

Technical Outlook
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Signal Summary Loading…
Indicator 1D1W2W3W1M
Each column is computed on that timeframe's candles (1D = daily, 1W ≈ weekly, 1M ≈ monthly), not on the same last day. ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · — neutral. The Net row counts signals per column; hover any cell (or the indicator name) to see the exact rule behind it.
Day Score & sub-scores
Statistical fingerprint & regime detail
Conditional historical analysis
Customize analysis (advanced)
Indicative levels generated algorithmically. Not financial advice.
Risk Profile
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Price Chart
Averages
Trend
Price
Levels
Draw
CNY95.95 +0.15 (+0.16%)
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Volume Profile
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Liquidity & share structure
Average Volume
74.8K
Beta
0.46
Float Shares
17.61B
Free Float %
94.8%
Price Performance
1D5D1M3M6M YTD1Y3Y5Y10YMax
-1.51% -2.41% +8.29% -14.48% -17.25% -8.27% -2.33% +43.12% +43.12% +43.12% +43.12%
Rolling Volatility
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Drawdown
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Relative Strength
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
From To
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Annual Monthly Returns
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Daily Returns Distribution
vs.
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Revenue flow

Revenue by geography

Revenue by segment

From To

Revenue composition

From To

By product

By geography

Financial Statements

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Cash Flow Statement

Key Metrics

Financial Ratios

Employees

Financial Growth (CAGR)

Market Data

Analyst Consensus (48 ratings, all time) Buy
Price Targets & DCF
Current price
95.95
DCF (Unlevered) 45.44 -52.6%
DCF (Levered) 41.19 -57.1%

DCF figures are point estimates: small changes in growth or discount-rate assumptions move them materially. Read them as a reference, not a precise target.

Ratings Trend (MoM) 100% Bullish
Rating 2026-05 Change
Strong Buy 0 0
Buy 1 0
Hold 0 0
Sell 0 0
Strong Sell 0 0
Quality scores
Altman Z-Score
2.97
Grey zone
Piotroski F-Score
3 / 9
Average
MOAT Score
5 / 10
Developing
Composite Rating
A-
Overall Score
4 / 5
High
DCF Score
3 / 5
Medium
ROE Score
4 / 5
High
ROA Score
4 / 5
High
D/E Score
3 / 5
Medium
P/E Score
3 / 5
Medium
P/Book Score
3 / 5
Medium
Operational MOAT
✗ Below peers
  • Revenue growth Specialty Retail: +6.4%
    -0.7% Q1'26: +2.2% (vs Q1'25)
  • EPS growth Specialty Retail: +20.6%
    -90.1% Q1'26: -74.7% (vs Q1'25)
  • FCF margin FCF growth · Specialty Retail: +29.3%
    +5.9% Q1'26: +2.8% (vs Q1'25)
  • EBIT margin Specialty Retail: +5.4%
    +5.7% Q1'26: -0.4% (vs Q1'25)
  • ROIC Specialty Retail: +6.5%
    +4.2% Q1'26: -0.3% (vs Q1'25)
  • Share dilution Specialty Retail: +0.1%
    +696.6% Q1'26: +706.9% (vs Q1'25)
  • Debt / EBITDA Net debt/EBITDA · Specialty Retail: 0.14×
    2.69× Q1'26: 5.03× (vs Q1'25)
Valuation Multiples From To
Price Forecast (3Y) From To
Model
Adjust
P/E
Theoretical Return — If Invested Today

* These projections are based on analyst consensus estimates and user-defined valuation multiples. This table is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

DCF Interactive Model (UFCF)
Projection years:
Market assumptions
WACC components (optional)
Ke (Cost of Equity) = Rf + β (2.15) × ERP
WACC = 90% × Ke + 10% × Kd (4.1%) × (1−t)

Modifying these values recalculates WACC automatically.

Business assumptions
Intrinsic value (base): 45.47 Current price: 95.95
Enterprise Value: Equity Value: Terminal Value: TV as % of EV:

Base values reflect the latest available data for this company and market conditions.

Consensus Estimates
Metric Mar 2016
actual
Mar 2017
actual
Mar 2018
actual
Mar 2019
actual
Mar 2020
actual
Mar 2021
actual
Mar 2022
actual
Mar 2023
actual
Mar 2024
actual
Mar 2025
actual
Mar 2026
48 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Mar 2027
47 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Mar 2028
33 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Mar 2029
17 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Mar 2030
18 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Mar 2031
18 Rev. Ana.
Revenue
99.82B
est.
158.27B
est: 155.96B (+1.5%)
250.27B
est: 245.51B (+1.9%)
376.84B
est: 374.37B (+0.7%)
509.71B
est: 506.09B (+0.7%)
691.55B
est: 710.71B (-2.7%)
853.06B
est: 836.36B (+2.0%)
868.69B
est: 865.63B (+0.4%)
941.17B
est: 939.92B (+0.1%)
996.35B
est: 997.06B (-0.1%)
1.03T
1.01T – 1.14T
+3.5% YoY
1.13T
1.08T – 1.23T
+9.5% YoY
1.27T
1.18T – 1.40T
+12.3% YoY
1.44T
1.35T – 1.58T
+13.2% YoY
1.60T
1.51T – 1.76T
+11.4% YoY
1.85T
1.75T – 2.03T
+15.8% YoY
EBITDA
19.73B
est.
63.10B
est: 30.82B (+104.7%)
92.49B
est: 48.52B (+90.6%)
98.54B
est: 73.99B (+33.2%)
137.76B
est: 100.03B (+37.7%)
211.86B
est: 140.47B (+50.8%)
144.56B
est: 165.30B (-12.5%)
133.26B
est: 171.09B (-22.1%)
154.48B
est: 185.77B (-16.8%)
194.15B
est: 197.06B (-1.5%)
203.87B
198.65B – 225.04B
+3.5% YoY
223.21B
213.36B – 243.69B
+9.5% YoY
250.75B
233.18B – 276.66B
+12.3% YoY
283.83B
267.43B – 311.60B
+13.2% YoY
316.24B
297.97B – 347.18B
+11.4% YoY
366.15B
344.99B – 401.97B
+15.8% YoY
EBIT
14.55B
est.
48.91B
est: 22.73B (+115.2%)
70.61B
est: 35.78B (+97.3%)
61.61B
est: 54.57B (+12.9%)
95.53B
est: 73.76B (+29.5%)
163.95B
est: 103.59B (+58.3%)
96.50B
est: 121.90B (-20.8%)
95.10B
est: 126.17B (-24.6%)
109.54B
est: 137.00B (-20.0%)
151.69B
est: 145.33B (+4.4%)
150.34B
146.50B – 165.96B
+3.5% YoY
164.61B
157.35B – 179.71B
+9.5% YoY
184.92B
171.96B – 204.03B
+12.3% YoY
209.31B
197.22B – 229.79B
+13.2% YoY
233.21B
219.74B – 256.03B
+11.4% YoY
270.02B
254.42B – 296.44B
+15.8% YoY
Net Income
5.19B
est.
43.68B
est: 7.14B (+511.8%)
63.99B
est: 9.76B (+555.9%)
87.60B
est: 10.92B (+702.2%)
149.26B
est: 15.12B (+887.5%)
150.31B
est: 20.08B (+648.6%)
61.96B
est: 14.55B (+325.8%)
72.51B
est: 16.03B (+352.3%)
80.01B
est: 18.80B (+325.5%)
130.11B
est: 19.64B (+562.6%)
10.17B
9.40B – 11.46B
-48.2% YoY
14.31B
13.24B – 16.13B
+40.8% YoY
19.65B
18.18B – 22.15B
+37.3% YoY
25.60B
23.68B – 28.86B
+30.3% YoY
21.66B
20.04B – 24.42B
-15.4% YoY
— – —
-100.0% YoY
SGA
17.95B
est.
28.55B
est: 28.05B (+1.8%)
43.54B
est: 44.15B (-1.4%)
64.67B
est: 67.33B (-3.9%)
78.87B
est: 91.01B (-13.3%)
136.74B
est: 127.81B (+7.0%)
151.72B
est: 150.41B (+0.9%)
145.68B
est: 155.67B (-6.4%)
157.13B
est: 169.03B (-7.0%)
188.26B
est: 179.31B (+5.0%)
185.50B
180.76B – 204.76B
+3.5% YoY
203.10B
194.14B – 221.74B
+9.5% YoY
228.16B
212.17B – 251.74B
+12.3% YoY
258.26B
243.34B – 283.53B
+13.2% YoY
287.75B
271.12B – 315.91B
+11.4% YoY
333.16B
313.91B – 365.76B
+15.8% YoY
EPS
2.15
est.
2.19
est: 2.96 (-25.9%)
3.13
est: 4.04 (-22.5%)
4.24
est: 4.52 (-6.2%)
7.10
est: 6.26 (+13.4%)
6.95
est: 8.32 (-16.4%)
2.87
est: 6.03 (-52.4%)
3.46
est: 6.64 (-47.9%)
31.14
est: 7.79 (+299.9%)
55.12
est: 8.13 (+577.8%)
4.21
3.89 – 4.75
-48.2% YoY
5.93
5.48 – 6.68
+40.8% YoY
8.14
7.53 – 9.17
+37.3% YoY
10.60
9.80 – 11.95
+30.3% YoY
8.97
8.30 – 10.11
-15.4% YoY
— – —
-100.0% YoY
Historical Ratings (3M)
Date Rating Overall DCF ROE ROA D/E P/E P/B
2026-05-14 A- 4/5 3/5 4/5 4/5 3/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-13 B 3/5 1/5 4/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 3/5
2026-05-12 B 3/5 1/5 4/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 3/5
2026-05-11 B- 3/5 1/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 3/5
2026-05-08 B- 3/5 1/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 3/5
2026-05-07 B- 3/5 1/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 3/5
2026-05-06 B- 3/5 1/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 3/5
2026-05-05 B- 3/5 1/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 3/5
2026-05-04 B- 3/5 1/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 3/5
2026-04-30 B- 3/5 1/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 3/5
2026-04-29 B 3/5 1/5 3/5 5/5 2/5 2/5 3/5
2026-04-28 B 3/5 1/5 3/5 5/5 2/5 2/5 3/5
2026-04-27 B 3/5 1/5 3/5 5/5 2/5 2/5 3/5
2026-04-24 B 3/5 1/5 3/5 5/5 2/5 2/5 3/5
2026-04-23 B 3/5 1/5 3/5 5/5 2/5 2/5 3/5
2026-04-22 B 3/5 1/5 3/5 5/5 2/5 2/5 3/5
2026-04-21 B 3/5 1/5 3/5 5/5 2/5 2/5 3/5
2026-04-20 B 3/5 1/5 3/5 5/5 2/5 2/5 3/5
2026-04-17 B 3/5 1/5 3/5 5/5 2/5 2/5 3/5
2026-04-16 B 3/5 1/5 3/5 5/5 2/5 2/5 3/5
2026-04-15 B 3/5 1/5 3/5 5/5 2/5 2/5 3/5

Owner Earnings

Owner's Earnings (history) From To
Owner alignment
Owner's Earnings TTM
-82.58B
OE per share TTM
-30.30
Owner's Yield
-3.73%
Maintenance CapEx ratio
177.59%
Maint CapEx / Avg PPE
28.4%

Ownership Overview

Ownership breakdown

Ownership breakdown not available.

At a glance
Institutional holders
Total invested
Insider transactions (90d)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)

No beneficial ownership filings recorded.

Institutional Activity (13F)

Institutional ownership trend

Institutional history not available.

Top institutional holders

Top holders not available.

Insider Activity

Insider Activity — Latest Quarter

No insider activity available.

Insider buys vs sells (history)

Insider history not available.

Recent insider transactions

No recent insider transactions.

Executive team

Top executives
EBIT / Employee
449.6K
Shares Outstanding
18.58B

Executive compensation

Executive compensation (annual)

Executive compensation not available.

CEO compensation breakdown

No CEO compensation history available.

Proxy statements

Proxy statements (DEF 14A)

No proxy statements available for this company yet.

Recent SEC filings

Recent SEC filings

No SEC filings available for this company yet.

Executive team

NameTitleCompensationGender
Yongming Wu Chief Executive Officer, Head of Core E-Commerce Business & Director 50M male
J. Michael Evans President & Director 35M male
Joseph C. Tsai Executive Chairman 31M male
Lydia Lu Head of Investor Relations
Siying Yu General Counsel female
Xiaofeng Shao Group Executive Vice President male
Yuen Jen Yao Senior Vice President & Head of Corporate Finance male
Fang Jiang Chief People Officer female
Zeming Wu Chairman & Chief Executive Officer of Ele.me and Group Chief Technology Officer male
Hong Xu Chief Financial Officer male
Jianfeng Zhang Head of Alibaba DAMO Academy male
ESG Score History

No data available for this company.

Senate Trading Activity

No Senate trading activity found for this company.

House Trading Activity

No House trading activity found for this company.

Market share among peers
Peer comparison — filtered group (TTM)
Your opinion

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These are community opinions and do not constitute buy or sell advice to act on. The results shown are based on aggregated opinions and are not an investment recommendation, nor do they intend to influence any investment decision.

Dividend yield history

Dividend history

Earnings history

Earnings reports

Stock splits