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Mercari, Inc. (4385.T)
JPY4,771.00
+59.00 (+1.25%)
JP JPX Consumer Cyclical Specialty Retail
Address
Roppongi Hills Mori Tower 106-6118
Tokyo, JP
Tokyo, JP
CEO
Shintaro Yamada
Website
mercari.com
IPO
2018-06-19
ISIN JP3921290007
Also trades on
Other OTC · MCARY (USD)
Other OTC · MRCIF (USD)
Tokyo Stock Exchange · 4385.T (JPY)
Description
Mercari, Inc. handles the conceptualization, building, and continuous management of its Mercari marketplace applications for customers in both Japan and the United States. The company, headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, commenced operations in 2013.
Market Cap & Enterprise Value
Merger & Acquisition History
No mergers or acquisitions recorded for this company.
Technical Outlook
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Signal Summary
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| Indicator | 1D | 1W | 2W | 3W | 1M |
|---|
Each column is computed on that timeframe's candles (1D = daily, 1W ≈ weekly, 1M ≈ monthly), not on the same last day. ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · — neutral. The Net row counts signals per column; hover any cell (or the indicator name) to see the exact rule behind it.
Day Score & sub-scores
Statistical fingerprint & regime detail
Conditional historical analysis
Customize analysis (advanced)
Indicative levels generated algorithmically. Not financial advice.
Risk Profile
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Price Chart
JPY4,771.00
+59.00 (+1.25%)
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Volume Profile
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Liquidity & share structure
Average Volume
2M
Beta
1.03
Float Shares
103.44M
Free Float %
62.7%
Price Performance
| 1D | 5D | 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -1.90% | -0.16% | +5.56% | +3.98% | +45.27% | +22.05% | +62.64% | +41.84% | -22.87% | -28.04% | -28.04% |
Rolling Volatility
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Drawdown
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Relative Strength
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
From
To
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Annual Monthly Returns
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Daily Returns Distribution
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Revenue flow
Revenue by geography
Revenue by segment
From
To
Revenue composition
From
To
By product
By geography
Financial Statements
Select metrics from the tables below to build your comparison.
Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow Statement
Key Metrics
Financial Ratios
Employees
Financial Growth (CAGR)
Market Data
Price Targets & DCF
Current price
4,771.00
DCF (Unlevered)
6,587.14
+38.1%
DCF figures are point estimates: small changes in growth or discount-rate assumptions move them materially. Read them as a reference, not a precise target.
Ratings Trend (MoM)
46% Bullish
| Rating | 2026-05 | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Strong Buy | 2 | 0 |
| Buy | 4 | 0 |
| Hold | 6 | -1 |
| Sell | 0 | 0 |
| Strong Sell | 1 | 0 |
Quality scores
Altman Z-Score
1.53
Distress
Piotroski F-Score
4 / 9
Average
MOAT Score
6 / 10
Developing
Composite Rating
B-
Overall Score
3 / 5
Medium
DCF Score
1 / 5
Low
ROE Score
5 / 5
High
ROA Score
4 / 5
High
D/E Score
1 / 5
Low
P/E Score
3 / 5
Medium
P/Book Score
1 / 5
Low
Operational MOAT
✗ Below peers
-
Revenue growth Specialty Retail: +6.4%+2.8% Q1'26: +22.3% (vs Q1'25)
-
EPS growth Specialty Retail: +20.6%+96.0% ★ Q1'26: +102.8% (vs Q1'25)
-
FCF margin FCF growth · Specialty Retail: +29.3%-6.5% Q1'26: -29.9% (vs Q1'25)
-
EBIT margin Specialty Retail: +5.4%+14.3% ★ Q1'26: +24.0% (vs Q1'25)
-
ROIC Specialty Retail: +6.5%+16.3% ★ Q1'26: +16.1% (vs Q1'25)
-
Share dilution Specialty Retail: +0.1%-1.0% ★ Q1'26: +0.3% (vs Q1'25)
-
Debt / EBITDA Net debt/EBITDA · Specialty Retail: 0.14×6.78× Q1'26: 4.16× (vs Q1'25)
Valuation Multiples
From
To
Price Forecast (3Y)
From
To
Theoretical Return — If Invested Today
* These projections are based on analyst consensus estimates and user-defined valuation multiples. This table is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Consensus Estimates
| Metric |
Jun 2018 actual |
Jun 2019 actual |
Jun 2020 actual |
Jun 2021 actual |
Jun 2022 actual |
Jun 2023 actual |
Jun 2024 actual |
Jun 2025 actual |
Jun 2026 9 Rev. Ana. 10 EPS Ana. |
Jun 2027 13 Rev. Ana. 13 EPS Ana. |
Jun 2028 12 Rev. Ana. 12 EPS Ana. |
Jun 2029 10 Rev. Ana. 9 EPS Ana. |
Jun 2030 6 Rev. Ana. 5 EPS Ana. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue |
35.77B
est: 36.53B (-2.1%)
|
51.68B
est: 51.36B (+0.6%)
|
76.28B
est: 74.08B (+3.0%)
|
106.12B
est: 105.71B (+0.4%)
|
147.05B
est: 146.39B (+0.4%)
|
171.97B
est: 170.35B (+0.9%)
|
187.41B
est: 189.26B (-1.0%)
|
192.63B
est: 191.69B (+0.5%)
|
219.47B
218.08B – 223.89B
+14.5% YoY
|
239.99B
226.98B – 257.41B
+9.4% YoY
|
259.49B
255.43B – 263.56B
+8.1% YoY
|
283.11B
274.30B – 296.50B
+9.1% YoY
|
322.30B
312.27B – 337.55B
+13.8% YoY
|
| EBITDA |
-3.98B
est: 3.58B (-211.3%)
|
-11.08B
est: 5.03B (-320.3%)
|
-17.67B
est: 7.26B (-343.5%)
|
6.06B
est: 10.35B (-41.5%)
|
-2.87B
est: 14.34B (-120.0%)
|
19.46B
est: 16.68B (+16.6%)
|
20.91B
est: 54.73B (-61.8%)
|
29.41B
est: 55.43B (-46.9%)
|
63.46B
63.06B – 64.74B
+14.5% YoY
|
69.40B
65.64B – 74.44B
+9.4% YoY
|
75.04B
73.86B – 76.21B
+8.1% YoY
|
81.87B
79.32B – 85.74B
+9.1% YoY
|
93.20B
90.30B – 97.61B
+13.8% YoY
|
| EBIT |
-4.42B
est: 3.21B (-237.6%)
|
-12.15B
est: 4.52B (-368.9%)
|
-19.31B
est: 6.52B (-396.3%)
|
5.21B
est: 9.30B (-43.9%)
|
-3.69B
est: 12.88B (-128.6%)
|
16.71B
est: 14.98B (+11.5%)
|
18.87B
est: 52.38B (-64.0%)
|
27.58B
est: 53.06B (-48.0%)
|
60.75B
60.36B – 61.97B
+14.5% YoY
|
66.43B
62.83B – 71.25B
+9.4% YoY
|
71.82B
70.70B – 72.95B
+8.1% YoY
|
78.36B
75.92B – 82.07B
+9.1% YoY
|
89.21B
86.43B – 93.43B
+13.8% YoY
|
| Net Income |
-7.04B
est: -6.16B (-14.4%)
|
-13.76B
est: -14.73B (+6.6%)
|
-22.77B
est: -28.68B (+20.6%)
|
5.72B
est: 4.19B (+36.4%)
|
-7.57B
est: -9.39B (+19.4%)
|
13.11B
est: 8.98B (+46.0%)
|
13.46B
est: 12.06B (+11.6%)
|
26.11B
est: 18.72B (+39.5%)
|
28.44B
25.95B – 30.94B
+51.9% YoY
|
31.20B
30.24B – 39.65B
+9.7% YoY
|
34.33B
32.18B – 46.22B
+10.1% YoY
|
39.39B
37.79B – 41.81B
+14.7% YoY
|
44.78B
42.97B – 47.54B
+13.7% YoY
|
| SGA |
33.30B
est: 22.75B (+46.4%)
|
49.86B
est: 31.98B (+55.9%)
|
74.08B
est: 46.13B (+60.6%)
|
75.82B
est: 65.83B (+15.2%)
|
98.05B
est: 91.15B (+7.6%)
|
96.88B
est: 106.07B (-8.7%)
|
110.38B
est: 117.58B (-6.1%)
|
110.34B
est: 119.09B (-7.3%)
|
136.35B
135.49B – 139.10B
+14.5% YoY
|
149.10B
141.02B – 159.92B
+9.4% YoY
|
161.22B
158.69B – 163.74B
+8.1% YoY
|
175.89B
170.41B – 184.21B
+9.1% YoY
|
200.24B
194.00B – 209.71B
+13.8% YoY
|
| EPS |
-60.61
est: -36.50 (-66.1%)
|
-94.98
est: -87.38 (-8.7%)
|
-147.85
est: -170.05 (+13.1%)
|
36.42
est: 24.86 (+46.5%)
|
-47.33
est: -55.66 (+15.0%)
|
81.28
est: 52.29 (+55.4%)
|
82.47
est: 70.78 (+16.5%)
|
159.05
est: 109.87 (+44.8%)
|
167.61
153.85 – 183.49
+52.5% YoY
|
201.73
179.33 – 235.11
+20.4% YoY
|
226.82
190.80 – 274.05
+12.4% YoY
|
233.56
224.11 – 247.93
+3.0% YoY
|
265.55
254.80 – 281.88
+13.7% YoY
|
Historical Ratings (3M)
| Date | Rating | Overall | DCF | ROE | ROA | D/E | P/E | P/B |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-12 | B- | 3/5 | 1/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 1/5 |
| 2026-05-11 | B- | 3/5 | 1/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 1/5 |
| 2026-05-08 | B- | 3/5 | 1/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 1/5 |
| 2026-05-07 | B- | 3/5 | 1/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 1/5 |
| 2026-05-01 | B | 3/5 | 1/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 |
| 2026-04-30 | B | 3/5 | 1/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 |
| 2026-04-28 | B | 3/5 | 1/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 |
| 2026-04-27 | B | 3/5 | 1/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 |
| 2026-04-24 | B | 3/5 | 1/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 |
| 2026-04-23 | B | 3/5 | 1/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 |
| 2026-04-22 | B | 3/5 | 1/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 |
| 2026-04-21 | B | 3/5 | 1/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 |
| 2026-04-20 | B | 3/5 | 1/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 |
| 2026-04-17 | B | 3/5 | 1/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 |
| 2026-04-16 | B | 3/5 | 1/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 |
| 2026-04-15 | B | 3/5 | 1/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 |
| 2026-04-14 | B | 3/5 | 1/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 |
Owner Earnings
Owner's Earnings (history)
From
To
Owner alignment
Owner's Earnings TTM
-39.58B
OE per share TTM
-234.07
Owner's Yield
-6.33%
Maintenance CapEx ratio
0.86%
Maint CapEx / Avg PPE
3.4%
Ownership Overview
Ownership breakdown
Ownership breakdown not available.
At a glance
Institutional holders
—
Total invested
—
Insider transactions (90d)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
No beneficial ownership filings recorded.
Institutional Activity (13F)
Institutional ownership trend
Institutional history not available.
Top institutional holders
Top holders not available.
Insider Activity
Insider Activity — Latest Quarter
No insider activity available.
Insider buys vs sells (history)
Insider history not available.
Recent insider transactions
No recent insider transactions.
Executive team
Top executives
EBIT / Employee
13.26M
Shares Outstanding
164.89M
Executive compensation
Executive compensation (annual)
Executive compensation not available.
CEO compensation breakdown
No CEO compensation history available.
Proxy statements
Proxy statements (DEF 14A)
No proxy statements available for this company yet.
Recent SEC filings
Recent SEC filings
No SEC filings available for this company yet.
Executive team
| Name | Title | Compensation | Gender |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sayaka Eda | Executive Officer, Senior Vice President of Corporate, Chief Financial Officer & Director | 50M | female |
| Masato Yamamoto | Executive Officer & Senior Vice President of Japan Business | 44M | — |
| Shintaro Yamada | Co-Founder, Global Chief Executive Officer & Representative Director | 16M | male |
| Fumiaki Koizumi | President & Chairman of the Board | 5M | male |
| Robin Clark | Senior Vice President of Special Projects | — | female |
| Tomohiko Kikuchi | Vice President & Chief Legal Officer | — | — |
| Ai Miyakawa | Vice President & Chief Human Resources Officer | — | — |
| Yuki Hamada | Senior Vice President & Chief Innovation Officer | — | male |
| Bradford Williams | Head of US Communications | — | male |
| Hiroaki Shintani | Vice President & Chief Information Officer | — | — |
| Lisa Lechner | Chief Compliance Officer | — | female |
ESG Score History
No data available for this company.
Senate Trading Activity
No Senate trading activity found for this company.
House Trading Activity
No House trading activity found for this company.
Market share among peers
Peer comparison — filtered group (TTM)
Your opinion
Share your view on this stock and instantly see how the community has voted over the last 6 months.
Community Opinion for 4385.T
Short-term intention
Target Price Distribution
These are community opinions and do not constitute buy or sell advice to act on. The results shown are based on aggregated opinions and are not an investment recommendation, nor do they intend to influence any investment decision.
