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Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) Corporation Limited (2411.HK)

HKD1.49 -0.03 (-1.97%)
CN HKSE Consumer Cyclical Specialty Retail
Address Tower B, Jiansheng Building, 518081
Shenzhen, CN
CEO Huiyong Yu
IPO 2023-01-16
ISIN CNE100005RW2

Explore sections of this company profile

Description

Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) Corporation Limited serves as a prominent fruit retail entity operating throughout the People's Republic of China. The company's product portfolio encompasses both fresh fruits and various fruit-based items, such as dried fruits and juices. Its operations extend beyond retail to include a diverse set of services, specifically supply chain management, brand management, property management, agricultural technology, and enterprise management, alongside the development of information technology and the cultivation and distribution of fruits. As of December 12, 2022, the company maintained a significant retail footprint, operating 5,643 physical stores, comprising 5,624 franchised outlets and 19 company-owned establishments, in addition to utilizing e-commerce channels. This enterprise was established in 2001 and has its headquarters situated in Shenzhen, PRC.

Market Cap & Enterprise Value
Merger & Acquisition History

No mergers or acquisitions recorded for this company.

Technical Outlook
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Signal Summary Loading…
Indicator 1D1W2W3W1M
Each column is computed on that timeframe's candles (1D = daily, 1W ≈ weekly, 1M ≈ monthly), not on the same last day. ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · — neutral. The Net row counts signals per column; hover any cell (or the indicator name) to see the exact rule behind it.
Day Score & sub-scores
Statistical fingerprint & regime detail
Conditional historical analysis
Customize analysis (advanced)
Indicative levels generated algorithmically. Not financial advice.
Risk Profile
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Price Chart
Averages
Trend
Price
Levels
Draw
HKD1.49 -0.03 (-1.97%)
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Volume Profile
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Liquidity & share structure
Average Volume
2M
Beta
0.09
Float Shares
475.91M
Free Float %
31.2%
Price Performance
1D5D1M3M6M YTD1Y3Y5Y10YMax
+1.72% +24.65% +7.93% +9.26% -2.75% +2.91% +9.26% -70.45% -70.50% -70.50% -70.50%
Rolling Volatility
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Drawdown
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Relative Strength
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
From To
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Annual Monthly Returns
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Daily Returns Distribution
vs.
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Revenue flow

Revenue by geography

Revenue by segment

From To

Revenue composition

From To

By product

By geography

Financial Statements

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Cash Flow Statement

Key Metrics

Financial Ratios

Employees

Financial Growth (CAGR)

Market Data

Price Targets & DCF
Current price
1.49
DCF (Unlevered) 5.85 +292.8%
DCF (Levered) 1.28 -13.8%

DCF figures are point estimates: small changes in growth or discount-rate assumptions move them materially. Read them as a reference, not a precise target.

Ratings Trend (MoM) 67% Bullish
Rating 2026-05 Change
Strong Buy 0 0
Buy 2 0
Hold 1 0
Sell 0 0
Strong Sell 0 0
Quality scores
Altman Z-Score
2.68
Grey zone
Piotroski F-Score
2 / 9
Weak
MOAT Score
2 / 10
No MOAT
Composite Rating
C
Overall Score
2 / 5
Medium
DCF Score
3 / 5
Medium
ROE Score
1 / 5
Low
ROA Score
1 / 5
Low
D/E Score
1 / 5
Low
P/E Score
1 / 5
Low
P/Book Score
4 / 5
High
Operational MOAT
✗ Below peers
  • Revenue growth Specialty Retail: +6.4%
    -20.4% Q4'25: -25.5% (vs Q4'23)
  • EPS growth Specialty Retail: +20.6%
    +19.2% Q4'25: -75.9% (vs Q4'23)
  • FCF margin FCF growth · Specialty Retail: +29.3%
    -5.0% Q4'25: -0.7% (vs Q4'23)
  • EBIT margin Specialty Retail: +5.4%
    -3.1% Q4'25: +1.9% (vs Q4'23)
  • ROIC Specialty Retail: +6.5%
    -9.3% Q4'25: +6.3% (vs Q4'23)
  • Share dilution Specialty Retail: +0.1%
    +0.8% Q4'25: +1.2% (vs Q4'23)
  • Debt / EBITDA Net debt/EBITDA · Specialty Retail: 0.14×
    -16.14× Q4'25: 7.25× (vs Q4'23)
Valuation Multiples From To
Price Forecast (3Y) From To
Model
Adjust
P/E
Theoretical Return — If Invested Today

* These projections are based on analyst consensus estimates and user-defined valuation multiples. This table is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

DCF Interactive Model (UFCF)
Projection years:
Market assumptions
WACC components (optional)
Ke (Cost of Equity) = Rf + β (0.07) × ERP
WACC = 44% × Ke + 56% × Kd (4.1%) × (1−t)

Modifying these values recalculates WACC automatically.

Business assumptions
Intrinsic value (base): 5.93 Current price: 1.49
Enterprise Value: Equity Value: Terminal Value: TV as % of EV:

Base values reflect the latest available data for this company and market conditions.

Consensus Estimates
Metric Dec 2022
actual
Dec 2023
actual
Dec 2024
actual
Dec 2025
actual
Dec 2026
2 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Dec 2027
2 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Dec 2028
2 Rev. Ana.
2 EPS Ana.
Revenue
11.31B
est: 12.62B (-10.3%)
11.39B
est: 9.94B (+14.5%)
10.27B
est: 9.48B (+8.4%)
8.17B
est: 9.37B (-12.8%)
9.24B
9.15B – 9.33B
-1.4% YoY
10.37B
10.35B – 10.40B
+12.3% YoY
11.54B
11.47B – 11.60B
+11.2% YoY
EBITDA
558.46M
est: 358.80M (+55.6%)
584.16M
est: 189.19M (+208.8%)
-276.31M
est: 180.35M (-253.2%)
-185.65M
est: 178.30M (-204.1%)
175.76M
174.10M – 177.41M
-1.4% YoY
197.38M
196.94M – 197.83M
+12.3% YoY
219.51M
218.28M – 220.75M
+11.2% YoY
EBIT
430.10M
est: 234.83M (+83.2%)
456.84M
est: 95.28M (+379.5%)
-325.38M
est: 90.83M (-458.2%)
-254.83M
est: 89.80M (-383.8%)
88.52M
87.69M – 89.35M
-1.4% YoY
99.41M
99.19M – 99.64M
+12.3% YoY
110.56M
109.93M – 111.18M
+11.2% YoY
Net Income
323.30M
est: 339.94M (-4.9%)
361.72M
est: 173.90M (+108.0%)
-386.03M
est: -396.15M (+2.6%)
-317.49M
est: -274.26M (-15.8%)
15.81M
15.69M – 15.92M
+105.8% YoY
126.47M
125.54M – 127.39M
+700.0% YoY
173.88M
166.92M – 180.84M
+37.5% YoY
SGA
820.34M
est: 698.19M (+17.5%)
795.52M
est: 695.93M (+14.3%)
934.72M
est: 663.41M (+40.9%)
773.89M
est: 655.90M (+18.0%)
646.53M
640.45M – 652.61M
-1.4% YoY
726.08M
724.44M – 727.72M
+12.3% YoY
807.48M
802.93M – 812.02M
+11.2% YoY
EPS
0.22
est: 0.22 (-2.1%)
0.23
est: 0.11 (+101.6%)
-0.26
est: -0.26 (0.0%)
-0.21
est: -0.18 (-16.7%)
0.01
0.01 – 0.01
+105.8% YoY
0.08
0.08 – 0.08
+700.0% YoY
0.11
0.11 – 0.12
+37.5% YoY
Historical Ratings (3M)
Date Rating Overall DCF ROE ROA D/E P/E P/B
2026-05-29 C 2/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-28 C 2/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-27 C 2/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-26 C 2/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-22 C 2/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-21 C 2/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-20 C 2/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-19 C 2/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-18 C+ 2/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-05-15 C+ 2/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-05-14 C+ 2/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-05-13 C+ 2/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-05-12 C+ 2/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-05-11 C+ 2/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-05-08 B- 2/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-05-07 B- 2/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-05-06 B- 2/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-05-05 B- 2/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-05-04 B- 2/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-04-30 B- 2/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-04-29 B- 2/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-04-28 B- 2/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-04-27 B- 2/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-04-24 B- 2/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-04-23 B- 2/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-04-22 B- 2/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-04-21 B- 2/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-04-20 B- 2/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-04-17 B- 2/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-04-16 B- 2/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5

Owner Earnings

Owner's Earnings (history) From To
Owner alignment
Owner's Earnings TTM
-444.87M
OE per share TTM
-0.30
Owner's Yield
-15.82%
Maintenance CapEx ratio
539.27%
Maint CapEx / Avg PPE
8.7%

Ownership Overview

Ownership breakdown

Ownership breakdown not available.

At a glance
Institutional holders
Total invested
Insider transactions (90d)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)

No beneficial ownership filings recorded.

Institutional Activity (13F)

Institutional ownership trend

Institutional history not available.

Top institutional holders

Top holders not available.

ETF Ownership

Top ETFs holding this stock Held by 7 ETFs in our universe
# ETF Weight Est. AUM exposure TER
1 State Street SPDR S&P Emerging Markets Small Cap ETF EWX 0.01% 68.1K 0.65%
2 State Street SPDR S&P China ETF GXC 0.00% 21.7K 0.59%
3 Dimensional Emerging Markets Sustainability Core 1 ETF DFSE 0.00% 29.7K 0.44%
4 Avantis Emerging Markets Small Cap Equity ETF AVEE 0.00% 5.6K 0.42%
5 Dimensional - Emerging Markets Core Equity 2 ETF DFEM 0.00% 113.4K 0.39%
6 Dimensional World ex U.S. Core Equity 2 ETF DFAX 0.00% 93.8K 0.28%
7 Avantis Emerging Markets Equity UCITS ETF USD Acc AVEM.L 0.00% 1.2K 0.35%

Insider Activity

Insider Activity — Latest Quarter

No insider activity available.

Insider buys vs sells (history)

Insider history not available.

Recent insider transactions

No recent insider transactions.

Executive team

Top executives
EBIT / Employee
-98.7K
Shares Outstanding
1.52B

Executive compensation

Executive compensation (annual)

Executive compensation not available.

CEO compensation breakdown

No CEO compensation history available.

Proxy statements

Proxy statements (DEF 14A)

No proxy statements available for this company yet.

Recent SEC filings

Recent SEC filings

No SEC filings available for this company yet.

Executive team

NameTitleCompensationGender
Qidong Zhu Deputy GM & Executive Director 3M male
Yanlin Xu GM & Executive Director 2M female
Huiyong Yu Executive Chairman 1M male
Xiqiu Tian Executive Vice Chairman 1M male
Hin Yeung Lai Deputy GM & Finance Director male
Xiaoyan Fu Deputy GM & Company Secretary female
ESG Score History

No data available for this company.

Senate Trading Activity

No Senate trading activity found for this company.

House Trading Activity

No House trading activity found for this company.

Market share among peers
Peer comparison — filtered group (TTM)
Your opinion

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Dividend yield history

Dividend history

Earnings history

Earnings reports

Stock splits