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Avex Inc. (7860.T)

JPY1,263.00 +6.00 (+0.48%)
JP JPX Communication Services Entertainment
Address Avex Building 107-8577
Tokyo, JP
CEO Katsumi Kuroiwa
Website avex.com
IPO 2001-01-04
ISIN JP3160950006

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Description

Avex Inc., an entertainment conglomerate headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, specializes in a broad range of activities across its music, anime, and digital divisions. Established in 1988, the company is deeply involved in the music industry, handling the creation, production, and distribution of both audio and visual musical content. It also organizes and manages live concerts, special events, and theatrical productions, while actively overseeing a diverse roster of talent including artists, celebrities, creators, athletes, and intellectuals. Additionally, Avex runs fan clubs and sells event tickets, and is committed to discovering, developing, and supporting emerging talent. Its anime operations encompass the development, production, and marketing of animated series, related merchandise, special events, games, and films. In the digital sphere, Avex designs and administers platforms such as dTV and AWA. The company was rebranded as Avex Inc. in November 2017, having previously operated as Avex Group Holdings Inc.

Market Cap & Enterprise Value
Merger & Acquisition History

No mergers or acquisitions recorded for this company.

Technical Outlook
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Signal Summary Loading…
Indicator 1D1W2W3W1M
Each column is computed on that timeframe's candles (1D = daily, 1W ≈ weekly, 1M ≈ monthly), not on the same last day. ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · — neutral. The Net row counts signals per column; hover any cell (or the indicator name) to see the exact rule behind it.
Day Score & sub-scores
Statistical fingerprint & regime detail
Conditional historical analysis
Customize analysis (advanced)
Indicative levels generated algorithmically. Not financial advice.
Risk Profile
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Price Chart
Averages
Trend
Price
Levels
Draw
JPY1,263.00 +6.00 (+0.48%)
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Volume Profile
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Liquidity & share structure
Average Volume
132.0K
Beta
-0.19
Float Shares
27.35M
Free Float %
64.3%
Price Performance
1D5D1M3M6M YTD1Y3Y5Y10YMax
+2.29% +2.12% -0.99% -2.11% +0.67% -3.98% -2.19% -24.15% -18.40% -8.22% -62.95%
Rolling Volatility
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Drawdown
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Relative Strength
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
From To
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Annual Monthly Returns
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Daily Returns Distribution
vs.
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Revenue flow

Revenue by geography

Revenue by segment

From To

Revenue composition

From To

By product

By geography

Financial Statements

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Cash Flow Statement

Key Metrics

Financial Ratios

Employees

Financial Growth (CAGR)

Market Data

Price Targets & DCF
Current price
1,263.00
DCF (Unlevered) 532.85 -57.8%

DCF figures are point estimates: small changes in growth or discount-rate assumptions move them materially. Read them as a reference, not a precise target.

Ratings Trend (MoM) 100% Bullish
Rating 2024-11 Change
Strong Buy 1 0
Buy 1 0
Hold 0 0
Sell 0 0
Strong Sell 0 0
Quality scores
Altman Z-Score
2.81
Grey zone
Piotroski F-Score
4 / 9
Average
MOAT Score
2 / 10
No MOAT
Composite Rating
B-
Overall Score
3 / 5
Medium
DCF Score
1 / 5
Low
ROE Score
3 / 5
Medium
ROA Score
4 / 5
High
D/E Score
1 / 5
Low
P/E Score
2 / 5
Medium
P/Book Score
4 / 5
High
Operational MOAT
✗ Below peers
  • Revenue growth Entertainment: +5.6%
    +11.3% Q1'26: +11.3% (vs Q1'25)
  • EPS growth Entertainment: +31.6%
    +220.6% Q1'26: +147.6% (vs Q1'25)
  • FCF margin FCF growth · Entertainment: +61.7%
    +2.3% Q1'26: +0.0% (vs Q1'25)
  • EBIT margin Entertainment: +7.7%
    +2.8% Q1'26: +2.5% (vs Q1'25)
  • ROIC Entertainment: +5.2%
    +17.7% Q1'26: +20.5% (vs Q1'25)
  • Share dilution Entertainment: +0.0%
    -2.6% Q1'26: +0.4% (vs Q1'25)
  • Debt / EBITDA Net debt/EBITDA · Entertainment: -0.15×
    0.00× Q1'26: 0.00× (vs Q1'25)
Valuation Multiples From To
Price Forecast (3Y) From To
Model
Adjust
P/E
Theoretical Return — If Invested Today

* These projections are based on analyst consensus estimates and user-defined valuation multiples. This table is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

DCF Interactive Model (UFCF)
Projection years:
Market assumptions
WACC components (optional)
Ke (Cost of Equity) = Rf + β (-0.19) × ERP
WACC = 100% × Ke + 0% × Kd (4.3%) × (1−t)

Modifying these values recalculates WACC automatically.

Business assumptions
Intrinsic value (base): 533.70 Current price: 1,263.00
Enterprise Value: Equity Value: Terminal Value: TV as % of EV:

Base values reflect the latest available data for this company and market conditions.

Consensus Estimates
Metric Mar 2015
actual
Mar 2016
actual
Mar 2017
actual
Mar 2018
actual
Mar 2019
actual
Mar 2020
actual
Mar 2021
actual
Mar 2022
actual
Mar 2023
actual
Mar 2024
actual
Mar 2025
actual
Mar 2026
1 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Mar 2027
1 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Mar 2028
1 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Revenue
169.26B
est: 165.00B (+2.6%)
154.12B
est: 151.00B (+2.1%)
161.59B
est: 163.00B (-0.9%)
163.38B
est: 171.50B (-4.7%)
160.13B
est: 182.13B (-12.1%)
135.47B
est: 198.91B (-31.9%)
81.53B
est: 100.91B (-19.2%)
98.44B
est: 102.70B (-4.2%)
121.56B
est: 128.83B (-5.6%)
133.39B
est: 126.32B (+5.6%)
131.69B
est: 133.75B (-1.5%)
135.51B
135.51B – 135.51B
+1.3% YoY
139.46B
139.46B – 139.46B
+2.9% YoY
143.56B
143.56B – 143.56B
+2.9% YoY
EBITDA
14.29B
est: 15.22B (-6.1%)
10.58B
est: 13.93B (-24.1%)
9.35B
est: 15.04B (-37.8%)
10.66B
est: 15.82B (-32.6%)
8.95B
est: 16.80B (-46.7%)
4.39B
est: 18.35B (-76.1%)
23.01B
est: 9.31B (+147.2%)
4.47B
est: 9.47B (-52.8%)
7.09B
est: 11.88B (-40.4%)
4.60B
est: 11.65B (-60.5%)
5.38B
est: 5.84B (-8.0%)
5.92B
5.92B – 5.92B
+1.3% YoY
6.09B
6.09B – 6.09B
+2.9% YoY
6.27B
6.27B – 6.27B
+2.9% YoY
EBIT
8.68B
est: 11.58B (-25.1%)
7.28B
est: 10.60B (-31.4%)
3.67B
est: 11.44B (-67.9%)
6.52B
est: 12.04B (-45.9%)
5.47B
est: 12.79B (-57.2%)
761.00M
est: 13.97B (-94.6%)
19.60B
est: 7.08B (+176.7%)
2.24B
est: 7.21B (-68.9%)
4.66B
est: 9.04B (-48.5%)
2.77B
est: 8.87B (-68.8%)
3.77B
est: 3.75B (+0.4%)
3.80B
3.80B – 3.80B
+1.3% YoY
3.91B
3.91B – 3.91B
+2.9% YoY
4.03B
4.03B – 4.03B
+2.9% YoY
Net Income
5.98B
est: 5.32B (+12.3%)
4.29B
est: 610.51M (+603.0%)
118.00M
est: 776.22M (-84.8%)
2.60B
est: 4.37B (-40.4%)
2.35B
est: 5.80B (-59.4%)
-1.10B
est: 7.03B (-115.7%)
12.83B
est: -4.42B (+390.5%)
919.00M
est: 2.41B (-61.9%)
2.74B
est: 2.20B (+24.8%)
987.00M
est: 2.34B (-57.9%)
1.14B
est: 1.80B (-36.9%)
2.97B
2.97B – 2.97B
+64.5% YoY
3.52B
3.52B – 3.52B
+18.6% YoY
4.59B
4.59B – 4.59B
+30.5% YoY
SGA
16.02B
est: 50.65B (-68.4%)
16.21B
est: 46.36B (-65.0%)
15.41B
est: 50.04B (-69.2%)
16.16B
est: 52.65B (-69.3%)
16.28B
est: 55.91B (-70.9%)
14.73B
est: 61.07B (-75.9%)
30.09B
est: 30.98B (-2.9%)
31.74B
est: 31.53B (+0.7%)
34.68B
est: 39.55B (-12.3%)
37.25B
est: 38.78B (-3.9%)
36.75B
est: 37.89B (-3.0%)
38.39B
38.39B – 38.39B
+1.3% YoY
39.51B
39.51B – 39.51B
+2.9% YoY
40.67B
40.67B – 40.67B
+2.9% YoY
EPS
141.90
est: 122.00 (+16.3%)
99.88
est: 14.00 (+613.4%)
2.75
est: 17.80 (-84.6%)
60.39
est: 100.10 (-39.7%)
54.50
est: 133.10 (-59.1%)
-25.37
est: 161.20 (-115.7%)
298.10
est: -101.30 (+394.3%)
20.75
est: 55.30 (-62.5%)
60.78
est: 50.40 (+20.6%)
21.83
est: 53.70 (-59.3%)
26.10
est: 42.50 (-38.6%)
69.90
69.90 – 69.90
+64.5% YoY
82.90
82.90 – 82.90
+18.6% YoY
108.20
108.20 – 108.20
+30.5% YoY
Historical Ratings (3M)
Date Rating Overall DCF ROE ROA D/E P/E P/B
2026-05-18 B- 3/5 1/5 3/5 4/5 1/5 2/5 4/5
2026-05-15 B- 3/5 1/5 3/5 4/5 1/5 2/5 4/5
2026-05-14 B+ 3/5 4/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 2/5 3/5
2026-05-13 B+ 3/5 4/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 2/5 3/5
2026-05-12 B+ 3/5 4/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 2/5 3/5
2026-05-11 B+ 3/5 4/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 2/5 4/5
2026-05-08 B+ 3/5 4/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 2/5 4/5
2026-05-07 B+ 3/5 4/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 2/5 4/5
2026-05-01 B+ 3/5 4/5 2/5 3/5 3/5 2/5 4/5
2026-04-30 B+ 3/5 4/5 2/5 3/5 3/5 2/5 4/5
2026-04-28 B 3/5 4/5 2/5 3/5 3/5 2/5 3/5
2026-04-27 B 3/5 4/5 2/5 3/5 3/5 2/5 3/5
2026-04-24 B 3/5 4/5 2/5 3/5 3/5 2/5 3/5
2026-04-23 B+ 3/5 4/5 2/5 4/5 3/5 2/5 3/5
2026-04-22 B+ 3/5 4/5 2/5 4/5 3/5 2/5 3/5
2026-04-21 B 3/5 4/5 2/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 3/5
2026-04-20 B 3/5 4/5 2/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 3/5
2026-04-17 B 3/5 4/5 2/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 3/5
2026-04-16 B 3/5 4/5 2/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 3/5

Owner Earnings

Owner's Earnings (history) From To
Owner alignment
Owner's Earnings TTM
1.80B
OE per share TTM
40.98
Owner's Yield
3.59%
Maintenance CapEx ratio
172.69%
Maint CapEx / Avg PPE
14.0%

Ownership Overview

Ownership breakdown

Ownership breakdown not available.

At a glance
Institutional holders
Total invested
Insider transactions (90d)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)

No beneficial ownership filings recorded.

Institutional Activity (13F)

Institutional ownership trend

Institutional history not available.

Top institutional holders

Top holders not available.

ETF Ownership

Top ETFs holding this stock Held by 32 ETFs in our universe
# ETF Weight Est. AUM exposure TER
1 MUSQ Global Music Industry Index ETF MUSQ 1.03% 257.2K 0.76%
2 Goldman Sachs Data Enhanced International Equity ETF GIEQ 0.23% 24.1K 0.30%
3 State Street SPDR S&P International Small Cap ETF GWX 0.02% 174.4K 0.40%
4 Schwab International Small-Cap Equity ETF SCHC 0.01% 522.4K 0.06%
5 Invesco Global Buyback Achievers UCITS ETF BUYB.L 0.01% 14.3K 0.39%
6 Dimensional - International Small Cap ETF DFIS 0.01% 359.3K 0.39%
7 Amundi Japan TOPIX II UCITS ETF EUR Dist JPNU.L 0.01% 41.6K 0.45%
8 Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US Small-Cap ETF VSS 0.01% 804.5K 0.06%
9 iShares Core TOPIX ETF 1475.T 0.00% 756.7K 0.05%
10 Dimensional - International Small Cap Value ETF DISV 0.00% 159.7K 0.42%

Insider Activity

Insider Activity — Latest Quarter

No insider activity available.

Insider buys vs sells (history)

Insider history not available.

Recent insider transactions

No recent insider transactions.

Executive team

Top executives
EBIT / Employee
2.66M
Shares Outstanding
42.51M

Executive compensation

Executive compensation (annual)

Executive compensation not available.

CEO compensation breakdown

No CEO compensation history available.

Proxy statements

Proxy statements (DEF 14A)

No proxy statements available for this company yet.

Recent SEC filings

Recent SEC filings

No SEC filings available for this company yet.

Executive team

NameTitleCompensationGender
Katsumi Kuroiwa Chief Executive Officer, President & Representative Director 96M male
Shinji Hayashi Head of Human Resources and General Affairs Div., Head of Accounting & Legal Div, Chief Financial Officer and Director 84M male
Daisuke Matsuda Corporate Executive of Chief Executive Officer Direct HQ
Hideo Katsumata Group Corporate Executive male
Hisaou Wakaizumi Group Corporate Executive male
Brandon Silverstein Chief Executive Officer of Avex Music Group & Director of Avex Music Group male
Keisuke Hara President of Avex Creator Agency Inc.
Seiichi Hatamoto Group Corporate Executive of Business Administration male
Shingo Toguchi Group Corporate Executive male
Asahi Iwanaga Group Corporate Executive of Technology male
ESG Score History

No data available for this company.

Senate Trading Activity

No Senate trading activity found for this company.

House Trading Activity

No House trading activity found for this company.

Market share among peers
Peer comparison — filtered group (TTM)
Your opinion

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These are community opinions and do not constitute buy or sell advice to act on. The results shown are based on aggregated opinions and are not an investment recommendation, nor do they intend to influence any investment decision.

Dividend yield history

Dividend history

Earnings history

Earnings reports

Stock splits