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Alfresa Holdings Corporation (2784.T)

JPY2,226.00 +17.00 (+0.77%)
JP JPX Healthcare Medical - Distribution
Address 1-1-3 Otemachi 100-0004
Tokyo, JP
CEO Ryuji Arakawa
IPO 2005-09-29
ISIN JP3126340003

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Also trades on Other OTC · ALFRY (USD) Other OTC · ARHCF (USD) Tokyo Stock Exchange · 2784.T (JPY)
Description

Alfresa Holdings Corporation, a Japanese company established in Tokyo in 2003, operates globally through its subsidiaries, specializing in the production, wholesale distribution, marketing, and international trade of pharmaceuticals, diagnostic reagents, and medical equipment. A significant part of its operations involves the wholesale supply of ethical pharmaceuticals, diagnostic reagents, and medical devices to healthcare providers including hospitals, clinics, and dispensing pharmacies. The company also manages the wholesale distribution of self-medication products, such as over-the-counter drugs, nutritional supplements, and health foods, to drugstores and pharmacies. Furthermore, Alfresa is engaged in the manufacturing and commercialization of active pharmaceutical ingredients, various pharmaceuticals, diagnostic reagents, and medical devices, alongside providing contract manufacturing services for pharmaceutical goods. Its medical-related division also encompasses the management of dispensing pharmacies and other associated healthcare activities.

Market Cap & Enterprise Value
Merger & Acquisition History

No mergers or acquisitions recorded for this company.

Technical Outlook
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Signal Summary Loading…
Indicator 1D1W2W3W1M
Each column is computed on that timeframe's candles (1D = daily, 1W ≈ weekly, 1M ≈ monthly), not on the same last day. ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · — neutral. The Net row counts signals per column; hover any cell (or the indicator name) to see the exact rule behind it.
Day Score & sub-scores
Statistical fingerprint & regime detail
Conditional historical analysis
Customize analysis (advanced)
Indicative levels generated algorithmically. Not financial advice.
Risk Profile
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Price Chart
Averages
Trend
Price
Levels
Draw
JPY2,226.00 +17.00 (+0.77%)
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Volume Profile
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Liquidity & share structure
Average Volume
465.9K
Beta
-0.16
Float Shares
155.24M
Free Float %
85.4%
Price Performance
1D5D1M3M6M YTD1Y3Y5Y10YMax
+0.55% +2.68% -1.34% -4.38% +3.42% -2.79% +21.43% +9.73% +37.57% +5.80% +165.67%
Rolling Volatility
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Drawdown
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Relative Strength
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
From To
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Annual Monthly Returns
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Daily Returns Distribution
vs.
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Revenue flow

Revenue by geography

Revenue by segment

From To

Revenue composition

From To

By product

By geography

Financial Statements

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Cash Flow Statement

Key Metrics

Financial Ratios

Employees

Financial Growth (CAGR)

Market Data

Price Targets & DCF
Current price
2,226.00
DCF (Unlevered) 4,926.70 +121.3%
DCF (Levered) 5,023.71 +125.7%

DCF figures are point estimates: small changes in growth or discount-rate assumptions move them materially. Read them as a reference, not a precise target.

Ratings Trend (MoM) 0% Bullish
Rating 2026-05 Change
Strong Buy 0 0
Buy 0 0
Hold 2 -1
Sell 0 0
Strong Sell 0 0
Quality scores
Altman Z-Score
2.97
Grey zone
Piotroski F-Score
5 / 9
Average
MOAT Score
5 / 10
Developing
Composite Rating
A-
Overall Score
4 / 5
High
DCF Score
4 / 5
High
ROE Score
3 / 5
Medium
ROA Score
4 / 5
High
D/E Score
3 / 5
Medium
P/E Score
3 / 5
Medium
P/Book Score
4 / 5
High
Operational MOAT
✗ Below peers
  • Revenue growth Medical - Distribution: +5.6%
    +4.8% Q1'26: +6.0% (vs Q1'25)
  • EPS growth Medical - Distribution: +4.9%
    +55.7% Q1'26: +487.3% (vs Q1'25)
  • FCF margin FCF growth · Medical - Distribution: +37.6%
    +0.4% Q1'26: +0.0% (vs Q1'25)
  • EBIT margin Medical - Distribution: +3.0%
    +1.2% Q1'26: +0.9% (vs Q1'25)
  • ROIC Medical - Distribution: +5.7%
    +6.9% Q1'26: +4.9% (vs Q1'25)
  • Share dilution Medical - Distribution: +0.0%
    -2.1% Q1'26: 0.0% (vs Q1'25)
  • Debt / EBITDA Net debt/EBITDA · Medical - Distribution: 0.87×
    0.70× Q1'26: 0.85× (vs Q1'25)
Valuation Multiples From To
Price Forecast (3Y) From To
Model
Adjust
P/E
Theoretical Return — If Invested Today

* These projections are based on analyst consensus estimates and user-defined valuation multiples. This table is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

DCF Interactive Model (UFCF)
Projection years:
Market assumptions
WACC components (optional)
Ke (Cost of Equity) = Rf + β (0.08) × ERP
WACC = 92% × Ke + 8% × Kd (4.3%) × (1−t)

Modifying these values recalculates WACC automatically.

Business assumptions
Intrinsic value (base): 4,925.49 Current price: 2,226.00
Enterprise Value: Equity Value: Terminal Value: TV as % of EV:

Base values reflect the latest available data for this company and market conditions.

Consensus Estimates
Metric Mar 2015
actual
Mar 2016
actual
Mar 2017
actual
Mar 2018
actual
Mar 2019
actual
Mar 2020
actual
Mar 2021
actual
Mar 2022
actual
Mar 2023
actual
Mar 2024
actual
Mar 2025
actual
Mar 2026
3 Rev. Ana.
3 EPS Ana.
Mar 2027
3 Rev. Ana.
2 EPS Ana.
Mar 2028
3 Rev. Ana.
3 EPS Ana.
Mar 2029
2 Rev. Ana.
2 EPS Ana.
Mar 2030
1 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Revenue
2.42T
est: 2.42T (+0.1%)
2.58T
est: 2.58T (-0.2%)
2.55T
est: 2.57T (-0.6%)
2.60T
est: 2.61T (-0.2%)
2.64T
est: 2.63T (+0.3%)
2.70T
est: 2.68T (+0.6%)
2.61T
est: 2.60T (+0.4%)
2.59T
est: 2.57T (+0.5%)
2.70T
est: 2.70T (-0.1%)
2.86T
est: 2.87T (-0.5%)
2.96T
est: 2.96T (+0.0%)
3.10T
3.09T – 3.11T
+4.7% YoY
3.19T
3.18T – 3.20T
+2.8% YoY
3.27T
3.23T – 3.29T
+2.6% YoY
3.35T
3.35T – 3.35T
+2.4% YoY
3.50T
3.47T – 3.51T
+4.5% YoY
EBITDA
38.60B
est: 48.38B (-20.2%)
56.12B
est: 51.67B (+8.6%)
44.25B
est: 51.36B (-13.8%)
52.32B
est: 52.16B (+0.3%)
55.54B
est: 52.66B (+5.5%)
59.42B
est: 53.65B (+10.8%)
39.80B
est: 52.01B (-23.5%)
41.92B
est: 51.50B (-18.6%)
43.45B
est: 54.01B (-19.5%)
51.98B
est: 50.60B (+2.7%)
53.20B
est: 52.16B (+2.0%)
54.63B
54.48B – 54.84B
+4.7% YoY
56.14B
55.96B – 56.40B
+2.8% YoY
57.58B
56.91B – 57.92B
+2.6% YoY
58.95B
58.95B – 58.95B
+2.4% YoY
61.58B
61.12B – 61.91B
+4.5% YoY
EBIT
29.22B
est: 36.67B (-20.3%)
45.27B
est: 39.16B (+15.6%)
33.23B
est: 38.92B (-14.6%)
41.76B
est: 39.53B (+5.6%)
44.78B
est: 39.91B (+12.2%)
47.65B
est: 40.66B (+17.2%)
27.93B
est: 39.42B (-29.1%)
29.09B
est: 39.03B (-25.5%)
30.15B
est: 40.93B (-26.3%)
38.46B
est: 36.84B (+4.4%)
38.27B
est: 37.98B (+0.8%)
39.78B
39.67B – 39.94B
+4.7% YoY
40.88B
40.75B – 41.07B
+2.8% YoY
41.93B
41.44B – 42.18B
+2.6% YoY
42.92B
42.92B – 42.92B
+2.4% YoY
44.84B
44.51B – 45.08B
+4.5% YoY
Net Income
22.92B
est: 15.53B (+47.6%)
34.98B
est: 25.36B (+37.9%)
30.89B
est: 23.39B (+32.1%)
35.59B
est: 26.82B (+32.7%)
41.73B
est: 36.33B (+14.9%)
40.27B
est: 32.79B (+22.8%)
24.50B
est: 19.01B (+28.9%)
32.18B
est: 21.48B (+49.8%)
25.79B
est: 21.63B (+19.2%)
29.56B
est: 28.87B (+2.4%)
27.39B
est: 30.22B (-9.4%)
37.04B
35.61B – 37.73B
+22.6% YoY
28.30B
27.26B – 28.96B
-23.6% YoY
30.05B
26.06B – 32.71B
+6.2% YoY
30.43B
28.02B – 32.81B
+1.2% YoY
34.78B
34.44B – 35.02B
+14.3% YoY
SGA
128.83B
est: 137.89B (-6.6%)
143.57B
est: 147.27B (-2.5%)
141.47B
est: 146.37B (-3.3%)
143.96B
est: 148.66B (-3.2%)
148.43B
est: 150.10B (-1.1%)
150.20B
est: 152.89B (-1.8%)
145.31B
est: 148.24B (-2.0%)
147.85B
est: 146.78B (+0.7%)
150.02B
est: 153.93B (-2.5%)
155.70B
est: 161.27B (-3.5%)
162.54B
est: 166.24B (-2.2%)
174.11B
173.63B – 174.80B
+4.7% YoY
178.92B
178.35B – 179.76B
+2.8% YoY
183.54B
181.38B – 184.62B
+2.6% YoY
187.87B
187.87B – 187.87B
+2.4% YoY
196.28B
194.80B – 197.32B
+4.5% YoY
EPS
102.48
est: 83.67 (+22.5%)
158.99
est: 136.63 (+16.4%)
142.57
est: 126.00 (+13.2%)
164.25
est: 144.50 (+13.7%)
195.91
est: 195.70 (+0.1%)
190.26
est: 176.63 (+7.7%)
115.75
est: 102.43 (+13.0%)
153.57
est: 115.70 (+32.7%)
127.42
est: 116.15 (+9.7%)
154.13
est: 159.03 (-3.1%)
147.54
est: 166.46 (-11.4%)
202.74
195.92 – 207.54
+21.8% YoY
155.59
149.97 – 159.29
-23.3% YoY
161.28
143.36 – 179.95
+3.7% YoY
167.32
154.16 – 180.48
+3.7% YoY
191.30
189.43 – 192.62
+14.3% YoY
Historical Ratings (3M)
Date Rating Overall DCF ROE ROA D/E P/E P/B
2026-05-15 A- 4/5 4/5 3/5 4/5 3/5 3/5 4/5
2026-05-14 A- 4/5 4/5 3/5 4/5 3/5 3/5 4/5
2026-05-13 A- 4/5 4/5 3/5 4/5 3/5 3/5 4/5
2026-05-12 A- 4/5 4/5 3/5 4/5 3/5 3/5 4/5
2026-05-11 A- 4/5 4/5 3/5 4/5 3/5 3/5 4/5
2026-05-08 A- 4/5 4/5 3/5 4/5 3/5 3/5 4/5
2026-05-07 A- 4/5 4/5 3/5 4/5 3/5 3/5 4/5
2026-05-01 A- 4/5 4/5 3/5 4/5 3/5 3/5 4/5
2026-04-30 A- 4/5 4/5 3/5 4/5 3/5 3/5 4/5
2026-04-28 A- 4/5 4/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 3/5 4/5
2026-04-27 A- 4/5 4/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 3/5 4/5
2026-04-24 A- 4/5 4/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 3/5 4/5
2026-04-23 A- 4/5 4/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 3/5 4/5
2026-04-22 A- 4/5 4/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 3/5 4/5
2026-04-21 A- 4/5 4/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 3/5 4/5
2026-04-20 A- 4/5 4/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 3/5 4/5
2026-04-17 A- 4/5 4/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 3/5 4/5
2026-04-16 A- 4/5 4/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 3/5 4/5
2026-04-15 A- 4/5 4/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 3/5 4/5

Owner Earnings

Owner's Earnings (history) From To
Owner alignment
Owner's Earnings TTM
8.64B
OE per share TTM
45.89
Owner's Yield
2.00%
Maintenance CapEx ratio
28.36%
Maint CapEx / Avg PPE
6.1%

Ownership Overview

Ownership breakdown

Ownership breakdown not available.

At a glance
Institutional holders
Total invested
Insider transactions (90d)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)

No beneficial ownership filings recorded.

Institutional Activity (13F)

Institutional ownership trend

Institutional history not available.

Top institutional holders

Top holders not available.

Insider Activity

Insider Activity — Latest Quarter

No insider activity available.

Insider buys vs sells (history)

Insider history not available.

Recent insider transactions

No recent insider transactions.

Executive team

Top executives
EBIT / Employee
2.88M
Shares Outstanding
181.72M

Executive compensation

Executive compensation (annual)

Executive compensation not available.

CEO compensation breakdown

No CEO compensation history available.

Proxy statements

Proxy statements (DEF 14A)

No proxy statements available for this company yet.

Recent SEC filings

Recent SEC filings

No SEC filings available for this company yet.

Executive team

NameTitleCompensationGender
Kazuaki Hano Executive Officer male
Miki Oguchi Senior Executive Officer
Naruhiko Sano Executive Officer
Ryuji Arakawa President & Representative Director male
Shigeki Ohashi Director & Senior Managing Executive Officer
Soichi Nemoto Executive Officer male
Takashi Sasaki Executive Officer male
Toshikazu Urakabe Executive Officer
Toshiki Tanaka Director & Senior Managing Executive Officer
Yusuke Fukujin Executive Vice President & Representative Director male
ESG Score History

No data available for this company.

Senate Trading Activity

No Senate trading activity found for this company.

House Trading Activity

No House trading activity found for this company.

Market share among peers
Peer comparison — filtered group (TTM)
Your opinion

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Dividend yield history

Dividend history

Earnings history

Earnings reports

Stock splits