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Serco Group plc (SECCF)

USD3.06 +0.00 (+0.00%)
GB OTC Industrials Specialty Business Services
Address 16 Bartley Wood Business Park RG27 9UY
Hook, GB
CEO Anthony Andrew Kirby
Website serco.com
IPO 2012-08-03
ISIN GB0007973794

Explore sections of this company profile

Also trades on London Stock Exchange · SRP.L (GBp) Other OTC · SCGPY (USD) Other OTC · SECCF (USD)
Description

Serco Group plc provides public services in the United Kingdom, Europe, North America, the Asia Pacific, and the Middle East. It offers service design and advisory, resourcing, programme management, systems integration, case management, engineering, and assets and facilities management services. The company also provides administrative and back office, asylum seeker accommodation or passenger transport services; and supports in the decarbonization journeys of customers. It serves the United Kingdom and Canadian governments, devolved authorities, and other public sector customers; and federal and civilian agencies, and various state and municipal governments in citizen services, defense, health and other facilities management, justice and immigration, and transport sectors. Serco Group plc was founded in 1929 and is based in Hook, the United Kingdom.

Market Cap & Enterprise Value
Merger & Acquisition History

No mergers or acquisitions recorded for this company.

Technical Outlook
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Signal Summary Loading…
Indicator 1D1W2W3W1M
Each column is computed on that timeframe's candles (1D = daily, 1W ≈ weekly, 1M ≈ monthly), not on the same last day. ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · — neutral. The Net row counts signals per column; hover any cell (or the indicator name) to see the exact rule behind it.
Day Score & sub-scores
Statistical fingerprint & regime detail
Conditional historical analysis
Customize analysis (advanced)
Indicative levels generated algorithmically. Not financial advice.
Risk Profile
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Price Chart
Averages
Trend
Price
Levels
Draw
USD3.06 +0.00 (+0.00%)
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Volume Profile
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Liquidity & share structure
Average Volume
578
Beta
0.49
Float Shares
971.03M
Free Float %
98.5%
Price Performance
1D5D1M3M6M YTD1Y3Y5Y10YMax
-5.64% -1.10% +0.51% +4.49% +14.52% -2.15% +46.78% +103.23% +82.21% +178.11% -21.30%
Rolling Volatility
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Drawdown
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Relative Strength
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
From To
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Annual Monthly Returns
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Daily Returns Distribution
vs.
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Revenue flow

Revenue by geography

Revenue by segment

From To

Revenue composition

From To

By product

By geography

Financial Statements

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Cash Flow Statement

Key Metrics

Financial Ratios

Employees

Financial Growth (CAGR)

Market Data

Analyst Consensus (3 ratings, all time) Hold
Price Targets & DCF
Current price
3.06
DCF (Unlevered) 18.46 +503.6%
DCF (Levered) 15.64 +411.3%

DCF figures are point estimates: small changes in growth or discount-rate assumptions move them materially. Read them as a reference, not a precise target.

Quality scores
Altman Z-Score
5.17
Safe zone
Piotroski F-Score
6 / 9
Average
MOAT Score
5 / 10
Developing
Composite Rating
A-
Overall Score
4 / 5
High
DCF Score
5 / 5
High
ROE Score
5 / 5
High
ROA Score
4 / 5
High
D/E Score
1 / 5
Low
P/E Score
3 / 5
Medium
P/Book Score
2 / 5
Medium
Operational MOAT
✗ Below peers
  • Revenue growth Specialty Business Services: +7.6%
    +3.5% Q4'25: +0.0% (vs Q4'23)
  • EPS growth Specialty Business Services: +24.4%
    +241.5% Q4'25: +9.8% (vs Q4'23)
  • FCF margin FCF growth · Specialty Business Services: +27.6%
    +8.6% Q4'25: +9.2% (vs Q4'23)
  • EBIT margin Specialty Business Services: +9.0%
    +5.9% Q4'25: +5.0% (vs Q4'23)
  • ROIC Specialty Business Services: +7.8%
    +13.3% Q4'25: +20.1% (vs Q4'23)
  • Share dilution Specialty Business Services: +0.4%
    -4.0% Q4'25: -5.4% (vs Q4'23)
  • Debt / EBITDA Net debt/EBITDA · Specialty Business Services: -0.21×
    1.77× Q4'25: 0.95× (vs Q4'23)
Valuation Multiples From To
Price Forecast (3Y) From To
Model
Adjust
P/E
Theoretical Return — If Invested Today

* These projections are based on analyst consensus estimates and user-defined valuation multiples. This table is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

DCF Interactive Model (UFCF)
Projection years:
Market assumptions
WACC components (optional)
Ke (Cost of Equity) = Rf + β (0.49) × ERP
WACC = 76% × Ke + 24% × Kd (5.7%) × (1−t)

Modifying these values recalculates WACC automatically.

Business assumptions
Intrinsic value (base): 18.46 Current price: 3.06
Enterprise Value: Equity Value: Terminal Value: TV as % of EV:

Base values reflect the latest available data for this company and market conditions.

Consensus Estimates
Metric Dec 2015
actual
Dec 2016
actual
Dec 2017
actual
Dec 2018
actual
Dec 2019
actual
Dec 2020
actual
Dec 2021
actual
Dec 2022
actual
Dec 2023
actual
Dec 2024
actual
Dec 2025
actual
Dec 2026
9 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Dec 2027
10 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Dec 2028
4 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Dec 2029
5 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Dec 2030
5 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Revenue
3.18B
est: 5.14B (-38.2%)
3.01B
est: 3.74B (-19.4%)
2.95B
est: 4.06B (-27.3%)
2.90B
est: 3.59B (-19.1%)
3.25B
est: 4.26B (-23.8%)
3.88B
est: 5.34B (-27.3%)
4.42B
est: 5.98B (-26.0%)
4.53B
est: 5.46B (-16.9%)
4.87B
est: 6.14B (-20.6%)
4.79B
est: 4.79B (0.0%)
4.95B
est: 4.89B (+1.4%)
5.04B
4.99B – 5.09B
+3.1% YoY
5.23B
5.17B – 5.33B
+3.8% YoY
5.44B
5.38B – 5.52B
+4.0% YoY
5.63B
5.57B – 5.72B
+3.5% YoY
5.85B
5.79B – 5.94B
+3.8% YoY
EBITDA
143.70M
est: 422.32M (-66.0%)
100.20M
est: 306.84M (-67.3%)
73.90M
est: 333.52M (-77.8%)
131.40M
est: 294.68M (-55.4%)
202.70M
est: 350.13M (-42.1%)
310.70M
est: 438.68M (-29.2%)
371.50M
est: 491.33M (-24.4%)
391.50M
est: 448.28M (-12.7%)
448.90M
est: 504.01M (-10.9%)
326.90M
est: 547.18M (-40.3%)
513.42M
est: 558.31M (-8.0%)
575.43M
569.80M – 581.32M
+3.1% YoY
597.58M
590.36M – 609.05M
+3.8% YoY
621.77M
614.96M – 630.97M
+4.0% YoY
643.83M
636.78M – 653.36M
+3.5% YoY
668.57M
661.24M – 678.46M
+3.8% YoY
EBIT
-36.60M
est: 233.90M (-115.6%)
49.20M
est: 169.94M (-71.0%)
27.20M
est: 184.72M (-85.3%)
89.00M
est: 163.21M (-45.5%)
102.70M
est: 193.92M (-47.0%)
178.30M
est: 242.96M (-26.6%)
215.60M
est: 272.12M (-20.8%)
219.90M
est: 248.28M (-11.4%)
275.70M
est: 279.14M (-1.2%)
133.00M
est: 282.34M (-52.9%)
291.95M
est: 288.09M (+1.3%)
296.92M
294.01M – 299.96M
+3.1% YoY
308.35M
304.62M – 314.26M
+3.8% YoY
320.83M
317.32M – 325.58M
+4.0% YoY
332.21M
328.57M – 337.13M
+3.5% YoY
344.98M
341.20M – 350.08M
+3.8% YoY
Net Income
-152.60M
est: 48.90M (-412.1%)
-1.20M
est: 64.20M (-101.9%)
-8.30M
est: 37.11M (-122.4%)
67.40M
est: 72.37M (-6.9%)
50.40M
est: 89.09M (-43.4%)
133.80M
est: 123.05M (+8.7%)
303.90M
est: 175.33M (+73.3%)
155.40M
est: 172.63M (-10.0%)
202.40M
est: 206.01M (-1.8%)
44.20M
est: 168.82M (-73.8%)
145.58M
est: 171.67M (-15.2%)
190.66M
187.95M – 194.34M
+11.1% YoY
205.81M
202.88M – 209.78M
+7.9% YoY
224.50M
221.30M – 228.81M
+9.1% YoY
243.52M
240.05M – 248.20M
+8.5% YoY
255.08M
251.45M – 259.99M
+4.8% YoY
SGA
235.80M
est: 290.47M (-18.8%)
208.70M
est: 211.04M (-1.1%)
210.20M
est: 229.39M (-8.4%)
198.30M
est: 202.68M (-2.2%)
214.20M
est: 240.82M (-11.1%)
220.00M
est: 301.72M (-27.1%)
243.30M
est: 337.93M (-28.0%)
264.30M
est: 308.32M (-14.3%)
275.80M
est: 346.65M (-20.4%)
267.90M
est: 268.49M (-0.2%)
269.96M
est: 273.96M (-1.5%)
282.36M
279.59M – 285.25M
+3.1% YoY
293.23M
289.68M – 298.85M
+3.8% YoY
305.09M
301.75M – 309.61M
+4.0% YoY
315.92M
312.46M – 320.59M
+3.5% YoY
328.06M
324.46M – 332.91M
+3.8% YoY
EPS
-0.15
est: 0.05 (-430.7%)
0.00
est: 0.06 (-101.8%)
-0.01
est: 0.03 (-122.1%)
0.06
est: 0.07 (-8.2%)
0.04
est: 0.08 (-48.0%)
0.11
est: 0.11 (-3.6%)
0.25
est: 0.16 (+53.7%)
0.13
est: 0.16 (-18.8%)
0.18
est: 0.19 (-5.8%)
0.04
est: 0.16 (-74.4%)
0.14
est: 0.17 (-15.6%)
0.18
0.18 – 0.19
+11.1% YoY
0.20
0.20 – 0.20
+7.9% YoY
0.22
0.21 – 0.22
+9.1% YoY
0.24
0.23 – 0.24
+8.5% YoY
0.25
0.24 – 0.25
+4.8% YoY
Historical Ratings (3M)
Date Rating Overall DCF ROE ROA D/E P/E P/B
2026-05-28 A- 4/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 2/5
2026-05-27 A- 4/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 2/5
2026-05-20 A- 4/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 2/5

Owner Earnings

Owner's Earnings (history) From To
Owner alignment
Owner's Earnings TTM
805.61M
OE per share TTM
0.76
Owner's Yield
21.70%
Maintenance CapEx ratio
19.07%
Maint CapEx / Avg PPE
11.0%

Ownership Overview

Ownership breakdown

Ownership breakdown not available.

At a glance
Institutional holders
Total invested
Insider transactions (90d)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)

No beneficial ownership filings recorded.

Institutional Activity (13F)

Institutional ownership trend

Institutional history not available.

Top institutional holders

Top holders not available.

ETF Ownership

Top ETFs holding this stock

This company is not held by any ETF in our universe.

Insider Activity

Insider Activity — Latest Quarter

No insider activity available.

Insider buys vs sells (history)

Insider history not available.

Recent insider transactions

No recent insider transactions.

Executive team

Top executives
EBIT / Employee
5.7K
Shares Outstanding
985.43M

Executive compensation

Executive compensation (annual)

Executive compensation not available.

CEO compensation breakdown

No CEO compensation history available.

Proxy statements

Proxy statements (DEF 14A)

No proxy statements available for this company yet.

Recent SEC filings

Recent SEC filings

No SEC filings available for this company yet.

Executive team

NameTitleCompensationGender
Anthony Kirby Group Chief Executive & Director 3M male
Andrew Head Chief Executive Officer of Serco Asia Pacific male
Fiona Walters Chief Executive Officer of UK & Europe female
Gillian Duggan Group Chief People & Culture Officer female
Hana Abu Kharmeh Chief Operating Officer of Shared Services female
Mark James Reid CFO & Director male
Michael W. LaRouche Chief Executive Officer for the North American Division male
Phil Malem Chief Executive Officer of Serco Middle East male
Teren Tan Head of Emergency Services for the Middle East male
Amanda Miller Group General Counsel & Company Secretary female
Tom Read Group Chief Digital & Technology Officer male
ESG Score History

No data available for this company.

Senate Trading Activity

No Senate trading activity found for this company.

House Trading Activity

No House trading activity found for this company.

Market share among peers
Peer comparison — filtered group (TTM)
Your opinion

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These are community opinions and do not constitute buy or sell advice to act on. The results shown are based on aggregated opinions and are not an investment recommendation, nor do they intend to influence any investment decision.

Dividend yield history

Dividend history

Earnings history

Earnings reports

Stock splits