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FirstGroup plc (FGROF)

USD2.38 +0.00 (+0.00%)
GB OTC Industrials General Transportation
Address The Point W2 1AF
London, WA, GB
CEO Graham Sutherland
IPO 2012-04-18
ISIN GB0003452173

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Also trades on London Stock Exchange · FGP.L (GBp) Other OTC · FGROF (USD) Other OTC · FGROY (USD)
Description

FirstGroup Plc engages in the provision of passenger transport services. It operates through the following segments: First Bus, First Rail, and Greyhound. The First Bus segment handles bus operations in the United Kingdom. The First Rail segment focuses on passenger rail services. The Greyhound segment deals with scheduled intercity coaches. The company was founded on March 31, 1995 and is headquartered in Paddington, the United Kingdom.

Market Cap & Enterprise Value
Merger & Acquisition History

No mergers or acquisitions recorded for this company.

Technical Outlook
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Signal Summary Loading…
Indicator 1D1W2W3W1M
Each column is computed on that timeframe's candles (1D = daily, 1W ≈ weekly, 1M ≈ monthly), not on the same last day. ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · — neutral. The Net row counts signals per column; hover any cell (or the indicator name) to see the exact rule behind it.
Day Score & sub-scores
Statistical fingerprint & regime detail
Conditional historical analysis
Customize analysis (advanced)
Indicative levels generated algorithmically. Not financial advice.
Risk Profile
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Price Chart
Averages
Trend
Price
Levels
Draw
USD2.38 +0.00 (+0.00%)
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Volume Profile
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Liquidity & share structure
Average Volume
245
Beta
0.71
Float Shares
487.46M
Free Float %
89.8%
Price Performance
1D5D1M3M6M YTD1Y3Y5Y10YMax
+0.00% +0.00% +0.00% -4.80% +3.03% -4.80% -13.45% +39.18% +88.89% +65.28% -61.74%
Rolling Volatility
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Drawdown
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Relative Strength
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
From To
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Annual Monthly Returns
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Daily Returns Distribution
vs.
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Revenue flow

Revenue by geography

Revenue by segment

From To

Revenue composition

From To

By product

By geography

Financial Statements

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Cash Flow Statement

Key Metrics

Financial Ratios

Employees

Financial Growth (CAGR)

Market Data

Price Targets & DCF
Current price
2.38
DCF (Unlevered) 49.59 +1,983.5%
DCF (Levered) 38.16 +1,503.6%

DCF figures are point estimates: small changes in growth or discount-rate assumptions move them materially. Read them as a reference, not a precise target.

Quality scores
Altman Z-Score
3.32
Safe zone
Piotroski F-Score
6 / 9
Average
MOAT Score
2 / 10
No MOAT
Operational MOAT
✗ Below peers
  • Revenue growth General Transportation: +8.4%
    +2.4% Q1'26: -1.9% (vs Q1'24)
  • EPS growth General Transportation: +7.5%
    -4.8% Q1'26: +66.4% (vs Q1'24)
  • FCF margin FCF growth · General Transportation: -11.7%
    +7.0% Q1'26: +12.7% (vs Q1'24)
  • EBIT margin General Transportation: +13.5%
    +2.9% Q1'26: +3.3% (vs Q1'24)
  • ROIC General Transportation: +6.1%
    +7.2% Q1'26: +17.3% (vs Q1'24)
  • Share dilution General Transportation: +0.0%
    -7.7% Q1'26: -20.2% (vs Q1'24)
  • Debt / EBITDA Net debt/EBITDA · General Transportation: 0.56×
    1.65× Q1'26: 0.81× (vs Q1'24)
Valuation Multiples From To
Price Forecast (3Y) From To
Model
Adjust
P/E
Theoretical Return — If Invested Today

* These projections are based on analyst consensus estimates and user-defined valuation multiples. This table is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

DCF Interactive Model (UFCF)
Projection years:
Market assumptions
WACC components (optional)
Ke (Cost of Equity) = Rf + β (0.71) × ERP
WACC = 47% × Ke + 53% × Kd (6.0%) × (1−t)

Modifying these values recalculates WACC automatically.

Business assumptions
Intrinsic value (base): 34.73 Current price: 2.38
Enterprise Value: Equity Value: Terminal Value: TV as % of EV:

Base values reflect the latest available data for this company and market conditions.

Consensus Estimates
Metric Mar 2015
actual
Mar 2016
actual
Mar 2017
actual
Mar 2018
actual
Mar 2019
actual
Mar 2020
actual
Mar 2021
actual
Mar 2022
actual
Mar 2023
actual
Mar 2024
actual
Mar 2025
actual
Mar 2026
3 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Mar 2027
3 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Mar 2028
1 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Mar 2029
2 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Revenue
6.05B
est: 6.21B (-2.6%)
5.22B
est: 5.31B (-1.7%)
5.65B
est: 5.64B (+0.2%)
6.40B
est: 6.30B (+1.6%)
7.13B
est: 7.04B (+1.2%)
7.39B
est: 7.69B (-4.0%)
1.74B
est: 6.26B (-72.3%)
2.93B
est: 4.54B (-35.5%)
3.86B
est: 4.72B (-18.2%)
4.72B
est: 4.76B (-0.9%)
4.65B
est: 4.82B (-3.4%)
4.44B
4.40B – 4.48B
-7.8% YoY
4.10B
3.84B – 4.56B
-7.6% YoY
2.13B
2.00B – 2.37B
-48.1% YoY
2.20B
2.07B – 2.45B
+3.6% YoY
EBITDA
610.80M
est: 1.88B (-67.5%)
605.80M
est: 1.61B (-62.3%)
698.90M
est: 1.71B (-59.0%)
265.60M
est: 1.90B (-86.1%)
408.40M
est: 2.13B (-80.8%)
697.80M
est: 2.33B (-70.0%)
1.15B
est: 1.89B (-39.2%)
863.60M
est: 1.37B (-37.1%)
896.70M
est: 1.43B (-37.2%)
656.30M
est: 1.44B (-54.4%)
849.80M
est: 1.46B (-41.6%)
1.34B
1.33B – 1.35B
-7.8% YoY
1.24B
1.16B – 1.38B
-7.6% YoY
643.45M
603.18M – 715.50M
-48.1% YoY
666.43M
624.72M – 741.05M
+3.6% YoY
EBIT
247.30M
est: 516.67M (-52.1%)
247.30M
est: 441.63M (-44.0%)
285.80M
est: 469.37M (-39.1%)
-194.90M
est: 523.95M (-137.2%)
12.50M
est: 585.95M (-97.9%)
-212.60M
est: 639.77M (-133.2%)
172.80M
est: 520.97M (-66.8%)
123.90M
est: 378.00M (-67.2%)
166.20M
est: 392.60M (-57.7%)
63.20M
est: 395.73M (-84.0%)
226.90M
est: 400.62M (-43.4%)
369.22M
365.72M – 372.59M
-7.8% YoY
341.15M
319.80M – 379.35M
-7.6% YoY
177.04M
165.96M – 196.86M
-48.1% YoY
183.36M
171.89M – 203.89M
+3.6% YoY
Net Income
75.20M
est: 59.86M (+25.6%)
90.30M
est: 60.01M (+50.5%)
112.30M
est: 75.73M (+48.3%)
-296.00M
est: 75.17M (-493.8%)
-66.90M
est: 83.09M (-180.5%)
-327.20M
est: 75.87M (-531.3%)
78.40M
est: -194.0K (+40,522.4%)
636.40M
est: 10.70M (+5,849.0%)
87.10M
est: 49.26M (+76.8%)
-15.90M
est: 89.60M (-117.7%)
127.50M
est: 107.93M (+18.1%)
116.82M
107.31M – 133.82M
+8.2% YoY
118.62M
108.96M – 135.88M
+1.5% YoY
120.92M
111.08M – 138.52M
+1.9% YoY
141.36M
129.86M – 161.94M
+16.9% YoY
SGA
1.70M
est: 8.67M (-80.4%)
1.60M
est: 7.41M (-78.4%)
2.00M
est: 7.87M (-74.6%)
2.30M
est: 8.79M (-73.8%)
2.90M
est: 9.83M (-70.5%)
4.10M
est: 10.73M (-61.8%)
5.20M
est: 8.74M (-40.5%)
4.70M
est: 6.34M (-25.9%)
3.40M
est: 6.58M (-48.4%)
3.40M
est: 6.64M (-48.8%)
3.60M
est: 6.72M (-46.4%)
6.19M
6.13M – 6.25M
-7.8% YoY
5.72M
5.36M – 6.36M
-7.6% YoY
2.97M
2.78M – 3.30M
-48.1% YoY
3.08M
2.88M – 3.42M
+3.6% YoY
EPS
0.06
est: 0.10 (-35.0%)
0.08
est: 0.10 (-22.2%)
0.09
est: 0.12 (-23.4%)
-0.25
est: 0.12 (-307.1%)
-0.06
est: 0.13 (-141.6%)
-0.27
est: 0.12 (-321.6%)
0.01
est: 0.00 (+2,796.9%)
0.60
est: 0.02 (+3,392.6%)
0.11
est: 0.08 (+39.1%)
-0.01
est: 0.14 (-106.9%)
0.21
est: 0.19 (+11.9%)
0.20
0.19 – 0.23
+8.2% YoY
0.21
0.19 – 0.24
+1.5% YoY
0.21
0.19 – 0.24
+1.9% YoY
0.25
0.23 – 0.28
+16.9% YoY

Owner Earnings

Owner's Earnings (history) From To
Owner alignment
Owner's Earnings TTM
1.14B
OE per share TTM
1.82
Owner's Yield
85.85%
Maintenance CapEx ratio
154.70%
Maint CapEx / Avg PPE
53.0%

Ownership Overview

Ownership breakdown

Ownership breakdown not available.

At a glance
Institutional holders
Total invested
Insider transactions (90d)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)

No beneficial ownership filings recorded.

Institutional Activity (13F)

Institutional ownership trend

Institutional history not available.

Top institutional holders

Top holders not available.

ETF Ownership

Top ETFs holding this stock

This company is not held by any ETF in our universe.

Insider Activity

Insider Activity — Latest Quarter

No insider activity available.

Insider buys vs sells (history)

Insider history not available.

Recent insider transactions

No recent insider transactions.

Executive team

Top executives
EBIT / Employee
6.5K
Shares Outstanding
543.13M

Executive compensation

Executive compensation (annual)

Executive compensation not available.

CEO compensation breakdown

No CEO compensation history available.

Proxy statements

Proxy statements (DEF 14A)

No proxy statements available for this company yet.

Recent SEC filings

Recent SEC filings

No SEC filings available for this company yet.

Executive team

NameTitleCompensationGender
Graham F. Sutherland Chief Executive Officer & Executive Director 2M male
Ryan Mangold Chief Financial Officer & Director 2M male
David John Mark Blizzard Company Secretary male
Steve Montgomery Managing Director of First Rail male
Stuart Butchers Group Head of Communications
Marianna Bowes Head of Investor Relations female
Janette Bell Managing Director of First Bus female
ESG Score History

No data available for this company.

Senate Trading Activity

No Senate trading activity found for this company.

House Trading Activity

No House trading activity found for this company.

Market share among peers
Peer comparison — filtered group (TTM)
Your opinion

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These are community opinions and do not constitute buy or sell advice to act on. The results shown are based on aggregated opinions and are not an investment recommendation, nor do they intend to influence any investment decision.

Dividend yield history

Dividend history

Earnings history

Earnings reports

Stock splits