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BAE Systems plc (BSP.DE)

EUR21.53 -0.12 (-0.55%)
GB XETRA Industrials Aerospace & Defense
Address Warwick House GU14 6YU
Farnborough, GB
CEO Charles Nicholas Woodburn
IPO 2007-12-27
ISIN GB0002634946

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Also trades on Deutsche Börse · BSP.DE (EUR) London Stock Exchange · BA.L (GBp) Other OTC · BAESF (USD) Other OTC · BAESY (USD)
Description

BAE Systems plc, founded in 1970 and based in Farnborough, United Kingdom, operates as a global provider of defense, aerospace, and security technologies. The company is structured into five primary divisions: The Electronic Systems segment focuses on designing and delivering cutting-edge electronic warfare systems, navigation aids, electro-optical sensors, digital engine and flight controls for both military and commercial use, precise guidance and seeker solutions, military communication systems and data links, persistent surveillance capabilities, space-grade electronics, and electric drive propulsion technologies. The Cyber & Intelligence division is dedicated to modernizing, maintaining, and bolstering the cyber resilience of aircraft, radar, missile systems, and mission-critical applications to identify and deter threats to national security. It offers comprehensive systems engineering, integration, and sustainment for crucial weaponry, C5ISR (Command, Control, Communications, Computers, Combat Systems, Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance), and cybersecurity. This segment also provides data intelligence solutions to protect against large-scale national threats, secures networks and data from attacks, and delivers specialized security and intelligence services to the UK government and allied international administrations. Its portfolio further includes anti-fraud and regulatory compliance solutions, as well as enterprise data and digital services. The Platforms & Services (US) segment manufactures combat vehicles, various weapons, and ammunition, in addition to providing ship repair services and managing government-owned munitions production facilities. The Air segment undertakes the development, manufacturing, upgrading, and ongoing support for combat and jet trainer aircraft. Lastly, the Maritime segment designs, constructs, and maintains naval vessels such as surface ships and submarines, along with torpedoes, radar systems, and integrated command and combat systems. This division also supplies naval gun systems, a range of naval weapon systems, missile launchers, and precision munitions.

Market Cap & Enterprise Value
Merger & Acquisition History

No mergers or acquisitions recorded for this company.

Technical Outlook
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Signal Summary Loading…
Indicator 1D1W2W3W1M
Each column is computed on that timeframe's candles (1D = daily, 1W ≈ weekly, 1M ≈ monthly), not on the same last day. ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · — neutral. The Net row counts signals per column; hover any cell (or the indicator name) to see the exact rule behind it.
Day Score & sub-scores
Statistical fingerprint & regime detail
Conditional historical analysis
Customize analysis (advanced)
Indicative levels generated algorithmically. Not financial advice.
Risk Profile
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Price Chart
Averages
Trend
Price
Levels
Draw
EUR21.53 -0.12 (-0.55%)
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Volume Profile
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Liquidity & share structure
Average Volume
82.3K
Beta
-0.07
Float Shares
2.87B
Free Float %
97.6%
Price Performance
1D5D1M3M6M YTD1Y3Y5Y10YMax
+0.30% +2.36% -1.26% -4.40% +24.55% +15.52% +3.17% +111.93% +278.06% +254.08% +359.61%
Rolling Volatility
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Drawdown
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Relative Strength
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
From To
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Annual Monthly Returns
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Daily Returns Distribution
vs.
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Revenue flow

Revenue by geography

Revenue by segment

From To

Revenue composition

From To

By product

By geography

Financial Statements

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Cash Flow Statement

Key Metrics

Financial Ratios

Employees

Financial Growth (CAGR)

Market Data

Analyst Consensus (3 ratings, all time) Hold
Price Targets & DCF
Current price
21.53
DCF (Unlevered) 30.63 +42.3%
DCF (Levered) 52.66 +144.6%

DCF figures are point estimates: small changes in growth or discount-rate assumptions move them materially. Read them as a reference, not a precise target.

Quality scores
Altman Z-Score
3.48
Safe zone
Piotroski F-Score
6 / 9
Average
MOAT Score
7 / 10
Strong MOAT
Composite Rating
A-
Overall Score
4 / 5
High
DCF Score
5 / 5
High
ROE Score
5 / 5
High
ROA Score
4 / 5
High
D/E Score
2 / 5
Medium
P/E Score
2 / 5
Medium
P/Book Score
2 / 5
Medium
Operational MOAT
✗ Below peers
  • Revenue growth Aerospace & Defense: +15.4%
    +7.8% Q4'25: +22.3% (vs Q4'23)
  • EPS growth Aerospace & Defense: +32.2%
    +6.3% Q4'25: +24.1% (vs Q4'23)
  • FCF margin FCF growth · Aerospace & Defense: +45.0%
    +5.2% Q4'25: +17.7% (vs Q4'23)
  • EBIT margin Aerospace & Defense: +9.2%
    +8.8% Q4'25: +9.2% (vs Q4'23)
  • ROIC Aerospace & Defense: +6.2%
    +11.1% Q4'25: +23.6% (vs Q4'23)
  • Share dilution Aerospace & Defense: +0.0%
    -0.8% Q4'25: -1.1% (vs Q4'23)
  • Debt / EBITDA Net debt/EBITDA · Aerospace & Defense: 0.16×
    2.88× Q4'25: 1.36× (vs Q4'23)
Valuation Multiples From To
Price Forecast (3Y) From To
Model
Adjust
P/E
Theoretical Return — If Invested Today

* These projections are based on analyst consensus estimates and user-defined valuation multiples. This table is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

DCF Interactive Model (UFCF)
Projection years:
Market assumptions
WACC components (optional)
Ke (Cost of Equity) = Rf + β (-0.06) × ERP
WACC = 85% × Ke + 15% × Kd (4.8%) × (1−t)

Modifying these values recalculates WACC automatically.

Business assumptions
Intrinsic value (base): 30.63 Current price: 21.53
Enterprise Value: Equity Value: Terminal Value: TV as % of EV:

Base values reflect the latest available data for this company and market conditions.

Consensus Estimates
Metric Dec 2015
actual
Dec 2016
actual
Dec 2017
actual
Dec 2018
actual
Dec 2019
actual
Dec 2020
actual
Dec 2021
actual
Dec 2022
actual
Dec 2023
actual
Dec 2024
actual
Dec 2025
actual
Dec 2026
16 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Dec 2027
16 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Dec 2028
14 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Dec 2029
15 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Dec 2030
15 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Revenue
16.79B
est: 23.84B (-29.6%)
17.79B
est: 21.84B (-18.5%)
17.22B
est: 22.00B (-21.7%)
16.82B
est: 20.59B (-18.3%)
18.31B
est: 23.20B (-21.1%)
19.28B
est: 22.74B (-15.2%)
19.52B
est: 25.46B (-23.3%)
21.26B
est: 25.95B (-18.1%)
23.08B
est: 28.63B (-19.4%)
26.31B
est: 28.15B (-6.5%)
28.35B
est: 30.65B (-7.5%)
33.29B
32.89B – 35.15B
+8.6% YoY
36.14B
34.80B – 38.25B
+8.6% YoY
39.16B
38.18B – 41.40B
+8.3% YoY
42.76B
41.69B – 45.21B
+9.2% YoY
45.60B
44.46B – 48.20B
+6.6% YoY
EBITDA
1.61B
est: 3.05B (-47.1%)
1.77B
est: 2.79B (-36.8%)
1.82B
est: 2.81B (-35.2%)
1.80B
est: 2.63B (-31.5%)
1.95B
est: 2.97B (-34.5%)
2.06B
est: 2.91B (-29.2%)
2.22B
est: 3.26B (-31.7%)
2.52B
est: 3.32B (-24.1%)
3.45B
est: 3.66B (-5.9%)
3.97B
est: 3.73B (+6.5%)
3.67B
est: 4.06B (-9.5%)
4.41B
4.36B – 4.66B
+8.6% YoY
4.79B
4.61B – 5.07B
+8.6% YoY
5.19B
5.06B – 5.48B
+8.3% YoY
5.67B
5.52B – 5.99B
+9.2% YoY
6.04B
5.89B – 6.39B
+6.6% YoY
EBIT
1.26B
est: 2.41B (-47.7%)
1.48B
est: 2.21B (-33.2%)
1.53B
est: 2.23B (-31.2%)
1.53B
est: 2.09B (-26.8%)
1.65B
est: 2.35B (-29.9%)
1.71B
est: 2.30B (-25.6%)
1.84B
est: 2.58B (-28.5%)
2.08B
est: 2.63B (-20.8%)
2.67B
est: 2.90B (-8.1%)
2.89B
est: 2.85B (+1.4%)
2.50B
est: 3.10B (-19.4%)
3.37B
3.33B – 3.56B
+8.6% YoY
3.66B
3.52B – 3.87B
+8.6% YoY
3.96B
3.86B – 4.19B
+8.3% YoY
4.33B
4.22B – 4.57B
+9.2% YoY
4.61B
4.50B – 4.88B
+6.6% YoY
Net Income
918.00M
est: 1.55B (-41.0%)
913.00M
est: 1.40B (-34.6%)
854.00M
est: 1.46B (-41.3%)
1.00B
est: 1.43B (-30.1%)
1.48B
est: 1.65B (-10.5%)
1.30B
est: 1.50B (-13.1%)
1.76B
est: 1.69B (+3.9%)
1.59B
est: 1.86B (-14.4%)
1.86B
est: 2.20B (-15.6%)
1.96B
est: 2.02B (-3.4%)
2.06B
est: 2.25B (-8.5%)
2.52B
2.44B – 2.71B
+11.7% YoY
2.89B
2.79B – 3.10B
+14.6% YoY
3.24B
3.14B – 3.48B
+12.4% YoY
3.70B
3.58B – 3.97B
+14.0% YoY
4.16B
4.02B – 4.46B
+12.4% YoY
SGA
5.20B
est: 3.29B (+58.2%)
5.84B
est: 3.01B (+93.9%)
6.23B
est: 3.03B (+105.3%)
6.20B
est: 2.84B (+118.5%)
6.46B
est: 3.20B (+101.9%)
68.00M
est: 3.14B (-97.8%)
6.64B
est: 3.51B (+89.1%)
37.00M
est: 3.58B (-99.0%)
7.94B
est: 3.95B (+101.1%)
est: 3.86B (-100.0%)
est: 4.21B (-100.0%)
4.57B
4.51B – 4.82B
+8.6% YoY
4.96B
4.77B – 5.25B
+8.6% YoY
5.37B
5.24B – 5.68B
+8.3% YoY
5.87B
5.72B – 6.20B
+9.2% YoY
6.26B
6.10B – 6.61B
+6.6% YoY
EPS
0.29
est: 0.51 (-43.0%)
0.29
est: 0.46 (-36.5%)
0.26
est: 0.48 (-45.4%)
0.31
est: 0.47 (-33.8%)
0.46
est: 0.54 (-14.9%)
0.41
est: 0.49 (-16.3%)
0.55
est: 0.55 (-0.7%)
0.51
est: 0.61 (-16.2%)
0.60
est: 0.72 (-16.7%)
0.64
est: 0.67 (-4.2%)
0.69
est: 0.74 (-7.2%)
0.83
0.80 – 0.89
+11.7% YoY
0.95
0.92 – 1.02
+14.6% YoY
1.07
1.04 – 1.15
+12.4% YoY
1.22
1.18 – 1.31
+14.0% YoY
1.37
1.33 – 1.47
+12.4% YoY
Historical Ratings (3M)
Date Rating Overall DCF ROE ROA D/E P/E P/B
2026-05-29 A- 4/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 2/5
2026-05-28 A- 4/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 2/5
2026-05-27 A- 4/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 2/5
2026-05-26 A- 4/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 2/5
2026-05-25 A- 4/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 2/5
2026-05-22 A- 4/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 2/5
2026-05-21 B+ 3/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 2/5 2/5
2026-05-20 B+ 3/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 2/5 2/5
2026-05-19 B+ 3/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 2/5 2/5
2026-05-18 B+ 3/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 2/5 2/5
2026-05-15 B+ 3/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 2/5 2/5
2026-05-14 B+ 3/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 2/5 2/5
2026-05-13 A- 4/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 2/5
2026-05-12 A- 4/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 2/5
2026-05-11 A- 4/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 2/5
2026-05-08 A- 4/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 2/5
2026-05-07 A- 4/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 2/5
2026-05-06 A- 4/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 2/5
2026-05-05 A- 4/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 2/5
2026-05-04 A- 4/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 2/5
2026-04-30 A- 4/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 2/5
2026-04-29 A- 4/5 5/5 5/5 5/5 1/5 3/5 2/5
2026-04-28 A- 4/5 5/5 5/5 5/5 1/5 3/5 2/5
2026-04-27 A- 4/5 5/5 4/5 5/5 1/5 3/5 2/5
2026-04-24 A- 4/5 5/5 4/5 5/5 1/5 3/5 2/5
2026-04-23 B+ 3/5 5/5 4/5 5/5 1/5 2/5 2/5
2026-04-22 B+ 3/5 5/5 4/5 5/5 1/5 2/5 2/5
2026-04-21 B+ 3/5 5/5 4/5 5/5 1/5 2/5 2/5
2026-04-20 B+ 3/5 5/5 4/5 5/5 1/5 2/5 2/5
2026-04-17 B+ 3/5 5/5 4/5 5/5 1/5 2/5 2/5
2026-04-16 B+ 3/5 5/5 4/5 5/5 1/5 2/5 2/5

Owner Earnings

Owner's Earnings (history) From To
Owner alignment
Owner's Earnings TTM
7.28B
OE per share TTM
2.39
Owner's Yield
10.35%
Maintenance CapEx ratio
4.23%
Maint CapEx / Avg PPE
21.9%

Ownership Overview

Ownership breakdown

Ownership breakdown not available.

At a glance
Institutional holders
Total invested
Insider transactions (90d)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)

No beneficial ownership filings recorded.

Institutional Activity (13F)

Institutional ownership trend

Institutional history not available.

Top institutional holders

Top holders not available.

ETF Ownership

Top ETFs holding this stock

This company is not held by any ETF in our universe.

Insider Activity

Insider Activity — Latest Quarter

No insider activity available.

Insider buys vs sells (history)

Insider history not available.

Recent insider transactions

No recent insider transactions.

Executive team

Top executives
EBIT / Employee
23.3K
Shares Outstanding
2.93B

Executive compensation

Executive compensation (annual)

Executive compensation not available.

CEO compensation breakdown

No CEO compensation history available.

Proxy statements

Proxy statements (DEF 14A)

No proxy statements available for this company yet.

Recent SEC filings

Recent SEC filings

No SEC filings available for this company yet.

Executive team

NameTitleCompensationGender
Thomas Arseneault Executive Director 7M male
Charles Woodburn Group Chief Executive Officer & Executive Director 5M
Bradley Greve Chief Financial Officer & Executive Director 3M male
Caitlin Hayden Group Communications Director 109.7K female
Julian Cracknell Chief Technology & Information Officer male
Karin Hoeing Group ESG, Culture & Business Transformation Director female
Ed Gelsthorpe Group General Counsel male
Neils Petersen Chief of Staff and Executive Vice President of Marketing Operations
Tania Gandamihardja Group Human Resources Director female
Martin Cooper Investor Relations Director male
ESG Score History

No data available for this company.

Senate Trading Activity

No Senate trading activity found for this company.

House Trading Activity

No House trading activity found for this company.

Market share among peers
Peer comparison — filtered group (TTM)
Your opinion

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Dividend yield history

Dividend history

Earnings history

Earnings reports

Stock splits