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Advantage Risk Management Co., Ltd. (8769.T)

JPY498.00 -13.00 (-2.54%)
JP JPX Healthcare Medical - Care Facilities
Address Nakameguro GT Tower 153-0051
Tokyo, JP
CEO Shinji Torigoe
Website armg.jp
IPO 2006-12-13
ISIN JP3122410008

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Description

Advantage Risk Management Co., Ltd. is a Japanese company specializing in comprehensive mental well-being and disability assistance. Their mental health division offers psychological care services, including preventative measures, intervention for employee mental health concerns, and programs designed to help staff successfully return to work. They also provide recruitment support through their Emotional Intelligence (EQ) service, utilizing EQ-based assessments and corporate training modules to develop emotional competencies. Regarding disability assistance, the company advises on implementing group long-term disability insurance schemes and provides post-implementation operational support, in addition to offering structured programs for employees returning from extended leave. Furthermore, Advantage Risk Management delivers risk financing solutions through a diverse range of insurance policies. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Market Cap & Enterprise Value
Merger & Acquisition History

No mergers or acquisitions recorded for this company.

Technical Outlook
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Signal Summary Loading…
Indicator 1D1W2W3W1M
Each column is computed on that timeframe's candles (1D = daily, 1W ≈ weekly, 1M ≈ monthly), not on the same last day. ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · — neutral. The Net row counts signals per column; hover any cell (or the indicator name) to see the exact rule behind it.
Day Score & sub-scores
Statistical fingerprint & regime detail
Conditional historical analysis
Customize analysis (advanced)
Indicative levels generated algorithmically. Not financial advice.
Risk Profile
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Price Chart
Averages
Trend
Price
Levels
Draw
JPY498.00 -13.00 (-2.54%)
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Volume Profile
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Liquidity & share structure
Average Volume
39.0K
Beta
0.81
Float Shares
4.47M
Free Float %
28.5%
Price Performance
1D5D1M3M6M YTD1Y3Y5Y10YMax
-2.54% +4.18% +2.26% -5.14% -20.95% -19.02% -16.86% -1.97% -32.52% +15.68% +5.96%
Rolling Volatility
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Drawdown
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Relative Strength
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
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Annual Monthly Returns
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Daily Returns Distribution
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Revenue flow

Revenue by geography

Revenue by segment

From To

Revenue composition

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By product

By geography

Financial Statements

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Cash Flow Statement

Key Metrics

Financial Ratios

Employees

Financial Growth (CAGR)

Market Data

Price Targets & DCF
Current price
498.00
DCF (Unlevered) 2,258.23 +353.5%
DCF (Levered) 2,802.87 +462.8%

DCF figures are point estimates: small changes in growth or discount-rate assumptions move them materially. Read them as a reference, not a precise target.

Ratings Trend (MoM)
Rating 2024-11 Change
Strong Buy 0 0
Buy 0 0
Hold 0 0
Sell 0 0
Strong Sell 0 0
Quality scores
Altman Z-Score
3.44
Safe zone
Piotroski F-Score
5 / 9
Average
MOAT Score
5 / 10
Developing
Composite Rating
A-
Overall Score
4 / 5
High
DCF Score
4 / 5
High
ROE Score
4 / 5
High
ROA Score
5 / 5
High
D/E Score
2 / 5
Medium
P/E Score
3 / 5
Medium
P/Book Score
3 / 5
Medium
Operational MOAT
✗ Below peers
  • Revenue growth Medical - Care Facilities: +10.2%
    +16.0% Q1'26: +2.6% (vs Q1'25)
  • EPS growth Medical - Care Facilities: +19.2%
    -5.2% Q1'26: -55.2% (vs Q1'25)
  • FCF margin FCF growth · Medical - Care Facilities: +32.0%
    +17.2% Q1'26: +0.0% (vs Q1'25)
  • EBIT margin Medical - Care Facilities: +11.3%
    +10.1% Q1'26: +13.5% (vs Q1'25)
  • ROIC Medical - Care Facilities: +6.8%
    +16.9% Q1'26: +24.8% (vs Q1'25)
  • Share dilution Medical - Care Facilities: +0.0%
    -2.7% Q1'26: +0.0% (vs Q1'25)
  • Debt / EBITDA Net debt/EBITDA · Medical - Care Facilities: 0.99×
    0.72× Q1'26: 0.59× (vs Q1'25)
Valuation Multiples From To
Price Forecast (3Y) From To
Model
Adjust
P/E
Theoretical Return — If Invested Today

* These projections are based on analyst consensus estimates and user-defined valuation multiples. This table is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

DCF Interactive Model (UFCF)
Projection years:
Market assumptions
WACC components (optional)
Ke (Cost of Equity) = Rf + β (0.84) × ERP
WACC = 84% × Ke + 16% × Kd (4.3%) × (1−t)

Modifying these values recalculates WACC automatically.

Business assumptions
Intrinsic value (base): 2,261.71 Current price: 498.00
Enterprise Value: Equity Value: Terminal Value: TV as % of EV:

Base values reflect the latest available data for this company and market conditions.

Consensus Estimates
Metric Mar 2018
actual
Mar 2019
actual
Mar 2020
actual
Mar 2021
actual
Mar 2022
actual
Mar 2023
actual
Mar 2024
actual
Mar 2025
actual
Revenue
4.48B
est: 4.61B (-2.8%)
4.90B
est: 5.19B (-5.6%)
5.26B
est: 5.29B (-0.5%)
5.45B
est: 5.43B (+0.4%)
5.79B
est: 6.20B (-6.6%)
6.41B
est: 6.70B (-4.4%)
7.00B
est: 7.50B (-6.7%)
8.55B
est: 8.40B (+1.8%)
EBITDA
1.13B
est: 805.58M (+40.3%)
1.23B
est: 906.93M (+35.4%)
1.23B
est: 924.41M (+32.8%)
993.87M
est: 948.87M (+4.7%)
750.83M
est: 1.08B (-30.7%)
1.08B
est: 1.17B (-7.5%)
1.40B
est: 1.35B (+3.7%)
1.86B
est: 1.55B (+19.9%)
EBIT
819.44M
est: 442.52M (+85.2%)
928.44M
est: 498.19M (+86.4%)
952.98M
est: 507.79M (+87.7%)
726.81M
est: 521.23M (+39.4%)
352.77M
est: 595.14M (-40.7%)
553.23M
est: 643.14M (-14.0%)
725.83M
est: 755.76M (-4.0%)
1.02B
est: 791.39M (+29.2%)
Net Income
564.44M
est: 529.32M (+6.6%)
614.85M
est: 650.36M (-5.5%)
639.30M
est: 590.65M (+8.2%)
496.22M
est: 400.22M (+24.0%)
201.81M
est: 484.14M (-58.3%)
377.61M
est: 426.04M (-11.4%)
505.58M
est: 503.50M (+0.4%)
744.36M
est: 584.10M (+27.4%)
SGA
2.66B
est: 2.86B (-6.8%)
2.91B
est: 3.22B (-9.7%)
3.09B
est: 3.28B (-5.7%)
3.47B
est: 3.37B (+3.2%)
3.87B
est: 3.84B (+0.6%)
4.01B
est: 4.15B (-3.5%)
4.19B
est: 4.65B (-9.8%)
4.86B
est: 5.07B (-4.0%)
EPS
33.02
est: 32.80 (+0.7%)
36.15
est: 40.30 (-10.3%)
37.74
est: 36.60 (+3.1%)
29.25
est: 24.80 (+17.9%)
12.07
est: 30.00 (-59.8%)
22.64
est: 26.40 (-14.2%)
30.30
est: 31.20 (-2.9%)
46.13
est: 37.20 (+24.0%)
Historical Ratings (3M)
Date Rating Overall DCF ROE ROA D/E P/E P/B
2026-05-18 A- 4/5 4/5 4/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-15 A 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-14 A 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-13 A 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-12 A 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-11 A 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-08 A 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-07 A 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-01 A 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-04-30 A 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-04-28 A 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-04-27 A 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 1/5 4/5 3/5
2026-04-24 A- 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 1/5 3/5 3/5
2026-04-23 A- 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 1/5 3/5 3/5
2026-04-22 A- 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 1/5 3/5 3/5
2026-04-21 A- 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 1/5 3/5 3/5
2026-04-20 A- 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 1/5 3/5 3/5
2026-04-17 A- 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 1/5 3/5 3/5
2026-04-16 A- 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 1/5 3/5 3/5

Owner Earnings

Owner's Earnings (history) From To
Owner alignment
Owner's Earnings TTM
36.39M
OE per share TTM
2.26
Owner's Yield
0.45%
Maintenance CapEx ratio
6.95%
Maint CapEx / Avg PPE
3.1%

Ownership Overview

Ownership breakdown

Ownership breakdown not available.

At a glance
Institutional holders
Total invested
Insider transactions (90d)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)

No beneficial ownership filings recorded.

Institutional Activity (13F)

Institutional ownership trend

Institutional history not available.

Top institutional holders

Top holders not available.

ETF Ownership

Top ETFs holding this stock

This company is not held by any ETF in our universe.

Insider Activity

Insider Activity — Latest Quarter

No insider activity available.

Insider buys vs sells (history)

Insider history not available.

Recent insider transactions

No recent insider transactions.

Executive team

Top executives
EBIT / Employee
2.27M
Shares Outstanding
15.70M

Executive compensation

Executive compensation (annual)

Executive compensation not available.

CEO compensation breakdown

No CEO compensation history available.

Proxy statements

Proxy statements (DEF 14A)

No proxy statements available for this company yet.

Recent SEC filings

Recent SEC filings

No SEC filings available for this company yet.

Executive team

NameTitleCompensationGender
Daisuke Kanesashi Executive Officer
Junya Tsuru Senior Executive Officer
Kaname Sakamoto Senior Executive Officer
Kensuke Sumida Senior Executive Officer, Head of Mental Management Business Division & Director male
Satoko Okita Executive Officer
Shinji Torigoe President, Chief Executive Officer, Head of Internal Audit & Health Management Dept and Representative Director male
Takayuki Amada Senior Executive Officer, Head of Corporate Division & Director male
Taku Kikuta Executive Officer
Yasushi Fujiwara Executive Officer
ESG Score History

No data available for this company.

Senate Trading Activity

No Senate trading activity found for this company.

House Trading Activity

No House trading activity found for this company.

Market share among peers
Peer comparison — filtered group (TTM)
Your opinion

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Dividend yield history

Dividend history

Earnings history

Earnings reports

Stock splits