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Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd. (6464.T)

JPY401.00 +2.00 (+0.50%)
JP JPX Industrials Manufacturing - Tools & Accessories
Address 19, Shakudo 639-2162
Katsuragi, JP
CEO Itaru Matsuyama
IPO 2015-12-16
ISIN JP3534410000

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Description

Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd., a global enterprise established in 1934 and headquartered in Katsuragi, Japan, specializes in the production and worldwide distribution of high-precision industrial components. The company operates through its principal divisions: Precision Component Business, Linear Business, and Others. Its extensive product range includes diverse precision balls, such as steel varieties for bearings, stainless steel applications, and ballpoint pens, as well as various metal balls integral to home electronics like air conditioners, refrigerators, and vacuum cleaners. They also supply advanced ceramic balls, including silicon nitride and alumina oxide types, which are vital for wind power generators, electric vehicles, and semiconductor manufacturing equipment. Beyond spherical components, Tsubaki Nakashima engineers a variety of precision rollers—tapered, spherical, cylindrical, and needle designs—along with cages, stamped sheet metal parts, and welded assemblies. These items are indispensable across numerous industries, from transmissions, engines, and pumps to wheel bearings, mining operations, heavy industrial machinery, and railway systems. Further offerings encompass ball screws, critical for machine tools, electric injection molding machines, semiconductor manufacturing apparatus, industrial robots, and advanced medical equipment. The company additionally produces a range of industrial blowers, serving sectors such as steel production, thermal power generation, and nuclear power facilities. For specific client requirements, Tsubaki Nakashima provides bespoke solutions like solid plastic and glass balls, particularly tailored for medical diagnostic tests and devices. Complementing its core manufacturing activities, the company also engages in real estate leasing.

Market Cap & Enterprise Value
Merger & Acquisition History

No mergers or acquisitions recorded for this company.

Technical Outlook
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Signal Summary Loading…
Indicator 1D1W2W3W1M
Each column is computed on that timeframe's candles (1D = daily, 1W ≈ weekly, 1M ≈ monthly), not on the same last day. ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · — neutral. The Net row counts signals per column; hover any cell (or the indicator name) to see the exact rule behind it.
Day Score & sub-scores
Statistical fingerprint & regime detail
Conditional historical analysis
Customize analysis (advanced)
Indicative levels generated algorithmically. Not financial advice.
Risk Profile
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Price Chart
Averages
Trend
Price
Levels
Draw
JPY401.00 +2.00 (+0.50%)
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Volume Profile
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Liquidity & share structure
Average Volume
753.5K
Beta
0.53
Float Shares
35.79M
Free Float %
93.5%
Price Performance
1D5D1M3M6M YTD1Y3Y5Y10YMax
+1.18% -1.71% +4.56% -4.97% -6.01% -2.27% -9.71% -63.60% -77.89% -76.42% -78.43%
Rolling Volatility
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Drawdown
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Relative Strength
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
From To
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Annual Monthly Returns
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Daily Returns Distribution
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Revenue flow

Revenue by geography

Revenue by segment

From To

Revenue composition

From To

By product

By geography

Financial Statements

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Cash Flow Statement

Key Metrics

Financial Ratios

Employees

Financial Growth (CAGR)

Market Data

Price Targets & DCF
Current price
401.00
Ratings Trend (MoM) 0% Bullish
Rating 2025-04 Change
Strong Buy 0 0
Buy 0 0
Hold 0 0
Sell 1 0
Strong Sell 0 0
Quality scores
Altman Z-Score
0.40
Distress
Piotroski F-Score
6 / 9
Average
MOAT Score
3 / 10
No MOAT
Composite Rating
C
Overall Score
2 / 5
Medium
DCF Score
1 / 5
Low
ROE Score
1 / 5
Low
ROA Score
1 / 5
Low
D/E Score
1 / 5
Low
P/E Score
1 / 5
Low
P/Book Score
5 / 5
High
Operational MOAT
✗ Below peers
  • Revenue growth Manufacturing - Tools & Accessories: +4.1%
    -8.0% Q1'26: -2.7% (vs Q1'25)
  • EPS growth Manufacturing - Tools & Accessories: +12.8%
    -32,778.3% Q1'26: +155.2% (vs Q1'25)
  • FCF margin FCF growth · Manufacturing - Tools & Accessories: +37.4%
    +5.8% Q1'26: -5.0% (vs Q1'25)
  • EBIT margin Manufacturing - Tools & Accessories: +9.1%
    -11.1% Q1'26: +0.5% (vs Q1'25)
  • ROIC Manufacturing - Tools & Accessories: +5.8%
    -8.0% Q1'26: +0.2% (vs Q1'25)
  • Share dilution Manufacturing - Tools & Accessories: +0.3%
    -29.9% Q1'26: +0.0% (vs Q1'25)
  • Debt / EBITDA Net debt/EBITDA · Manufacturing - Tools & Accessories: -0.48×
    -23.92× Q1'26: 22.95× (vs Q1'25)
Valuation Multiples From To
Price Forecast (3Y) From To
Model
Adjust
P/E
Theoretical Return — If Invested Today

* These projections are based on analyst consensus estimates and user-defined valuation multiples. This table is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

DCF Interactive Model (UFCF)
Projection years:
Market assumptions
WACC components (optional)
Ke (Cost of Equity) = Rf + β (0.49) × ERP
WACC = 12% × Ke + 88% × Kd (4.1%) × (1−t)

Modifying these values recalculates WACC automatically.

Business assumptions
Current price: 401.00
Enterprise Value: Equity Value: Terminal Value: TV as % of EV:

Base values reflect the latest available data for this company and market conditions.

Consensus Estimates
Metric Dec 2015
actual
Dec 2016
actual
Dec 2017
actual
Dec 2018
actual
Dec 2019
actual
Dec 2020
actual
Dec 2021
actual
Dec 2022
actual
Dec 2023
actual
Dec 2024
actual
Dec 2025
actual
Dec 2026
1 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Revenue
39.18B
est: 39.50B (-0.8%)
36.89B
est: 36.81B (+0.2%)
53.24B
est: 51.46B (+3.5%)
74.83B
est: 75.48B (-0.9%)
64.56B
est: 65.05B (-0.7%)
52.02B
est: 51.80B (+0.4%)
67.93B
est: 68.40B (-0.7%)
79.04B
est: 78.00B (+1.3%)
80.34B
est: 81.08B (-0.9%)
75.92B
est: 80.96B (-6.2%)
69.84B
est: 85.01B (-17.8%)
86.50B
86.50B – 86.50B
+1.8% YoY
EBITDA
8.83B
est: 2.77B (+218.7%)
8.47B
est: 2.58B (+227.8%)
8.32B
est: 3.61B (+130.4%)
13.12B
est: 5.30B (+147.8%)
11.59B
est: 4.56B (+153.8%)
6.76B
est: 3.63B (+86.1%)
9.39B
est: 4.80B (+95.6%)
-4.81B
est: 5.47B (-187.9%)
4.58B
est: 2.66B (+72.4%)
6.56B
est: 2.66B (+147.2%)
-3.97B
est: 2.79B (-242.4%)
2.84B
2.84B – 2.84B
+1.8% YoY
EBIT
7.17B
est: 849.20M (+744.0%)
6.97B
est: 791.51M (+781.1%)
6.30B
est: 1.11B (+469.5%)
9.98B
est: 1.62B (+514.8%)
8.23B
est: 1.40B (+488.7%)
3.42B
est: 1.11B (+207.1%)
5.98B
est: 1.47B (+306.4%)
-8.45B
est: 1.68B (-603.6%)
1.41B
est: -1.13B (+224.8%)
3.29B
est: -1.12B (+392.7%)
-7.77B
est: -1.18B (-557.8%)
-1.20B
-1.20B – -1.20B
-1.8% YoY
Net Income
4.48B
est: 6.87B (-34.9%)
4.63B
est: 6.18B (-25.1%)
3.18B
est: 5.76B (-44.8%)
6.82B
est: 9.63B (-29.2%)
4.89B
est: 7.22B (-32.2%)
1.88B
est: 2.61B (-28.2%)
3.55B
est: 5.94B (-40.1%)
-9.09B
est: 3.15B (-388.3%)
-1.29B
est: -487.01M (-164.3%)
912.00M
est: 3.34B (-72.7%)
-26.99B
est: 3.87B (-798.1%)
4.97B
4.97B – 4.97B
+28.6% YoY
SGA
3.62B
est: 4.33B (-16.5%)
3.60B
est: 4.04B (-10.9%)
6.51B
est: 5.65B (+15.3%)
7.17B
est: 8.28B (-13.4%)
7.61B
est: 7.14B (+6.6%)
5.82B
est: 5.68B (+2.4%)
7.38B
est: 7.50B (-1.6%)
8.40B
est: 8.56B (-1.9%)
7.92B
est: 9.64B (-17.9%)
9.35B
est: 9.62B (-2.8%)
11.01B
est: 10.11B (+9.0%)
10.28B
10.28B – 10.28B
+1.8% YoY
EPS
114.06
est: 124.46 (-8.4%)
116.46
est: 111.93 (+4.1%)
67.09
est: 104.25 (-35.6%)
171.44
est: 174.30 (-1.6%)
121.74
est: 130.65 (-6.8%)
46.65
est: 47.30 (-1.4%)
88.03
est: 107.46 (-18.1%)
-225.25
est: 57.05 (-494.8%)
-32.40
est: -12.58 (-157.6%)
22.91
est: 82.13 (-72.1%)
-697.02
est: 95.01 (-833.6%)
128.37
128.37 – 128.37
+35.1% YoY
Historical Ratings (3M)
Date Rating Overall DCF ROE ROA D/E P/E P/B
2026-05-12 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-05-11 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-05-08 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-05-07 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-05-01 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-04-30 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-04-28 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-04-27 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-04-24 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-04-23 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-04-22 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-04-21 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-04-20 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-04-17 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-04-16 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5

Owner Earnings

Owner's Earnings (history) From To
Owner alignment
Owner's Earnings TTM
5.74B
OE per share TTM
149.67
Owner's Yield
43.07%
Maintenance CapEx ratio
Maint CapEx / Avg PPE
47.8%

Ownership Overview

Ownership breakdown

Ownership breakdown not available.

At a glance
Institutional holders
Total invested
Insider transactions (90d)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)

No beneficial ownership filings recorded.

Institutional Activity (13F)

Institutional ownership trend

Institutional history not available.

Top institutional holders

Top holders not available.

ETF Ownership

Top ETFs holding this stock Held by 10 ETFs in our universe
# ETF Weight Est. AUM exposure TER
1 iShares International Small-Cap Equity Factor ETF ISCF 0.05% 303.0K 0.24%
2 State Street SPDR S&P International Small Cap ETF GWX 0.01% 79.3K 0.40%
3 Dimensional - International Small Cap ETF DFIS 0.00% 253.0K 0.39%
4 iShares Core TOPIX ETF 1475.T 0.00% 327.4K 0.05%
5 Avantis International Small Cap Equity ETF AVDS 0.00% 3.7K 0.30%
6 Dimensional - International Core Equity 2 ETF DFIC 0.00% 159.2K 0.22%
7 Dimensional World ex U.S. Core Equity 2 ETF DFAX 0.00% 67.8K 0.28%
8 Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF AVDV 0.00% 9.5K 0.36%
9 Dimensional - International Core Equity Market ETF DFAI 0.00% 0.18%
10 Dimensional International Sustainability Core 1 ETF DFSI 0.00% 0.24%

Insider Activity

Insider Activity — Latest Quarter

No insider activity available.

Insider buys vs sells (history)

Insider history not available.

Recent insider transactions

No recent insider transactions.

Executive team

Top executives
EBIT / Employee
-2.80M
Shares Outstanding
38.25M

Executive compensation

Executive compensation (annual)

Executive compensation not available.

CEO compensation breakdown

No CEO compensation history available.

Proxy statements

Proxy statements (DEF 14A)

No proxy statements available for this company yet.

Recent SEC filings

Recent SEC filings

No SEC filings available for this company yet.

Executive team

NameTitleCompensationGender
Anna Dolgikh Director, Executive Officer & CHRO female
Evelise Faro Senior EVice President & Director of Quality, Engineering, and DX Roller Operations female
Franco Dutto Executive Officer & Vice President of Internal Consultant
Hidekazu Mukai Executive Officer and Vice President of Japan Ball Operations & Linear Business
Itaru Matsuyama Director, Representative Executive Officer & Chief Executive Officer male
Matt Cloward Chief Marketing Officer male
Nashay Naeve Engineered Plastic Components BU President
Ramesh Gopalakrishnan Chief Operations Officer male
Yoichi Ueda Director, Executive Officer & Chief Financial Officer male
Zhang Li China BU President
ESG Score History

No data available for this company.

Senate Trading Activity

No Senate trading activity found for this company.

House Trading Activity

No House trading activity found for this company.

Market share among peers
Peer comparison — filtered group (TTM)
Your opinion

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Dividend yield history

Dividend history

Earnings history

Earnings reports

Stock splits