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Li Auto Inc. (2015.HK)

HKD48.56 +1.36 (+2.88%)
CN HKSE Consumer Cyclical Auto - Manufacturers
Address 11 Wenliang Street 101399
Beijing, CN
CEO Xiang Li
IPO 2021-08-12
ISIN KYG5479M1050

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Also trades on Hong Kong Stock Exchange · 2015.HK (HKD) NASDAQ Global Select · LI (USD)
Description

Operating within the People's Republic of China, Li Auto Inc. and its affiliated companies specialize in the conceptualization, engineering, manufacturing, and distribution of new energy vehicles. A prominent product is the Li ONE, a sophisticated six-seater electric sport utility vehicle equipped with intelligent vehicle functionalities, ADAS-integrated navigation, and automatic emergency braking systems. The company's operations also encompass managing sales and after-sales support, technological innovation, corporate administration, and the acquisition of manufacturing equipment. Formerly named Leading Ideal Inc., the organization rebranded to Li Auto Inc. in July 2020. Founded in 2015, its main offices are situated in Beijing, China.

Market Cap & Enterprise Value
Merger & Acquisition History

No mergers or acquisitions recorded for this company.

Technical Outlook
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Signal Summary Loading…
Indicator 1D1W2W3W1M
Each column is computed on that timeframe's candles (1D = daily, 1W ≈ weekly, 1M ≈ monthly), not on the same last day. ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · — neutral. The Net row counts signals per column; hover any cell (or the indicator name) to see the exact rule behind it.
Day Score & sub-scores
Statistical fingerprint & regime detail
Conditional historical analysis
Customize analysis (advanced)
Indicative levels generated algorithmically. Not financial advice.
Risk Profile
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Price Chart
Averages
Trend
Price
Levels
Draw
HKD48.56 +1.36 (+2.88%)
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Volume Profile
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Liquidity & share structure
Average Volume
15M
Beta
0.51
Float Shares
1.12B
Free Float %
55.5%
Price Performance
1D5D1M3M6M YTD1Y3Y5Y10YMax
+0.09% -6.31% -14.29% -15.78% -19.53% -10.72% -47.36% -48.81% -50.51% -50.51% -50.51%
Rolling Volatility
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Drawdown
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Relative Strength
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
From To
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Annual Monthly Returns
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Daily Returns Distribution
vs.
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Revenue flow

Revenue by geography

Revenue by segment

From To

Revenue composition

From To

By product

By geography

Financial Statements

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Cash Flow Statement

Key Metrics

Financial Ratios

Employees

Financial Growth (CAGR)

Market Data

Analyst Consensus (9 ratings, all time) Buy
Price Targets & DCF
Current price
48.56
DCF (Unlevered) 258.20 +431.7%
DCF (Levered) 1,066.48 +2,096.2%

DCF figures are point estimates: small changes in growth or discount-rate assumptions move them materially. Read them as a reference, not a precise target.

Ratings Trend (MoM) 41% Bullish
Rating 2026-05 Change
Strong Buy 6 0
Buy 5 -1
Hold 13 +1
Sell 2 0
Strong Sell 1 -1
Quality scores
Altman Z-Score
1.92
Grey zone
Piotroski F-Score
4 / 9
Average
MOAT Score
2 / 10
No MOAT
Composite Rating
C
Overall Score
2 / 5
Medium
DCF Score
1 / 5
Low
ROE Score
1 / 5
Low
ROA Score
1 / 5
Low
D/E Score
3 / 5
Medium
P/E Score
1 / 5
Low
P/Book Score
3 / 5
Medium
Operational MOAT
✗ Below peers
  • Revenue growth Auto - Manufacturers: +8.4%
    -24.3% Q1'26: -12.2% (vs Q1'25)
  • EPS growth Auto - Manufacturers: +17.3%
    -85.9% Q1'26: -461.3% (vs Q1'25)
  • FCF margin FCF growth · Auto - Manufacturers: +72.3%
    -15.0% Q1'26: -20.5% (vs Q1'25)
  • EBIT margin Auto - Manufacturers: +4.6%
    -0.9% Q1'26: -12.9% (vs Q1'25)
  • ROIC Auto - Manufacturers: +3.7%
    Q1'26: +214.2% (vs Q1'25)
  • Share dilution Auto - Manufacturers: +0.0%
    +0.6% Q1'26: -5.2% (vs Q1'25)
  • Debt / EBITDA Net debt/EBITDA · Auto - Manufacturers: -0.19×
    -18.39× Q1'26: -1.51× (vs Q1'25)
Valuation Multiples From To
Price Forecast (3Y) From To
Model
Adjust
P/E
Theoretical Return — If Invested Today

* These projections are based on analyst consensus estimates and user-defined valuation multiples. This table is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

DCF Interactive Model (UFCF)
Projection years:
Market assumptions
WACC components (optional)
Ke (Cost of Equity) = Rf + β (0.62) × ERP
WACC = 86% × Ke + 14% × Kd (4.1%) × (1−t)

Modifying these values recalculates WACC automatically.

Business assumptions
Intrinsic value (base): 260.40 Current price: 48.56
Enterprise Value: Equity Value: Terminal Value: TV as % of EV:

Base values reflect the latest available data for this company and market conditions.

Consensus Estimates
Metric Dec 2020
actual
Dec 2021
actual
Dec 2022
actual
Dec 2023
actual
Dec 2024
actual
Dec 2025
actual
Dec 2026
12 Rev. Ana.
5 EPS Ana.
Dec 2027
27 Rev. Ana.
6 EPS Ana.
Dec 2028
18 Rev. Ana.
3 EPS Ana.
Revenue
9.46B
est: 11.01B (-14.1%)
27.01B
est: 32.41B (-16.7%)
45.29B
est: 51.49B (-12.0%)
123.85B
est: 133.47B (-7.2%)
144.46B
est: 147.63B (-2.1%)
109.41B
est: 117.12B (-6.6%)
128.76B
109.61B – 151.14B
+9.9% YoY
156.23B
106.17B – 219.15B
+21.3% YoY
172.44B
130.14B – 224.59B
+10.4% YoY
EBITDA
199.04M
est: 363.88M (-45.3%)
500.83M
est: 1.07B (-53.2%)
-839.16M
est: 1.70B (-149.3%)
9.21B
est: 4.41B (+108.9%)
10.08B
est: 3.99B (+152.3%)
-969.00M
est: 3.17B (-130.6%)
3.48B
2.97B – 4.09B
+9.9% YoY
4.23B
2.87B – 5.93B
+21.3% YoY
4.67B
3.52B – 6.08B
+10.4% YoY
EBIT
-121.96M
est: 103.19M (-218.2%)
-89.57M
est: 303.64M (-129.5%)
-2.05B
est: 482.39M (-525.6%)
7.41B
est: 1.25B (+492.3%)
7.02B
est: 1.50B (+367.2%)
-969.00M
est: 1.19B (-181.3%)
1.31B
1.12B – 1.54B
+9.9% YoY
1.59B
1.08B – 2.23B
+21.3% YoY
1.75B
1.32B – 2.29B
+10.4% YoY
Net Income
-151.66M
est: -950.89M (+84.1%)
-321.46M
est: -288.86M (-11.3%)
-2.01B
est: -946.46M (-112.6%)
11.70B
est: 8.93B (+31.0%)
8.03B
est: 8.55B (-6.1%)
1.10B
est: 2.13B (-48.6%)
827.26M
391.45M – 1.45B
-61.2% YoY
5.40B
3.38B – 7.09B
+552.9% YoY
7.34B
5.00B – 10.22B
+35.9% YoY
SGA
1.08B
est: 1.17B (-7.2%)
3.40B
est: 3.43B (-0.7%)
5.67B
est: 5.45B (+4.0%)
9.77B
est: 14.12B (-30.8%)
12.23B
est: 15.05B (-18.7%)
10.39B
est: 11.94B (-13.0%)
13.12B
11.17B – 15.40B
+9.9% YoY
15.92B
10.82B – 22.33B
+21.3% YoY
17.57B
13.26B – 22.89B
+10.4% YoY
EPS
-0.77
est: -0.45 (-72.4%)
-0.17
est: -0.14 (-25.3%)
-1.04
est: -0.44 (-134.0%)
5.96
est: 4.20 (+42.0%)
4.02
est: 3.99 (+0.7%)
0.55
est: 0.99 (-44.7%)
0.39
0.18 – 0.68
-61.2% YoY
2.52
1.58 – 3.31
+552.9% YoY
3.42
2.33 – 4.77
+35.9% YoY
Historical Ratings (3M)
Date Rating Overall DCF ROE ROA D/E P/E P/B
2026-05-29 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 3/5 1/5 3/5
2026-05-28 C+ 2/5 1/5 2/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 3/5
2026-05-27 C+ 2/5 1/5 2/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 3/5
2026-05-26 C+ 2/5 1/5 2/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 3/5
2026-05-22 C+ 2/5 1/5 2/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 3/5
2026-05-21 C+ 2/5 1/5 2/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 3/5
2026-05-20 C+ 2/5 1/5 2/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 3/5
2026-05-19 C+ 2/5 1/5 2/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 3/5
2026-05-18 C+ 2/5 1/5 2/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 3/5
2026-05-15 C+ 2/5 1/5 2/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 3/5
2026-05-14 C+ 2/5 1/5 2/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 3/5
2026-05-13 C+ 2/5 1/5 2/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 3/5
2026-05-12 C+ 2/5 1/5 2/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 3/5
2026-05-11 C+ 2/5 1/5 2/5 3/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-05-08 C+ 2/5 1/5 2/5 3/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-05-07 C+ 2/5 1/5 2/5 3/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-05-06 C+ 2/5 1/5 2/5 3/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-05-05 C+ 2/5 1/5 2/5 3/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-05-04 C+ 2/5 1/5 2/5 3/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-04-30 C+ 2/5 1/5 2/5 4/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-04-29 C+ 2/5 1/5 2/5 4/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-04-28 C+ 2/5 1/5 2/5 4/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-04-27 C+ 2/5 1/5 2/5 4/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-04-24 C+ 2/5 1/5 2/5 4/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-04-23 C+ 2/5 1/5 2/5 4/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-04-22 C+ 2/5 1/5 2/5 4/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-04-21 C+ 2/5 1/5 2/5 4/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-04-20 C+ 2/5 1/5 2/5 4/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-04-17 C+ 2/5 1/5 2/5 4/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-04-16 C+ 2/5 1/5 2/5 4/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-04-15 C+ 2/5 1/5 2/5 4/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-04-14 C+ 2/5 1/5 2/5 4/5 2/5 1/5 3/5

Owner Earnings

Owner's Earnings (history) From To
Owner alignment
Owner's Earnings TTM
10.92B
OE per share TTM
5.15
Owner's Yield
9.31%
Maintenance CapEx ratio
181.03%
Maint CapEx / Avg PPE
23.9%

Ownership Overview

Ownership breakdown

Ownership breakdown not available.

At a glance
Institutional holders
Total invested
Insider transactions (90d)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)

No beneficial ownership filings recorded.

Institutional Activity (13F)

Institutional ownership trend

Institutional history not available.

Top institutional holders

Top holders not available.

Insider Activity

Insider Activity — Latest Quarter

No insider activity available.

Insider buys vs sells (history)

Insider history not available.

Recent insider transactions

No recent insider transactions.

Executive team

Top executives
EBIT / Employee
-30.0K
Shares Outstanding
2.03B

Executive compensation

Executive compensation (annual)

Executive compensation not available.

CEO compensation breakdown

No CEO compensation history available.

Proxy statements

Proxy statements (DEF 14A)

No proxy statements available for this company yet.

Recent SEC filings

Recent SEC filings

No SEC filings available for this company yet.

Executive team

NameTitleCompensationGender
Xiang Li Founder, Executive Chairman & Chief Executive Officer 2M male
Janet Chang Director of Investor Relations
Kobe Wang Head of Capital Markets
Liangjun Zou Senior Vice President male
Tie Li Chief Financial Officer & Executive Director male
Yan Xie Senior Vice President & Chief Technology Officer male
Yang Wang Joint Company Secretary male
Donghui Ma President & Executive Director male
Yee Wa Lau Joint Company Secretary female
ESG Score History

No data available for this company.

Senate Trading Activity

No Senate trading activity found for this company.

House Trading Activity

No House trading activity found for this company.

Market share among peers
Peer comparison — filtered group (TTM)
Your opinion

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Dividend history

Earnings history

Earnings reports

Stock splits