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Virgin Australia Holdings Ltd (VGN.AX)

AUD2.89 +0.00 (+0.00%)
AU ASX Industrials Airlines, Airports & Air Services
Address Level 11 4101
South Brisbane, QLD, AU
CEO Dave Emerson
IPO 2025-06-24
ISIN AU0000400616

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Description

Virgin Australia Holdings Limited provides domestic and international travel services to leisure, corporate and government, regional and charter travel, and air freight customers in Australia. It operates through the Airlines and Velocity segments. The company offers regular passenger transport and short-haul international regular public transport services, charter services, and loyalty programs. It also provides cargo and travel insurance services. The company has strategic alliances with Qatar Airways, Singapore Airlines, United Airlines, Air Canada, Air New Zealand, Hawaiian Airline, and All Nippon Airways. The company was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in South Brisbane, Australia.

Market Cap & Enterprise Value
Merger & Acquisition History

No mergers or acquisitions recorded for this company.

Technical Outlook
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Signal Summary Loading…
Indicator 1D1W2W3W1M
Each column is computed on that timeframe's candles (1D = daily, 1W ≈ weekly, 1M ≈ monthly), not on the same last day. ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · — neutral. The Net row counts signals per column; hover any cell (or the indicator name) to see the exact rule behind it.
Day Score & sub-scores
Statistical fingerprint & regime detail
Conditional historical analysis
Customize analysis (advanced)
Indicative levels generated algorithmically. Not financial advice.
Risk Profile
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Price Chart
Averages
Trend
Price
Levels
Draw
AUD2.89 +0.00 (+0.00%)
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Volume Profile
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Liquidity & share structure
Average Volume
2M
Beta
2.24
Float Shares
232.23M
Free Float %
29.6%
Price Performance
1D5D1M3M6M YTD1Y3Y5Y10YMax
+0.00% -1.54% +6.22% -6.23% -20.50% -26.86% -20.74% -20.74% -20.74% -20.74% -20.74%
Rolling Volatility
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Drawdown
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Relative Strength
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
From To
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Annual Monthly Returns
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Daily Returns Distribution
vs.
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Revenue flow

Revenue by geography

Revenue by segment

From To

Revenue composition

From To

By product

By geography

Financial Statements

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Cash Flow Statement

Key Metrics

Financial Ratios

Employees

Financial Growth (CAGR)

Market Data

Price Targets & DCF
Current price
2.89
DCF (Levered) 14.50 +401.7%

DCF figures are point estimates: small changes in growth or discount-rate assumptions move them materially. Read them as a reference, not a precise target.

Ratings Trend (MoM) 89% Bullish
Rating 2026-06 Change
Strong Buy 2 0
Buy 6 0
Hold 1 0
Sell 0 0
Strong Sell 0 0
Quality scores
Altman Z-Score
0.52
Distress
Piotroski F-Score
6 / 9
Average
MOAT Score
2 / 10
No MOAT
Composite Rating
C+
Overall Score
2 / 5
Medium
DCF Score
1 / 5
Low
ROE Score
1 / 5
Low
ROA Score
5 / 5
High
D/E Score
1 / 5
Low
P/E Score
4 / 5
High
P/Book Score
1 / 5
Low
Operational MOAT
✗ Below peers
  • Revenue growth Airlines, Airports & Air Services: +6.5%
    -32.8% Q4'25: -12.0% (vs Q4'24)
  • EPS growth Airlines, Airports & Air Services: +12.5%
    -38.6% Q4'25: +10.0% (vs Q4'24)
  • FCF margin FCF growth · Airlines, Airports & Air Services: -2.8%
    +0.5% Q4'25: +20.9% (vs Q4'24)
  • EBIT margin Airlines, Airports & Air Services: +10.3%
    +7.0% Q4'25: +12.2% (vs Q4'24)
  • ROIC Airlines, Airports & Air Services: +6.0%
    +66.2% Q4'25: +121.5% (vs Q4'24)
  • Share dilution Airlines, Airports & Air Services: +0.0%
    -6.2% Q4'25: +8.4% (vs Q4'24)
  • Debt / EBITDA Net debt/EBITDA · Airlines, Airports & Air Services: 1.43×
    2.78× Q4'25: 2.23× (vs Q4'24)
Valuation Multiples From To
Price Forecast (3Y) From To
Model
Adjust
P/E
Theoretical Return — If Invested Today

* These projections are based on analyst consensus estimates and user-defined valuation multiples. This table is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

DCF Interactive Model (UFCF)
Projection years:
Market assumptions
WACC components (optional)
Ke (Cost of Equity) = Rf + β (2.24) × ERP
WACC = 47% × Ke + 53% × Kd (9.6%) × (1−t)

Modifying these values recalculates WACC automatically.

Business assumptions
Current price: 2.89
Enterprise Value: Equity Value: Terminal Value: TV as % of EV:

Base values reflect the latest available data for this company and market conditions.

Consensus Estimates
Metric Jun 2025
actual
Jun 2026
9 Rev. Ana.
7 EPS Ana.
Jun 2027
9 Rev. Ana.
7 EPS Ana.
Jun 2028
9 Rev. Ana.
7 EPS Ana.
Jun 2029
4 Rev. Ana.
2 EPS Ana.
Revenue
3.79B
est: 5.73B (-33.9%)
6.28B
6.25B – 6.33B
+9.6% YoY
6.60B
6.36B – 6.83B
+5.1% YoY
6.81B
6.79B – 6.83B
+3.2% YoY
7.48B
7.33B – 7.64B
+9.8% YoY
EBITDA
541.92M
est: -86.47M (+726.7%)
-94.74M
-95.51M – -94.43M
-9.6% YoY
-99.57M
-103.09M – -96.00M
-5.1% YoY
-102.79M
-103.05M – -102.54M
-3.2% YoY
-112.92M
-115.41M – -110.67M
-9.8% YoY
EBIT
264.92M
est: -538.21M (+149.2%)
-589.66M
-594.45M – -587.73M
-9.6% YoY
-619.71M
-641.63M – -597.51M
-5.1% YoY
-639.80M
-641.42M – -638.19M
-3.2% YoY
-702.80M
-718.31M – -688.80M
-9.8% YoY
Net Income
313.50M
est: 296.58M (+5.7%)
367.39M
355.35M – 379.43M
+23.9% YoY
364.06M
317.11M – 370.18M
-0.9% YoY
425.73M
350.49M – 444.62M
+16.9% YoY
453.15M
441.42M – 466.15M
+6.4% YoY
SGA
274.52M
est: 909.37M (-69.8%)
996.30M
993.04M – 1.00B
+9.6% YoY
1.05B
1.01B – 1.08B
+5.1% YoY
1.08B
1.08B – 1.08B
+3.2% YoY
1.19B
1.16B – 1.21B
+9.8% YoY
EPS
0.43
est: 0.40 (+6.4%)
0.50
0.48 – 0.52
+23.1% YoY
0.48
0.43 – 0.50
-3.1% YoY
0.56
0.48 – 0.61
+16.3% YoY
0.62
0.60 – 0.64
+10.1% YoY
Historical Ratings (3M)
Date Rating Overall DCF ROE ROA D/E P/E P/B
2026-06-12 C+ 2/5 1/5 1/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 1/5
2026-06-11 C+ 2/5 1/5 1/5 4/5 1/5 4/5 1/5
2026-06-10 C+ 2/5 1/5 1/5 5/5 1/5 4/5 1/5
2026-06-09 C+ 2/5 1/5 1/5 5/5 1/5 4/5 1/5
2026-06-05 C+ 2/5 1/5 1/5 5/5 1/5 4/5 1/5
2026-06-04 C+ 2/5 1/5 1/5 5/5 1/5 4/5 1/5
2026-06-03 C+ 2/5 1/5 1/5 5/5 1/5 4/5 1/5
2026-06-02 C+ 2/5 1/5 1/5 5/5 1/5 4/5 1/5
2026-06-01 C+ 2/5 1/5 1/5 5/5 1/5 4/5 1/5

Owner Earnings

Owner's Earnings (history) From To
Owner alignment
Owner's Earnings TTM
670.22M
OE per share TTM
0.72
Owner's Yield
32.37%
Maintenance CapEx ratio
311.42%
Maint CapEx / Avg PPE
48.3%

Ownership Overview

Ownership breakdown

Ownership breakdown not available.

At a glance
Institutional holders
Total invested
Insider transactions (90d)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)

No beneficial ownership filings recorded.

Institutional Activity (13F)

Institutional ownership trend

Institutional history not available.

Top institutional holders

Top holders not available.

ETF Ownership

Top ETFs holding this stock Held by 40 ETFs in our universe
# ETF Weight Est. AUM exposure TER
1 iShares S&P/ASX Small Ordinaries ETF ISO.AX 0.24% 210.9K 0.55%
2 Vanguard MSCI Australian Small Companies Index ETF VSO.AX 0.12% 986.4K 0.30%
3 Lazard International Dynamic Equity ETF IDEQ 0.12% 1.54M 0.40%
4 iShares International Small-Cap Equity Factor ETF ISCF 0.11% 733.5K 0.24%
5 Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF VAS.AX 0.02% 4.09M 0.07%
6 Schwab International Small-Cap Equity ETF SCHC 0.02% 935.5K 0.06%
7 iShares Currency Hedged MSCI EAFE Small-Cap ETF HSCZ 0.02% 34.6K 0.83%
8 iShares MSCI EAFE Small-Cap ETF SCZ 0.02% 2.08M 0.40%
9 FlexShares Morningstar Developed Markets ex-US Factor Tilt Index Fund TLTD 0.02% 98.3K 0.41%
10 Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US Small-Cap ETF VSS 0.01% 1.63M 0.06%

Insider Activity

Insider Activity — Latest Quarter

No insider activity available.

Insider buys vs sells (history)

Insider history not available.

Recent insider transactions

No recent insider transactions.

Executive team

Top executives
EBIT / Employee
24.9K
Shares Outstanding
784.23M

Executive compensation

Executive compensation (annual)

Executive compensation not available.

CEO compensation breakdown

No CEO compensation history available.

Proxy statements

Proxy statements (DEF 14A)

No proxy statements available for this company yet.

Recent SEC filings

Recent SEC filings

No SEC filings available for this company yet.

Executive team

NameTitleCompensationGender
Nick Rohrlach Chief Executive Officer of Velocity Frequent Flyer & Group Executive – VARA 4M male
Race Strauss Chief Financial Officer 3M male
David George Emerson Chief Executive Officer, MD & Director 3M male
Lisa Burquest Chief People Officer female
Paul Jones Chief Commercial Officer male
Penny Berger General Manager of Investor Relations female
Stuart Aggs Chief Risk Officer male
Chris Snook Chief Operations Officer male
Susan Maree Schneider Chief Legal Officer & Company Secretary female
Christian Bennett Chief Corporate Affairs & Sustainability Officer male
Elizabeth Minogue Chief Marketing Officer female
ESG Score History

No data available for this company.

Senate Trading Activity

No Senate trading activity found for this company.

House Trading Activity

No House trading activity found for this company.

Market share among peers
Peer comparison — filtered group (TTM)
Your opinion

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Dividend history

Earnings history

Earnings reports

Stock splits