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Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR.TO)

CAD8.70 +0.13 (+1.52%)
CA TSX Energy Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Address 205 – 5th Avenue SW T2P 2V7
Calgary, AB, CA
CEO Adam R. Waterous
IPO 2024-02-13
ISIN CA39525U1075

Explore sections of this company profile

Also trades on New York Stock Exchange · GFR (USD) Toronto Stock Exchange · GFR.TO (CAD)
Description

Greenfire Resources Ltd., including its subsidiary entities, is actively involved in the acquisition, development, and ongoing management of hydrocarbon properties situated within Alberta's Athabasca oil sands region. The company operates prime, Tier-1 oil sands assets across Western Canada. It leverages steam-assisted gravity drainage (SAGD), an advanced in-situ thermal recovery technique, for the extraction of both diluted and undiluted bitumen. The corporate headquarters for the company are located in Calgary, Canada.

Market Cap & Enterprise Value
Merger & Acquisition History

No mergers or acquisitions recorded for this company.

Technical Outlook
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Signal Summary Loading…
Indicator 1D1W2W3W1M
Each column is computed on that timeframe's candles (1D = daily, 1W ≈ weekly, 1M ≈ monthly), not on the same last day. ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · — neutral. The Net row counts signals per column; hover any cell (or the indicator name) to see the exact rule behind it.
Day Score & sub-scores
Statistical fingerprint & regime detail
Conditional historical analysis
Customize analysis (advanced)
Indicative levels generated algorithmically. Not financial advice.
Risk Profile
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Price Chart
Averages
Trend
Price
Levels
Draw
CAD8.70 +0.13 (+1.52%)
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Volume Profile
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Liquidity & share structure
Average Volume
70.6K
Beta
0.20
Float Shares
19.40M
Free Float %
26.8%
Price Performance
1D5D1M3M6M YTD1Y3Y5Y10YMax
-0.75% -0.50% -3.42% +1.80% +12.86% +20.61% +32.55% +16.18% +16.18% +16.18% +16.18%
Rolling Volatility
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Drawdown
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Relative Strength
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
From To
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Annual Monthly Returns
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Daily Returns Distribution
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Revenue flow

Revenue by geography

Revenue by segment

From To

Revenue composition

From To

By product

By geography

Financial Statements

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Cash Flow Statement

Key Metrics

Financial Ratios

Employees

Financial Growth (CAGR)

Market Data

Price Targets & DCF
Current price
8.70
DCF (Unlevered) 21.08 +142.3%
DCF (Levered) 7.22 -17.0%

DCF figures are point estimates: small changes in growth or discount-rate assumptions move them materially. Read them as a reference, not a precise target.

Ratings Trend (MoM) 67% Bullish
Rating 2026-05 Change
Strong Buy 1 0
Buy 1 0
Hold 1 0
Sell 0 0
Strong Sell 0 0
Quality scores
Altman Z-Score
2.96
Grey zone
Piotroski F-Score
3 / 9
Average
MOAT Score
0 / 10
No MOAT
Composite Rating
A-
Overall Score
4 / 5
High
DCF Score
3 / 5
Medium
ROE Score
2 / 5
Medium
ROA Score
4 / 5
High
D/E Score
4 / 5
High
P/E Score
3 / 5
Medium
P/Book Score
5 / 5
High
Operational MOAT
✗ Below peers
  • Revenue growth Oil & Gas Exploration & Production: +0.0%
    -30.2% Q1'26: -21.0% (vs Q1'25)
  • EPS growth Oil & Gas Exploration & Production: +11.9%
    -62.4% Q1'26: -356.5% (vs Q1'25)
  • FCF margin FCF growth · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production: +19.3%
    -5.0% Q1'26: -33.7% (vs Q1'25)
  • EBIT margin Oil & Gas Exploration & Production: +22.0%
    +10.1% Q1'26: +4.9% (vs Q1'25)
  • ROIC Oil & Gas Exploration & Production: +5.1%
    +4.4% Q1'26: +2.0% (vs Q1'25)
  • Share dilution Oil & Gas Exploration & Production: +0.0%
    +1.2% Q1'26: +77.9% (vs Q1'25)
  • Debt / EBITDA Net debt/EBITDA · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production: 0.70×
    0.04× Q1'26: 0.08× (vs Q1'25)
Valuation Multiples From To
Price Forecast (3Y) From To
Model
Adjust
P/E
Theoretical Return — If Invested Today

* These projections are based on analyst consensus estimates and user-defined valuation multiples. This table is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

DCF Interactive Model (UFCF)
Projection years:
Market assumptions
WACC components (optional)
Ke (Cost of Equity) = Rf + β (0.27) × ERP
WACC = 99% × Ke + 1% × Kd (1,217.0%) × (1−t)

Modifying these values recalculates WACC automatically.

Business assumptions
Intrinsic value (base): 20.99 Current price: 8.70
Enterprise Value: Equity Value: Terminal Value: TV as % of EV:

Base values reflect the latest available data for this company and market conditions.

Consensus Estimates
Metric Dec 2024
actual
Dec 2025
actual
Dec 2026
1 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Dec 2027
2 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Revenue
822.97M
est: 822.97M (+0.0%)
574.34M
est: 609.00M (-5.7%)
702.00M
642.90M – 761.10M
+15.3% YoY
622.50M
511.00M – 734.00M
-11.3% YoY
EBITDA
165.78M
est: 394.35M (-58.0%)
142.86M
est: 200.31M (-28.7%)
230.90M
211.47M – 250.34M
+15.3% YoY
204.76M
168.08M – 241.43M
-11.3% YoY
EBIT
85.05M
est: 350.57M (-75.7%)
58.26M
est: 149.98M (-61.2%)
172.88M
158.33M – 187.43M
+15.3% YoY
153.30M
125.84M – 180.76M
-11.3% YoY
Net Income
121.41M
est: 68.75M (+76.6%)
46.69M
est: 58.71M (-20.5%)
-18.84M
-20.91M – -16.78M
-132.1% YoY
61.60M
54.86M – 68.35M
+426.9% YoY
SGA
81.85M
est: 229.34M (-64.3%)
25.34M
est: 53.29M (-52.4%)
61.42M
56.25M – 66.59M
+15.3% YoY
54.47M
44.71M – 64.22M
-11.3% YoY
EPS
1.76
est: 0.96 (+83.3%)
0.64
est: 0.81 (-21.0%)
-0.26
-0.29 – -0.23
-132.1% YoY
0.85
0.76 – 0.94
+426.9% YoY
Historical Ratings (3M)
Date Rating Overall DCF ROE ROA D/E P/E P/B
2026-05-07 A- 4/5 3/5 2/5 4/5 4/5 3/5 5/5
2026-05-06 A- 4/5 3/5 2/5 4/5 4/5 3/5 5/5
2026-05-05 A- 4/5 3/5 2/5 4/5 4/5 3/5 5/5
2026-05-04 A- 4/5 3/5 2/5 4/5 4/5 3/5 5/5
2026-05-01 A- 4/5 3/5 3/5 4/5 3/5 3/5 5/5
2026-04-30 A- 4/5 3/5 3/5 4/5 3/5 3/5 5/5
2026-04-29 A- 4/5 3/5 3/5 4/5 3/5 3/5 5/5
2026-04-28 A- 4/5 3/5 3/5 4/5 3/5 3/5 5/5
2026-04-27 A- 4/5 3/5 3/5 4/5 3/5 3/5 5/5
2026-04-24 A 4/5 4/5 3/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 5/5
2026-04-23 A 4/5 4/5 3/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 5/5
2026-04-22 A 4/5 4/5 3/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 5/5
2026-04-21 A- 4/5 4/5 3/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 4/5
2026-04-20 A- 4/5 4/5 3/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 4/5
2026-04-17 A- 4/5 4/5 3/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 4/5
2026-04-16 A- 4/5 4/5 3/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 4/5

Owner Earnings

Owner's Earnings (history) From To
Owner alignment
Owner's Earnings TTM
-388.06M
OE per share TTM
-4.64
Owner's Yield
-40.13%
Maintenance CapEx ratio
Maint CapEx / Avg PPE
145.0%

Ownership Overview

Ownership breakdown

Ownership breakdown not available.

At a glance
Institutional holders
Total invested
Insider transactions (90d)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)

No beneficial ownership filings recorded.

Institutional Activity (13F)

Institutional ownership trend

Institutional history not available.

Top institutional holders

Top holders not available.

ETF Ownership

Top ETFs holding this stock Held by 7 ETFs in our universe
# ETF Weight Est. AUM exposure TER
1 iShares S&P/TSX SmallCap Index ETF XCS.TO 0.12% 213.1K 0.60%
2 Avantis International Small Cap Equity ETF AVDS 0.01% 29.2K 0.30%
3 Dimensional - International Small Cap ETF DFIS 0.00% 127.0K 0.39%
4 Avantis International Equity ETF AVDE 0.00% 41.1K 0.23%
5 Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF AVDV 0.00% 4.9K 0.36%
6 Avantis Global Small Cap Value UCITS ETF AVGS.L 0.00% 257.20 0.39%
7 Dimensional - International Core Equity Market ETF DFAI 0.00% 0.18%

Insider Activity

Insider Activity — Latest Quarter

No insider activity available.

Insider buys vs sells (history)

Insider history not available.

Recent insider transactions

No recent insider transactions.

Executive team

Top executives
EBIT / Employee
301.8K
Shares Outstanding
72.39M

Executive compensation

Executive compensation (annual)

Executive compensation not available.

CEO compensation breakdown

No CEO compensation history available.

Proxy statements

Proxy statements (DEF 14A)

No proxy statements available for this company yet.

Recent SEC filings

Recent SEC filings

No SEC filings available for this company yet.

Executive team

NameTitleCompensationGender
Colin Germaniuk President 1M male
Darren Crawford Vice President of Operations & Projects 620.4K male
Mark Andreas Vice President of Development 566.6K
Robert Loebach Vice President of Commercial 560.1K
Travis Belak Vice President of Finance 409.1K male
Charles R. Kraus Corporate Secretary male
Adam R. Waterous Executive Chairman male
ESG Score History

No data available for this company.

Senate Trading Activity

No Senate trading activity found for this company.

House Trading Activity

No House trading activity found for this company.

Market share among peers
Peer comparison — filtered group (TTM)
Your opinion

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Dividend history

Earnings history

Earnings reports

Stock splits