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ERG S.p.A. (ERG.MI)

EUR22.96 -0.24 (-1.03%)
IT MIL Utilities Renewable Utilities
Address Torre WTC 16149
Genoa, GE, IT
CEO Paolo Luigi Merli
Website erg.eu
IPO 1998-07-10
ISIN IT0001157020

Explore sections of this company profile

Description

Operating through its numerous subsidiaries, ERG S.p.A. is an energy company primarily dedicated to generating power from renewable resources. Its geographical footprint extends across Italy, France, Germany, Poland, Bulgaria, and Romania. The firm produces electricity from a range of sources, encompassing wind, solar, and hydroelectric power stations, in addition to thermoelectric and natural gas cogeneration facilities. On December 31, 2021, the company's installed capacities were recorded as follows: 2,198 MW for wind, 220 MW for solar, 527 MW for hydroelectric, and 480 MW for thermoelectric power. Established in 1938, ERG S.p.A. has its corporate headquarters in Genoa, Italy, and functions as a subsidiary of San Quirico S.p.A.

Market Cap & Enterprise Value
Merger & Acquisition History

No mergers or acquisitions recorded for this company.

Technical Outlook
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Signal Summary Loading…
Indicator 1D1W2W3W1M
Each column is computed on that timeframe's candles (1D = daily, 1W ≈ weekly, 1M ≈ monthly), not on the same last day. ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · — neutral. The Net row counts signals per column; hover any cell (or the indicator name) to see the exact rule behind it.
Day Score & sub-scores
Statistical fingerprint & regime detail
Conditional historical analysis
Customize analysis (advanced)
Indicative levels generated algorithmically. Not financial advice.
Risk Profile
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Price Chart
Averages
Trend
Price
Levels
Draw
EUR22.96 -0.24 (-1.03%)
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Volume Profile
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Liquidity & share structure
Average Volume
283.8K
Beta
0.70
Float Shares
49.66M
Free Float %
34.2%
Price Performance
1D5D1M3M6M YTD1Y3Y5Y10YMax
-1.21% -0.86% -0.17% -8.02% +4.65% +1.77% +23.33% -11.50% -7.87% +106.85% +508.49%
Rolling Volatility
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Drawdown
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Relative Strength
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
From To
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Annual Monthly Returns
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Daily Returns Distribution
vs.
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Revenue flow

Revenue by geography

Revenue by segment

From To

Revenue composition

From To

By product

By geography

Financial Statements

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Cash Flow Statement

Key Metrics

Financial Ratios

Employees

Financial Growth (CAGR)

Market Data

Price Targets & DCF
Current price
22.96
DCF (Unlevered) 44.75 +94.9%
DCF (Levered) 9.66 -57.9%

DCF figures are point estimates: small changes in growth or discount-rate assumptions move them materially. Read them as a reference, not a precise target.

Ratings Trend (MoM) 11% Bullish
Rating 2026-05 Change
Strong Buy 0 0
Buy 1 0
Hold 6 0
Sell 1 0
Strong Sell 1 0
Quality scores
Altman Z-Score
1.15
Distress
Piotroski F-Score
6 / 9
Average
MOAT Score
4 / 10
Developing
Composite Rating
C+
Overall Score
2 / 5
Medium
DCF Score
3 / 5
Medium
ROE Score
2 / 5
Medium
ROA Score
2 / 5
Medium
D/E Score
2 / 5
Medium
P/E Score
1 / 5
Low
P/Book Score
3 / 5
Medium
Operational MOAT
✗ Below peers
  • Revenue growth Renewable Utilities: +1.3%
    +0.8% Q4'25: -2.5% (vs Q4'23)
  • EPS growth Renewable Utilities: +6.7%
    -64.8% Q4'25: -111.4% (vs Q4'23)
  • FCF margin FCF growth · Renewable Utilities: +50.4%
    +19.5% Q4'25: +35.2% (vs Q4'23)
  • EBIT margin Renewable Utilities: +22.3%
    +16.3% Q4'25: +30.8% (vs Q4'23)
  • ROIC Renewable Utilities: +3.5%
    +2.2% Q4'25: +7.4% (vs Q4'23)
  • Share dilution Renewable Utilities: +0.0%
    -0.6% Q4'25: -0.9% (vs Q4'23)
  • Debt / EBITDA Net debt/EBITDA · Renewable Utilities: 3.24×
    5.53× Q4'25: 2.00× (vs Q4'23)
Valuation Multiples From To
Price Forecast (3Y) From To
Model
Adjust
P/E
Theoretical Return — If Invested Today

* These projections are based on analyst consensus estimates and user-defined valuation multiples. This table is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

DCF Interactive Model (UFCF)
Projection years:
Market assumptions
WACC components (optional)
Ke (Cost of Equity) = Rf + β (0.70) × ERP
WACC = 56% × Ke + 44% × Kd (4.1%) × (1−t)

Modifying these values recalculates WACC automatically.

Business assumptions
Intrinsic value (base): 44.75 Current price: 22.96
Enterprise Value: Equity Value: Terminal Value: TV as % of EV:

Base values reflect the latest available data for this company and market conditions.

Consensus Estimates
Metric Dec 2015
actual
Dec 2016
actual
Dec 2017
actual
Dec 2018
actual
Dec 2019
actual
Dec 2020
actual
Dec 2021
actual
Dec 2022
actual
Dec 2023
actual
Dec 2024
actual
Dec 2025
actual
Dec 2026
8 Rev. Ana.
6 EPS Ana.
Dec 2027
7 Rev. Ana.
6 EPS Ana.
Dec 2028
5 Rev. Ana.
4 EPS Ana.
Dec 2029
2 Rev. Ana.
2 EPS Ana.
Revenue
921.03M
est: 870.30M (+5.8%)
1.03B
est: 1.04B (-1.7%)
1.05B
est: 1.03B (+2.5%)
1.02B
est: 1.11B (-7.6%)
1.02B
est: 1.04B (-1.5%)
973.70M
est: 1.03B (-5.1%)
601.41M
est: 1.13B (-46.8%)
713.84M
est: 744.69M (-4.1%)
740.94M
est: 757.26M (-2.2%)
738.06M
est: 764.20M (-3.4%)
744.00M
est: 819.51M (-9.2%)
823.84M
749.65M – 904.65M
+0.5% YoY
842.05M
737.03M – 906.56M
+2.2% YoY
865.88M
859.59M – 872.16M
+2.8% YoY
931.13M
830.93M – 1.01B
+7.5% YoY
EBITDA
224.85M
est: 549.51M (-59.1%)
449.45M
est: 658.55M (-31.8%)
443.83M
est: 648.76M (-31.6%)
473.74M
est: 699.68M (-32.3%)
457.81M
est: 655.00M (-30.1%)
389.70M
est: 647.89M (-39.9%)
375.92M
est: 714.43M (-47.4%)
462.82M
est: 470.20M (-1.6%)
563.03M
est: 523.14M (+7.6%)
534.00M
est: 527.93M (+1.1%)
475.00M
est: 566.14M (-16.1%)
569.14M
517.89M – 624.97M
+0.5% YoY
581.72M
509.16M – 626.28M
+2.2% YoY
598.18M
593.84M – 602.52M
+2.8% YoY
643.26M
574.04M – 699.36M
+7.5% YoY
EBIT
61.82M
est: 272.31M (-77.3%)
168.33M
est: 326.35M (-48.4%)
192.89M
est: 321.49M (-40.0%)
199.67M
est: 346.73M (-42.4%)
152.52M
est: 324.59M (-53.0%)
141.89M
est: 321.06M (-55.8%)
169.63M
est: 354.04M (-52.1%)
227.39M
est: 233.01M (-2.4%)
339.24M
est: 239.50M (+41.6%)
267.00M
est: 241.70M (+10.5%)
121.00M
est: 259.19M (-53.3%)
260.56M
237.10M – 286.12M
+0.5% YoY
266.32M
233.10M – 286.72M
+2.2% YoY
273.86M
271.87M – 275.85M
+2.8% YoY
294.49M
262.81M – 320.18M
+7.5% YoY
Net Income
20.63M
est: 92.67M (-77.7%)
122.46M
est: 100.76M (+21.5%)
206.82M
est: 124.34M (+66.3%)
132.63M
est: 117.53M (+12.8%)
31.55M
est: 98.78M (-68.1%)
107.89M
est: 103.24M (+4.5%)
172.90M
est: 174.76M (-1.1%)
378.94M
est: 212.00M (+78.7%)
178.67M
est: 227.80M (-21.6%)
175.00M
est: 186.57M (-6.2%)
65.00M
est: 166.10M (-60.9%)
170.42M
157.29M – 183.21M
+2.6% YoY
172.63M
146.43M – 202.02M
+1.3% YoY
184.42M
128.59M – 199.70M
+6.8% YoY
259.78M
223.44M – 289.23M
+40.9% YoY
SGA
118.70M
est: 121.38M (-2.2%)
177.02M
est: 145.47M (+21.7%)
118.51M
est: 143.30M (-17.3%)
115.51M
est: 154.55M (-25.3%)
91.55M
est: 144.68M (-36.7%)
109.55M
est: 143.11M (-23.4%)
136.73M
est: 157.81M (-13.4%)
141.03M
est: 103.86M (+35.8%)
53.23M
est: 88.57M (-39.9%)
65.02M
est: 89.39M (-27.3%)
est: 95.86M (-100.0%)
96.36M
87.68M – 105.81M
+0.5% YoY
98.49M
86.21M – 106.04M
+2.2% YoY
101.28M
100.54M – 102.01M
+2.8% YoY
108.91M
97.19M – 118.41M
+7.5% YoY
EPS
0.14
est: 0.63 (-77.9%)
0.85
est: 0.69 (+23.4%)
1.39
est: 0.85 (+63.5%)
0.89
est: 0.80 (+10.7%)
0.21
est: 0.68 (-68.9%)
0.72
est: 0.71 (+2.0%)
1.16
est: 1.20 (-2.9%)
2.53
est: 1.43 (+77.4%)
1.20
est: 1.54 (-22.2%)
1.28
est: 1.30 (-1.6%)
0.45
est: 1.16 (-61.1%)
1.15
1.08 – 1.26
-0.5% YoY
1.15
1.01 – 1.39
+0.1% YoY
1.20
0.88 – 1.37
+3.8% YoY
1.79
1.54 – 1.99
+49.3% YoY
Historical Ratings (3M)
Date Rating Overall DCF ROE ROA D/E P/E P/B
2026-05-29 C+ 2/5 3/5 2/5 2/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-05-28 C+ 2/5 3/5 2/5 2/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-05-27 C+ 2/5 3/5 2/5 2/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-05-26 C+ 2/5 3/5 2/5 2/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-05-25 C+ 2/5 3/5 2/5 2/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-05-22 B- 2/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-05-21 B- 2/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-05-20 B- 2/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-05-19 B- 2/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-05-18 B- 2/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-05-15 B- 2/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-05-14 B- 2/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-05-13 C+ 2/5 4/5 1/5 2/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-05-12 C+ 2/5 4/5 1/5 2/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-05-11 C+ 2/5 4/5 1/5 2/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-05-08 B- 2/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-05-07 B- 2/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-05-06 B- 2/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-05-05 B- 2/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-05-04 B- 2/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-04-30 B- 2/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-04-29 C+ 2/5 3/5 1/5 3/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-04-28 C+ 2/5 3/5 1/5 3/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-04-27 B- 2/5 3/5 1/5 4/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-04-24 B- 2/5 3/5 1/5 4/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-04-23 B- 3/5 3/5 2/5 4/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-04-22 B- 3/5 3/5 2/5 4/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-04-21 B- 3/5 3/5 2/5 4/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-04-20 B- 3/5 3/5 2/5 4/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-04-17 B- 2/5 3/5 1/5 4/5 2/5 1/5 3/5
2026-04-16 B- 2/5 3/5 1/5 4/5 2/5 1/5 3/5

Owner Earnings

Owner's Earnings (history) From To
Owner alignment
Owner's Earnings TTM
1.16B
OE per share TTM
7.90
Owner's Yield
34.82%
Maintenance CapEx ratio
Maint CapEx / Avg PPE
322.0%

Ownership Overview

Ownership breakdown

Ownership breakdown not available.

At a glance
Institutional holders
Total invested
Insider transactions (90d)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)

No beneficial ownership filings recorded.

Institutional Activity (13F)

Institutional ownership trend

Institutional history not available.

Top institutional holders

Top holders not available.

ETF Ownership

Top ETFs holding this stock Held by 108 ETFs in our universe
# ETF Weight Est. AUM exposure TER
1 Global X - Renewable Energy Producers UCITS ETF RNRG.L 4.43% 502.9K 0.50%
2 Global X - Renewable Energy Producers ETF RNRG 3.21% 970.9K 0.65%
3 State Street SPDR S&P Euro Dividend Aristocrats UCITS ETF (Dist) EUDV.L 1.57% 30.34M 0.30%
4 Fidelity Clean Energy ETF FRNW 1.53% 2.35M 0.39%
5 Amundi S&P Eurozone Dividend Aristocrat Screened UCITS ETF Acc EDIV.L 1.07% 484.5K 0.30%
6 UBS S&P Dividend Aristocrats ESG Elite UCITS ETF USD dis UBUM.DE 1.05% 2.16M 0.30%
7 Invesco Global Clean Energy UCITS ETF GCED.L 1.03% 1.43M 0.60%
8 Invesco Global Clean Energy UCITS ETF GCLE.L 1.03% 1.43M 0.60%
9 WisdomTree Renewable Energy UCITS ETF - USD Acc WRNW.MI 0.88% 381.6K 0.45%
10 State Street SPDR S&P Global Dividend Aristocrats UCITS ETF GLDV.L 0.77% 12.59M 0.45%

Insider Activity

Insider Activity — Latest Quarter

No insider activity available.

Insider buys vs sells (history)

Insider history not available.

Recent insider transactions

No recent insider transactions.

Executive team

Top executives
EBIT / Employee
183.3K
Shares Outstanding
145.35M

Executive compensation

Executive compensation (annual)

Executive compensation not available.

CEO compensation breakdown

No CEO compensation history available.

Proxy statements

Proxy statements (DEF 14A)

No proxy statements available for this company yet.

Recent SEC filings

Recent SEC filings

No SEC filings available for this company yet.

Executive team

NameTitleCompensationGender
Paolo Luigi Merli Chief Executive Officer & Director 2M male
Alessandro Garrone Executive Deputy Chairman 1M male
Edoardo Garrone Founder & Executive Chairman 710.0K male
Gabriello Maggini Chief Audit Officer
Giorgio Coraggioso Chief Human Capital & ICT Officer male
Giovanni Marco Scollo Head of Corporate Affairs & Secretary
Michele Pedemonte Chief Financial Officer male
Renato Sturani Chief Operating Officer male
Andrea Navarra General Counsel male
Emanuela Delucchi Chief ESG, IR & Communication Officer female
ESG Score History

No data available for this company.

Senate Trading Activity

No Senate trading activity found for this company.

House Trading Activity

No House trading activity found for this company.

Market share among peers
Peer comparison — filtered group (TTM)
Your opinion

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Dividend yield history

Dividend history

Earnings history

Earnings reports

Stock splits