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Alliance Aviation Services Limited (AQZ.AX)

AUD0.54 +0.01 (+0.93%)
AU ASX Industrials Airlines, Airports & Air Services
Address 81 Pandanus Avenue 4009
Brisbane, QLD, AU
CEO Stewart Tully
IPO 2011-12-20
ISIN AU000000AQZ6

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Description

Alliance Aviation Services Ltd. offers a comprehensive suite of aviation services, encompassing contract flying, charter operations, and related support, catering to the mining, energy, tourism, and government industries across Australia and internationally. Beyond these core offerings, the company delivers specialized aviation solutions, including aircraft wet leases, airport operational management, aircraft trading, spare parts sales, engine leasing, and engineering expertise to other carriers and diverse clientele. As of June 30, 2022, its operational fleet comprised 5 Fokker 50 turboprop aircraft, 13 Fokker 70 jet aircraft, 24 Fokker 100 jet aircraft, and an additional 19 Embraer aircraft. The firm, which was founded in 2002, maintains its headquarters in Brisbane, Australia.

Market Cap & Enterprise Value
Merger & Acquisition History

No mergers or acquisitions recorded for this company.

Technical Outlook
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Signal Summary Loading…
Indicator 1D1W2W3W1M
Each column is computed on that timeframe's candles (1D = daily, 1W ≈ weekly, 1M ≈ monthly), not on the same last day. ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · — neutral. The Net row counts signals per column; hover any cell (or the indicator name) to see the exact rule behind it.
Day Score & sub-scores
Statistical fingerprint & regime detail
Conditional historical analysis
Customize analysis (advanced)
Indicative levels generated algorithmically. Not financial advice.
Risk Profile
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Price Chart
Averages
Trend
Price
Levels
Draw
AUD0.54 +0.01 (+0.93%)
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Volume Profile
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Liquidity & share structure
Average Volume
289.3K
Beta
-0.03
Float Shares
63.71M
Free Float %
39.6%
Price Performance
1D5D1M3M6M YTD1Y3Y5Y10YMax
+0.00% -2.59% -5.04% -16.30% -59.35% -54.44% -77.84% -81.77% -87.01% +16.49% -65.76%
Rolling Volatility
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Drawdown
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Relative Strength
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
From To
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Annual Monthly Returns
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Daily Returns Distribution
vs.
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Revenue flow

Revenue by geography

Revenue by segment

From To

Revenue composition

From To

By product

By geography

Financial Statements

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Cash Flow Statement

Key Metrics

Financial Ratios

Employees

Financial Growth (CAGR)

Market Data

Price Targets & DCF
Current price
0.54
Ratings Trend (MoM) 0% Bullish
Rating 2026-05 Change
Strong Buy 0 0
Buy 0 0
Hold 3 0
Sell 0 0
Strong Sell 0 0
Quality scores
Altman Z-Score
2.36
Grey zone
Piotroski F-Score
3 / 9
Average
MOAT Score
2 / 10
No MOAT
Composite Rating
C
Overall Score
2 / 5
Medium
DCF Score
1 / 5
Low
ROE Score
1 / 5
Low
ROA Score
1 / 5
Low
D/E Score
1 / 5
Low
P/E Score
1 / 5
Low
P/Book Score
5 / 5
High
Operational MOAT
✗ Below peers
  • Revenue growth Airlines, Airports & Air Services: +6.5%
    +19.4% Q4'25: +20.3% (vs Q4'23)
  • EPS growth Airlines, Airports & Air Services: +12.5%
    -5.3% Q4'25: -512.5% (vs Q4'23)
  • FCF margin FCF growth · Airlines, Airports & Air Services: -2.8%
    -0.2% Q4'25: -13.7% (vs Q4'23)
  • EBIT margin Airlines, Airports & Air Services: +10.3%
    +14.9% Q4'25: +2.3% (vs Q4'23)
  • ROIC Airlines, Airports & Air Services: +6.0%
    +9.0% Q4'25: +2.7% (vs Q4'23)
  • Share dilution Airlines, Airports & Air Services: +0.0%
    +0.3% Q4'25: +0.1% (vs Q4'23)
  • Debt / EBITDA Net debt/EBITDA · Airlines, Airports & Air Services: 1.43×
    2.50× Q4'25: 2.21× (vs Q4'23)
Valuation Multiples From To
Price Forecast (3Y) From To
Model
Adjust
P/E
Theoretical Return — If Invested Today

* These projections are based on analyst consensus estimates and user-defined valuation multiples. This table is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

DCF Interactive Model (UFCF)
Projection years:
Market assumptions
WACC components (optional)
Ke (Cost of Equity) = Rf + β (-0.02) × ERP
WACC = 15% × Ke + 85% × Kd (6.5%) × (1−t)

Modifying these values recalculates WACC automatically.

Business assumptions
Current price: 0.54
Enterprise Value: Equity Value: Terminal Value: TV as % of EV:

Base values reflect the latest available data for this company and market conditions.

Consensus Estimates
Metric Jun 2012
actual
Jun 2013
actual
Jun 2014
actual
Jun 2015
actual
Jun 2016
actual
Jun 2017
actual
Jun 2018
actual
Jun 2019
actual
Jun 2020
actual
Jun 2021
actual
Jun 2022
actual
Jun 2023
actual
Jun 2024
actual
Jun 2025
actual
Jun 2026
3 Rev. Ana.
2 EPS Ana.
Jun 2027
3 Rev. Ana.
2 EPS Ana.
Jun 2028
3 Rev. Ana.
3 EPS Ana.
Revenue
184.24M
est: 184.37M (-0.1%)
223.22M
est: 242.13M (-7.8%)
200.20M
est: 212.55M (-5.8%)
199.46M
est: 204.90M (-2.7%)
182.65M
est: 195.80M (-6.7%)
200.64M
est: 199.50M (+0.6%)
247.64M
est: 253.38M (-2.3%)
277.12M
est: 286.87M (-3.4%)
297.96M
est: 311.44M (-4.3%)
307.28M
est: 316.50M (-2.9%)
365.45M
est: 393.74M (-7.2%)
506.42M
est: 519.13M (-2.4%)
637.19M
est: 648.17M (-1.7%)
760.87M
est: 799.27M (-4.8%)
722.47M
705.28M – 735.94M
-9.6% YoY
723.33M
687.56M – 752.76M
+0.1% YoY
738.17M
734.88M – 741.45M
+2.1% YoY
EBITDA
43.15M
est: 44.49M (-3.0%)
57.81M
est: 17.60M (+228.5%)
40.61M
est: 22.82M (+77.9%)
-6.51M
est: 10.00M (-165.1%)
41.40M
est: -46.14M (+189.7%)
49.99M
est: 7.69M (+550.4%)
60.11M
est: 19.34M (+210.8%)
66.43M
est: 26.17M (+153.8%)
78.58M
est: 32.24M (+143.7%)
87.81M
est: 37.26M (+135.7%)
47.61M
est: 44.33M (+7.4%)
122.27M
est: 49.33M (+147.8%)
177.53M
est: 56.47M (+214.4%)
205.74M
est: 256.74M (-19.9%)
232.07M
226.55M – 236.40M
-9.6% YoY
232.35M
220.86M – 241.80M
+0.1% YoY
237.11M
236.06M – 238.17M
+2.1% YoY
EBIT
28.63M
est: 22.43M (+27.6%)
35.15M
est: 37.17M (-5.4%)
18.65M
est: 30.37M (-38.6%)
-34.39M
est: 17.36M (-298.1%)
18.42M
est: -27.95M (+165.9%)
23.63M
est: 20.17M (+17.1%)
29.50M
est: 28.31M (+4.2%)
35.58M
est: 33.49M (+6.3%)
43.43M
est: 39.58M (+9.7%)
50.93M
est: 48.61M (+4.8%)
602.0K
est: 57.83M (-99.0%)
64.69M
est: 64.36M (+0.5%)
104.29M
est: 73.67M (+41.6%)
113.69M
est: 164.86M (-31.0%)
149.02M
145.48M – 151.80M
-9.6% YoY
149.20M
141.82M – 155.27M
+0.1% YoY
152.26M
151.58M – 152.94M
+2.1% YoY
Net Income
19.59M
est: 33.25M (-41.1%)
23.34M
est: 25.74M (-9.3%)
10.26M
est: 20.45M (-49.8%)
-36.58M
est: 9.72M (-476.5%)
13.49M
est: -35.95M (+137.5%)
18.55M
est: 13.91M (+33.3%)
18.11M
est: 22.54M (-19.6%)
22.74M
est: 20.70M (+9.8%)
26.97M
est: 24.88M (+8.4%)
33.67M
est: 28.46M (+18.3%)
-5.21M
est: 33.85M (-115.4%)
36.46M
est: 36.46M (+0.0%)
60.45M
est: 60.45M (+0.0%)
57.32M
est: 58.83M (-2.6%)
27.51M
26.33M – 28.70M
-53.2% YoY
32.56M
32.41M – 32.94M
+18.3% YoY
27.08M
18.22M – 41.53M
-16.8% YoY
SGA
9.86M
est: 19.46M (-49.3%)
10.32M
est: 17.34M (-40.5%)
10.90M
est: 11.85M (-8.1%)
10.12M
est: 65.66M (-84.6%)
60.20M
est: 69.82M (-13.8%)
8.77M
est: 62.10M (-85.9%)
9.71M
est: 79.37M (-87.8%)
10.62M
est: 89.42M (-88.1%)
12.37M
est: 94.27M (-86.9%)
10.11M
est: 99.08M (-89.8%)
14.64M
est: 117.87M (-87.6%)
21.86M
est: 131.18M (-83.3%)
23.93M
est: 150.16M (-84.1%)
284.55M
est: 84.35M (+237.4%)
76.24M
74.43M – 77.66M
-9.6% YoY
76.33M
72.56M – 79.44M
+0.1% YoY
77.90M
77.55M – 78.25M
+2.1% YoY
EPS
0.24
est: 0.21 (+16.5%)
0.23
est: 0.23 (-0.4%)
0.10
est: 0.11 (-13.0%)
-0.24
est: 0.12 (-295.1%)
0.12
est: 0.10 (+17.6%)
0.15
est: 0.14 (+9.9%)
0.15
est: 0.14 (+5.0%)
0.15
est: 0.18 (-18.8%)
0.18
est: 0.21 (-15.1%)
0.20
est: 0.23 (-11.9%)
-0.03
est: 0.21 (-115.4%)
0.23
est: 0.24 (-5.9%)
0.38
est: 0.37 (+2.3%)
0.36
est: 0.36 (-1.1%)
0.17
0.16 – 0.18
-53.2% YoY
0.20
0.20 – 0.20
+18.8% YoY
0.21
0.11 – 0.26
+2.0% YoY
Historical Ratings (3M)
Date Rating Overall DCF ROE ROA D/E P/E P/B
2026-05-29 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-05-28 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-05-27 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-05-26 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-05-25 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-05-22 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-05-21 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-05-20 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-05-19 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-05-18 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-05-15 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-05-14 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-05-13 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-05-12 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-05-11 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-05-08 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-05-07 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-05-06 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-05-05 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-05-04 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-05-01 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-04-30 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-04-29 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-04-28 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-04-27 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-04-24 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-04-23 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-04-22 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-04-21 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-04-20 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-04-17 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5
2026-04-16 C 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 5/5

Owner Earnings

Owner's Earnings (history) From To
Owner alignment
Owner's Earnings TTM
342.58M
OE per share TTM
2.12
Owner's Yield
376.60%
Maintenance CapEx ratio
Maint CapEx / Avg PPE
115.0%

Ownership Overview

Ownership breakdown

Ownership breakdown not available.

At a glance
Institutional holders
Total invested
Insider transactions (90d)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)

No beneficial ownership filings recorded.

Institutional Activity (13F)

Institutional ownership trend

Institutional history not available.

Top institutional holders

Top holders not available.

ETF Ownership

Top ETFs holding this stock Held by 3 ETFs in our universe
# ETF Weight Est. AUM exposure TER
1 Avantis Global Small Cap Value UCITS ETF AVGS.L 0.00% 3.0K 0.39%
2 Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF AVDV 0.00% 50.4K 0.36%
3 Avantis International Equity ETF AVDE 0.00% 3.2K 0.23%

Insider Activity

Insider Activity — Latest Quarter

No insider activity available.

Insider buys vs sells (history)

Insider history not available.

Recent insider transactions

No recent insider transactions.

Executive team

Top executives
EBIT / Employee
79.5K
Shares Outstanding
161.06M

Executive compensation

Executive compensation (annual)

Executive compensation not available.

CEO compensation breakdown

No CEO compensation history available.

Proxy statements

Proxy statements (DEF 14A)

No proxy statements available for this company yet.

Recent SEC filings

Recent SEC filings

No SEC filings available for this company yet.

Executive team

NameTitleCompensationGender
Scott Alexander McMillan Consultant 839.6K male
Stewart Tully MD, Chief Executive Officer & Director 581.6K male
Paul Doherty Chief Operating Officer 461.1K male
Nicola Clark Joint Company Secretary female
ESG Score History

No data available for this company.

Senate Trading Activity

No Senate trading activity found for this company.

House Trading Activity

No House trading activity found for this company.

Market share among peers
Peer comparison — filtered group (TTM)
Your opinion

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These are community opinions and do not constitute buy or sell advice to act on. The results shown are based on aggregated opinions and are not an investment recommendation, nor do they intend to influence any investment decision.

Dividend yield history

Dividend history

Earnings history

Earnings reports

Stock splits