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Advantage Energy Ltd. (AAV.TO)

CAD10.52 -0.05 (-0.47%)
CA TSX Energy Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Address Millennium Tower T2P 5E9
Calgary, AB, CA
CEO Michael E. Belenkie
IPO 2009-10-29
ISIN CA00791P1071

Explore sections of this company profile

Also trades on Other OTC · AAVVF (USD) Toronto Stock Exchange · AAV.TO (CAD)
Description

Advantage Energy Ltd., along with its subsidiaries, operates as an oil and gas exploration and production company in the Province of Alberta, Canada. Its primary activities include acquiring, developing, and producing crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. The firm specifically targets the Doig/Montney formation, where it holds extensive rights spanning 145,920 net acres (equivalent to 228 net sections) across key areas such as Glacier, Valhalla, Progress, and Pipestone/Wembley. Advantage Energy then sells its natural gas, oil, and NGLs predominantly via marketing companies. Originally founded in 2001 and headquartered in Calgary, Canada, the company rebranded from Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. to its current name in May 2021.

Market Cap & Enterprise Value
Merger & Acquisition History

No mergers or acquisitions recorded for this company.

Technical Outlook
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Signal Summary Loading…
Indicator 1D1W2W3W1M
Each column is computed on that timeframe's candles (1D = daily, 1W ≈ weekly, 1M ≈ monthly), not on the same last day. ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · — neutral. The Net row counts signals per column; hover any cell (or the indicator name) to see the exact rule behind it.
Day Score & sub-scores
Statistical fingerprint & regime detail
Conditional historical analysis
Customize analysis (advanced)
Indicative levels generated algorithmically. Not financial advice.
Risk Profile
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Price Chart
Averages
Trend
Price
Levels
Draw
CAD10.52 -0.05 (-0.47%)
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Volume Profile
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Liquidity & share structure
Average Volume
1M
Beta
0.46
Float Shares
141.80M
Free Float %
84.5%
Price Performance
1D5D1M3M6M YTD1Y3Y5Y10YMax
-1.09% -0.30% -1.97% -7.70% -15.75% -15.25% -7.10% +35.37% +200.60% +34.64% +39.55%
Rolling Volatility
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Drawdown
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Relative Strength
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
From To
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Annual Monthly Returns
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Daily Returns Distribution
vs.
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Revenue flow

Revenue by geography

Revenue by segment

From To

Revenue composition

From To

By product

By geography

Financial Statements

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Cash Flow Statement

Key Metrics

Financial Ratios

Employees

Financial Growth (CAGR)

Market Data

Analyst Consensus (6 ratings, all time) Buy
Price Targets & DCF
Current price
10.52
DCF (Unlevered) 17.02 +61.8%
DCF (Levered) 5.35 -49.1%

DCF figures are point estimates: small changes in growth or discount-rate assumptions move them materially. Read them as a reference, not a precise target.

Ratings Trend (MoM) 56% Bullish
Rating 2026-05 Change
Strong Buy 3 0
Buy 2 -1
Hold 4 0
Sell 0 0
Strong Sell 0 0
Quality scores
Altman Z-Score
0.76
Distress
Piotroski F-Score
7 / 9
Strong
MOAT Score
0 / 10
No MOAT
Composite Rating
B+
Overall Score
3 / 5
Medium
DCF Score
3 / 5
Medium
ROE Score
3 / 5
Medium
ROA Score
4 / 5
High
D/E Score
2 / 5
Medium
P/E Score
2 / 5
Medium
P/Book Score
4 / 5
High
Operational MOAT
✗ Below peers
  • Revenue growth Oil & Gas Exploration & Production: +0.0%
    +17.4% Q1'26: -7.7% (vs Q1'25)
  • EPS growth Oil & Gas Exploration & Production: +11.9%
    +138.5% Q1'26: +200.0% (vs Q1'25)
  • FCF margin FCF growth · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production: +19.3%
    +0.7% Q1'26: -30.8% (vs Q1'25)
  • EBIT margin Oil & Gas Exploration & Production: +22.0%
    +14.9% Q1'26: +27.0% (vs Q1'25)
  • ROIC Oil & Gas Exploration & Production: +5.1%
    +2.6% Q1'26: +6.2% (vs Q1'25)
  • Share dilution Oil & Gas Exploration & Production: +0.0%
    +2.0% Q1'26: +2.1% (vs Q1'25)
  • Debt / EBITDA Net debt/EBITDA · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production: 0.70×
    2.70× Q1'26: 1.82× (vs Q1'25)
Valuation Multiples From To
Price Forecast (3Y) From To
Model
Adjust
P/E
Theoretical Return — If Invested Today

* These projections are based on analyst consensus estimates and user-defined valuation multiples. This table is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

DCF Interactive Model (UFCF)
Projection years:
Market assumptions
WACC components (optional)
Ke (Cost of Equity) = Rf + β (0.58) × ERP
WACC = 66% × Ke + 34% × Kd (6.9%) × (1−t)

Modifying these values recalculates WACC automatically.

Business assumptions
Intrinsic value (base): 16.86 Current price: 10.52
Enterprise Value: Equity Value: Terminal Value: TV as % of EV:

Base values reflect the latest available data for this company and market conditions.

Consensus Estimates
Metric Dec 2010
actual
Dec 2011
actual
Dec 2012
actual
Dec 2013
actual
Dec 2014
actual
Dec 2015
actual
Dec 2016
actual
Dec 2017
actual
Dec 2018
actual
Dec 2019
actual
Dec 2020
actual
Dec 2021
actual
Dec 2022
actual
Dec 2023
actual
Dec 2024
actual
Dec 2025
actual
Dec 2026
3 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Dec 2027
4 Rev. Ana.
2 EPS Ana.
Dec 2028
2 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Dec 2029
3 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Revenue
369.88M
est: 349.03M (+6.0%)
355.29M
est: 272.02M (+30.6%)
268.91M
est: 130.27M (+106.4%)
289.74M
est: 155.80M (+86.0%)
215.65M
est: 209.50M (+2.9%)
132.31M
est: 157.53M (-16.0%)
161.93M
est: 184.23M (-12.1%)
231.76M
est: 253.03M (-8.4%)
227.41M
est: 227.38M (+0.0%)
252.14M
est: 252.33M (-0.1%)
245.09M
est: 227.45M (+7.8%)
492.04M
est: 427.33M (+15.1%)
964.37M
est: 808.00M (+19.4%)
509.42M
est: 501.15M (+1.7%)
550.10M
est: 566.70M (-2.9%)
645.83M
est: 721.07M (-10.4%)
876.33M
848.96M – 923.17M
+21.5% YoY
1.03B
890.70M – 1.10B
+17.8% YoY
1.02B
930.78M – 1.08B
-1.2% YoY
1.28B
1.16B – 1.35B
+25.1% YoY
EBITDA
217.82M
est: 129.43M (+68.3%)
-3.88M
est: 128.36M (-103.0%)
32.74M
est: -27.63M (+218.5%)
155.89M
est: 5.86M (+2,560.0%)
205.24M
est: 110.12M (+86.4%)
128.33M
est: 101.78M (+26.1%)
106.13M
est: 160.76M (-34.0%)
258.15M
est: 100.91M (+155.8%)
147.95M
est: 81.23M (+82.1%)
89.15M
est: 163.19M (-45.4%)
-237.45M
est: 10.24M (-2,419.0%)
660.25M
est: 13.11M (+4,936.1%)
597.24M
est: 19.77M (+2,921.1%)
316.34M
est: 326.73M (-3.2%)
283.19M
est: 375.46M (-24.6%)
325.95M
est: 470.10M (-30.7%)
571.33M
553.48M – 601.87M
+21.5% YoY
673.04M
580.70M – 717.09M
+17.8% YoY
664.90M
606.83M – 704.67M
-1.2% YoY
831.72M
759.07M – 881.46M
+25.1% YoY
EBIT
83.87M
est: -77.22M (+208.6%)
-162.66M
est: -39.82M (-308.4%)
-105.77M
est: -86.77M (-21.9%)
11.05M
est: -138.98M (+107.9%)
119.61M
est: 44.24M (+170.4%)
39.81M
est: 81.23M (-51.0%)
-11.01M
est: 10.27M (-207.3%)
139.26M
est: 2.49M (+5,498.7%)
27.88M
est: 34.50M (-19.2%)
-31.27M
est: 9.58M (-426.5%)
-349.14M
est: 16.85M (-2,171.6%)
552.36M
est: 21.58M (+2,459.7%)
461.91M
est: 32.54M (+1,319.5%)
166.00M
est: 210.88M (-21.3%)
82.38M
est: 242.33M (-66.0%)
96.45M
est: 303.41M (-68.2%)
368.75M
357.23M – 388.46M
+21.5% YoY
434.39M
374.79M – 462.83M
+17.8% YoY
429.14M
391.66M – 454.81M
-1.2% YoY
536.81M
489.92M – 568.91M
+25.1% YoY
Net Income
-44.21M
est: -69.50M (+36.4%)
-152.77M
est: -34.45M (-343.5%)
-89.13M
est: -73.17M (-21.8%)
-3.38M
est: -106.57M (+96.8%)
15.70M
est: -4.57M (+443.5%)
21.38M
est: 12.15M (+76.0%)
-15.73M
est: 25.10M (-162.7%)
95.04M
est: -21.79M (+536.2%)
11.12M
est: 86.78M (-87.2%)
-24.65M
est: 12.57M (-296.1%)
-284.05M
est: -21.99M (-1,192.0%)
411.52M
est: -28.15M (+1,561.9%)
338.67M
est: -42.45M (+897.8%)
101.60M
est: 80.42M (+26.3%)
21.72M
est: 27.30M (-20.5%)
53.05M
est: 81.11M (-34.6%)
168.81M
152.37M – 185.25M
+108.1% YoY
217.10M
214.31M – 299.63M
+28.6% YoY
285.90M
253.44M – 308.13M
+31.7% YoY
347.17M
307.75M – 374.16M
+21.4% YoY
SGA
37.58M
est: 33.06M (+13.7%)
42.17M
est: 29.30M (+43.9%)
28.18M
est: 16.57M (+70.1%)
27.41M
est: 33.73M (-18.7%)
9.58M
est: 44.78M (-78.6%)
10.57M
est: 7.41M (+42.6%)
17.73M
est: 12.41M (+42.9%)
46.80M
est: 24.56M (+90.6%)
64.73M
est: 42.73M (+51.5%)
73.81M
est: 73.20M (+0.8%)
72.41M
est: 65.82M (+10.0%)
94.35M
est: 84.28M (+12.0%)
117.90M
est: 127.08M (-7.2%)
31.18M
est: 51.88M (-39.9%)
36.98M
est: 260.02M (-85.8%)
48.56M
est: 74.65M (-34.9%)
90.72M
87.89M – 95.57M
+21.5% YoY
106.88M
92.21M – 113.87M
+17.8% YoY
105.58M
96.36M – 111.90M
-1.2% YoY
132.07M
120.54M – 139.97M
+25.1% YoY
EPS
-0.27
est: -0.28 (+4.5%)
-0.92
est: -0.05 (-1,608.0%)
-0.53
est: -0.27 (-98.3%)
-0.02
est: 0.07 (-128.4%)
0.09
est: 0.34 (-73.4%)
0.13
est: 0.09 (+52.9%)
-0.09
est: 0.04 (-335.0%)
0.51
est: 0.43 (+18.1%)
0.06
est: -0.03 (+274.4%)
-0.13
est: -0.09 (-39.7%)
-1.51
est: -1.63 (+7.3%)
2.17
est: 0.45 (+387.0%)
1.81
est: 1.58 (+14.9%)
0.61
est: 0.49 (+23.9%)
0.13
est: 0.16 (-20.4%)
0.32
est: 0.49 (-34.1%)
1.01
0.90 – 1.09
+108.1% YoY
1.51
1.26 – 1.76
+49.5% YoY
1.68
1.49 – 1.81
+11.3% YoY
2.04
1.81 – 2.20
+21.4% YoY
Historical Ratings (3M)
Date Rating Overall DCF ROE ROA D/E P/E P/B
2026-05-11 B+ 3/5 3/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 4/5
2026-05-08 B+ 3/5 3/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 4/5
2026-05-07 B+ 3/5 3/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 4/5
2026-05-06 B+ 3/5 3/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 4/5
2026-05-05 B+ 3/5 3/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 4/5
2026-05-04 B+ 3/5 3/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 2/5 4/5
2026-05-01 B 3/5 3/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 1/5 4/5
2026-04-30 B 3/5 3/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 1/5 4/5
2026-04-29 B 3/5 3/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 1/5 4/5
2026-04-28 B 3/5 3/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 1/5 4/5
2026-04-27 B 3/5 3/5 3/5 4/5 2/5 1/5 4/5
2026-04-24 B 3/5 3/5 3/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-04-23 B 3/5 3/5 3/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-04-22 B 3/5 3/5 3/5 4/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-04-21 B 3/5 3/5 3/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 3/5
2026-04-20 B 3/5 3/5 3/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 3/5
2026-04-17 B 3/5 3/5 3/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 3/5
2026-04-16 B 3/5 3/5 3/5 5/5 1/5 1/5 3/5

Owner Earnings

Owner's Earnings (history) From To
Owner alignment
Owner's Earnings TTM
111.21M
OE per share TTM
0.56
Owner's Yield
6.62%
Maintenance CapEx ratio
845.69%
Maint CapEx / Avg PPE
401.0%

Ownership Overview

Ownership breakdown
At a glance
Institutional holders
1
Total invested
3.00
Insider transactions (90d)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)

No beneficial ownership filings recorded.

Institutional Activity (13F)

Institutional ownership trend From To
13F snapshot — 2025 Q4
Investors holding
1
+0 vs prev Q
New positions
0
Closed positions
0
Increased
0
Reduced
0
Put/Call ratio
0.00
Calls held
Puts held
Top institutional holders
# Investor Shares / Δ Mkt value / Δ Own% / Δ Weight% / Δ Avg px / Perf. Hold / Status
1 HUNTINGTON NATIONAL BANK 1.00 +— (+0.0%) 3.00 +— (+0.0%) 0.00% +0.000 pp 0.00% +0.000 pp CAD9.00 +30.4% 13 qtrs
Ownership breakdown by holder

ETF Ownership

Top ETFs holding this stock Held by 61 ETFs in our universe
# ETF Weight Est. AUM exposure TER
1 iShares S&P/TSX SmallCap Index ETF XCS.TO 0.58% 991.9K 0.60%
2 iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy Index ETF XEG.TO 0.45% 7.59M 0.60%
3 iShares Oil & Gas Exploration & Production UCITS ETF IOGP.L 0.18% 745.3K 0.55%
4 iShares S&P/TSX Completion Index ETF XMD.TO 0.18% 990.7K 0.60%
5 Dimensional - International Small Cap Value ETF DISV 0.16% 7.62M 0.42%
6 State Street SPDR S&P International Small Cap ETF GWX 0.14% 1.25M 0.40%
7 Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF AVDV 0.12% 22.83M 0.36%
8 Desjardins RI Canada - Net-Zero Emissions Pathway ETF DRMC.TO 0.11% 80.9K 0.15%
9 Dimensional - International Small Cap ETF DFIS 0.05% 2.88M 0.39%
10 Schwab International Small-Cap Equity ETF SCHC 0.05% 2.63M 0.06%

Insider Activity

Insider Activity — Latest Quarter

No insider activity available.

Insider buys vs sells (history)

Insider history not available.

Recent insider transactions

No recent insider transactions.

Executive team

Top executives
EBIT / Employee
1.13M
Shares Outstanding
167.77M

Executive compensation

Executive compensation (annual)

Executive compensation not available.

CEO compensation breakdown

No CEO compensation history available.

Proxy statements

Proxy statements (DEF 14A)

No proxy statements available for this company yet.

Recent SEC filings

Recent SEC filings

No SEC filings available for this company yet.

Executive team

NameTitleCompensationGender
Michael E. Belenkie President, Chief Executive Officer & Director 1M male
Craig Blackwood Chief Financial Officer 799.9K male
Neil G. Bokenfohr Senior Vice President 699.3K male
Darren Tisdale Vice President of Geosciences 644.6K male
Geoff Keyser Vice President of Corporate Development 642.8K male
Jay Patrick Reid Corporate Secretary male
Anthony Coombs Controller male
Brian Bagnell Vice President of Commodities & Capital Markets male
ESG Score History

No data available for this company.

Senate Trading Activity

No Senate trading activity found for this company.

House Trading Activity

No House trading activity found for this company.

Market share among peers
Peer comparison — filtered group (TTM)
Your opinion

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Dividend yield history

Dividend history

Earnings history

Earnings reports

Stock splits