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Tokai Carbon Co., Ltd. (5301.T)

JPY1,657.00 +21.00 (+1.28%)
JP JPX Basic Materials Chemicals - Specialty
Address Aoyama Building 107-8636
Tokyo, JP
CEO Hajime Nagasaka
IPO 2000-01-04
ISIN JP3560800009

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Also trades on Other OTC · TKCBF (USD) Other OTC · TKCBY (USD) Tokyo Stock Exchange · 5301.T (JPY)
Description

Tokai Carbon Co., Ltd., headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, is a leading provider and manufacturer of a broad spectrum of carbon-based goods and services. The company's offerings include high-performance graphite electrodes, indispensable for electric arc furnaces across various applications like direct current, alternating current, and refining processes. They also produce multiple grades of carbon black, such as SEAST, TOKABLACK, Aqua Black, and Thermal Black, which are crucial for reinforcing rubber in tires and as a vibrant black pigment in numerous products. Their fine carbon division encompasses specialized graphite products like isotropic G/HK series, extruded graphite, SiC-coated carbon, C/C composites, glassy carbon, solid SiC, carbon brushes, and resin-impregnated graphite. These materials are vital for manufacturing silicon semiconductors, solar cells, and other high-tech applications. Furthermore, Tokai Carbon supplies industrial furnaces and related equipment, featuring silicon carbide heating elements, resistors, and recryte SiC structural materials, utilized for the precise heat treatment of ceramics, electronic components, metals, and glass. They also deliver tailored carbon and graphite solutions for various smelting operations. The company's diverse range of friction materials, including sintered metal, paper, carbonaceous, sliding, resin, woven, and soft mold types, are instrumental in managing power transmission in industrial and construction machinery, and serve as critical brake and clutch parts for vehicles such as motorbikes, trucks, buses, and trains. Additionally, Tokai Carbon develops anode materials specifically for secondary lithium-ion batteries, which power contemporary smartphones and electric vehicles. Founded in 1918 as Tokai Electrode Mfg. Co. Ltd., the company officially adopted its current name, Tokai Carbon Co., Ltd., in 1975.

Market Cap & Enterprise Value
Merger & Acquisition History

No mergers or acquisitions recorded for this company.

Technical Outlook
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Signal Summary Loading…
Indicator 1D1W2W3W1M
Each column is computed on that timeframe's candles (1D = daily, 1W ≈ weekly, 1M ≈ monthly), not on the same last day. ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · — neutral. The Net row counts signals per column; hover any cell (or the indicator name) to see the exact rule behind it.
Day Score & sub-scores
Statistical fingerprint & regime detail
Conditional historical analysis
Customize analysis (advanced)
Indicative levels generated algorithmically. Not financial advice.
Risk Profile
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Price Chart
Averages
Trend
Price
Levels
Draw
JPY1,657.00 +21.00 (+1.28%)
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Volume Profile
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Liquidity & share structure
Average Volume
2M
Beta
0.72
Float Shares
181.61M
Free Float %
85.1%
Price Performance
1D5D1M3M6M YTD1Y3Y5Y10YMax
-1.89% +31.78% +52.30% +51.93% +50.31% +59.98% +62.81% +21.20% -11.55% +430.72% +814.71%
Rolling Volatility
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Drawdown
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Relative Strength
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
From To
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Annual Monthly Returns
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Daily Returns Distribution
vs.
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Revenue flow

Revenue by geography

Revenue by segment

From To

Revenue composition

From To

By product

By geography

Financial Statements

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Cash Flow Statement

Key Metrics

Financial Ratios

Employees

Financial Growth (CAGR)

Market Data

Price Targets & DCF
Current price
1,657.00
DCF (Unlevered) 1,102.30 -33.5%
DCF (Levered) 6,168.49 +272.3%

DCF figures are point estimates: small changes in growth or discount-rate assumptions move them materially. Read them as a reference, not a precise target.

Ratings Trend (MoM) 60% Bullish
Rating 2026-05 Change
Strong Buy 0 0
Buy 3 +1
Hold 2 0
Sell 0 0
Strong Sell 0 0
Quality scores
Altman Z-Score
1.91
Grey zone
Piotroski F-Score
4 / 9
Average
MOAT Score
2 / 10
No MOAT
Composite Rating
A-
Overall Score
4 / 5
High
DCF Score
5 / 5
High
ROE Score
3 / 5
Medium
ROA Score
4 / 5
High
D/E Score
1 / 5
Low
P/E Score
3 / 5
Medium
P/Book Score
4 / 5
High
Operational MOAT
✗ Below peers
  • Revenue growth Chemicals - Specialty: +4.7%
    -7.8% Q1'26: +1.7% (vs Q1'25)
  • EPS growth Chemicals - Specialty: +13.2%
    +135.4% Q1'26: -48.6% (vs Q1'25)
  • FCF margin FCF growth · Chemicals - Specialty: +44.1%
    +6.6% Q1'26: +0.0% (vs Q1'25)
  • EBIT margin Chemicals - Specialty: +8.8%
    +8.0% Q1'26: +7.8% (vs Q1'25)
  • ROIC Chemicals - Specialty: +5.6%
    +4.1% Q1'26: +3.2% (vs Q1'25)
  • Share dilution Chemicals - Specialty: +0.1%
    +0.1% Q1'26: +0.0% (vs Q1'25)
  • Debt / EBITDA Net debt/EBITDA · Chemicals - Specialty: 0.18×
    3.55× Q1'26: 3.33× (vs Q1'25)
Valuation Multiples From To
Price Forecast (3Y) From To
Model
Adjust
P/E
Theoretical Return — If Invested Today

* These projections are based on analyst consensus estimates and user-defined valuation multiples. This table is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

DCF Interactive Model (UFCF)
Projection years:
Market assumptions
WACC components (optional)
Ke (Cost of Equity) = Rf + β (0.60) × ERP
WACC = 62% × Ke + 38% × Kd (4.1%) × (1−t)

Modifying these values recalculates WACC automatically.

Business assumptions
Intrinsic value (base): 1,108.91 Current price: 1,657.00
Enterprise Value: Equity Value: Terminal Value: TV as % of EV:

Base values reflect the latest available data for this company and market conditions.

Consensus Estimates
Metric Dec 2015
actual
Dec 2016
actual
Dec 2017
actual
Dec 2018
actual
Dec 2019
actual
Dec 2020
actual
Dec 2021
actual
Dec 2022
actual
Dec 2023
actual
Dec 2024
actual
Dec 2025
actual
Dec 2026
3 Rev. Ana.
4 EPS Ana.
Dec 2027
4 Rev. Ana.
4 EPS Ana.
Dec 2028
3 Rev. Ana.
3 EPS Ana.
Dec 2029
2 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Dec 2030
1 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Revenue
104.86B
est: 106.95B (-2.0%)
88.58B
est: 87.80B (+0.9%)
106.25B
est: 102.80B (+3.4%)
231.30B
est: 227.99B (+1.5%)
262.03B
est: 269.54B (-2.8%)
201.54B
est: 204.88B (-1.6%)
258.87B
est: 247.98B (+4.4%)
340.37B
est: 324.23B (+5.0%)
363.95B
est: 356.44B (+2.1%)
350.11B
est: 358.58B (-2.4%)
322.96B
est: 325.93B (-0.9%)
342.43B
342.09B – 342.69B
+5.1% YoY
366.00B
362.30B – 370.50B
+6.9% YoY
379.40B
377.25B – 381.94B
+3.7% YoY
405.20B
402.90B – 407.92B
+6.8% YoY
422.90B
420.50B – 425.74B
+4.4% YoY
EBITDA
13.76B
est: 17.58B (-21.8%)
9.63B
est: 14.43B (-33.3%)
18.20B
est: 16.90B (+7.7%)
85.38B
est: 37.48B (+127.8%)
77.05B
est: 44.31B (+73.9%)
35.26B
est: 33.68B (+4.7%)
54.52B
est: 40.76B (+33.8%)
75.57B
est: 53.29B (+41.8%)
75.95B
est: 71.06B (+6.9%)
61.12B
est: 71.49B (-14.5%)
58.44B
est: 64.98B (-10.1%)
68.27B
68.20B – 68.32B
+5.1% YoY
72.97B
72.23B – 73.87B
+6.9% YoY
75.64B
75.21B – 76.15B
+3.7% YoY
80.78B
80.33B – 81.33B
+6.8% YoY
84.31B
83.83B – 84.88B
+4.4% YoY
EBIT
4.09B
est: 5.27B (-22.4%)
1.13B
est: 4.32B (-73.8%)
11.08B
est: 5.06B (+118.9%)
72.37B
est: 11.23B (+544.4%)
54.20B
est: 13.28B (+308.3%)
7.86B
est: 10.09B (-22.1%)
24.65B
est: 12.21B (+101.8%)
40.59B
est: 15.97B (+154.2%)
38.73B
est: 32.53B (+19.1%)
19.39B
est: 32.72B (-40.8%)
25.85B
est: 29.74B (-13.1%)
31.25B
31.22B – 31.27B
+5.1% YoY
33.40B
33.06B – 33.81B
+6.9% YoY
34.62B
34.43B – 34.86B
+3.7% YoY
36.98B
36.77B – 37.23B
+6.8% YoY
38.59B
38.37B – 38.85B
+4.4% YoY
Net Income
2.48B
est: 2.10B (+18.5%)
-7.93B
est: -5.40B (-46.9%)
12.35B
est: 11.11B (+11.1%)
73.39B
est: 74.81B (-1.9%)
31.99B
est: 37.82B (-15.4%)
1.02B
est: 5.54B (-81.6%)
16.11B
est: 12.34B (+30.5%)
22.42B
est: 22.97B (-2.4%)
25.47B
est: 13.23B (+92.6%)
-56.74B
est: 11.35B (-600.1%)
20.08B
est: 16.95B (+18.5%)
13.45B
12.11B – 16.40B
-20.6% YoY
20.70B
19.09B – 21.50B
+53.9% YoY
23.70B
22.08B – 24.70B
+14.5% YoY
28.31B
28.10B – 28.56B
+19.4% YoY
30.89B
30.66B – 31.16B
+9.1% YoY
SGA
13.63B
est: 12.35B (+10.4%)
12.74B
est: 10.13B (+25.7%)
13.98B
est: 11.87B (+17.8%)
20.95B
est: 26.32B (-20.4%)
27.43B
est: 31.11B (-11.9%)
25.32B
est: 23.65B (+7.1%)
28.57B
est: 28.62B (-0.2%)
34.49B
est: 37.43B (-7.8%)
39.16B
est: 41.41B (-5.4%)
38.49B
est: 41.66B (-7.6%)
49.00B
est: 37.87B (+29.4%)
39.79B
39.75B – 39.82B
+5.1% YoY
42.53B
42.10B – 43.05B
+6.9% YoY
44.08B
43.83B – 44.38B
+3.7% YoY
47.08B
46.81B – 47.40B
+6.8% YoY
49.14B
48.86B – 49.47B
+4.4% YoY
EPS
11.65
est: 9.82 (+18.6%)
-37.19
est: -25.30 (-47.0%)
57.92
est: 52.09 (+11.2%)
344.32
est: 350.67 (-1.8%)
150.10
est: 177.28 (-15.3%)
4.78
est: 25.98 (-81.6%)
75.55
est: 57.84 (+30.6%)
105.16
est: 106.78 (-1.5%)
119.45
est: 62.02 (+92.6%)
-265.94
est: 53.11 (-600.8%)
94.04
est: 84.00 (+12.0%)
63.01
56.70 – 76.80
-25.0% YoY
96.94
89.40 – 100.70
+53.9% YoY
110.97
103.40 – 115.70
+14.5% YoY
132.60
131.62 – 133.76
+19.5% YoY
144.70
143.63 – 145.96
+9.1% YoY
Historical Ratings (3M)
Date Rating Overall DCF ROE ROA D/E P/E P/B
2026-05-14 A- 4/5 5/5 3/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 4/5
2026-05-13 A- 4/5 5/5 4/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 4/5
2026-05-12 A- 4/5 5/5 4/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 4/5
2026-05-11 A- 4/5 5/5 4/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 4/5
2026-05-08 A- 4/5 5/5 3/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 4/5
2026-05-07 A- 4/5 5/5 3/5 4/5 1/5 3/5 4/5
2026-05-01 A- 4/5 5/5 3/5 5/5 1/5 3/5 4/5
2026-04-30 A- 4/5 5/5 3/5 5/5 1/5 3/5 4/5
2026-04-28 A- 4/5 5/5 3/5 5/5 1/5 3/5 4/5
2026-04-27 A- 4/5 5/5 3/5 5/5 1/5 3/5 4/5
2026-04-24 A- 4/5 5/5 3/5 5/5 1/5 3/5 4/5
2026-04-23 A- 4/5 5/5 3/5 5/5 1/5 3/5 4/5
2026-04-22 A- 4/5 5/5 3/5 5/5 1/5 3/5 4/5
2026-04-21 A 4/5 5/5 4/5 5/5 1/5 3/5 4/5
2026-04-20 A 4/5 5/5 4/5 5/5 1/5 3/5 4/5
2026-04-17 A 4/5 5/5 4/5 5/5 1/5 3/5 4/5
2026-04-16 A 4/5 5/5 4/5 5/5 1/5 3/5 4/5

Owner Earnings

Owner's Earnings (history) From To
Owner alignment
Owner's Earnings TTM
5.86B
OE per share TTM
27.52
Owner's Yield
1.73%
Maintenance CapEx ratio
Maint CapEx / Avg PPE
55.8%

Ownership Overview

Ownership breakdown

Ownership breakdown not available.

At a glance
Institutional holders
Total invested
Insider transactions (90d)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)

No beneficial ownership filings recorded.

Institutional Activity (13F)

Institutional ownership trend

Institutional history not available.

Top institutional holders

Top holders not available.

ETF Ownership

Top ETFs holding this stock Held by 100 ETFs in our universe

Insider Activity

Insider Activity — Latest Quarter

No insider activity available.

Insider buys vs sells (history)

Insider history not available.

Recent insider transactions

No recent insider transactions.

Executive team

Top executives
EBIT / Employee
5.59M
Shares Outstanding
213.51M

Executive compensation

Executive compensation (annual)

Executive compensation not available.

CEO compensation breakdown

No CEO compensation history available.

Proxy statements

Proxy statements (DEF 14A)

No proxy statements available for this company yet.

Recent SEC filings

Recent SEC filings

No SEC filings available for this company yet.

Executive team

NameTitleCompensationGender
Hajime Nagasaka President, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman 90M male
Akira Yamada Executive Officer
Hirai Naoki Executive Officer, Finance and Accounting Dept Manager and Head of Finance & Accounting Dept
Katsuyuki Yamaguchi Executive Officer, GM of R&D Strategy Department & Director male
Kazuhiko Matsubara Advisor
Kazuhito Kataoka Executive Officer & GM of Business Incubation Department
Kouji Miura Executive Officer & GM of Chita Laboratory
Masafumi Tsuji Managing Executive Officer, GM of Graphite Electrode Division & Director male
Syunji Yamamoto Executive Officer, GM of Technology & Engineering Div. and Director male
Takashi Masaki Executive Officer & Director male
Akihiko Sato Executive Officer & Director male
Toshiaki Fukuda Advisor male
ESG Score History

No data available for this company.

Senate Trading Activity

No Senate trading activity found for this company.

House Trading Activity

No House trading activity found for this company.

Market share among peers
Peer comparison — filtered group (TTM)
Your opinion

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Dividend yield history

Dividend history

Earnings history

Earnings reports

Stock splits