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Midea Real Estate Holding Limited (3990.HK)

HKD2.84 -0.01 (-0.35%)
CN HKSE Real Estate Real Estate - Services
Address Midea Real Estate Plaza 528311
Foshan, CN
CEO Hengle Hao
IPO 2018-10-11
ISIN KYG609201085

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Description

Midea Real Estate Holding Limited functions as an investment holding entity primarily engaged in property development across the People's Republic of China. Its business activities are structured into four key divisions: property development and sales, property management services, commercial property investment and operations, and real estate technology solutions. The firm constructs and markets both residential and industrial real estate, alongside offering comprehensive property management services. Furthermore, it strategically acquires and manages a diverse portfolio of commercial assets, including large-scale urban developments, community hubs, extended-stay residential units, hotels, and cultural-tourism ventures. The company also delivers innovative smart home and smart community solutions, in addition to providing expert process design consultation and integrated design services. Its operations also extend to the domain of prefabricated construction. Established in 2004, Midea Real Estate Holding Limited maintains its principal office in Foshan, PRC, and operates as a subsidiary under Midea Development Holding (BVI) Limited.

Market Cap & Enterprise Value
Merger & Acquisition History

No mergers or acquisitions recorded for this company.

Technical Outlook
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Signal Summary Loading…
Indicator 1D1W2W3W1M
Each column is computed on that timeframe's candles (1D = daily, 1W ≈ weekly, 1M ≈ monthly), not on the same last day. ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · — neutral. The Net row counts signals per column; hover any cell (or the indicator name) to see the exact rule behind it.
Day Score & sub-scores
Statistical fingerprint & regime detail
Conditional historical analysis
Customize analysis (advanced)
Indicative levels generated algorithmically. Not financial advice.
Risk Profile
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Price Chart
Averages
Trend
Price
Levels
Draw
HKD2.84 -0.01 (-0.35%)
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Volume Profile
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Liquidity & share structure
Average Volume
689.9K
Beta
1.30
Float Shares
239.31M
Free Float %
16.7%
Price Performance
1D5D1M3M6M YTD1Y3Y5Y10YMax
-0.35% -5.59% -11.69% -31.99% -35.94% -30.00% -24.47% -59.35% -84.42% -81.93% -81.93%
Rolling Volatility
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Drawdown
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Relative Strength
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
From To
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Annual Monthly Returns
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Daily Returns Distribution
vs.
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Revenue flow

Revenue by geography

Revenue by segment

From To

Revenue composition

From To

By product

By geography

Financial Statements

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Cash Flow Statement

Key Metrics

Financial Ratios

Employees

Financial Growth (CAGR)

Market Data

Price Targets & DCF
Current price
2.84
DCF (Unlevered) 2.30 -19.1%

DCF figures are point estimates: small changes in growth or discount-rate assumptions move them materially. Read them as a reference, not a precise target.

Ratings Trend (MoM) 100% Bullish
Rating 2026-05 Change
Strong Buy 1 0
Buy 2 -1
Hold 0 0
Sell 0 0
Strong Sell 0 0
Quality scores
Altman Z-Score
2.54
Grey zone
Piotroski F-Score
4 / 9
Average
MOAT Score
2 / 10
No MOAT
Composite Rating
A-
Overall Score
4 / 5
High
DCF Score
1 / 5
Low
ROE Score
4 / 5
High
ROA Score
5 / 5
High
D/E Score
4 / 5
High
P/E Score
3 / 5
Medium
P/Book Score
3 / 5
Medium
Operational MOAT
✗ Below peers
  • Revenue growth Real Estate - Services: +11.2%
    +11.4% Q4'25: -94.2% (vs Q4'23)
  • EPS growth Real Estate - Services: +25.9%
    -27.8% Q4'25: +93.5% (vs Q4'23)
  • FCF margin FCF growth · Real Estate - Services: +32.2%
    +15.4% Q4'25: +23.7% (vs Q4'23)
  • EBIT margin Real Estate - Services: +23.7%
    +20.7% Q4'25: +21.2% (vs Q4'23)
  • ROIC Real Estate - Services: +4.3%
    +14.7% Q4'25: +27.7% (vs Q4'23)
  • Share dilution Real Estate - Services: +0.0%
    +0.1% Q4'25: -0.5% (vs Q4'23)
  • Debt / EBITDA Net debt/EBITDA · Real Estate - Services: 1.88×
    0.87× Q4'25: 0.43× (vs Q4'23)
Valuation Multiples From To
Price Forecast (3Y) From To
Model
Adjust
P/E
Theoretical Return — If Invested Today

* These projections are based on analyst consensus estimates and user-defined valuation multiples. This table is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

DCF Interactive Model (UFCF)
Projection years:
Market assumptions
WACC components (optional)
Ke (Cost of Equity) = Rf + β (1.33) × ERP
WACC = 82% × Ke + 18% × Kd (4.1%) × (1−t)

Modifying these values recalculates WACC automatically.

Business assumptions
Intrinsic value (base): 2.30 Current price: 2.84
Enterprise Value: Equity Value: Terminal Value: TV as % of EV:

Base values reflect the latest available data for this company and market conditions.

Consensus Estimates
Metric Dec 2018
actual
Dec 2019
actual
Dec 2020
actual
Dec 2021
actual
Dec 2022
actual
Dec 2023
actual
Dec 2024
actual
Dec 2025
actual
Dec 2026
2 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Dec 2027
2 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Dec 2028
1 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Revenue
30.12B
est: 36.16B (-16.7%)
41.14B
est: 48.62B (-15.4%)
52.48B
est: 69.10B (-24.0%)
73.70B
est: 91.50B (-19.5%)
73.63B
est: 79.23B (-7.1%)
73.56B
est: 58.01B (+26.8%)
3.73B
est: 3.75B (-0.8%)
4.15B
est: 4.04B (+2.7%)
3.87B
3.35B – 4.38B
-4.3% YoY
3.49B
2.70B – 4.28B
-9.7% YoY
3.50B
2.87B – 4.13B
+0.2% YoY
EBITDA
6.72B
est: 4.89B (+37.6%)
8.59B
est: 9.17B (-6.4%)
7.78B
est: 10.03B (-22.5%)
8.90B
est: 12.58B (-29.3%)
7.04B
est: 16.72B (-57.9%)
4.62B
est: 8.64B (-46.5%)
925.81M
est: 559.16M (+65.6%)
900.23M
est: 601.86M (+49.6%)
575.99M
498.97M – 653.01M
-4.3% YoY
520.11M
402.68M – 637.54M
-9.7% YoY
521.17M
427.37M – 614.98M
+0.2% YoY
EBIT
6.66B
est: 4.62B (+44.0%)
8.38B
est: 9.30B (-9.9%)
7.57B
est: 8.77B (-13.6%)
8.72B
est: 10.99B (-20.7%)
6.89B
est: 14.61B (-52.9%)
4.49B
est: 8.14B (-44.9%)
828.38M
est: 527.11M (+57.2%)
857.90M
est: 567.36M (+51.2%)
542.97M
470.37M – 615.58M
-4.3% YoY
490.29M
379.59M – 600.99M
-9.7% YoY
491.30M
402.87M – 579.72M
+0.2% YoY
Net Income
3.21B
est: 645.03M (+397.6%)
4.31B
est: 4.46B (-3.5%)
4.33B
est: 4.78B (-9.4%)
3.74B
est: 5.99B (-37.5%)
1.73B
est: 970.38M (+77.9%)
913.58M
est: 471.94M (+93.6%)
-2.06B
est: 92.60M (-2,322.3%)
559.30M
est: 616.70M (-9.3%)
654.83M
590.58M – 719.08M
+6.2% YoY
513.75M
505.65M – 723.85M
-21.5% YoY
530.81M
486.83M – 784.24M
+3.3% YoY
SGA
3.82B
est: 2.82B (+35.3%)
6.24B
est: 3.32B (+87.9%)
5.71B
est: 6.84B (-16.4%)
6.05B
est: 8.57B (-29.5%)
4.52B
est: 11.39B (-60.4%)
573.67M
est: 4.56B (-87.4%)
485.25M
est: 295.30M (+64.3%)
464.06M
est: 317.85M (+46.0%)
304.19M
263.52M – 344.87M
-4.3% YoY
274.68M
212.66M – 336.70M
-9.7% YoY
275.24M
225.70M – 324.78M
+0.2% YoY
EPS
3.08
est: 0.45 (+582.4%)
3.61
est: 0.64 (+464.3%)
3.52
est: 0.72 (+391.7%)
3.04
est: 0.64 (+377.0%)
1.34
est: 0.38 (+253.5%)
0.66
est: 0.33 (+98.9%)
0.54
est: 0.06 (+734.3%)
0.39
est: 0.43 (-9.3%)
0.46
0.41 – 0.50
+6.5% YoY
0.43
0.35 – 0.51
-6.1% YoY
0.44
0.34 – 0.55
+3.4% YoY
Historical Ratings (3M)
Date Rating Overall DCF ROE ROA D/E P/E P/B
2026-05-29 A- 4/5 1/5 4/5 5/5 4/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-28 A- 4/5 1/5 4/5 5/5 4/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-27 A- 4/5 1/5 4/5 5/5 4/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-26 A- 4/5 1/5 4/5 5/5 4/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-22 A- 4/5 1/5 4/5 5/5 4/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-21 A- 4/5 1/5 4/5 5/5 4/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-20 A- 4/5 1/5 4/5 5/5 4/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-19 A- 4/5 1/5 4/5 5/5 4/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-18 A- 4/5 1/5 4/5 5/5 4/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-15 A- 4/5 1/5 4/5 5/5 4/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-14 A- 4/5 1/5 4/5 5/5 4/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-13 A- 4/5 1/5 4/5 5/5 4/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-12 A- 4/5 1/5 4/5 5/5 4/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-11 B+ 3/5 1/5 4/5 5/5 3/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-08 B+ 3/5 1/5 4/5 5/5 3/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-07 B+ 3/5 1/5 4/5 5/5 3/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-06 B+ 3/5 1/5 4/5 5/5 3/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-05 B+ 3/5 1/5 4/5 5/5 3/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-04 B+ 3/5 1/5 4/5 5/5 3/5 3/5 3/5
2026-04-30 B+ 3/5 1/5 4/5 5/5 3/5 3/5 3/5
2026-04-29 A- 4/5 1/5 4/5 5/5 3/5 4/5 3/5
2026-04-28 A- 4/5 1/5 4/5 5/5 3/5 4/5 3/5
2026-04-27 A- 4/5 1/5 4/5 5/5 3/5 4/5 3/5
2026-04-24 B+ 3/5 1/5 4/5 5/5 2/5 4/5 3/5
2026-04-23 B+ 3/5 1/5 4/5 5/5 2/5 4/5 3/5
2026-04-22 B+ 3/5 1/5 4/5 5/5 2/5 4/5 3/5
2026-04-21 B+ 3/5 1/5 4/5 5/5 2/5 4/5 3/5
2026-04-20 B+ 3/5 1/5 4/5 5/5 2/5 4/5 3/5
2026-04-17 B+ 3/5 1/5 4/5 5/5 2/5 4/5 3/5
2026-04-16 B+ 3/5 1/5 4/5 5/5 2/5 4/5 3/5

Owner Earnings

Owner's Earnings (history) From To
Owner alignment
Owner's Earnings TTM
-5.63B
OE per share TTM
-3.93
Owner's Yield
-138.59%
Maintenance CapEx ratio
371.18%
Maint CapEx / Avg PPE
2.7%

Ownership Overview

Ownership breakdown

Ownership breakdown not available.

At a glance
Institutional holders
Total invested
Insider transactions (90d)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)

No beneficial ownership filings recorded.

Institutional Activity (13F)

Institutional ownership trend

Institutional history not available.

Top institutional holders

Top holders not available.

ETF Ownership

Top ETFs holding this stock Held by 14 ETFs in our universe
# ETF Weight Est. AUM exposure TER
1 WisdomTree Emerging Markets High Dividend Fund DEM 0.05% 1.83M 0.63%
2 WisdomTree Emerging Markets Equity Income UCITS ETF - Acc DEMR.L 0.04% 100.9K 0.46%
3 WisdomTree Emerging Markets Equity Income UCITS ETF DEMD.L 0.04% 100.9K 0.46%
4 WisdomTree Emerging Markets SmallCap Dividend UCITS ETF DGSD.L 0.03% 14.9K 0.54%
5 WisdomTree Emerging Markets SmallCap Dividend Fund DGS 0.03% 535.6K 0.58%
6 Avantis Responsible Emerging Markets Equity ETF AVSE 0.01% 20.1K 0.33%
7 Vanguard Global ex-U.S. Real Estate ETF VNQI 0.01% 317.7K 0.12%
8 Avantis Emerging Markets Value ETF AVES 0.01% 105.3K 0.36%
9 Avantis Emerging Markets Small Cap Equity ETF AVEE 0.00% 3.4K 0.42%
10 Avantis Emerging Markets Equity ETF AVEM 0.00% 629.1K 0.33%

Insider Activity

Insider Activity — Latest Quarter

No insider activity available.

Insider buys vs sells (history)

Insider history not available.

Recent insider transactions

No recent insider transactions.

Executive team

Top executives
EBIT / Employee
93.1K
Shares Outstanding
1.44B

Executive compensation

Executive compensation (annual)

Executive compensation not available.

CEO compensation breakdown

No CEO compensation history available.

Proxy statements

Proxy statements (DEF 14A)

No proxy statements available for this company yet.

Recent SEC filings

Recent SEC filings

No SEC filings available for this company yet.

Executive team

NameTitleCompensationGender
Dazai Wang President & Executive Co-Chairman 2M male
Hengle Hao Executive Co-Chairman of the Board 2M male
Min Liu Executive Director 1M female
Bo Shan Chan Joint Company Secretary female
Jingli Wan Joint Company Secretary female
Zhe Sun Director of Operations male
ESG Score History

No data available for this company.

Senate Trading Activity

No Senate trading activity found for this company.

House Trading Activity

No House trading activity found for this company.

Market share among peers
Peer comparison — filtered group (TTM)
Your opinion

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Dividend yield history

Dividend history

Earnings history

Earnings reports

Stock splits