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Merlin, Inc. (MRLN)

USD3.88 -0.30 (-7.07%)
US NASDAQ Technology Software - Application
Address 129 South Street 2111
Boston, MA, US
CEO Timothy Burns
IPO 2026-03-17
CIK 2028707 ISIN US5901061003

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Description

Operating within the aerospace and defense sector, Merlin, Inc. dedicates its efforts to engineering advanced autonomous flight technologies. The company is constructing a definitive operating system for self-flying aircraft, known as the Merlin Pilot system, which facilitates operations across numerous aircraft types and mission objectives. This innovative technology has been rigorously proven, having successfully completed hundreds of autonomous flights at test sites around the globe. Merlin, Inc. maintains its primary offices in Boston, Massachusetts.

Market Cap & Enterprise Value
Merger & Acquisition History

No mergers or acquisitions recorded for this company.

Technical Outlook
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Signal Summary Loading…
Indicator 1D1W2W3W1M
Each column is computed on that timeframe's candles (1D = daily, 1W ≈ weekly, 1M ≈ monthly), not on the same last day. ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · — neutral. The Net row counts signals per column; hover any cell (or the indicator name) to see the exact rule behind it.
Day Score & sub-scores
Statistical fingerprint & regime detail
Conditional historical analysis
Customize analysis (advanced)
Indicative levels generated algorithmically. Not financial advice.
Risk Profile
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Price Chart
Averages
Trend
Price
Levels
Draw
USD3.88 -0.30 (-7.07%)
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Volume Profile
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Liquidity & share structure
Average Volume
3M
Beta
1.46
Float Shares
3.60M
Free Float %
14.2%
Price Performance
1D5D1M3M6M YTD1Y3Y5Y10YMax
-0.42% +4.57% -40.97% -32.35% -32.35% -32.35% -32.35% -32.35% -32.35% -32.35% -32.35%
Rolling Volatility
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Drawdown
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Relative Strength
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
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Annual Monthly Returns
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Daily Returns Distribution
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Revenue flow

Revenue by geography

Revenue by segment

From To

Revenue composition

From To

By product

By geography

Financial Statements

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Cash Flow Statement

Key Metrics

Financial Ratios

Employees

Financial Growth (CAGR)

Market Data

Analyst Consensus (1 ratings, all time) Buy
Price Targets & DCF
Current price
3.88
Low 25.00 +545.2%
Consensus 25.00 +545.2%
Median 25.00 +545.2%
High 25.00 +545.2%
DCF (Levered) 0.02 -99.5%

DCF figures are point estimates: small changes in growth or discount-rate assumptions move them materially. Read them as a reference, not a precise target.

Ratings Trend (MoM) 100% Bullish
Rating 2026-05 Change
Strong Buy 0 0
Buy 1 0
Hold 0 0
Sell 0 0
Strong Sell 0 0
Price Target Summary
Period # Analysts Avg Target
Last Month
Last Quarter 2
20.00
+416.1%
Last Year 2
20.00
+416.1%
All Time 2
20.00
+416.1%
Quality scores
MOAT Score
2 / 10
No MOAT
Composite Rating
C
Overall Score
2 / 5
Medium
DCF Score
2 / 5
Medium
ROE Score
1 / 5
Low
ROA Score
1 / 5
Low
D/E Score
1 / 5
Low
P/E Score
1 / 5
Low
P/Book Score
4 / 5
High
Operational MOAT
✗ Below peers
  • Revenue growth Software - Application: +13.0%
    -100.0% Q1'26: +16.2% (vs Q4'24)
  • EPS growth Software - Application: +28.6%
    +111.0% Q1'26: -217.5% (vs Q4'24)
  • FCF margin FCF growth · Software - Application: +45.3%
    Q1'26: -2,575.1% (vs Q4'24)
  • EBIT margin Software - Application: +9.4%
    Q1'26: -9,018.2% (vs Q4'24)
  • ROIC Software - Application: +7.5%
    -1.8% Q1'26: +139.1% (vs Q4'24)
  • Share dilution Software - Application: +0.0%
    +0.0% Q1'26: +114.5% (vs Q4'24)
  • Debt / EBITDA Net debt/EBITDA · Software - Application: -1.16×
    0.00× Q1'26: -0.01× (vs Q4'24)
Valuation Multiples From To
DCF Interactive Model (UFCF)
Projection years:
Market assumptions
WACC components (optional)
Ke (Cost of Equity) = Rf + β (1.70) × ERP
WACC = 100% × Ke + 0% × Kd (4.3%) × (1−t)

Modifying these values recalculates WACC automatically.

Business assumptions
Intrinsic value (base): 0.02 Current price: 3.88
Enterprise Value: Equity Value: Terminal Value: TV as % of EV:

Base values reflect the latest available data for this company and market conditions.

Consensus Estimates
Metric Dec 2026
1 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Dec 2027
1 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Revenue
14.50M
14.50M – 14.50M
40.00M
40.00M – 40.00M
+175.9% YoY
EBITDA
-4.83M
-4.83M – -4.83M
-13.33M
-13.33M – -13.33M
-175.9% YoY
EBIT
-4.83M
-4.83M – -4.83M
-13.33M
-13.33M – -13.33M
-175.9% YoY
Net Income
-24.31M
-24.31M – -24.31M
-24.64M
-24.64M – -24.64M
-1.4% YoY
SGA
149.58M
149.58M – 149.58M
412.63M
412.63M – 412.63M
+175.9% YoY
EPS
-0.72
-0.72 – -0.72
-0.73
-0.73 – -0.73
-1.4% YoY
Recent Grade Changes (3M)
Date Firm Previous New Grade Action
2026-04-16 Roth Capital Buy Buy Maintain
Historical Ratings (3M)
Date Rating Overall DCF ROE ROA D/E P/E P/B
2026-05-19 C 2/5 2/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5

Owner Earnings

Owner's Earnings (history) From To
Owner alignment
Owner's Earnings TTM
-24.58M
OE per share TTM
-0.34
Owner's Yield
-12.17%
Maintenance CapEx ratio
Maint CapEx / Avg PPE
877.0%

Ownership Overview

Ownership breakdown

Ownership breakdown not available.

At a glance
Institutional holders
Total invested
Insider transactions (90d)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
9
Beneficial owners (>5%)
# Reporting person Amount owned % of class Sole voting Shared voting Sole dispositive Shared dispositive Type Citizenship Filing date SEC filing
1 ENTRUST GLOBAL PARTNERS L L C 13-4021839 956.9K 7.96% 956.9K 956.9K IA Delaware 2021-08-19
2 EnTrust Global Partners Offshore LP 90-0644478 956.9K 7.96% 956.9K 956.9K IA Delaware 2021-08-19
3 Gregg S. Hymowitz 000000000 956.9K 7.96% 956.9K 956.9K IN Delaware 2021-08-19
4 Century Capital Management LLC 891.2K 7.10% 819.2K 819.2K IA Delaware 2005-02-14
5 26-2921385 801.9K 6.70% 801.9K 801.9K IA California 2021-08-03
6 Eric D. Andersen 801.9K 6.70% 801.9K 801.9K HC, IN California 2021-08-03
7 Broad Run Investment Management, LLC (46-1010523) 690.9K 5.39% 690.9K 690.9K IA DelawareUSA 2015-02-11
8 06-1524885 656.4K 5.50% 648.3K 656.4K IA, CO CONNECTICUT 2007-02-14
9 (1) BlackRock, Inc. 654.6K 5.30% 639.8K 654.6K HC Delaware 2019-02-08

Institutional Activity (13F)

Institutional ownership trend

Institutional history not available.

Top institutional holders

Top holders not available.

ETF Ownership

Top ETFs holding this stock Held by 4 ETFs in our universe
# ETF Weight Est. AUM exposure TER
1 AltShares Merger Arbitrage ETF ARB 0.31% 281.9K 0.76%
2 Schwab U.S. Small-Cap ETF SCHA 0.00% 690.1K 0.03%
3 iShares Morningstar Small-Cap ETF ISCB 0.00% 5.3K 0.04%
4 Schwab U.S. Broad Market ETF SCHB 0.00% 135.3K 0.03%

Insider Activity

Insider Activity — Latest Quarter
Ratio by transactions
0.00
Bearish
Buys
12
Sells
0
Shares acquired
2.45M
Shares disposed
Cash buys
Cash sales
Net activity
+2,450,031
Insider buys vs sells (history) From To
Recent insider transactions From To
Date Person Role Transaction A/D Security Shares Price Value Owned after D/I Filing
2026-04-07 Brunner Mark Rawlins Officer 0 0.00 0
2026-03-16 Trabuco Carolyn Director 0 0.00 0
2026-03-16 Smith Robert Hanson Director 0 0.00 0
2026-03-16 Ravestein Leslie Renee Officer 0 0.00 0
2026-03-16 Quiet Capital Management, LLC 10% Owner 12.0% Series A Cumulative Convertible Preferred Stock 464,534 6.67 3.10M 0 I
2026-03-16 Montelongo Michael Director 0 0.00 0
2026-03-16 George Matthew Spencer Director / Officer A-Award A Common Stock 14,890,622 0.00 14,890,622 D
2026-03-16 FR Capital Holdings, L.P. 10% Owner Common Stock, par value $0.0001 per share 0 0.00 6,651,292 I
2026-03-16 Carrithers Ryan Michael Officer 0 0.00 0
2026-03-16 Braithwaite Kenneth John Director 0 0.00 0
2026-03-16 BRANNON KELYN Director 0 0.00 0
2026-03-16 BLITZER MICHAEL Director 0 0.00 0

Executive team

Top executives
Shares Outstanding
25.43M

Executive compensation

Executive compensation (annual)

Executive compensation not available.

CEO compensation breakdown

No CEO compensation history available.

Proxy statements

Proxy statements (DEF 14A)
Filing date Form type Filing
2025-09-26 DEF 14A
2025-09-15 PRE 14A

Recent SEC filings

Recent SEC filings
Filing date Form type Filing
2026-05-22 4
2026-05-22 4
2026-05-22 4
2026-05-22 4
2026-05-22 4
2026-05-22 4
2026-05-22 4
2026-05-22 4
2026-05-22 4
2026-05-22 4

Executive team

NameTitleCompensationGender
Matthew George Founder, President, CEO & Chairman of the Board 390.9K male
Ryan Carrithers CFO & Treasurer 219.4K male
Krishnan Anand Chief Program Officer
Leslie Ravestein Chief Legal Officer & Secretary female
Mark Brunner Chief Revenue Officer male
Michael Baker Chief Marketing Officer male
Nadja Adilovic Chief of Staff
Pablo González Senior Vice President of Engineering male
David Lasater Chief People Officer male
Timothy Burns Chief Technology Officer male
Grant Crenfeldt CEO of Merlin New Zealand male
ESG Rating
B
FINANCIAL - CREDIT SERVICES
2021
E (Environmental)
57.4 / 60.0
Company / Sector avg.
S (Social)
63.2 / 63.1
Company / Sector avg.
G (Governance)
58.6 / 59.1
Company / Sector avg.
ESG Total
59.7 / 60.7
Company / Sector avg.
ESG Score History FINANCIAL - CREDIT SERVICES
Benchmark vs Sector
Senate Trading Activity

No Senate trading activity found for this company.

House Trading Activity

No House trading activity found for this company.

Market share among peers
Peer comparison — filtered group (TTM)
Your opinion

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These are community opinions and do not constitute buy or sell advice to act on. The results shown are based on aggregated opinions and are not an investment recommendation, nor do they intend to influence any investment decision.

Dividend history

Earnings history

Earnings reports

Stock splits