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Lundin Gold Inc. (LUG.TO)

CAD76.69 -1.54 (-1.97%)
CA TSX Basic Materials Gold
Address 885 West Georgia Street V6C 3E8
Vancouver, BC, CA
CEO James A. Beck
IPO 1996-08-08
ISIN CA5503711080

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Also trades on London Stock Exchange · 0R4M.L (SEK) Other OTC · LUGDF (USD) Stockholm Stock Exchange · LUG.ST (SEK) Toronto Stock Exchange · LUG.TO (CAD)
Description

Lundin Gold Inc. is a Vancouver-based Canadian mining enterprise established in 1986. Its primary focus is on extensive exploration and development assets in Southeast Ecuador, where it controls rights to roughly 64,270 hectares. These holdings include 27 metallic mineral concessions and three construction material concessions. The company's most significant asset is the Fruta del Norte gold project, an operation comprising seven concessions across approximately 5,566 hectares, located near the city of Loja in Ecuador. Originally known as Fortress Minerals Corp., the firm officially changed its name to Lundin Gold Inc. in December 2014.

Market Cap & Enterprise Value
Merger & Acquisition History

No mergers or acquisitions recorded for this company.

Technical Outlook
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Signal Summary Loading…
Indicator 1D1W2W3W1M
Each column is computed on that timeframe's candles (1D = daily, 1W ≈ weekly, 1M ≈ monthly), not on the same last day. ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · — neutral. The Net row counts signals per column; hover any cell (or the indicator name) to see the exact rule behind it.
Day Score & sub-scores
Statistical fingerprint & regime detail
Conditional historical analysis
Customize analysis (advanced)
Indicative levels generated algorithmically. Not financial advice.
Risk Profile
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Price Chart
Averages
Trend
Price
Levels
Draw
CAD76.69 -1.54 (-1.97%)
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Volume Profile
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Liquidity & share structure
Average Volume
658.7K
Beta
1.41
Float Shares
100.15M
Free Float %
41.4%
Price Performance
1D5D1M3M6M YTD1Y3Y5Y10YMax
-0.72% +3.28% -16.51% -11.50% -13.73% -14.94% +67.69% +422.58% +736.12% +1,589.72% +590.81%
Rolling Volatility
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Drawdown
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Relative Strength
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
From To
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Annual Monthly Returns
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Daily Returns Distribution
vs.
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Revenue flow

Revenue by geography

Revenue by segment

From To

Revenue composition

From To

By product

By geography

Financial Statements

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Cash Flow Statement

Key Metrics

Financial Ratios

Employees

Financial Growth (CAGR)

Market Data

Price Targets & DCF
Current price
76.69
DCF (Unlevered) 49.72 -35.2%
DCF (Levered) 63.88 -16.7%

DCF figures are point estimates: small changes in growth or discount-rate assumptions move them materially. Read them as a reference, not a precise target.

Ratings Trend (MoM) 7% Bullish
Rating 2026-05 Change
Strong Buy 0 0
Buy 1 0
Hold 11 0
Sell 0 0
Strong Sell 2 0
Quality scores
Altman Z-Score
26.18
Safe zone
Piotroski F-Score
6 / 9
Average
MOAT Score
6 / 10
Developing
Composite Rating
B+
Overall Score
3 / 5
Medium
DCF Score
4 / 5
High
ROE Score
5 / 5
High
ROA Score
5 / 5
High
D/E Score
1 / 5
Low
P/E Score
2 / 5
Medium
P/Book Score
1 / 5
Low
Operational MOAT
✓ MOAT relativo
  • Revenue growth Gold: +36.5%
    +52.1% Q1'26: +59.2% (vs Q1'25)
  • EPS growth Gold: +64.9%
    +88.6% Q1'26: +79.4% (vs Q1'25)
  • FCF margin FCF growth · Gold: +77.7%
    +54.5% Q1'26: +61.8% (vs Q1'25)
  • EBIT margin Gold: +25.8%
    +61.8% Q1'26: +68.9% (vs Q1'25)
  • ROIC Gold: +11.0%
    +108.0% Q1'26: +163.3% (vs Q1'25)
  • Share dilution Gold: -3.9%
    +0.5% Q1'26: +0.3% (vs Q1'25)
  • Debt / EBITDA Net debt/EBITDA · Gold: -0.09×
    0.00× Q1'26: 0.00× (vs Q1'25)
Valuation Multiples From To
Price Forecast (3Y) From To
Model
Adjust
P/E
Theoretical Return — If Invested Today

* These projections are based on analyst consensus estimates and user-defined valuation multiples. This table is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

DCF Interactive Model (UFCF)
Projection years:
Market assumptions
WACC components (optional)
Ke (Cost of Equity) = Rf + β (1.41) × ERP
WACC = 100% × Ke + 0% × Kd (4.0%) × (1−t)

Modifying these values recalculates WACC automatically.

Business assumptions
Intrinsic value (base): 49.50 Current price: 76.69
Enterprise Value: Equity Value: Terminal Value: TV as % of EV:

Base values reflect the latest available data for this company and market conditions.

Consensus Estimates
Metric Dec 2019
actual
Dec 2020
actual
Dec 2021
actual
Dec 2022
actual
Dec 2023
actual
Dec 2024
actual
Dec 2025
actual
Dec 2026
6 Rev. Ana.
9 EPS Ana.
Dec 2027
8 Rev. Ana.
9 EPS Ana.
Dec 2028
5 Rev. Ana.
4 EPS Ana.
Dec 2029
2 Rev. Ana.
2 EPS Ana.
Dec 2030
2 Rev. Ana.
2 EPS Ana.
Revenue
est: 7.11M (-100.0%)
358.16M
est: 364.26M (-1.7%)
733.33M
est: 729.59M (+0.5%)
815.67M
est: 801.68M (+1.7%)
902.52M
est: 680.24M (+32.7%)
1.19B
est: 1.18B (+0.7%)
1.81B
est: 1.79B (+1.5%)
2.43B
2.24B – 2.66B
+35.7% YoY
2.59B
2.06B – 3.27B
+6.9% YoY
2.33B
2.00B – 2.75B
-10.1% YoY
2.17B
1.86B – 2.56B
-7.0% YoY
1.54B
1.32B – 1.82B
-28.9% YoY
EBITDA
-26.22M
est: 4.21M (-722.4%)
207.19M
est: 215.67M (-3.9%)
428.71M
est: 431.98M (-0.8%)
465.57M
est: 474.67M (-1.9%)
527.06M
est: 418.49M (+25.9%)
766.60M
est: 728.76M (+5.2%)
1.26B
est: 1.10B (+14.5%)
1.49B
1.38B – 1.64B
+35.7% YoY
1.60B
1.27B – 2.01B
+6.9% YoY
1.43B
1.23B – 1.69B
-10.1% YoY
1.33B
1.14B – 1.57B
-7.0% YoY
948.16M
812.28M – 1.12B
-28.9% YoY
EBIT
-26.75M
est: 3.18M (-942.0%)
151.78M
est: 162.65M (-6.7%)
321.15M
est: 325.78M (-1.4%)
334.90M
est: 357.97M (-6.4%)
390.43M
est: 330.21M (+18.2%)
629.60M
est: 575.03M (+9.5%)
1.12B
est: 867.90M (+29.2%)
1.18B
1.09B – 1.29B
+35.7% YoY
1.26B
1.00B – 1.59B
+6.9% YoY
1.13B
969.59M – 1.34B
-10.1% YoY
1.05B
901.92M – 1.24B
-7.0% YoY
748.15M
640.93M – 882.98M
-28.9% YoY
Net Income
-118.95M
est: -57.10M (-108.3%)
-47.16M
est: 114.20M (-141.3%)
221.43M
est: 216.24M (+2.4%)
73.56M
est: 145.05M (-49.3%)
179.46M
est: 165.32M (+8.5%)
426.05M
est: 449.82M (-5.3%)
806.02M
est: 653.95M (+23.3%)
1.17B
988.80M – 1.35B
+78.5% YoY
1.10B
816.55M – 1.85B
-6.1% YoY
850.56M
829.69M – 1.25B
-22.4% YoY
905.36M
736.69M – 1.12B
+6.4% YoY
591.08M
480.96M – 729.56M
-34.7% YoY
SGA
25.52M
est: 349.4K (+7,203.5%)
20.61M
est: 17.89M (+15.2%)
24.86M
est: 35.84M (-30.6%)
34.86M
est: 39.38M (-11.5%)
44.75M
est: 30.50M (+46.7%)
73.79M
est: 53.11M (+38.9%)
65.54M
est: 80.16M (-18.2%)
108.81M
100.27M – 119.34M
+35.7% YoY
116.30M
92.48M – 146.47M
+6.9% YoY
104.54M
89.56M – 123.38M
-10.1% YoY
97.24M
83.31M – 114.77M
-7.0% YoY
69.10M
59.20M – 81.56M
-28.9% YoY
EPS
-0.96
est: -0.24 (-305.9%)
-0.21
est: 0.47 (-144.4%)
0.95
est: 0.90 (+6.1%)
0.31
est: 0.60 (-48.2%)
0.75
est: 0.69 (+8.0%)
1.78
est: 1.74 (+2.2%)
3.34
est: 3.27 (+2.2%)
4.69
4.08 – 5.55
+43.6% YoY
5.07
3.37 – 7.64
+8.1% YoY
4.27
3.42 – 5.15
-15.9% YoY
3.73
3.04 – 4.61
-12.5% YoY
2.44
1.98 – 3.01
-34.7% YoY
Historical Ratings (3M)
Date Rating Overall DCF ROE ROA D/E P/E P/B
2026-05-07 B+ 3/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 1/5 2/5 1/5
2026-05-06 B+ 3/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 1/5 2/5 1/5
2026-05-05 B+ 3/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 1/5 2/5 1/5
2026-05-04 B+ 3/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 1/5 2/5 1/5
2026-05-01 B+ 3/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 1/5 2/5 1/5
2026-04-30 B+ 3/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 1/5 2/5 1/5
2026-04-29 B+ 3/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 1/5 2/5 1/5
2026-04-28 B+ 3/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 1/5 2/5 1/5
2026-04-27 B+ 3/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 1/5 2/5 1/5
2026-04-24 B+ 3/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 1/5 2/5 1/5
2026-04-23 B+ 3/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 1/5 2/5 1/5
2026-04-22 B+ 3/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 1/5 2/5 1/5
2026-04-21 B+ 3/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 1/5 2/5 1/5
2026-04-20 B+ 3/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 1/5 2/5 1/5
2026-04-17 B+ 3/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 1/5 2/5 1/5
2026-04-16 B+ 3/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 1/5 2/5 1/5
2026-04-15 B+ 3/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 1/5 2/5 1/5

Owner Earnings

Owner's Earnings (history) From To
Owner alignment
Owner's Earnings TTM
1.90B
OE per share TTM
7.84
Owner's Yield
8.51%
Maintenance CapEx ratio
82.58%
Maint CapEx / Avg PPE
116.0%

Ownership Overview

Ownership breakdown
At a glance
Institutional holders
3
Total invested
3.76M
Insider transactions (90d)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)

No beneficial ownership filings recorded.

Institutional Activity (13F)

Institutional ownership trend From To
13F snapshot — 2026 Q1
Investors holding
3
-2 vs prev Q
New positions
0
Closed positions
2
Increased
2
Reduced
0
Put/Call ratio
0.00
Calls held
Puts held
Top institutional holders
# Investor Shares / Δ Mkt value / Δ Own% / Δ Weight% / Δ Avg px / Perf. Hold / Status
1 ATIVO CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 26.8K -1.8K (-6.3%) 2.22M +373.8K (+20.2%) 0.01% -0.001 pp 1.95% +0.388 pp CAD71.90 +58.6% 3 qtrs
2 CONFLUENCE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLC 11.2K +1.3K (+13.1%) 930.2K +289.0K (+45.1%) 0.00% +0.001 pp 0.01% +0.005 pp CAD78.52 +45.2% 3 qtrs
3 CORUNDUM TRUST COMPANY, INC 11.0K +— (+0.0%) 913.4K +201.3K (+28.3%) 0.00% +0.000 pp 2.08% +0.535 pp CAD71.90 +58.6% 3 qtrs
4 ORG WEALTH PARTNERS, LLC 1.6K +621.0 (+65.2%) 130.6K +69.0K (+112.0%) 0.00% +0.000 pp 0.03% +0.018 pp CAD99.58 +14.5% 2 qtrs
5 RHUMBLINE ADVISERS 30.00 +— (+0.0%) 2.5K +549.0 (+28.3%) 0.00% +0.000 pp 0.00% +0.000 pp CAD71.90 +58.6% 3 qtrs
Ownership breakdown by holder

Insider Activity

Insider Activity — Latest Quarter

No insider activity available.

Insider buys vs sells (history)

Insider history not available.

Recent insider transactions

No recent insider transactions.

Executive team

Top executives
EBIT / Employee
592.5K
Shares Outstanding
241.72M

Executive compensation

Executive compensation (annual)

Executive compensation not available.

CEO compensation breakdown

No CEO compensation history available.

Proxy statements

Proxy statements (DEF 14A)

No proxy statements available for this company yet.

Recent SEC filings

Recent SEC filings

No SEC filings available for this company yet.

Executive team

NameTitleCompensationGender
James Beck President, Chief Executive Officer & Director 977.6K male
Chester See Chief Financial Officer 839.5K male
Terrence F. D. Smith Chief Operating Officer 821.0K male
Sheila Margaret Colman Vice President of Legal and Sustainability 681.7K female
Brendan Creaney Vice President of Corporate Development & Investor Relations 619.0K male
Andre Oliveira Vice President of Exploration 525.5K male
ESG Score History

No data available for this company.

Senate Trading Activity

No Senate trading activity found for this company.

House Trading Activity

No House trading activity found for this company.

Market share among peers
Peer comparison — filtered group (TTM)
Your opinion

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Dividend yield history

Dividend history

Earnings history

Earnings reports

Stock splits