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Expert.ai S.p.A. (EXAI.MI)

EUR1.66 -0.03 (-1.66%)
IT MIL Technology Software - Application
Address Via Virgilio 56/Q 41123
Modena, MO, IT
CEO Dario Pardi
Website expert.ai
IPO 2014-02-18
ISIN IT0004496029

Explore sections of this company profile

Also trades on Italian Stock Exchange · EXAI.MI (EUR) Other OTC · EXSPF (USD)
Description

Expert.ai S.p.A. is a global artificial intelligence company that develops and markets cognitive computing software designed to interpret and process written language using advanced AI algorithms. Its product portfolio includes the foundational expert.ai Platform, which extracts strategic value from linguistic data. Specific offerings include expert.ai Answers, an automation solution for customer support and internal staff interactions that mimics human conversation; expert.ai Discover, focused on text analytics, data extraction, and categorization; expert.ai for Insurance, which automates claims management through natural language understanding; and expert.ai for Life Sciences, engineered to emulate human comprehension of scientific content such as publications, patents, clinical trials, and medical documents. The company serves a diverse range of industries, including banking and insurance, public administration, life sciences and pharmaceuticals, oil and gas, media and publishing, telecom and utilities, as well as defense, intelligence, and law enforcement. Expert.ai S.p.A. maintains a strategic partnership with WealthIntel Inc. to advance innovations in natural language and text analytics. Founded in 1989 as Expert System S.p.A., the company adopted its current name in May 2021 and is headquartered in Modena, Italy.

Market Cap & Enterprise Value
Merger & Acquisition History

No mergers or acquisitions recorded for this company.

Technical Outlook
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Signal Summary Loading…
Indicator 1D1W2W3W1M
Each column is computed on that timeframe's candles (1D = daily, 1W ≈ weekly, 1M ≈ monthly), not on the same last day. ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · — neutral. The Net row counts signals per column; hover any cell (or the indicator name) to see the exact rule behind it.
Day Score & sub-scores
Statistical fingerprint & regime detail
Conditional historical analysis
Customize analysis (advanced)
Indicative levels generated algorithmically. Not financial advice.
Risk Profile
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Price Chart
Averages
Trend
Price
Levels
Draw
EUR1.66 -0.03 (-1.66%)
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Volume Profile
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Liquidity & share structure
Average Volume
146.0K
Beta
1.64
Float Shares
79.89M
Free Float %
70.6%
Price Performance
1D5D1M3M6M YTD1Y3Y5Y10YMax
-0.61% +0.00% -7.87% +3.14% +2.50% -7.34% +13.89% +99.16% -42.66% -14.14% -10.87%
Rolling Volatility
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Drawdown
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Relative Strength
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
From To
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Annual Monthly Returns
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Daily Returns Distribution
vs.
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Revenue flow

Revenue by geography

Revenue by segment

From To

Revenue composition

From To

By product

By geography

Financial Statements

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Cash Flow Statement

Key Metrics

Financial Ratios

Employees

Financial Growth (CAGR)

Market Data

Price Targets & DCF
Current price
1.66
Ratings Trend (MoM) 50% Bullish
Rating 2026-05 Change
Strong Buy 0 0
Buy 1 0
Hold 1 0
Sell 0 0
Strong Sell 0 0
Quality scores
Altman Z-Score
3.13
Safe zone
Piotroski F-Score
4 / 9
Average
MOAT Score
0 / 10
No MOAT
Composite Rating
D+
Overall Score
1 / 5
Low
DCF Score
1 / 5
Low
ROE Score
1 / 5
Low
ROA Score
1 / 5
Low
D/E Score
1 / 5
Low
P/E Score
1 / 5
Low
P/Book Score
2 / 5
Medium
Operational MOAT
✗ Below peers
  • ✓
    Revenue growth Software - Application: +13.0%
    +61.5% ★ Q4'25: +43.3% (vs Q4'23)
  • ✗
    EPS growth Software - Application: +28.6%
    +49.6% ★ Q4'25: +129.4% (vs Q4'23)
  • ✓
    FCF margin FCF growth · Software - Application: +45.3%
    +18.7% Q4'25: +33.6% (vs Q4'23)
  • ✗
    EBIT margin Software - Application: +9.4%
    -2.4% Q4'25: +17.5% (vs Q4'23)
  • ✗
    ROIC Software - Application: +7.5%
    -1.9% Q4'25: +27.8% (vs Q4'23)
  • ✗
    Share dilution Software - Application: +0.0%
    +69.2% Q4'25: +76.8% (vs Q4'23)
  • ✓
    Debt / EBITDA Net debt/EBITDA · Software - Application: -1.16×
    2.05× Q4'25: 0.98× (vs Q4'23)
Valuation Multiples From To
Price Forecast (3Y) From To
Model
Adjust
P/E
Theoretical Return — If Invested Today

* These projections are based on analyst consensus estimates and user-defined valuation multiples. This table is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

DCF Interactive Model (UFCF)
Projection years:
Market assumptions
▶ WACC components (optional)
Ke (Cost of Equity) = Rf + β (1.64) × ERP
WACC = 91% × Ke + 9% × Kd (16.0%) × (1−t)

Modifying these values recalculates WACC automatically.

Business assumptions
—
Current price: 1.66
Enterprise Value: — Equity Value: — Terminal Value: — TV as % of EV: —

Base values reflect the latest available data for this company and market conditions.

Consensus Estimates
Metric Dec 2015
actual 		Dec 2016
actual 		Dec 2017
actual 		Dec 2018
actual 		Dec 2019
actual 		Dec 2020
actual 		Dec 2021
actual 		Dec 2022
actual 		Dec 2023
actual 		Dec 2024
actual 		Dec 2025
actual 		Dec 2026
2 Rev. Ana.
2 EPS Ana. 		Dec 2027
2 Rev. Ana.
2 EPS Ana.
Revenue
16.39M
est: 19.01M (-13.8%)
23.37M
est: 23.00M (+1.6%)
26.41M
est: 25.12M (+5.2%)
28.86M
est: 29.55M (-2.3%)
31.89M
est: 31.90M (0.0%)
28.19M
est: 31.00M (-9.1%)
28.71M
est: 32.00M (-10.3%)
28.45M
est: 44.00M (-35.3%)
29.78M
est: 33.39M (-10.8%)
24.53M
est: 34.40M (-28.7%)
39.62M
est: 38.00M (+4.3%)
47.80M
44.00M – 51.60M
+25.8% YoY
52.05M
47.91M – 56.19M
+8.9% YoY
EBITDA
1.96M
est: -3.06M (+164.2%)
-1.81M
est: -3.70M (+51.2%)
-736.1K
est: -4.04M (+81.8%)
5.10M
est: -4.75M (+207.4%)
8.08M
est: -5.13M (+257.5%)
-862.3K
est: -4.99M (+82.7%)
-7.15M
est: -5.15M (-38.9%)
-14.79M
est: -7.08M (-108.9%)
-45.7K
est: -3.73M (+98.8%)
-82.7K
est: -3.84M (+97.8%)
8.54M
est: -4.24M (+301.5%)
-5.33M
-5.76M – -4.91M
-25.8% YoY
-5.81M
-6.27M – -5.35M
-8.9% YoY
EBIT
-3.26M
est: -8.58M (+62.0%)
-8.22M
est: -10.39M (+20.9%)
-8.23M
est: -11.34M (+27.4%)
-2.70M
est: -13.34M (+79.7%)
-336.2K
est: -14.40M (+97.7%)
-7.89M
est: -14.00M (+43.7%)
-14.90M
est: -14.45M (-3.1%)
-23.49M
est: -19.87M (-18.2%)
-8.62M
est: -13.37M (+35.5%)
-8.44M
est: -13.77M (+38.7%)
-951.9K
est: -15.22M (+93.7%)
-19.14M
-20.66M – -17.62M
-25.8% YoY
-20.84M
-22.50M – -19.18M
-8.9% YoY
Net Income
-3.28M
est: -2.01M (-63.3%)
-8.13M
est: -15.03M (+45.9%)
-8.34M
est: -9.18M (+9.2%)
-3.78M
est: -7.54M (+49.9%)
-983.0K
est: -1.97M (+50.1%)
-7.66M
est: -3.29M (-133.1%)
-15.72M
est: -16.76M (+6.2%)
-17.05M
est: -26.31M (+35.2%)
-9.86M
est: -14.32M (+31.2%)
-10.06M
est: -4.52M (-122.6%)
-5.69M
est: -1.13M (-404.0%)
1.13M
1.01M – 1.25M
+200.0% YoY
2.40M
2.26M – 4.52M
+112.4% YoY
SGA
3.99M
est: 2.72M (+46.6%)
5.16M
est: 3.29M (+56.5%)
1.85M
est: 3.60M (-48.4%)
10.05M
est: 4.23M (+137.4%)
13.38M
est: 4.57M (+192.9%)
13.81M
est: 4.44M (+211.0%)
1.04M
est: 4.58M (-77.3%)
7.73M
est: 6.30M (+22.7%)
4.40M
est: 1.51M (+191.4%)
-5.63M
est: 1.56M (-461.7%)
—
est: 1.72M (-100.0%)
2.16M
1.99M – 2.34M
+25.8% YoY
2.36M
2.17M – 2.54M
+8.9% YoY
EPS
-0.13
est: -0.03 (-331.8%)
-0.29
est: -0.23 (-28.9%)
-0.23
est: -0.14 (-67.3%)
-0.11
est: -0.11 (+2.6%)
-0.02
est: -0.03 (+16.9%)
-0.17
est: -0.05 (-245.4%)
-0.30
est: -0.25 (-19.5%)
-0.30
est: -0.39 (+23.9%)
-0.14
est: -0.13 (-10.5%)
-0.10
est: -0.04 (-150.0%)
-0.05
est: -0.01 (-404.0%)
0.01
0.01 – 0.01
+200.0% YoY
0.03
0.02 – 0.04
+200.0% YoY
Historical Ratings (3M)
Date Rating Overall DCF ROE ROA D/E P/E P/B
2026-05-29 D+ 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-05-28 D+ 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-05-27 D+ 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-05-26 D+ 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-05-25 D+ 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-05-22 D+ 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-05-21 D+ 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-05-20 D+ 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-05-19 D+ 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-05-18 D+ 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-05-15 D+ 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-05-14 D+ 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-05-13 D+ 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-05-12 D+ 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-05-11 D+ 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-05-08 D+ 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-05-07 D+ 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-05-06 D+ 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-05-05 D+ 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-05-04 D+ 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-04-30 D+ 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-04-29 D+ 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-04-28 D+ 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-04-27 D+ 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-04-24 D+ 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-04-23 D+ 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-04-22 D+ 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-04-21 D+ 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-04-20 D+ 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-04-17 D+ 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 2/5
2026-04-16 D+ 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 2/5

Owner Earnings

Owner's Earnings (history) From To
Owner alignment
Owner's Earnings TTM
10.47M
OE per share TTM
0.09
Owner's Yield
5.65%
Maintenance CapEx ratio
45.29%
Maint CapEx / Avg PPE
7.1%

Ownership Overview

Ownership breakdown

Ownership breakdown not available.

At a glance
Institutional holders
—
Total invested
—
Insider transactions (90d)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)

No beneficial ownership filings recorded.

Institutional Activity (13F)

Institutional ownership trend

Institutional history not available.

Top institutional holders

Top holders not available.

ETF Ownership

Top ETFs holding this stock

This company is not held by any ETF in our universe.

Insider Activity

Insider Activity — Latest Quarter

No insider activity available.

Insider buys vs sells (history)

Insider history not available.

Recent insider transactions

No recent insider transactions.

Executive team

Top executives
EBIT / Employee
-3.2K
Shares Outstanding
113.09M

Executive compensation

Executive compensation (annual)

Executive compensation not available.

CEO compensation breakdown

No CEO compensation history available.

Proxy statements

Proxy statements (DEF 14A)

No proxy statements available for this company yet.

Recent SEC filings

Recent SEC filings

No SEC filings available for this company yet.

Executive team

NameTitleCompensationGender
Christophe Aubry Global Head of Value Creation — male
Dario Pardi Chairman of the Board & CEO — male
Fabio Montorselli Group Chief Financial Officer — —
Francesca Petronio Chief People Officer — female
Keith C. Lincoln Chief Marketing Officer — male
Luca Scagliarini Chief Product Officer — male
Marcello Pellacani Vice President of Strategic Initiatives & RPA Alliances and Director of Expert System UK — male
Marco Varone Founder, Chief Technology Officer & Vice Chairman — male
Peter Caiazzi Chief Operating Officer — male
Stefano Spaggiari Founder & Director — male
ESG Score History

No data available for this company.

Senate Trading Activity

No Senate trading activity found for this company.

House Trading Activity

No House trading activity found for this company.

Market share among peers
Peer comparison — filtered group (TTM)
Your opinion

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Dividend history

Earnings history

Earnings reports

Stock splits

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