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Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL.TO)

CAD5.15 +0.00 (+0.00%)
CA TSX Basic Materials Steel
Address 105 West Street P6A 7B4
Sault Ste. Marie, ON, CA
CEO Rajat Marwah
Website algoma.com
IPO 2021-10-20
ISIN CA0156581070

Explore sections of this company profile

Also trades on NASDAQ Global Market · ASTL (USD) NASDAQ Global Market · ASTLW (USD) Toronto Stock Exchange · ASTL.TO (CAD)
Description

Algoma Steel Group Inc. is a North American producer and vendor of various steel products. The company supplies an array of flat and sheet steel materials, including temper rolled, cold rolled, hot-rolled pickled and oiled, floor plate, and cut-to-length items. These are integral to the automotive sector, hollow structural product manufacturers, and both light manufacturing and transportation industries. Additionally, Algoma Steel offers plate steel, available in rolled, hot-rolled, and heat-treated conditions, which is utilized in constructing or fabricating railcars, buildings, bridges, heavy-duty off-highway equipment, storage tanks, ships, and for military applications. Established in 1901, Algoma Steel Group Inc. is headquartered in Sault Ste. Marie, Canada.

Market Cap & Enterprise Value
Merger & Acquisition History

No mergers or acquisitions recorded for this company.

Technical Outlook
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Signal Summary Loading…
Indicator 1D1W2W3W1M
Each column is computed on that timeframe's candles (1D = daily, 1W ≈ weekly, 1M ≈ monthly), not on the same last day. ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · — neutral. The Net row counts signals per column; hover any cell (or the indicator name) to see the exact rule behind it.
Day Score & sub-scores
Statistical fingerprint & regime detail
Conditional historical analysis
Customize analysis (advanced)
Indicative levels generated algorithmically. Not financial advice.
Risk Profile
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Price Chart
Averages
Trend
Price
Levels
Draw
CAD5.15 +0.00 (+0.00%)
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Volume Profile
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Liquidity & share structure
Average Volume
487.8K
Beta
1.64
Float Shares
97.05M
Free Float %
92.5%
Price Performance
1D5D1M3M6M YTD1Y3Y5Y10YMax
-2.56% -1.01% +5.54% +17.67% +24.95% +21.42% -21.51% -28.54% -52.53% -52.53% -52.53%
Rolling Volatility
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Drawdown
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Relative Strength
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
From To
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Annual Monthly Returns
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Daily Returns Distribution
vs.
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Revenue flow

Revenue by geography

Revenue by segment

From To

Revenue composition

From To

By product

By geography

Financial Statements

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Cash Flow Statement

Key Metrics

Financial Ratios

Employees

Financial Growth (CAGR)

Market Data

Price Targets & DCF
Current price
5.15
Ratings Trend (MoM) 25% Bullish
Rating 2026-05 Change
Strong Buy 1 0
Buy 0 0
Hold 3 0
Sell 0 0
Strong Sell 0 0
Quality scores
Altman Z-Score
-0.90
Distress
Piotroski F-Score
3 / 9
Average
MOAT Score
1 / 10
No MOAT
Composite Rating
C-
Overall Score
1 / 5
Low
DCF Score
1 / 5
Low
ROE Score
1 / 5
Low
ROA Score
1 / 5
Low
D/E Score
1 / 5
Low
P/E Score
1 / 5
Low
P/Book Score
4 / 5
High
Operational MOAT
✗ Below peers
  • Revenue growth Steel: +1.2%
    -15.0% Q4'25: -12.4% (vs Q4'24)
  • EPS growth Steel: +17.4%
    -342.0% Q4'25: +83.6% (vs Q4'24)
  • FCF margin FCF growth · Steel: +44.2%
    -42.3% Q4'25: -11.9% (vs Q4'24)
  • EBIT margin Steel: +5.8%
    -58.3% Q4'25: -14.5% (vs Q4'24)
  • ROIC Steel: +4.3%
    -95.3% Q4'25: -13.5% (vs Q4'24)
  • Share dilution Steel: +0.0%
    +0.2% Q4'25: -0.3% (vs Q4'24)
  • Debt / EBITDA Net debt/EBITDA · Steel: 0.57×
    -1.00× Q4'25: -5.76× (vs Q4'24)
Valuation Multiples From To
Price Forecast (3Y) From To
Model
Adjust
P/E
Theoretical Return — If Invested Today

* These projections are based on analyst consensus estimates and user-defined valuation multiples. This table is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

DCF Interactive Model (UFCF)
Projection years:
Market assumptions
WACC components (optional)
Ke (Cost of Equity) = Rf + β (1.55) × ERP
WACC = 47% × Ke + 53% × Kd (9.9%) × (1−t)

Modifying these values recalculates WACC automatically.

Business assumptions
Current price: 5.15
Enterprise Value: Equity Value: Terminal Value: TV as % of EV:

Base values reflect the latest available data for this company and market conditions.

Consensus Estimates
Metric Dec 2021
actual
Dec 2022
actual
Dec 2023
actual
Dec 2024
actual
Dec 2024
actual
Dec 2025
actual
Dec 2026
1 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Dec 2027
1 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Revenue
1.79B
est: 3.80B (-52.8%)
3.81B
est: 2.76B (+37.8%)
2.78B
est: 2.75B (+1.0%)
2.80B
est: 2.47B (+13.2%)
2.45B
est: 2.47B (-0.6%)
2.09B
est: 2.10B (-0.5%)
3.17B
3.17B – 3.17B
+51.3% YoY
3.47B
3.47B – 3.47B
+9.5% YoY
EBITDA
79.60M
est: 131.95M (-39.7%)
1.29B
est: 95.79M (+1,249.0%)
489.30M
est: 95.41M (+412.8%)
278.40M
est: 85.65M (+225.0%)
-72.80M
est: 85.65M (-185.0%)
-859.60M
est: 72.72M (-1,282.1%)
110.02M
110.02M – 110.02M
+51.3% YoY
120.44M
120.44M – 120.44M
+9.5% YoY
EBIT
-7.60M
est: -118.09M (+93.6%)
1.21B
est: -85.73M (+1,505.8%)
390.40M
est: -85.39M (+557.2%)
163.40M
est: -76.66M (+313.2%)
-216.13M
est: -76.66M (-181.9%)
-1.22B
est: -65.08M (-1,767.7%)
-98.47M
-98.47M – -98.47M
-51.3% YoY
-107.79M
-107.79M – -107.79M
-9.5% YoY
Net Income
-76.10M
est: 881.83M (-108.6%)
857.70M
est: 215.44M (+298.1%)
298.50M
est: 73.00M (+308.9%)
105.20M
est: -161.06M (+165.3%)
-222.67M
est: -161.06M (-38.2%)
-984.90M
est: -613.20M (-60.6%)
184.21M
184.21M – 184.21M
+130.0% YoY
236.96M
236.96M – 236.96M
+28.6% YoY
SGA
72.00M
est: 162.06M (-55.6%)
102.60M
est: 117.65M (-12.8%)
99.30M
est: 117.18M (-15.3%)
114.70M
est: 105.20M (+9.0%)
137.60M
est: 105.20M (+30.8%)
111.00M
est: 89.31M (+24.3%)
135.12M
135.12M – 135.12M
+51.3% YoY
147.92M
147.92M – 147.92M
+9.5% YoY
EPS
-0.51
est: 8.11 (-106.3%)
5.80
est: 1.98 (+192.6%)
2.43
est: 0.67 (+261.9%)
0.86
est: -1.48 (+158.0%)
-2.05
est: -1.48 (-38.4%)
-9.06
est: -5.64 (-60.6%)
1.69
1.69 – 1.69
+130.0% YoY
2.18
2.18 – 2.18
+28.6% YoY
Historical Ratings (3M)
Date Rating Overall DCF ROE ROA D/E P/E P/B
2026-05-11 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-08 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-07 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-06 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-05 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-04 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-05-01 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-04-30 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-04-29 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-04-28 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-04-27 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 4/5
2026-04-24 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 3/5
2026-04-23 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 3/5
2026-04-22 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 3/5
2026-04-21 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 3/5
2026-04-20 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 3/5
2026-04-17 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 3/5
2026-04-16 C- 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 3/5

Owner Earnings

Owner's Earnings (history) From To
Owner alignment
Owner's Earnings TTM
-462.39M
OE per share TTM
-4.25
Owner's Yield
-60.42%
Maintenance CapEx ratio
Maint CapEx / Avg PPE
42.2%

Ownership Overview

Ownership breakdown

Ownership breakdown not available.

At a glance
Institutional holders
Total invested
Insider transactions (90d)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)

No beneficial ownership filings recorded.

Institutional Activity (13F)

Institutional ownership trend

Institutional history not available.

Top institutional holders

Top holders not available.

ETF Ownership

Top ETFs holding this stock Held by 11 ETFs in our universe
# ETF Weight Est. AUM exposure TER
1 BMO Equal Weight Industrials Index ETF ZIN.TO 2.03% 851.8K 0.62%
2 iShares S&P/TSX SmallCap Index ETF XCS.TO 0.16% 279.9K 0.60%
3 Schwab Fundamental International Small Company Index ETF FNDC 0.04% 1.29M 0.39%
4 iShares U.S. Infrastructure ETF IFRA 0.02% 811.9K 0.30%
5 iShares U.S. Small-Cap Equity Factor ETF SMLF 0.01% 469.9K 0.15%
6 Avantis International Small Cap Equity ETF AVDS 0.01% 31.8K 0.30%
7 TD Canadian Equity Index ETF TTP.TO 0.01% 445.1K 0.05%
8 iShares Total Return Active ETF BRTR 0.00% 12.1K 0.41%
9 Dimensional - International Core Equity Market ETF DFAI 0.00% 170.6K 0.18%
10 Avantis International Equity ETF AVDE 0.00% 105.0K 0.23%

Insider Activity

Insider Activity — Latest Quarter

No insider activity available.

Insider buys vs sells (history)

Insider history not available.

Recent insider transactions

No recent insider transactions.

Executive team

Top executives
EBIT / Employee
-431.3K
Shares Outstanding
104.93M

Executive compensation

Executive compensation (annual)

Executive compensation not available.

CEO compensation breakdown

No CEO compensation history available.

Proxy statements

Proxy statements (DEF 14A)

No proxy statements available for this company yet.

Recent SEC filings

Recent SEC filings

No SEC filings available for this company yet.

Executive team

NameTitleCompensationGender
Michael Moraca Chief Financial Officer 1M male
Rajat Marwah President & CEO 768.8K male
Michael Panzeri Senior Vice President of Production 768.4K male
John Ralph Naccarato Vice President of Strategy & Chief Legal Officer 736.5K male
Chris Ford Chief Commercial Officer male
Danielle Baker Chief Human Resource Officer female
ESG Score History

No data available for this company.

Senate Trading Activity

No Senate trading activity found for this company.

House Trading Activity

No House trading activity found for this company.

Market share among peers
Peer comparison — filtered group (TTM)
Your opinion

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Dividend yield history

Dividend history

Earnings history

Earnings reports

Stock splits