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Migao Group Holdings Limited (9879.HK)

HKD8.99 +0.21 (+2.39%)
HK HKSE Basic Materials Agricultural Inputs
Address COFCO Tower
Causeway Bay, HK
CEO Guocai Liu
IPO 2024-03-21
ISIN KYG58Y0B1054

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Description

Migao Group Holdings Limited functions as an investment holding company with a core business centered on specialty potash-based fertilizers within the People's Republic of China. Its comprehensive operations encompass the sourcing, acquisition, processing, production, and distribution of these essential agricultural inputs. The company's product portfolio features potassium chloride, potassium sulfate, hydrochloric acid, and various compound fertilizers, alongside its role as a reseller of potassium nitrate. Beyond its fertilizer offerings, Migao also delivers warehousing, research and development, and technical and project management services. Its primary customer base comprises entities in agricultural reclamation, the tobacco industry, and the broader agribusiness sector. Established in 2003, Migao Group Holdings Limited is headquartered in Causeway Bay, Hong Kong, and operates as a subsidiary of Migao Holding Limited.

Market Cap & Enterprise Value
Merger & Acquisition History

No mergers or acquisitions recorded for this company.

Technical Outlook
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Signal Summary Loading…
Indicator 1D1W2W3W1M
Each column is computed on that timeframe's candles (1D = daily, 1W ≈ weekly, 1M ≈ monthly), not on the same last day. ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · — neutral. The Net row counts signals per column; hover any cell (or the indicator name) to see the exact rule behind it.
Day Score & sub-scores
Statistical fingerprint & regime detail
Conditional historical analysis
Customize analysis (advanced)
Indicative levels generated algorithmically. Not financial advice.
Risk Profile
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Price Chart
Averages
Trend
Price
Levels
Draw
HKD8.99 +0.21 (+2.39%)
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Volume Profile
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Liquidity & share structure
Average Volume
470.5K
Beta
0.21
Float Shares
169.76M
Free Float %
18.7%
Price Performance
1D5D1M3M6M YTD1Y3Y5Y10YMax
+1.73% -1.12% +2.44% +12.97% +17.33% +10.00% +46.67% +115.16% +115.16% +115.16% +115.16%
Rolling Volatility
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Drawdown
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Relative Strength
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
From To
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Annual Monthly Returns
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Daily Returns Distribution
vs.
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Revenue flow

Revenue by geography

Revenue by segment

From To

Revenue composition

From To

By product

By geography

Financial Statements

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Cash Flow Statement

Key Metrics

Financial Ratios

Employees

Financial Growth (CAGR)

Market Data

Price Targets & DCF
Current price
8.99
DCF (Levered) 0.75 -91.7%

DCF figures are point estimates: small changes in growth or discount-rate assumptions move them materially. Read them as a reference, not a precise target.

Quality scores
Altman Z-Score
5.47
Safe zone
Piotroski F-Score
4 / 9
Average
MOAT Score
4 / 10
Developing
Composite Rating
B+
Overall Score
3 / 5
Medium
DCF Score
3 / 5
Medium
ROE Score
4 / 5
High
ROA Score
5 / 5
High
D/E Score
2 / 5
Medium
P/E Score
2 / 5
Medium
P/Book Score
3 / 5
Medium
Operational MOAT
✗ Below peers
  • Revenue growth Agricultural Inputs: +9.5%
    +20.0% Q1'26: +48.5% (vs Q1'24)
  • EPS growth Agricultural Inputs: +23.0%
    +17.7% Q1'26: +7.1% (vs Q1'24)
  • FCF margin FCF growth · Agricultural Inputs: +27.6%
    +6.9% Q1'26: -7.6% (vs Q1'24)
  • EBIT margin Agricultural Inputs: +9.7%
    +7.7% Q1'26: +9.1% (vs Q1'24)
  • ROIC Agricultural Inputs: +7.4%
    +12.0% Q1'26: +35.6% (vs Q1'24)
  • Share dilution Agricultural Inputs: +0.0%
    -0.1% Q1'26: +31.7% (vs Q1'24)
  • Debt / EBITDA Net debt/EBITDA · Agricultural Inputs: 0.03×
    2.55× Q1'26: 0.88× (vs Q1'24)
Valuation Multiples From To
Price Forecast (3Y) From To
Model
Adjust
P/E
Theoretical Return — If Invested Today

* These projections are based on analyst consensus estimates and user-defined valuation multiples. This table is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

DCF Interactive Model (UFCF)
Projection years:
Market assumptions
WACC components (optional)
Ke (Cost of Equity) = Rf + β (0.22) × ERP
WACC = 92% × Ke + 8% × Kd (4.1%) × (1−t)

Modifying these values recalculates WACC automatically.

Business assumptions
Current price: 8.99
Enterprise Value: Equity Value: Terminal Value: TV as % of EV:

Base values reflect the latest available data for this company and market conditions.

Consensus Estimates
Metric Mar 2025
actual
Mar 2026
1 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Mar 2027
1 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Revenue
4.97B
est: 4.11B (+20.7%)
4.72B
4.72B – 4.72B
+14.6% YoY
5.55B
5.55B – 5.55B
+17.6% YoY
EBITDA
452.31M
est: 420.86M (+7.5%)
482.48M
482.48M – 482.48M
+14.6% YoY
567.61M
567.61M – 567.61M
+17.6% YoY
EBIT
433.35M
est: 402.99M (+7.5%)
461.98M
461.98M – 461.98M
+14.6% YoY
543.50M
543.50M – 543.50M
+17.6% YoY
Net Income
307.47M
est: 509.53M (-39.7%)
598.70M
598.70M – 598.70M
+17.5% YoY
708.28M
708.28M – 708.28M
+18.3% YoY
SGA
169.09M
est: 126.10M (+34.1%)
144.56M
144.56M – 144.56M
+14.6% YoY
170.06M
170.06M – 170.06M
+17.6% YoY
EPS
0.34
est: 0.56 (-39.3%)
0.66
0.66 – 0.66
+17.5% YoY
0.78
0.78 – 0.78
+18.3% YoY
Historical Ratings (3M)
Date Rating Overall DCF ROE ROA D/E P/E P/B
2026-05-29 B+ 3/5 3/5 4/5 5/5 2/5 2/5 3/5
2026-05-28 B+ 3/5 3/5 4/5 5/5 2/5 2/5 3/5
2026-05-27 B+ 3/5 3/5 4/5 5/5 2/5 2/5 3/5
2026-05-26 B+ 3/5 3/5 4/5 5/5 2/5 2/5 3/5
2026-05-22 B+ 3/5 3/5 4/5 5/5 2/5 2/5 3/5
2026-05-21 B+ 3/5 3/5 4/5 5/5 2/5 2/5 3/5
2026-05-20 B+ 3/5 3/5 4/5 5/5 2/5 2/5 3/5
2026-05-19 B+ 3/5 3/5 4/5 5/5 2/5 2/5 3/5
2026-05-18 B+ 3/5 3/5 4/5 5/5 2/5 2/5 3/5
2026-05-15 A- 4/5 3/5 4/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-14 A- 4/5 3/5 4/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-13 A- 4/5 3/5 4/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-12 A- 4/5 3/5 4/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-11 A- 4/5 3/5 4/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-08 A- 4/5 3/5 4/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-07 A- 4/5 3/5 4/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-06 A- 4/5 3/5 4/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-05 A- 4/5 3/5 4/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-04 A- 4/5 3/5 4/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 3/5
2026-04-30 B+ 3/5 3/5 4/5 5/5 1/5 3/5 3/5
2026-04-29 B+ 3/5 3/5 4/5 5/5 1/5 2/5 3/5
2026-04-28 B+ 3/5 3/5 4/5 5/5 1/5 2/5 3/5
2026-04-27 B+ 3/5 3/5 4/5 5/5 1/5 2/5 3/5
2026-04-24 B+ 3/5 3/5 4/5 5/5 1/5 2/5 3/5
2026-04-23 B+ 3/5 3/5 4/5 5/5 1/5 2/5 3/5
2026-04-22 B+ 3/5 3/5 4/5 5/5 1/5 2/5 3/5
2026-04-21 B+ 3/5 3/5 4/5 5/5 1/5 2/5 3/5
2026-04-20 B+ 3/5 3/5 4/5 5/5 1/5 2/5 3/5
2026-04-17 B+ 3/5 3/5 4/5 5/5 1/5 2/5 3/5
2026-04-16 B+ 3/5 3/5 4/5 5/5 1/5 2/5 3/5

Owner Earnings

Owner's Earnings (history) From To
Owner alignment
Owner's Earnings TTM
-113.21M
OE per share TTM
-0.12
Owner's Yield
-1.36%
Maintenance CapEx ratio
142.84%
Maint CapEx / Avg PPE
15.5%

Ownership Overview

Ownership breakdown

Ownership breakdown not available.

At a glance
Institutional holders
Total invested
Insider transactions (90d)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)

No beneficial ownership filings recorded.

Institutional Activity (13F)

Institutional ownership trend

Institutional history not available.

Top institutional holders

Top holders not available.

ETF Ownership

Top ETFs holding this stock Held by 1 ETFs in our universe
# ETF Weight Est. AUM exposure TER
1 State Street SPDR S&P Emerging Markets Small Cap ETF EWX 0.02% 133.8K 0.65%

Insider Activity

Insider Activity — Latest Quarter

No insider activity available.

Insider buys vs sells (history)

Insider history not available.

Recent insider transactions

No recent insider transactions.

Executive team

Top executives
EBIT / Employee
1.04M
Shares Outstanding
908.94M

Executive compensation

Executive compensation (annual)

Executive compensation not available.

CEO compensation breakdown

No CEO compensation history available.

Proxy statements

Proxy statements (DEF 14A)

No proxy statements available for this company yet.

Recent SEC filings

Recent SEC filings

No SEC filings available for this company yet.

Executive team

NameTitleCompensationGender
Guocai Liu Chief Executive Officer & Executive Chairman of the Board 8M male
Pingfu Sun Executive Director and Research & Development Director 695.7K male
Benzi Dong Executive Director & Internal Control Director 416.0K male
Xuebin Liu Head of Production of Northern Region of China male
Yangmei Fu Sales Director male
Yaqin Liu Chief Financial Officer female
Wai Sum Fung Company Secretary female
Wenguo Shi Head of Production of Southern Region of China male
ESG Score History

No data available for this company.

Senate Trading Activity

No Senate trading activity found for this company.

House Trading Activity

No House trading activity found for this company.

Market share among peers
Peer comparison — filtered group (TTM)
Your opinion

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Dividend yield history

Dividend history

Earnings history

Earnings reports

Stock splits