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Spotify Technology S.A. (639.DE)

EUR414.00 -9.50 (-2.24%)
LU XETRA Technology Software - Application
Address Regeringsgatan 19 111 53
Luxembourg, LU
CEO Ralph Dommermuth
IPO 2018-04-04
ISIN LU1778762911

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Also trades on Deutsche Börse · 639.DE (EUR) New York Stock Exchange · SPOT (USD) Swiss Exchange · SPF.SW (CHF)
Description

Spotify Technology S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides audio streaming subscription services worldwide. It operates in two segments, Premium and Ad-Supported. The Premium segment offers online and offline streaming access to its catalog of music and podcasts, including video, lossless music, and audiobooks in select markets through subscription offerings primarily sold directly to end users and partners. The Ad-Supported segment provides limited on-demand online access to its catalog of music and online and offline access to its catalog of podcasts on computers, tablets, mobile devices, and other smart devices. The company also offers sales, distribution and marketing, contract research and development, and customer and other support services. Spotify Technology S.A. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.

Market Cap & Enterprise Value
Merger & Acquisition History

No mergers or acquisitions recorded for this company.

Technical Outlook
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Signal Summary Loading…
Indicator 1D1W2W3W1M
Each column is computed on that timeframe's candles (1D = daily, 1W ≈ weekly, 1M ≈ monthly), not on the same last day. ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · — neutral. The Net row counts signals per column; hover any cell (or the indicator name) to see the exact rule behind it.
Day Score & sub-scores
Statistical fingerprint & regime detail
Conditional historical analysis
Customize analysis (advanced)
Indicative levels generated algorithmically. Not financial advice.
Risk Profile
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Price Chart
Averages
Trend
Price
Levels
Draw
EUR414.00 -9.50 (-2.24%)
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Volume Profile
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Liquidity & share structure
Average Volume
1.1K
Beta
1.55
Float Shares
156.44M
Free Float %
76.0%
Price Performance
1D5D1M3M6M YTD1Y3Y5Y10YMax
-0.56% -2.65% +16.71% +3.29% -14.94% -10.99% -23.00% +220.70% +122.22% +284.28% +284.28%
Rolling Volatility
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Drawdown
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Relative Strength
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
From To
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Annual Monthly Returns
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Daily Returns Distribution
vs.
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Revenue flow

Revenue by geography

Revenue by segment

From To

Revenue composition

From To

By product

By geography

Financial Statements

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Cash Flow Statement

Key Metrics

Financial Ratios

Employees

Financial Growth (CAGR)

Market Data

Analyst Consensus (48 ratings, all time) Buy
Price Targets & DCF
Current price
414.00
DCF (Unlevered) 234.09 -43.5%
DCF (Levered) 363.29 -12.2%

DCF figures are point estimates: small changes in growth or discount-rate assumptions move them materially. Read them as a reference, not a precise target.

Ratings Trend (MoM) 100% Bullish
Rating 2026-05 Change
Strong Buy 1 0
Buy 1 0
Hold 0 0
Sell 0 0
Strong Sell 0 0
Quality scores
Altman Z-Score
13.26
Safe zone
Piotroski F-Score
6 / 9
Average
MOAT Score
5 / 10
Developing
Composite Rating
B+
Overall Score
3 / 5
Medium
DCF Score
3 / 5
Medium
ROE Score
5 / 5
High
ROA Score
5 / 5
High
D/E Score
4 / 5
High
P/E Score
1 / 5
Low
P/Book Score
1 / 5
Low
Operational MOAT
✗ Below peers
  • Revenue growth Software - Application: +13.0%
    +9.7% Q1'26: +9.5% (vs Q1'25)
  • EPS growth Software - Application: +28.6%
    +91.4% Q1'26: +226.2% (vs Q1'25)
  • FCF margin FCF growth · Software - Application: +45.3%
    +14.6% Q1'26: +18.3% (vs Q1'25)
  • EBIT margin Software - Application: +9.4%
    +13.1% Q1'26: +15.8% (vs Q1'25)
  • ROIC Software - Application: +7.5%
    +274.2% Q1'26: -859.4% (vs Q1'25)
  • Share dilution Software - Application: +0.0%
    +1.7% Q1'26: -0.5% (vs Q1'25)
  • Debt / EBITDA Net debt/EBITDA · Software - Application: -1.16×
    0.83× Q1'26: 0.16× (vs Q1'25)
Valuation Multiples From To
Price Forecast (3Y) From To
Model
Adjust
P/E
Theoretical Return — If Invested Today

* These projections are based on analyst consensus estimates and user-defined valuation multiples. This table is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

DCF Interactive Model (UFCF)
Projection years:
Market assumptions
WACC components (optional)
Ke (Cost of Equity) = Rf + β (1.55) × ERP
WACC = 98% × Ke + 2% × Kd (4.1%) × (1−t)

Modifying these values recalculates WACC automatically.

Business assumptions
Intrinsic value (base): 234.09 Current price: 414.00
Enterprise Value: Equity Value: Terminal Value: TV as % of EV:

Base values reflect the latest available data for this company and market conditions.

Consensus Estimates
Metric Dec 2018
actual
Dec 2019
actual
Dec 2020
actual
Dec 2021
actual
Dec 2022
actual
Dec 2023
actual
Dec 2024
actual
Dec 2025
actual
Dec 2026
33 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Dec 2027
36 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Dec 2028
18 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Dec 2029
18 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Dec 2030
18 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Revenue
5.43B
est: 5.27B (+3.0%)
6.74B
est: 6.80B (-0.8%)
7.34B
est: 7.83B (-6.3%)
10.05B
est: 9.63B (+4.4%)
11.52B
est: 11.72B (-1.8%)
13.25B
est: 13.34B (-0.7%)
15.67B
est: 15.57B (+0.7%)
17.19B
est: 17.19B (0.0%)
19.48B
19.05B – 19.68B
+13.3% YoY
22.28B
21.52B – 22.98B
+14.4% YoY
25.17B
24.46B – 25.71B
+13.0% YoY
28.92B
28.10B – 29.54B
+14.9% YoY
32.50B
31.58B – 33.20B
+12.4% YoY
EBITDA
-138.29M
est: 39.83M (-447.2%)
-997.1K
est: -355.11M (+99.7%)
-506.84M
est: -114.38M (-343.1%)
462.75M
est: -141.90M (+426.1%)
-138.46M
est: -165.80M (+16.5%)
-301.24M
est: -195.62M (-54.0%)
1.50B
est: 4.09B (-63.4%)
2.36B
est: 4.51B (-47.7%)
5.11B
5.00B – 5.16B
+13.3% YoY
5.84B
5.64B – 6.03B
+14.4% YoY
6.60B
6.41B – 6.74B
+13.0% YoY
7.58B
7.37B – 7.75B
+14.9% YoY
8.52B
8.28B – 8.70B
+12.4% YoY
EBIT
-167.00M
est: -24.65M (-577.5%)
-88.00M
est: -56.82M (-54.9%)
-655.00M
est: -85.20M (-668.8%)
330.69M
est: -105.70M (+412.9%)
-312.00M
est: -123.51M (-152.6%)
-456.00M
est: -145.72M (-212.9%)
1.38B
est: 4.12B (-66.6%)
2.26B
est: 4.54B (-50.4%)
5.15B
5.04B – 5.20B
+13.3% YoY
5.89B
5.69B – 6.07B
+14.4% YoY
6.65B
6.46B – 6.80B
+13.0% YoY
7.65B
7.43B – 7.81B
+14.9% YoY
8.59B
8.35B – 8.77B
+12.4% YoY
Net Income
-80.50M
est: -640.79M (+87.4%)
-185.46M
est: -100.72M (-84.1%)
-541.31M
est: -217.09M (-149.4%)
-35.36M
est: -269.32M (+86.9%)
-422.26M
est: -314.68M (-34.2%)
-532.00M
est: -371.28M (-43.3%)
1.14B
est: 1.21B (-6.1%)
2.21B
est: 1.51B (+46.4%)
2.68B
2.58B – 2.75B
+77.4% YoY
3.32B
3.19B – 3.41B
+23.8% YoY
4.09B
3.94B – 4.20B
+23.3% YoY
4.68B
4.50B – 4.81B
+14.3% YoY
5.62B
5.41B – 5.77B
+20.1% YoY
SGA
903.00M
est: 872.56M (+3.5%)
1.16B
est: 1.17B (-0.7%)
1.47B
est: 1.38B (+6.8%)
1.59B
est: 1.71B (-7.2%)
2.20B
est: 2.00B (+10.1%)
2.12B
est: 2.36B (-10.1%)
1.87B
est: 2.30B (-18.7%)
1.91B
est: 2.54B (-25.0%)
2.88B
2.82B – 2.91B
+13.3% YoY
3.29B
3.18B – 3.40B
+14.4% YoY
3.72B
3.61B – 3.80B
+13.0% YoY
4.27B
4.15B – 4.37B
+14.9% YoY
4.80B
4.67B – 4.90B
+12.4% YoY
EPS
-0.45
est: -3.10 (+85.5%)
-1.02
est: -0.22 (-359.2%)
-2.89
est: -3.00 (+3.6%)
-0.18
est: -0.81 (+77.8%)
-2.19
est: -2.41 (+9.3%)
-2.73
est: -2.59 (-5.6%)
5.65
est: 5.79 (-2.3%)
10.77
est: 7.18 (+50.1%)
12.73
12.26 – 13.09
+77.4% YoY
15.76
15.18 – 16.20
+23.8% YoY
19.43
18.71 – 19.97
+23.3% YoY
22.21
21.39 – 22.83
+14.3% YoY
26.68
25.69 – 27.42
+20.1% YoY
Recent Grade Changes (3M)
Date Firm Previous New Grade Action
2026-05-26 Cantor Fitzgerald Neutral Neutral Maintain
2026-05-22 JP Morgan Overweight Overweight Maintain
2026-04-30 UBS Buy Buy Maintain
2026-04-29 Keybanc Overweight Overweight Maintain
2026-04-15 Keybanc Overweight Overweight Maintain
Historical Ratings (3M)
Date Rating Overall DCF ROE ROA D/E P/E P/B
2026-05-29 B+ 3/5 3/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-28 B+ 3/5 3/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-27 B+ 3/5 3/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-26 B+ 3/5 3/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-25 B+ 3/5 3/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-22 B+ 3/5 3/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-21 B+ 3/5 3/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-20 B+ 3/5 3/5 5/5 5/5 4/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-19 B+ 3/5 3/5 5/5 5/5 3/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-18 B+ 3/5 3/5 5/5 5/5 3/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-15 B+ 3/5 3/5 5/5 5/5 3/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-14 B+ 3/5 3/5 5/5 5/5 3/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-13 A- 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 3/5 2/5 1/5
2026-05-12 A- 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 3/5 2/5 1/5
2026-05-11 A- 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 3/5 2/5 1/5
2026-05-08 A- 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 3/5 2/5 1/5
2026-05-07 A- 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 3/5 2/5 1/5
2026-05-06 A- 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 3/5 2/5 1/5
2026-05-05 A- 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 3/5 2/5 1/5
2026-05-04 A- 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 3/5 2/5 1/5
2026-04-30 A- 4/5 4/5 5/5 5/5 3/5 2/5 1/5
2026-04-29 B+ 3/5 3/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 2/5 1/5
2026-04-28 B+ 3/5 3/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 2/5 1/5
2026-04-27 B+ 3/5 3/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 2/5 1/5
2026-04-24 B+ 3/5 3/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 2/5 1/5
2026-04-23 B+ 3/5 3/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 2/5 1/5
2026-04-22 B+ 3/5 3/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 2/5 1/5
2026-04-21 B 3/5 3/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 1/5 1/5
2026-04-20 B 3/5 3/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 1/5 1/5
2026-04-17 B 3/5 3/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 1/5 1/5
2026-04-16 B 3/5 3/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 1/5 1/5
2026-04-15 B 3/5 3/5 5/5 5/5 2/5 1/5 1/5

Owner Earnings

Owner's Earnings (history) From To
Owner alignment
Owner's Earnings TTM
3.27B
OE per share TTM
15.71
Owner's Yield
3.61%
Maintenance CapEx ratio
2.32%
Maint CapEx / Avg PPE
5.5%

Ownership Overview

Ownership breakdown

Ownership breakdown not available.

At a glance
Institutional holders
Total invested
Insider transactions (90d)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)

No beneficial ownership filings recorded.

Institutional Activity (13F)

Institutional ownership trend

Institutional history not available.

Top institutional holders

Top holders not available.

Insider Activity

Insider Activity — Latest Quarter

No insider activity available.

Insider buys vs sells (history)

Insider history not available.

Recent insider transactions

No recent insider transactions.

Executive team

Top executives
EBIT / Employee
314.9K
Shares Outstanding
205.83M

Executive compensation

Executive compensation (annual)

Executive compensation not available.

CEO compensation breakdown

No CEO compensation history available.

Proxy statements

Proxy statements (DEF 14A)

No proxy statements available for this company yet.

Recent SEC filings

Recent SEC filings

No SEC filings available for this company yet.

Executive team

NameTitleCompensationGender
Christian Luiga Chief Financial Officer 4M male
Dustee Tucker Jenkins Chief Public Affairs Officer 738.1K female
Daniel G. Ek Founder & Executive Chairman 596.0K male
Gustav Söderström Co-CEO & Director 381.5K male
Alex Norström Co-CEO & Director 381.5K male
Sven Martin Lorentzon Co-Founder & Director male
Tanmaya Trivedi Director of Sales male
Anna Lundström Chief Human Resources Officer female
Bryan Daniel Goldberg Head of Investor Relations male
Dinesh Kumar Srinivasan Head of Marketing for MENA, Trkiye, Pakistan & CIS male
Paul Sawyer Chief Accounting Officer male
ESG Score History

No data available for this company.

Senate Trading Activity

No Senate trading activity found for this company.

House Trading Activity

No House trading activity found for this company.

Market share among peers
Peer comparison — filtered group (TTM)
Your opinion

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Dividend history

Earnings history

Earnings reports

Stock splits