Subscribe

Headwaters Co., Ltd. (4011.T)

JPY2,143.00 +29.00 (+1.37%)
JP JPX Technology Software - Application
Address Shinjuku Island Tower 163-1304
Tokyo, GIF, JP
CEO Masahiro Yamada
IPO 2020-10-02
ISIN JP3835050000

Explore sections of this company profile

Description

Headwaters Co.,Ltd engages in planning and developing artificial intelligence (AI) applications in Japan. The company offers digital transformation, AI, and other solutions. It also offers AI integration services, including consulting and development of AI agents, AI-driven development, AI data platform development, and physical AI solutions; DX services, such as Azure cloud development, application development, DX consulting, and low-code development; and product services, including licensing for proprietary services, cloud usage fees, and sales agency for IoT devices. It serves equipment, semiconductors, machinery, finance, insurance, transportation, mobility, retail, logistics, consumer goods, food and drink, government, public, communication, entertainment, real estate, energy and chemical industries. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Market Cap & Enterprise Value
Merger & Acquisition History

No mergers or acquisitions recorded for this company.

Technical Outlook
Loading outlook…
Loading forecast...
Signal Summary Loading…
Indicator 1D1W2W3W1M
Each column is computed on that timeframe's candles (1D = daily, 1W ≈ weekly, 1M ≈ monthly), not on the same last day. ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · — neutral. The Net row counts signals per column; hover any cell (or the indicator name) to see the exact rule behind it.
Day Score & sub-scores
Statistical fingerprint & regime detail
Conditional historical analysis
Customize analysis (advanced)
Indicative levels generated algorithmically. Not financial advice.
Risk Profile
Loading risk profile…
Price Chart
Averages
Trend
Price
Levels
Draw
JPY2,143.00 +29.00 (+1.37%)
Loading historical data…
Volume Profile
Loading…
Liquidity & share structure
Average Volume
41.2K
Beta
0.62
Float Shares
1.75M
Free Float %
45.5%
Price Performance
1D5D1M3M6M YTD1Y3Y5Y10YMax
+12.82% +10.18% +0.38% -17.08% -27.64% -16.35% -27.75% -48.72% -13.35% -65.05% -65.05%
Rolling Volatility
Loading…
Drawdown
Loading…
Relative Strength
Loading…
Monthly Returns Heatmap
From To
Loading…
Annual Monthly Returns
Loading…
Daily Returns Distribution
vs.
Loading histogram data…

Revenue flow

Revenue by geography

Revenue by segment

From To

Revenue composition

From To

By product

By geography

Financial Statements

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Cash Flow Statement

Key Metrics

Financial Ratios

Employees

Financial Growth (CAGR)

Market Data

Price Targets & DCF
Current price
2,143.00
DCF (Levered) 2,250.78 +5.0%

DCF figures are point estimates: small changes in growth or discount-rate assumptions move them materially. Read them as a reference, not a precise target.

Ratings Trend (MoM)
Rating 2024-11 Change
Strong Buy 0 0
Buy 0 0
Hold 0 0
Sell 0 0
Strong Sell 0 0
Quality scores
Altman Z-Score
3.19
Safe zone
Piotroski F-Score
3 / 9
Average
MOAT Score
4 / 10
Developing
Composite Rating
C+
Overall Score
2 / 5
Medium
DCF Score
4 / 5
High
ROE Score
3 / 5
Medium
ROA Score
3 / 5
Medium
D/E Score
1 / 5
Low
P/E Score
1 / 5
Low
P/Book Score
1 / 5
Low
Operational MOAT
✗ Below peers
  • Revenue growth Software - Application: +13.0%
    +34.2% Q1'26: +70.8% (vs Q1'25)
  • EPS growth Software - Application: +28.6%
    -78.6% Q1'26: +155.1% (vs Q1'25)
  • FCF margin FCF growth · Software - Application: +45.3%
    +0.5% Q1'26: +0.0% (vs Q1'25)
  • EBIT margin Software - Application: +9.4%
    +5.9% Q1'26: +10.7% (vs Q1'25)
  • ROIC Software - Application: +7.5%
    +5.2% Q1'26: +13.5% (vs Q1'25)
  • Share dilution Software - Application: +0.0%
    -0.2% Q1'26: +9.7% (vs Q1'25)
  • Debt / EBITDA Net debt/EBITDA · Software - Application: -1.16×
    7.40× Q1'26: 3.20× (vs Q1'25)
Valuation Multiples From To
Price Forecast (3Y) From To
Model
Adjust
P/E
Theoretical Return — If Invested Today

* These projections are based on analyst consensus estimates and user-defined valuation multiples. This table is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

DCF Interactive Model (UFCF)
Projection years:
Market assumptions
WACC components (optional)
Ke (Cost of Equity) = Rf + β (0.56) × ERP
WACC = 84% × Ke + 16% × Kd (4.3%) × (1−t)

Modifying these values recalculates WACC automatically.

Business assumptions
Current price: 2,143.00
Enterprise Value: Equity Value: Terminal Value: TV as % of EV:

Base values reflect the latest available data for this company and market conditions.

Consensus Estimates
Metric Dec 2020
actual
Dec 2021
actual
Dec 2022
actual
Dec 2023
actual
Dec 2024
actual
Dec 2025
actual
Revenue
1.15B
est: 1.13B (+1.7%)
1.17B
est: 1.15B (+2.1%)
1.57B
est: 1.36B (+16.1%)
2.32B
est: 2.11B (+9.6%)
2.91B
est: 2.46B (+18.3%)
3.90B
est: 2.82B (+38.4%)
EBITDA
161.91M
est: 99.36M (+63.0%)
70.87M
est: 100.50M (-29.5%)
121.43M
est: 118.81M (+2.2%)
110.03M
est: 185.13M (-40.6%)
327.00M
est: 218.93M (+49.4%)
256.72M
est: 251.10M (+2.2%)
EBIT
155.90M
est: 91.96M (+69.5%)
63.16M
est: 93.01M (-32.1%)
110.02M
est: 109.96M (+0.1%)
94.86M
est: 171.34M (-44.6%)
307.95M
est: 200.78M (+53.4%)
229.25M
est: 230.28M (-0.4%)
Net Income
153.12M
est: 170.86M (-10.4%)
27.04M
est: 26.81M (+0.9%)
75.14M
est: 34.73M (+116.3%)
70.68M
est: 103.68M (-31.8%)
272.79M
est: 139.43M (+95.6%)
58.13M
est: 187.95M (-69.1%)
SGA
372.59M
est: 377.90M (-1.4%)
425.59M
est: 382.23M (+11.3%)
520.78M
est: 451.88M (+15.2%)
760.00M
est: 704.15M (+7.9%)
932.12M
est: 849.45M (+9.7%)
1.50B
est: 974.26M (+54.3%)
EPS
82.96
est: 40.95 (+102.6%)
7.29
est: 6.43 (+13.5%)
20.07
est: 8.33 (+141.1%)
18.85
est: 24.85 (-24.1%)
71.81
est: 33.48 (+114.5%)
15.26
est: 45.13 (-66.2%)
Historical Ratings (3M)
Date Rating Overall DCF ROE ROA D/E P/E P/B
2026-05-15 C+ 2/5 4/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-14 C+ 2/5 4/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-13 C+ 2/5 4/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-12 C+ 2/5 4/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-11 C+ 2/5 4/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-08 C+ 2/5 4/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-07 C+ 2/5 4/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-05-01 C+ 2/5 4/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-04-30 C+ 2/5 4/5 3/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-04-28 C+ 2/5 4/5 2/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-04-27 C+ 2/5 4/5 2/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-04-24 C+ 2/5 4/5 2/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-04-23 C+ 2/5 4/5 2/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-04-22 C+ 2/5 4/5 2/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-04-21 C 2/5 3/5 2/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-04-20 C+ 2/5 4/5 2/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-04-17 C 2/5 3/5 2/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
2026-04-16 C 2/5 3/5 2/5 3/5 1/5 1/5 1/5

Owner Earnings

Owner's Earnings (history) From To
Owner alignment
Owner's Earnings TTM
8.72M
OE per share TTM
2.18
Owner's Yield
0.11%
Maintenance CapEx ratio
2.75%
Maint CapEx / Avg PPE
1.2%

Ownership Overview

Ownership breakdown

Ownership breakdown not available.

At a glance
Institutional holders
Total invested
Insider transactions (90d)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)

No beneficial ownership filings recorded.

Institutional Activity (13F)

Institutional ownership trend

Institutional history not available.

Top institutional holders

Top holders not available.

ETF Ownership

Top ETFs holding this stock

This company is not held by any ETF in our universe.

Insider Activity

Insider Activity — Latest Quarter

No insider activity available.

Insider buys vs sells (history)

Insider history not available.

Recent insider transactions

No recent insider transactions.

Executive team

Top executives
EBIT / Employee
589.3K
Shares Outstanding
3.84M

Executive compensation

Executive compensation (annual)

Executive compensation not available.

CEO compensation breakdown

No CEO compensation history available.

Proxy statements

Proxy statements (DEF 14A)

No proxy statements available for this company yet.

Recent SEC filings

Recent SEC filings

No SEC filings available for this company yet.

Executive team

NameTitleCompensationGender
Kazutaka Harashima Chief Financial Officer, Executive Officer, Administrative Management Department Manager, GM of Mgmt Hq's & Director male
Kunpei Yorimitsu Executive Officer & Chief Marketing Officer
Masato Hikita Head of Investment Strategy Headquarters & Director male
Masaya Nishimaki General Manager of IT Incubation Business Headquarters & Director male
Naoki Ishizawa GM of Intelligent Technology Business Headquarters & Director male
Shinto Matsuzak General Manager of Corporate Planning Headquarters & Director male
Shinya Kondo Executive Officer and General Manager of the Service Produce Division male
Yosuke Shinoda Chief Executive Officer & Representative Director male
ESG Score History

No data available for this company.

Senate Trading Activity

No Senate trading activity found for this company.

House Trading Activity

No House trading activity found for this company.

Market share among peers
Peer comparison — filtered group (TTM)
Your opinion

Share your view on this stock and instantly see how the community has voted over the last 6 months.

These are community opinions and do not constitute buy or sell advice to act on. The results shown are based on aggregated opinions and are not an investment recommendation, nor do they intend to influence any investment decision.

Dividend history

Earnings history

Earnings reports

Stock splits