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The Pack Corporation (3950.T)

JPY1,412.00 +39.00 (+2.84%)
JP JPX Consumer Cyclical Packaging & Containers
Address OAP Tower 530-6020
Osaka, JP
CEO Naoki Nakamura
IPO 2001-09-11
ISIN JP3345900009

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Description

Established in 1878 and headquartered in Osaka, Japan, The Pack Corporation is a global provider specializing in a broad spectrum of packaging solutions. Their extensive product line includes various bags, such as paper, plastic, parcel, sewn, and garment types, alongside a diverse array of boxes like standard paper boxes, trays, clear cases, corrugated shipping boxes, and large appliance containers, complete with cushioning materials. The company also supplies retail businesses with items like gift boxes, drawstring bags, wrapping paper, seals, tags, and ribbons. Furthermore, they develop film and flexible packaging tailored for food, daily essentials, hygiene products, and pharmaceuticals, and are committed to offering eco-friendly alternatives. Beyond manufacturing, The Pack Corporation provides comprehensive printing services, utilizing both offset rotary and gravure methods for a wide range of products including shopping bags, decorative corrugated items, paper containers, promotional pamphlets, catalogs, magazines, books, and various packaging and labeling needs.

Market Cap & Enterprise Value
Merger & Acquisition History

No mergers or acquisitions recorded for this company.

Technical Outlook
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Signal Summary Loading…
Indicator 1D1W2W3W1M
Each column is computed on that timeframe's candles (1D = daily, 1W ≈ weekly, 1M ≈ monthly), not on the same last day. ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · — neutral. The Net row counts signals per column; hover any cell (or the indicator name) to see the exact rule behind it.
Day Score & sub-scores
Statistical fingerprint & regime detail
Conditional historical analysis
Customize analysis (advanced)
Indicative levels generated algorithmically. Not financial advice.
Risk Profile
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Price Chart
Averages
Trend
Price
Levels
Draw
JPY1,412.00 +39.00 (+2.84%)
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Volume Profile
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Liquidity & share structure
Average Volume
144.1K
Beta
0.40
Float Shares
29.10M
Free Float %
52.3%
Price Performance
1D5D1M3M6M YTD1Y3Y5Y10YMax
-1.74% -2.84% -3.91% -0.08% +3.67% +1.09% +24.10% +20.09% +40.70% +51.87% +290.30%
Rolling Volatility
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Drawdown
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Relative Strength
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
From To
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Annual Monthly Returns
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Daily Returns Distribution
vs.
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Revenue flow

Revenue by geography

Revenue by segment

From To

Revenue composition

From To

By product

By geography

Financial Statements

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Cash Flow Statement

Key Metrics

Financial Ratios

Employees

Financial Growth (CAGR)

Market Data

Price Targets & DCF
Current price
1,412.00
DCF (Unlevered) 2,414.03 +71.0%
DCF (Levered) 1,242.23 -12.0%

DCF figures are point estimates: small changes in growth or discount-rate assumptions move them materially. Read them as a reference, not a precise target.

Ratings Trend (MoM)
Rating 2024-11 Change
Strong Buy 0 0
Buy 0 0
Hold 0 0
Sell 0 0
Strong Sell 0 0
Quality scores
Altman Z-Score
5.07
Safe zone
Piotroski F-Score
6 / 9
Average
MOAT Score
5 / 10
Developing
Composite Rating
A
Overall Score
4 / 5
High
DCF Score
3 / 5
Medium
ROE Score
3 / 5
Medium
ROA Score
5 / 5
High
D/E Score
3 / 5
Medium
P/E Score
4 / 5
High
P/Book Score
4 / 5
High
Operational MOAT
✗ Below peers
  • Revenue growth Packaging & Containers: +2.6%
    +1.6% Q1'26: +4.7% (vs Q1'25)
  • EPS growth Packaging & Containers: +8.0%
    -3.6% Q1'26: -11.9% (vs Q1'25)
  • FCF margin FCF growth · Packaging & Containers: +34.6%
    +3.8% Q1'26: +0.0% (vs Q1'25)
  • EBIT margin Packaging & Containers: +7.0%
    +7.0% Q1'26: +5.3% (vs Q1'25)
  • ROIC Packaging & Containers: +6.2%
    +9.5% Q1'26: +6.4% (vs Q1'25)
  • Share dilution Packaging & Containers: +0.2%
    -1.0% Q1'26: -1.4% (vs Q1'25)
  • Debt / EBITDA Net debt/EBITDA · Packaging & Containers: 0.83×
    0.05× Q1'26: 0.05× (vs Q1'25)
Valuation Multiples From To
Price Forecast (3Y) From To
Model
Adjust
P/E
Theoretical Return — If Invested Today

* These projections are based on analyst consensus estimates and user-defined valuation multiples. This table is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

DCF Interactive Model (UFCF)
Projection years:
Market assumptions
WACC components (optional)
Ke (Cost of Equity) = Rf + β (0.40) × ERP
WACC = 99% × Ke + 1% × Kd (4.3%) × (1−t)

Modifying these values recalculates WACC automatically.

Business assumptions
Intrinsic value (base): 2,414.16 Current price: 1,412.00
Enterprise Value: Equity Value: Terminal Value: TV as % of EV:

Base values reflect the latest available data for this company and market conditions.

Consensus Estimates
Metric Dec 2016
actual
Dec 2017
actual
Dec 2018
actual
Dec 2019
actual
Dec 2020
actual
Dec 2021
actual
Revenue
89.17B
est: 90.50B (-1.5%)
90.31B
est: 90.20B (+0.1%)
93.13B
est: 94.50B (-1.5%)
95.50B
est: 96.50B (-1.0%)
78.45B
est: 99.50B (-21.2%)
79.69B
est: 102.50B (-22.3%)
EBITDA
8.27B
est: 7.99B (+3.5%)
8.92B
est: 7.96B (+12.1%)
8.69B
est: 8.34B (+4.2%)
8.56B
est: 8.52B (+0.6%)
5.13B
est: 8.78B (-41.6%)
6.17B
est: 9.04B (-31.7%)
EBIT
6.49B
est: 5.88B (+10.3%)
7.27B
est: 5.86B (+24.1%)
6.93B
est: 6.14B (+12.8%)
6.85B
est: 6.27B (+9.3%)
3.28B
est: 6.46B (-49.3%)
4.15B
est: 6.66B (-37.8%)
Net Income
4.54B
est: 1.37B (+231.9%)
5.21B
est: 1.67B (+211.3%)
4.97B
est: 1.74B (+185.8%)
4.70B
est: 1.74B (+170.4%)
2.39B
est: 1.83B (+30.4%)
2.82B
est: 1.93B (+46.2%)
SGA
13.66B
est: 15.53B (-12.0%)
13.88B
est: 15.48B (-10.3%)
14.60B
est: 16.22B (-10.0%)
15.49B
est: 16.56B (-6.5%)
14.26B
est: 17.08B (-16.5%)
14.09B
est: 17.59B (-19.9%)
EPS
77.15
est: 72.20 (+6.9%)
88.51
est: 88.33 (+0.2%)
84.40
est: 91.73 (-8.0%)
81.29
est: 91.73 (-11.4%)
42.00
est: 96.83 (-56.6%)
49.56
est: 101.93 (-51.4%)
Historical Ratings (3M)
Date Rating Overall DCF ROE ROA D/E P/E P/B
2026-05-15 A 4/5 3/5 3/5 5/5 3/5 4/5 4/5
2026-05-14 A 4/5 3/5 3/5 5/5 3/5 4/5 4/5
2026-05-13 A 4/5 3/5 3/5 5/5 3/5 4/5 4/5
2026-05-12 A 4/5 3/5 3/5 5/5 3/5 4/5 4/5
2026-05-11 A 4/5 3/5 3/5 5/5 3/5 4/5 4/5
2026-05-08 A 4/5 3/5 3/5 5/5 3/5 4/5 4/5
2026-05-07 A 4/5 3/5 3/5 5/5 3/5 4/5 4/5
2026-05-01 A 4/5 3/5 3/5 5/5 3/5 4/5 4/5
2026-04-30 A 4/5 3/5 3/5 5/5 3/5 4/5 4/5
2026-04-28 A 4/5 3/5 3/5 5/5 3/5 4/5 4/5
2026-04-27 A- 4/5 3/5 3/5 5/5 2/5 4/5 4/5
2026-04-24 A- 4/5 3/5 3/5 5/5 2/5 4/5 4/5
2026-04-23 A- 4/5 3/5 3/5 5/5 2/5 4/5 4/5
2026-04-22 A- 4/5 3/5 3/5 5/5 2/5 4/5 4/5
2026-04-21 A- 4/5 3/5 3/5 5/5 2/5 4/5 4/5
2026-04-20 A- 4/5 3/5 3/5 5/5 2/5 4/5 4/5
2026-04-17 A- 4/5 3/5 3/5 5/5 2/5 4/5 4/5
2026-04-16 A- 4/5 3/5 3/5 5/5 2/5 4/5 4/5

Owner Earnings

Owner's Earnings (history) From To
Owner alignment
Owner's Earnings TTM
1.89B
OE per share TTM
33.17
Owner's Yield
2.57%
Maintenance CapEx ratio
14.67%
Maint CapEx / Avg PPE
26.5%

Ownership Overview

Ownership breakdown

Ownership breakdown not available.

At a glance
Institutional holders
Total invested
Insider transactions (90d)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)

No beneficial ownership filings recorded.

Institutional Activity (13F)

Institutional ownership trend

Institutional history not available.

Top institutional holders

Top holders not available.

ETF Ownership

Top ETFs holding this stock Held by 34 ETFs in our universe
# ETF Weight Est. AUM exposure TER
1 WisdomTree Japan SmallCap Dividend Fund DFJ 0.07% 278.8K 0.58%
2 iShares International Developed Small Cap Value Factor ETF ISVL 0.05% 154.6K 0.31%
3 State Street SPDR S&P International Small Cap ETF GWX 0.03% 273.9K 0.40%
4 Dimensional - International Small Cap Value ETF DISV 0.02% 784.4K 0.42%
5 Avantis International Small Cap Equity ETF AVDS 0.02% 50.9K 0.30%
6 Schwab International Small-Cap Equity ETF SCHC 0.01% 657.5K 0.06%
7 Dimensional - International Small Cap ETF DFIS 0.01% 517.6K 0.39%
8 Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US Small-Cap ETF VSS 0.01% 1.14M 0.06%
9 iShares Core TOPIX ETF 1475.T 0.01% 965.0K 0.05%
10 Dimensional International Sustainability Core 1 ETF DFSI 0.01% 55.7K 0.24%

Insider Activity

Insider Activity — Latest Quarter

No insider activity available.

Insider buys vs sells (history)

Insider history not available.

Recent insider transactions

No recent insider transactions.

Executive team

Top executives
EBIT / Employee
6.03M
Shares Outstanding
55.60M

Executive compensation

Executive compensation (annual)

Executive compensation not available.

CEO compensation breakdown

No CEO compensation history available.

Proxy statements

Proxy statements (DEF 14A)

No proxy statements available for this company yet.

Recent SEC filings

Recent SEC filings

No SEC filings available for this company yet.

Executive team

NameTitleCompensationGender
Ikuo Shimomura GM of Corporate Division HQ & Director male
Naoki Nakamura President, Chief Executive Officer,MD, GM of Western Japan Business Headquarters & Director male
Norio Ashida MD, GM of Manufacturing Headquarters & Director male
Ryuichi Watanabe MD, GM of Sales Headquarters & Director male
ESG Score History

No data available for this company.

Senate Trading Activity

No Senate trading activity found for this company.

House Trading Activity

No House trading activity found for this company.

Market share among peers
Peer comparison — filtered group (TTM)
Your opinion

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Dividend yield history

Dividend history

Earnings history

Earnings reports

Stock splits