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Traffic Control Technology Co., Ltd. (688015.SS)

CNY15.77 +0.21 (+1.35%)
CN SHH Technology Communication Equipment
Address Building 2, 3 100070
Beijing, CN
CEO Zhiyu Wang
Website bj-tct.com
IPO 2019-07-24
ISIN CNE100003MC0

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Description

Traffic Control Technology Co., Ltd. delivers comprehensive solutions for the rail transit sector. The company's offerings encompass advanced train control systems, including communication-based train control (CBTC), interconnected CBTC variants, and fully automatic operation (FAO) systems. They also develop vehicle-to-vehicle communication-enabled train control, intelligent passenger service platforms, dedicated urban rail transit cloud infrastructure, and smart obstacle detection technologies for railway operations. Beyond product development, the firm actively engages in research for urban rail signaling systems, provides specialized services in system integration and general contracting for signaling projects, and offers crucial maintenance and technical assistance. Established in 2009, its headquarters are located in Beijing, China.

Market Cap & Enterprise Value
Merger & Acquisition History

No mergers or acquisitions recorded for this company.

Technical Outlook
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Signal Summary Loading…
Indicator 1D1W2W3W1M
Each column is computed on that timeframe's candles (1D = daily, 1W ≈ weekly, 1M ≈ monthly), not on the same last day. ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · — neutral. The Net row counts signals per column; hover any cell (or the indicator name) to see the exact rule behind it.
Day Score & sub-scores
Statistical fingerprint & regime detail
Conditional historical analysis
Customize analysis (advanced)
Indicative levels generated algorithmically. Not financial advice.
Risk Profile
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Price Chart
Averages
Trend
Price
Levels
Draw
CNY15.77 +0.21 (+1.35%)
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Volume Profile
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Liquidity & share structure
Average Volume
2M
Beta
0.43
Float Shares
188.66M
Free Float %
100.0%
Price Performance
1D5D1M3M6M YTD1Y3Y5Y10YMax
-0.05% -3.70% -4.90% -17.27% -11.22% -6.19% +5.17% +10.84% -33.53% -43.61% -43.61%
Rolling Volatility
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Drawdown
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Relative Strength
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
From To
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Annual Monthly Returns
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Daily Returns Distribution
vs.
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Revenue flow

Revenue by geography

Revenue by segment

From To

Revenue composition

From To

By product

By geography

Financial Statements

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Cash Flow Statement

Key Metrics

Financial Ratios

Employees

Financial Growth (CAGR)

Market Data

Price Targets & DCF
Current price
15.77
DCF (Levered) 4.25 -73.1%

DCF figures are point estimates: small changes in growth or discount-rate assumptions move them materially. Read them as a reference, not a precise target.

Ratings Trend (MoM) 100% Bullish
Rating 2025-12 Change
Strong Buy 0 0
Buy 1 0
Hold 0 0
Sell 0 0
Strong Sell 0 0
Quality scores
Altman Z-Score
1.62
Distress
Piotroski F-Score
7 / 9
Strong
MOAT Score
3 / 10
No MOAT
Composite Rating
B+
Overall Score
3 / 5
Medium
DCF Score
3 / 5
Medium
ROE Score
3 / 5
Medium
ROA Score
3 / 5
Medium
D/E Score
3 / 5
Medium
P/E Score
3 / 5
Medium
P/Book Score
4 / 5
High
Operational MOAT
✗ Below peers
  • Revenue growth Communication Equipment: +9.8%
    +16.1% Q1'26: -6.5% (vs Q1'25)
  • EPS growth Communication Equipment: +36.4%
    +86.4% Q1'26: +0.0% (vs Q1'25)
  • FCF margin FCF growth · Communication Equipment: +59.0%
    -7.8% Q1'26: -24.8% (vs Q1'25)
  • EBIT margin Communication Equipment: +4.7%
    +6.7% Q1'26: +9.6% (vs Q1'25)
  • ROIC Communication Equipment: +3.7%
    +9.0% Q1'26: +5.8% (vs Q1'25)
  • Share dilution Communication Equipment: +0.0%
    -0.1% Q1'26: -7.8% (vs Q1'25)
  • Debt / EBITDA Net debt/EBITDA · Communication Equipment: -1.04×
    0.41× Q1'26: 0.90× (vs Q1'25)
Valuation Multiples From To
Price Forecast (3Y) From To
Model
Adjust
P/E
Theoretical Return — If Invested Today

* These projections are based on analyst consensus estimates and user-defined valuation multiples. This table is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

DCF Interactive Model (UFCF)
Projection years:
Market assumptions
WACC components (optional)
Ke (Cost of Equity) = Rf + β (1.00) × ERP
WACC = 97% × Ke + 3% × Kd (4.1%) × (1−t)

Modifying these values recalculates WACC automatically.

Business assumptions
Current price: 15.77
Enterprise Value: Equity Value: Terminal Value: TV as % of EV:

Base values reflect the latest available data for this company and market conditions.

Consensus Estimates
Metric Dec 2019
actual
Dec 2020
actual
Dec 2021
actual
Dec 2022
actual
Dec 2023
actual
Dec 2024
actual
Dec 2025
actual
Dec 2026
1 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Revenue
1.65B
est: 1.38B (+20.0%)
2.03B
est: 2.54B (-20.2%)
2.58B
est: 2.76B (-6.4%)
2.47B
est: 2.34B (+5.6%)
1.99B
est: 2.04B (-2.1%)
2.19B
est: 2.15B (+1.8%)
2.54B
est: 2.40B (+5.5%)
2.54B
2.54B – 2.54B
+5.6% YoY
EBITDA
195.35M
est: 203.65M (-4.1%)
317.48M
est: 375.63M (-15.5%)
399.04M
est: 408.48M (-2.3%)
349.73M
est: 346.01M (+1.1%)
212.44M
est: 301.48M (-29.5%)
236.16M
est: 274.25M (-13.9%)
323.72M
est: 307.06M (+5.4%)
324.22M
324.22M – 324.22M
+5.6% YoY
EBIT
162.00M
est: 139.87M (+15.8%)
274.25M
est: 257.99M (+6.3%)
342.86M
est: 280.56M (+22.2%)
279.74M
est: 237.65M (+17.7%)
132.79M
est: 207.06M (-35.9%)
149.39M
est: 192.58M (-22.4%)
170.58M
est: 215.62M (-20.9%)
227.67M
227.67M – 227.67M
+5.6% YoY
Net Income
127.29M
est: 165.06M (-22.9%)
236.79M
est: 281.11M (-15.8%)
291.01M
est: 305.80M (-4.8%)
229.49M
est: 233.62M (-1.8%)
88.99M
est: 91.17M (-2.4%)
83.57M
est: 32.25M (+159.2%)
155.55M
est: 117.61M (+32.3%)
136.58M
136.58M – 136.58M
+16.1% YoY
SGA
204.44M
est: 121.96M (+67.6%)
246.77M
est: 224.96M (+9.7%)
341.73M
est: 244.63M (+39.7%)
329.45M
est: 207.22M (+59.0%)
304.67M
est: 180.55M (+68.7%)
322.54M
est: 298.69M (+8.0%)
327.62M
est: 334.42M (-2.0%)
353.11M
353.11M – 353.11M
+5.6% YoY
EPS
0.93
est: 0.87 (+7.0%)
1.48
est: 1.48 (+0.0%)
1.75
est: 1.61 (+8.7%)
1.22
est: 1.23 (-0.8%)
0.47
est: 0.48 (-2.1%)
0.44
est: 0.17 (+158.8%)
0.82
est: 0.62 (+32.3%)
0.72
0.72 – 0.72
+16.1% YoY
Historical Ratings (3M)
Date Rating Overall DCF ROE ROA D/E P/E P/B
2026-05-12 B+ 3/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 4/5
2026-05-11 B+ 3/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 4/5
2026-05-08 B+ 3/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 4/5
2026-05-07 B+ 3/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 4/5
2026-05-06 B+ 3/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 4/5
2026-04-30 A- 4/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 4/5 5/5
2026-04-29 A- 4/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 4/5 5/5
2026-04-28 A- 4/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 4/5 5/5
2026-04-27 A- 4/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 4/5 5/5
2026-04-24 A- 4/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 4/5 5/5
2026-04-23 A- 4/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 4/5 5/5
2026-04-22 A- 4/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 4/5 5/5
2026-04-21 A- 4/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 4/5 5/5
2026-04-20 A- 4/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 4/5 5/5
2026-04-17 A- 4/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 5/5
2026-04-16 A- 4/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 3/5 5/5

Owner Earnings

Owner's Earnings (history) From To
Owner alignment
Owner's Earnings TTM
-468.92M
OE per share TTM
-2.48
Owner's Yield
-11.97%
Maintenance CapEx ratio
101.04%
Maint CapEx / Avg PPE
25.0%

Ownership Overview

Ownership breakdown

Ownership breakdown not available.

At a glance
Institutional holders
Total invested
Insider transactions (90d)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)

No beneficial ownership filings recorded.

Institutional Activity (13F)

Institutional ownership trend

Institutional history not available.

Top institutional holders

Top holders not available.

ETF Ownership

Top ETFs holding this stock

This company is not held by any ETF in our universe.

Insider Activity

Insider Activity — Latest Quarter

No insider activity available.

Insider buys vs sells (history)

Insider history not available.

Recent insider transactions

No recent insider transactions.

Executive team

Top executives
EBIT / Employee
92.1K
Shares Outstanding
188.68M

Executive compensation

Executive compensation (annual)

Executive compensation not available.

CEO compensation breakdown

No CEO compensation history available.

Proxy statements

Proxy statements (DEF 14A)

No proxy statements available for this company yet.

Recent SEC filings

Recent SEC filings

No SEC filings available for this company yet.

Executive team

NameTitleCompensationGender
Aiqun Deng Deputy GM & Vice Chairman female
Cao Runlin Financial Director female
Guosheng Zhi Deputy General Manager male
Qing Huang Deputy GM & Secretary of the Board male
Shuai Zhang Head of Accounting Institution
Wei Wang Deputy General Manager male
Yang Zhang Deputy General Manager male
Ying Fan Deputy General Manager male
Zhiyu Wang General Manager male
ESG Score History

No data available for this company.

Senate Trading Activity

No Senate trading activity found for this company.

House Trading Activity

No House trading activity found for this company.

Market share among peers
Peer comparison — filtered group (TTM)
Your opinion

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Dividend yield history

Dividend history

Earnings history

Earnings reports

Stock splits