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NCD Co., Ltd. (4783.T)

JPY2,473.00 +21.00 (+0.86%)
JP JPX Technology Information Technology Services
Address Tokyo Nissan Nishi-Gotanda Building 141-0031
Tokyo, JP
CEO Osamu Shimojo
Website ncd.co.jp
IPO 2000-09-05
ISIN JP3709100006

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Description

NCD Co., Ltd., a Japanese company established in 1967 and headquartered in Tokyo, operates through three primary business divisions: system development, comprehensive support and services, and specialized parking systems. Its system development segment encompasses a range of offerings, including the creation of new systems, deployment of packaged solutions, and the ongoing maintenance and operational management of applications. The support and service division focuses on establishing and maintaining IT infrastructure, alongside providing general business support. Additionally, NCD's parking system business is involved in the construction, daily operation, and management of bicycle parking facilities, the sale and implementation of bicycle parking lot management systems, and consulting services related to bicycles. The company's corporate name was updated in December 2023.

Market Cap & Enterprise Value
Merger & Acquisition History

No mergers or acquisitions recorded for this company.

Technical Outlook
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Signal Summary Loading…
Indicator 1D1W2W3W1M
Each column is computed on that timeframe's candles (1D = daily, 1W ≈ weekly, 1M ≈ monthly), not on the same last day. ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · — neutral. The Net row counts signals per column; hover any cell (or the indicator name) to see the exact rule behind it.
Day Score & sub-scores
Statistical fingerprint & regime detail
Conditional historical analysis
Customize analysis (advanced)
Indicative levels generated algorithmically. Not financial advice.
Risk Profile
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Price Chart
Averages
Trend
Price
Levels
Draw
JPY2,473.00 +21.00 (+0.86%)
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Volume Profile
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Liquidity & share structure
Average Volume
21.1K
Beta
0.47
Float Shares
5.16M
Free Float %
64.3%
Price Performance
1D5D1M3M6M YTD1Y3Y5Y10YMax
+0.04% -2.82% -9.88% -30.00% -5.23% -22.82% -18.18% +154.28% +297.36% +283.44% +435.11%
Rolling Volatility
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Drawdown
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Relative Strength
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
From To
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Annual Monthly Returns
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Daily Returns Distribution
vs.
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Revenue flow

Revenue by geography

Revenue by segment

From To

Revenue composition

From To

By product

By geography

Financial Statements

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Cash Flow Statement

Key Metrics

Financial Ratios

Employees

Financial Growth (CAGR)

Market Data

Price Targets & DCF
Current price
2,473.00
DCF (Unlevered) 4,336.71 +75.4%
DCF (Levered) 9,484.55 +283.5%

DCF figures are point estimates: small changes in growth or discount-rate assumptions move them materially. Read them as a reference, not a precise target.

Ratings Trend (MoM)
Rating 2026-05 Change
Strong Buy 0 0
Buy 0 0
Hold 0 0
Sell 0 0
Strong Sell 0 0
Quality scores
Altman Z-Score
4.87
Safe zone
Piotroski F-Score
5 / 9
Average
MOAT Score
5 / 10
Developing
Composite Rating
A+
Overall Score
4 / 5
High
DCF Score
5 / 5
High
ROE Score
5 / 5
High
ROA Score
5 / 5
High
D/E Score
3 / 5
Medium
P/E Score
3 / 5
Medium
P/Book Score
3 / 5
Medium
Operational MOAT
✗ Below peers
  • Revenue growth Information Technology Services: +10.1%
    +2.5% Q1'26: +5.8% (vs Q1'25)
  • EPS growth Information Technology Services: +16.7%
    -2.2% Q1'26: +48.5% (vs Q1'25)
  • FCF margin FCF growth · Information Technology Services: +32.8%
    +5.6% Q1'26: +0.0% (vs Q1'25)
  • EBIT margin Information Technology Services: +9.0%
    +8.6% Q1'26: +10.4% (vs Q1'25)
  • ROIC Information Technology Services: +9.5%
    +88.0% Q1'26: +123.0% (vs Q1'25)
  • Share dilution Information Technology Services: +0.0%
    -0.1% Q1'26: -0.2% (vs Q1'25)
  • Debt / EBITDA Net debt/EBITDA · Information Technology Services: -0.83×
    0.44× Q1'26: 0.36× (vs Q1'25)
Valuation Multiples From To
Price Forecast (3Y) From To
Model
Adjust
P/E
Theoretical Return — If Invested Today

* These projections are based on analyst consensus estimates and user-defined valuation multiples. This table is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

DCF Interactive Model (UFCF)
Projection years:
Market assumptions
WACC components (optional)
Ke (Cost of Equity) = Rf + β (0.31) × ERP
WACC = 94% × Ke + 6% × Kd (4.3%) × (1−t)

Modifying these values recalculates WACC automatically.

Business assumptions
Intrinsic value (base): 10,374.55 Current price: 2,473.00
Enterprise Value: Equity Value: Terminal Value: TV as % of EV:

Base values reflect the latest available data for this company and market conditions.

Consensus Estimates
Metric Mar 2025
actual
Mar 2026
1 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Mar 2027
1 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Mar 2028
1 Rev. Ana.
1 EPS Ana.
Revenue
30.11B
est: 30.10B (+0.0%)
31.00B
31.00B – 31.00B
+3.0% YoY
32.40B
32.40B – 32.40B
+4.5% YoY
34.00B
34.00B – 34.00B
+4.9% YoY
EBITDA
3.22B
est: 2.16B (+48.8%)
2.23B
2.23B – 2.23B
+3.0% YoY
2.33B
2.33B – 2.33B
+4.5% YoY
2.44B
2.44B – 2.44B
+4.9% YoY
EBIT
2.81B
est: 1.72B (+63.0%)
1.78B
1.78B – 1.78B
+3.0% YoY
1.86B
1.86B – 1.86B
+4.5% YoY
1.95B
1.95B – 1.95B
+4.9% YoY
Net Income
1.91B
est: 1.85B (+3.0%)
1.70B
1.70B – 1.70B
-8.1% YoY
1.73B
1.73B – 1.73B
+2.1% YoY
1.89B
1.89B – 1.89B
+8.9% YoY
SGA
3.71B
est: 3.62B (+2.5%)
3.73B
3.73B – 3.73B
+3.0% YoY
3.90B
3.90B – 3.90B
+4.5% YoY
4.09B
4.09B – 4.09B
+4.9% YoY
EPS
232.96
est: 226.20 (+3.0%)
207.80
207.80 – 207.80
-8.1% YoY
212.10
212.10 – 212.10
+2.1% YoY
230.90
230.90 – 230.90
+8.9% YoY
Historical Ratings (3M)
Date Rating Overall DCF ROE ROA D/E P/E P/B
2026-05-15 A+ 4/5 5/5 5/5 5/5 3/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-14 A+ 4/5 5/5 5/5 5/5 3/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-13 A+ 4/5 5/5 5/5 5/5 3/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-12 A+ 4/5 5/5 5/5 5/5 3/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-11 A+ 4/5 5/5 5/5 5/5 3/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-08 A+ 4/5 5/5 5/5 5/5 3/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-07 A+ 4/5 5/5 5/5 5/5 3/5 3/5 3/5
2026-05-01 A+ 4/5 5/5 4/5 5/5 3/5 4/5 3/5
2026-04-30 A+ 4/5 5/5 4/5 5/5 3/5 4/5 3/5
2026-04-28 A 4/5 5/5 4/5 5/5 2/5 4/5 3/5
2026-04-27 A 4/5 5/5 4/5 5/5 2/5 4/5 3/5
2026-04-24 A 4/5 5/5 4/5 5/5 2/5 4/5 3/5
2026-04-23 A 4/5 5/5 4/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 3/5
2026-04-22 A 4/5 5/5 4/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 3/5
2026-04-21 A 4/5 5/5 4/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 3/5
2026-04-20 A 4/5 5/5 4/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 3/5
2026-04-17 A 4/5 5/5 4/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 3/5
2026-04-16 A 4/5 5/5 4/5 5/5 2/5 3/5 3/5

Owner Earnings

Owner's Earnings (history) From To
Owner alignment
Owner's Earnings TTM
318.28M
OE per share TTM
38.91
Owner's Yield
1.62%
Maintenance CapEx ratio
13.11%
Maint CapEx / Avg PPE
6.3%

Ownership Overview

Ownership breakdown

Ownership breakdown not available.

At a glance
Institutional holders
Total invested
Insider transactions (90d)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)
0
Beneficial owners (>5%)

No beneficial ownership filings recorded.

Institutional Activity (13F)

Institutional ownership trend

Institutional history not available.

Top institutional holders

Top holders not available.

ETF Ownership

Top ETFs holding this stock Held by 7 ETFs in our universe
# ETF Weight Est. AUM exposure TER
1 Militia Long/Short Equity ETF ORR 0.18% 256.0K 14.19%
2 WisdomTree Japan SmallCap Dividend Fund DFJ 0.03% 123.0K 0.58%
3 Avantis International Small Cap Equity ETF AVDS 0.00% 12.4K 0.30%
4 Dimensional - International Small Cap ETF DFIS 0.00% 65.9K 0.39%
5 Dimensional - International Core Equity Market ETF DFAI 0.00% 170.6K 0.18%
6 Dimensional - International Core Equity 2 ETF DFIC 0.00% 62.9K 0.22%
7 Dimensional World ex U.S. Core Equity 2 ETF DFAX 0.00% 46.2K 0.28%

Insider Activity

Insider Activity — Latest Quarter

No insider activity available.

Insider buys vs sells (history)

Insider history not available.

Recent insider transactions

No recent insider transactions.

Executive team

Top executives
EBIT / Employee
1.96M
Shares Outstanding
8.02M

Executive compensation

Executive compensation (annual)

Executive compensation not available.

CEO compensation breakdown

No CEO compensation history available.

Proxy statements

Proxy statements (DEF 14A)

No proxy statements available for this company yet.

Recent SEC filings

Recent SEC filings

No SEC filings available for this company yet.

Executive team

NameTitleCompensationGender
Hiroshi Takaki Senior Managing Executive Officer, Head of IT Ops Div. & Digital Transformation and Director male
Noriko Goto Executive Officer, Deputy GM of Admin Headquarters, GM of HR Development & Director
Osamu Shimojo Chief Executive Officer, President & Chairman male
Yusuke Kato Senior Managing Executive Officer, GM of Administration Headquarters & Director male
ESG Score History

No data available for this company.

Senate Trading Activity

No Senate trading activity found for this company.

House Trading Activity

No House trading activity found for this company.

Market share among peers
Peer comparison — filtered group (TTM)
Your opinion

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Dividend yield history

Dividend history

Earnings history

Earnings reports

Stock splits